Windradyne

Population growth drivers in Windradyne are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Windradyne is estimated at around 3,394 people, reflecting an increase of 85 individuals since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 2.6% rise from the previous figure of 3,309 people. AreaSearch's analysis, based on latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2024) and validated new addresses, estimates the resident population at 3,357. The current density ratio is 1,341 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Windradyne has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%, outperforming its SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 73.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area (released in 2024, base year 2022), and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections (released in 2022, base year 2021) for areas not covered. Considering these projections, Windradyne is forecast to experience significant population growth, increasing by 940 persons to reach approximately 4,334 people by 2041, a gain of 28.7% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Windradyne according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Windradyne has recorded approximately six residential properties granted approval per year. Between the financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 31 homes were approved, with seven more approved in FY-26 to date. This results in an estimated average of 6.5 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed over these five years.

The demand for housing significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $450,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, there have been $129,000 in commercial approvals registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Comparatively, Windradyne shows substantially reduced construction when measured against the Rest of NSW, at 58.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and potentially indicating planning constraints. New building activity in Windradyne shows 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The area has around 568 people per approval, indicating a mature, established population. Looking ahead, Windradyne is expected to grow by 975 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Windradyne has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified three projects likely affecting this region: Windradyne 1100 Subdivision, Bathurst Hospital Redevelopment, and 56 Colville Street Residential Development. Additionally, Robin Hill Convenience Centre was noted for its potential relevance.

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Windradyne ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Windradyne has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 1.7%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, there are 1,930 residents in work, and the unemployment rate is 2.2% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 73.3%, significantly higher than Rest of NSW's 61.5%. According to Census responses, only 11.5% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. The area specializes in public administration & safety, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.8% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.3%, and employment declined by 3.8%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw an employment decline of 0.5% and labour force decline of 0.1%, with a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project total employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Windradyne's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates Windradyne's median income among taxpayers is $56,018 and the average is $67,561. This places it approximately at the national average. In comparison, Rest of NSW has a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates suggest Windradyne's median income would be approximately $60,981 and the average would be around $73,547 by September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, personal income ranks at the 58th percentile ($843 weekly) and household income is at the 39th percentile. Income analysis shows that 35.0% of residents (1,187 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, reflecting a pattern similar to metropolitan regions where 29.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Windradyne, with only 84.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 40th percentile.

Windradyne is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Windradyne's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 89.5% houses and 10.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Windradyne was at 33.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.1% and rented ones at 30.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,635, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Windradyne was $350, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Windradyne's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Windradyne features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.4% of all households, including 27.6% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.6%, with lone person households at 27.1% and group households comprising 3.9%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Windradyne places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area has university qualification rates of 21.5%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (30.8%). Educational participation is high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (11.1%), secondary education (8.1%), and tertiary education (3.6%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Windradyne has 51 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 15 routes that together facilitate 485 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent accessibility to these stops, with an average distance of 127 meters to the nearest one. The area is predominantly residential, and most commuters travel outward daily. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 97% of residents. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in Windradyne.

According to the 2021 Census, only 11.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 69 trips per day, equating to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Windradyne is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Windradyne faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are substantial across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is higher than average at approximately 54% of the total population (~1,820 people). The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 11.5 and 11.1% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 60.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Rest of NSW. Working-age population health challenges include elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 19.2% of residents aged 65 and over (651 people), lower than the 23.4% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Windradyne is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Windradyne's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 91.2% of its population being citizens, 90.4% born in Australia, and 95.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Windradyne, making up 60.0% of people, compared to 55.9% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.4%), English (30.2%), and Irish (10.4%).

Notably, Hungarian representation was higher at 0.5%, Australian Aboriginal at 5.3%, and Serbian at 0.3%, compared to regional percentages of 0.2%, 4.6%, and 0.2% respectively.

Windradyne's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Windradyne's median age of 37 is notably lower than Rest of NSW's average of 43, closely matching the national average of 38. The age profile indicates that those aged 25-34 are most prevalent at 15.0%, while those aged 55-64 are less so at 9.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.8% to 12.9% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 10.7% to 9.0%, and the 5 to 14 group has dropped from 13.9% to 12.6%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Windradyne's age structure, with the 35 to 44 age cohort projected to rise substantially by 323 people (69%), from 471 to 795. Meanwhile, both the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.