Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square

Population growth drivers in Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square's population is 21,835 as of November 2025. This shows an increase of 792 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 21,043. The change was inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 21,488 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 533 persons per square kilometer. Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square's growth rate of 3.8% since the Census is within 1.8 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 5.6%. Overseas migration primarily drove this population growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is forecasted to grow by 5,544 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 23.5% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square when compared nationally

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has received approximately 118 dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY2021 to FY2025, around 592 homes were approved, with an additional 17 approved so far in FY2026. On average, about 1.2 new residents have arrived annually for each new home built between FY2021 and FY2025, indicating a balanced supply and demand market that supports stable conditions.

The average construction cost of new homes is around $238,000, which is below regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing choices for buyers. This year, commercial approvals totaling $21.0 million have been registered, demonstrating balanced commercial development activity in the area. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 60th percentile nationally based on areas assessed. Recent construction consists of 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% medium and high-density housing, with an increasing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points.

This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 91.0% houses) suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. With approximately 310 people per approval, Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square is considered a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add around 5,132 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and driving price growth.

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 36 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Kangaroo Flat Lifestyle Estate Expansion, Crusoe College Infrastructure, Kangaroo Flat Skate Park, and Kangaroo Rise Estate. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.2% as of September 2024, with an estimated employment growth of 2.0% over the past year.

As of September 2025, there were 9,521 residents employed, while the unemployment rate was 6.7%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was somewhat below standard at 54.3%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a notable concentration in manufacturing at 1.4 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.5% of local workers, below Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%.

The area may offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by Census data. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 2.0%, while labour force increased by 2.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic. saw an employment decline of 0.7% and a labour force decline of 0.6%. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a potential increase of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $47,895 and an average income of $55,677. These figures are below the national averages of $48,741 and $60,693 respectively for Rest of Vic. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $53,719 (median) and $62,447 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square fall between the 16th and 23rd percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 29.5% of residents (6,441 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting regional patterns where 30.3% occupy this income range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 17th percentile nationally.

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square, as per the latest Census, 90.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 9.3% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This is comparable to Non-Metro Vic., where 90.6% of dwellings are houses and 9.4% are other dwellings. Home ownership in Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square stood at 36.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.2% and rented dwellings at 31.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,408. The median weekly rent in the area was $290, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $295. Nationally, Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 63.2% of all households, including 22.2% couples with children, 26.3% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 36.8%, with lone person households at 33.4% and group households comprising 3.4%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 28.2%. Educational participation is high, with 26.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.6% in primary, 7.3% in secondary, and 3.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.6% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has 135 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 21 individual routes that collectively facilitate 1,649 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 286 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency across all routes averages 235 trips per day, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square, where a range of health conditions impact both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~10,393 people), compared to 50.5% across Rest of Vic., and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 11.5% of residents, followed by arthritis at 11.3%.

However, 58.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.0% across Rest of Vic.. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 23.4% (5,105 people) compared to the 18.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kangaroo Flat-Golden Square had below average cultural diversity, with 89.3% of its population being citizens, 88.8% born in Australia, and 92.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 46.2% of the population. The most notable overrepresentation was in Other religions, which comprised 1.0% compared to 0.7% across Rest of Vic.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.7%), Australian (30.2%), and Irish (9.0%). Notable divergences included Scottish at 8.7% (vs regional 8.7%), Welsh at 0.5% (vs regional 0.4%), and Serbian at 0.2% (vs regional 0.1%).

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square's median age exceeds the national pattern

Kangaroo Flat-Golden Square's median age is 42 years, similar to Victoria's average of 43 but considerably older than Australia's average of 38 years. The age profile shows that individuals aged 25-34 are particularly prominent, making up 14.7% of the population, while those aged 55-64 make up a comparatively smaller proportion at 10.7%, compared to Victoria's average. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of residents aged 35-44 has grown from 11.9% to 13.3%. Conversely, the percentage of those aged 55-64 has declined from 11.9% to 10.7%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Kangaroo Flat-Golden Square. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 55%, adding 1,771 residents to reach a total of 4,990. In contrast, numbers in the 55-64 age range are expected to fall by 93%.