Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square's population is approximately 21,835 as of November 2025. This figure shows an increase of 792 people, representing a 3.8% rise since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 21,043. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,488 in June 2024 and an additional 97 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 533 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential for further development. Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square's growth rate of 3.8% since the census is within 1.8 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 5.6%, suggesting competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic trends forecast a significant population increase in the top quartile of Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square expected to grow by 5,544 persons by 2041, representing a total gain of 23.5% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square when compared nationally

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has seen approximately 118 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY2021 to FY2025592 homes were approved, with an additional 14 approved in FY2026 so far. On average, about 1.2 new residents arrived per year for each new home during these five years.

This indicates a balanced supply and demand market, supporting stable conditions. The average construction cost of new homes was $238,000, which is below regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY2026, commercial approvals totaling $21.0 million have been registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks in the 61st percentile nationally among assessed areas.

Recent construction consists of 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% medium and high-density housing, with an increasing mix of townhouses and apartments offering diverse price points from family homes to compact living. This shift contrasts with the current 91.0% houses in the area, suggesting decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles. The area reflects a low density population, with approximately 310 people per approval. Future projections estimate Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square will add around 5,132 residents by 2041. If current construction levels continue, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 32ndth percentile nationally

The performance of a region can greatly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified 36 projects that may impact this area. Notable among them are Kangaroo Flat Lifestyle Estate Expansion, Crusoe College Infrastructure, Kangaroo Flat Skate Park, and Kangaroo Rise Estate. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment indicates Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.1% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.6%. There were 9,438 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 1.3% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was lower at 54.3%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with manufacturing particularly notable at 1.4 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 1.5% of local workers, below Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. The area may offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over a 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 0.6% while labour force increased by 1.8%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.2 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of Vic. saw employment decline by 0.9%, labour force decline by 0.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.2% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2022, Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square had a median income among taxpayers of $47,895 with the average level standing at $55,677. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $48,741 and $60,693 across Rest of Vic respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% from financial year ended June 2022 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $53,719 (median) and $62,447 (average). Census data reveals household income in Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square falls between the 16th and 24th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 29.5% of residents (6,441 people), reflecting patterns seen in the region where 30.3% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 84.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 17th percentile nationally.

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 90.6% houses and 9.3% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic.'s figures were 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square stood at 36.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.2% and rented ones at 31.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,408. The median weekly rent figure was $290, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $295. Nationally, Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,300 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 63.2% of all households, including 22.2% couples with children, 26.3% couples without children, and 13.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 36.8%, with lone person households at 33.4% and group households making up 3.4%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (28.2%). Educational participation is high at 26.9%, comprising 9.6% in primary, 7.3% in secondary, and 3.1% in tertiary education.

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has a robust network of 9 schools serving approximately 2,492 students with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 958). The educational mix includes 5 primary, 2 secondary, and 2 K-12 schools. School places per 100 residents are 11.5, below the regional average of 18.0, indicating some students may attend adjacent area schools. Note: for schools with 'n/a' enrolments, refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square has 135 active public transport stops. These are served by 21 routes offering 1,649 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents' average distance to the nearest stop is 286 meters.

Daily service frequency averages 235 trips across all routes, equating to about 12 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square, where a range of health conditions impact both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~10,393 people), compared to 50.5% across Rest of Vic., which is below the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 11.5% and 11.3% of residents respectively.

Conversely, 58.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.0% across Rest of Vic.. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.4%, with approximately 5,105 people falling into this age group, compared to 18.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kangaroo Flat-Golden Square had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 89.3% of its residents being citizens, 88.8% born in Australia, and 92.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 46.2% of the population. The most significant deviation from regional averages was observed in the 'Other' category, which constituted 1.0% compared to 0.7% across Rest of Vic..

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (32.7%), Australian (30.2%), and Irish (9.0%). Notably, Scottish (8.7%) and Welsh (0.5%) groups were overrepresented in Kangaroo Flat-Golden Square compared to regional averages of 8.7% and 0.4%, respectively. Serbian ancestry was also slightly overrepresented at 0.2% versus the regional average of 0.1%.

Kangaroo Flat - Golden Square hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Kangaroo Flat-Golden Square's median age is 42 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 and older than Australia's 38 years as of 2021. The age profile shows that the 25-34 year-olds are prominent at 14.7%, while the 55-64 group is smaller at 10.7% compared to Rest of Vic.. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 11.9% to 13.3%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 11.9% to 10.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes. The 25-34 cohort is projected to grow by 55%, adding 1,771 residents to reach 4,990. Meanwhile, numbers in the 55-64 age range are expected to fall by 93%.