Windradyne

Population growth drivers in Windradyne are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Windradyne's population is estimated at around 3,412 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 103 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,309 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,405 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 91 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,348 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Windradyne's growth rate of 3.1% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA4 region at 2.2%, marking it as a growth leader in the area. Natural growth contributed approximately 73.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase is forecast for Windradyne, with an expected increase of 858 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 24.9% in total over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Windradyne according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Windradyne has recorded approximately six residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 31 homes were approved, with an additional 13 approved in FY26. This results in an average of five new residents arriving per year per dwelling constructed over these years.

Consequently, demand significantly outpaces supply, exerting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. The average construction value of new properties is $450,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket dwellings. In FY26, commercial approvals totaled $129,000, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Comparatively, Windradyne shows substantially reduced construction compared to the rest of NSW, at 58.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

The area's construction level is also below national average, reflecting its maturity and potentially indicating planning constraints. New building activity in Windradyne comprises 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The population per approval is around 558 people, indicating a mature, established area. Looking ahead, Windradyne is projected to grow by 851 residents through to 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Windradyne has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to impact the area: Windradyne 1100 Subdivision, Bathurst Hospital Redevelopment, 56 Colville Street Residential Development, and Robin Hill Convenience Centre. The following details those most relevant.

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Windradyne ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Windradyne has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.0%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 1,915 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Windradyne is high at 71.1%, compared to Regional NSW's 60.5%. Census responses show that 11.5% of residents work from home, with Covid-19 lockdown impacts considered. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. Windradyne has a strong specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.8% compared to Regional NSW's 5.3%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.4%, and employment declined by 3.2%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced a 1.2% employment decline and a 0.8% labour force decline, with an unemployment rate rise of 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Windradyne's employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Windradyne's median income among taxpayers is $56,018. The average income is $67,561. This places Windradyne approximately at the national average. In comparison, Regional NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for March 2026 would be approximately $61,799 (median) and $74,533 (average). Census 2021 data indicates personal income ranks at the 58th percentile ($843 weekly), with household income at the 39th percentile. Income analysis reveals that 35.0% of residents (1,194 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to metropolitan regions where 29.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 40th percentile.

Windradyne is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Windradyne's dwellings, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 89.5% houses and 10.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Windradyne stood at 33.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 30.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,635, lower than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Windradyne was $350, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Windradyne's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Windradyne features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 69.4% of all households, including 27.6% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 30.6%, with lone person households at 27.1% and group households making up 3.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Windradyne places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's university qualification rate is 21.5%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 30.8%. Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.1% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Windradyne has 51 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 15 different routes that together facilitate 485 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 127 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward, primarily by car (97%). On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in Windradyne. According to the 2021 Census, only 11.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 69 trips per day, resulting in approximately 9 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Windradyne is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Windradyne faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment.

The area has a higher rate of private health cover at approximately 54% compared to the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 11.5% and 11.1% of residents respectively. Only 60.7% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, lower than Regional NSW's 63.3%. Working-age individuals in Windradyne face notable chronic condition rates. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.0% (682 people) compared to Regional NSW's 23.4%. While health outcomes among seniors are broadly in line with the general population, some challenges exist.

Windradyne is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Windradyne, as per the data, exhibited lower cultural diversity with 91.2% citizens, 90.4% born in Australia, and 95.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 60.0%, compared to 55.9% regionally. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.4%), English (30.2%), and Irish (10.4%).

Notably, Hungarian representation was higher at 0.5% in Windradyne versus 0.2% regionally. Similarly, Australian Aboriginal stood at 5.3% compared to 4.6%, and Serbian at 0.3% compared to 0.2%.

Windradyne's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Windradyne is 37 years, significantly lower than Regional NSW's average of 43 years and close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 25-34 are prominent at 14.7%, while the 55-64 group is smaller at 9.9% compared to Regional NSW. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 12.9% to 14.1% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 10.7% to 9.3%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 11.0% to 9.9%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Windradyne's age structure. The 35-44 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 303 people (63%), from 481 to 785. Conversely, both the 45-54 and 55-64 age groups are expected to have reduced numbers.