White Hills - Ascot

White Hills - Ascot lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, White Hills - Ascot's population is around 16,833 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,387 people (16.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,446 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 15,689 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 756 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 248 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. White Hills - Ascot's 16.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (8.0%) and the Rest of Vic., marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, which contributed approximately 43.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of locations outside of capital cities, is predicted over the period with the area expected to grow by 9,766 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 51.2% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in White Hills - Ascot was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

White Hills - Ascot has recorded around 203 residential properties granted approval annually, with 1,016 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 85 so far in FY-26. With an average of 2.1 people per year moving to the area per new home constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating healthy demand that should support property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $258,000, in line with regional trends. Additionally, $22.3 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Relative to the Rest of Vic., White Hills - Ascot shows 95.0% higher development activity (per person), offering buyers greater choice. This activity is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. New building activity shows 99.0% standalone homes and 1.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 70 people per dwelling approval, White Hills - Ascot shows characteristics of a growth area.

Future projections show White Hills - Ascot adding 8,622 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers could encounter growing competition as population increases.

White Hills - Ascot has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 42ndth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 24 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Victory Christian College Epsom Campus, Epsom Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Maiden Gully Road/Calder Highway Intersection Upgrade, and Maiden Gully Growth Area, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in White Hills - Ascot shows above-average strength when compared nationally

White Hills - Ascot features a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of only 3.4%, and 1.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 7,709 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.3% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (66.3% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%). Based on Census responses, a low 12.9% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area shows particularly strong specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level. In contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 2.2% of local workers, below Regional Vic.'s 7.5%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 1.6% alongside labour force increasing by 2.0%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. This compares to Regional Vic., where employment fell by 0.6%, labour force contracted by 0.7%, and unemployment fell 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within White Hills - Ascot. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to White Hills - Ascot's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the White Hills - Ascot SA2 is approximately average nationally, with the median assessed at $56,076 while the average income stands at $67,209. This contrasts with Regional Vic.'s figures of a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $60,702 (median) and $72,754 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in White Hills - Ascot, between the 46th and 51st percentiles. The data shows the largest segment comprises 38.8% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (6,531 residents), mirroring the surrounding region where 30.3% occupy this bracket. After housing, 85.9% of income remains for other expenses.

White Hills - Ascot is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within White Hills - Ascot, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.5% houses and 4.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within White Hills - Ascot was lagging that of Regional Vic., at 29.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (45.8%) or rented (25.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Regional Vic. average at $1,469, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $330, compared to Regional Vic.'s $1,430 and $285. Nationally, White Hills - Ascot's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

White Hills - Ascot has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 75.8% of all households, comprising 33.8% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.2%, with lone person households at 21.4% and group households comprising 2.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.7 people is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

White Hills - Ascot shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (19.8%) substantially below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 13.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 39.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (29.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 96 active transport stops operating within White Hills - Ascot, comprising a mix of train. These stops are serviced by 10 individual routes, collectively providing 1,145 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 330 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 96%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 12.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 163 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in White Hills - Ascot is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

White Hills - Ascot faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover just leads the average SA2 area at approximately 53% of the total population (~8,854 people). This compares to 50.5% across Regional Vic..

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and asthma, impacting 10.8 and 9.7% of residents, respectively, while 65.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 13.7% of residents aged 65 and over (2,297 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

White Hills - Ascot ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

White Hills - Ascot was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 90.9% of its population being citizens, 89.6% born in Australia, and 91.0% speaking English only at home. The main religion in White Hills - Ascot is Christianity, which makes up 44.1% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Judaism, which comprises 0.1% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Regional Vic..

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in White Hills - Ascot are Australian, comprising 32.2% of the population, English, comprising 30.7% of the population, and Irish, comprising 9.5% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Scottish is notably overrepresented at 7.8% of White Hills - Ascot (vs 8.8% regionally), Indian at 1.6% (vs 0.8%) and Australian Aboriginal at 1.9% (vs 1.4%).

White Hills - Ascot hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

With a median age of 34, White Hills - Ascot is considerably lower than the Regional Vic. figure of 43 and similarly significantly lower than Australia's 38 years. Compared to the Regional Vic. average, the 25 - 34 cohort is notably over-represented (16.9% locally), while 75 - 84 year-olds are under-represented (3.9%). In the period since 2021, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 13.8% to 15.7% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 15.9% to 16.9%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 10.8% to 9.5%. Demographic modeling suggests White Hills - Ascot's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to grow significantly, expanding by 2,177 people (76%) from 2,848 to 5,026.