Windradyne

Population growth drivers in Windradyne are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Windradyne's population is estimated at around 3,394 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 3,309 people, representing a growth of 85 individuals (2.6%). The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,357 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 92 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,341 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Windradyne has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%, outpacing the SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, a significant population increase is forecasted in the top quartile of Australian non-metropolitan areas, with Windradyne expected to increase by 941 persons, reflecting a gain of 28.7% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Windradyne according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Windradyne has seen approximately 6 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 31 homes were approved, with another 7 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an estimated average of 6.5 new residents arriving per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

This demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $450,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, $129,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Rest of NSW, Windradyne shows substantially reduced construction, at 58.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity shows 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Windradyne's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. At around 568 people per approval, Windradyne shows a mature, established area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Windradyne is expected to grow by 973 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Windradyne has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely affecting the region: Windradyne 1100 Subdivision, Bathurst Hospital Redevelopment, 56 Colville Street Residential Development, and Robin Hill Convenience Centre. The following details those most relevant.

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Windradyne ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Windradyne has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate was 1.7%.

This is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data and is lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%. The workforce participation rate in Windradyne was 62.3%, higher than Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. Public administration & safety has a particularly strong presence with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence in Windradyne with only 0.8% employment compared to 5.3% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.0% while employment declined by 3.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points in Windradyne. In contrast, Rest of NSW experienced an employment decline of 0.5% and a labour force decline of 0.1%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Windradyne. These projections estimate that national employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Windradyne's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates Windradyne's median income among taxpayers is $56,018. The average income in the suburb was $67,561 during this period. Nationally, the median and average incomes were comparable at $54,918 and $71,421 respectively. In Rest of NSW, the median and average incomes stood at $52,390 and $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Windradyne's median income would be approximately $60,981, with an average of around $73,547 as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 data, personal income ranks at the 58th percentile ($843 weekly), while household income sits at the 39th percentile. Income analysis reveals that 35.0% of Windradyne's residents (1,187 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, a pattern also seen in metropolitan regions where 29.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Windradyne, with only 84.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 40th percentile.

Windradyne is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Windradyne's dwelling structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 89.5% houses and 10.4% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's 86.1% houses and 13.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Windradyne stood at 33.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 30.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,635, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Windradyne was $350, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $315. Nationally, Windradyne's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Windradyne features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 69.4% of all households, including 27.6% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.6%, with lone person households at 27.1% and group households comprising 3.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, matching the average for the Rest of NSW.

Educational achievement in Windradyne places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's university qualification rate is 21.5%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 40.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (30.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Windradyne has 51 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 15 distinct routes, together facilitating 485 weekly passenger journeys. The transport network's accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents' average proximity to the nearest stop being 127 meters.

Across all routes, an average of 69 trips per day is maintained, translating to roughly 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Windradyne is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Windradyne faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent among both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is more prevalent than average at approximately 54% (~1820 people), compared to asthma and mental health issues which affect 11.5% and 11.1% of residents respectively. Most residents (60.7%) report being free from medical ailments, slightly lower than the Rest of NSW figure (63.5%). The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.9% (~641 people). Health outcomes for seniors are generally in line with the broader population's health profile.

Windradyne is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Windradyne had a below average cultural diversity, with 91.2% citizens, 90.4% born in Australia, and 95.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 60.0%, compared to 61.6% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.4%), English (30.2%), and Irish (10.4%).

Notably, Hungarian (0.5%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.2%. Similarly, Australian Aboriginal (5.3%) and Serbian (0.3%) had higher representations than their respective regional averages of 4.6% and 0.1%.

Windradyne's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Windradyne is 37 years, which is lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43 and close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 25-34 make up 14.7% of the population, while those aged 55-64 comprise 10.1%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of 15-24 year-olds has increased from 11.8% to 12.9%, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 10.7% to 9.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Windradyne's age structure. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to rise substantially, with an increase of 332 people (67%) from 498 to 831. Conversely, both the 45-54 and 55-64 age groups are expected to decrease in number.