White Hills - Ascot
Statistical Area - sa2

White Hills - Ascot lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

White Hills - Ascot's population was around 16,690 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 2,244 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 14,446. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates and validated new addresses between June 2024 and the Census date. The population density was approximately 246 persons per square kilometer in November 2025. White Hills - Ascot's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (5.6%) and SA4 region since the 2021 census, marking it as a growth leader. Natural growth contributed about 43.6% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs Victorian Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate exceptional growth in White Hills - Ascot, placing it in the top 10 percent of non-capital city locations. The area is expected to grow by 9,766 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, reflecting a total increase of 52.5% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in White Hills - Ascot was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

White Hills - Ascot has granted approximately 203 residential property approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 1,016 homes have been approved, with an additional 57 approved so far in FY-26. On average, around 2.1 people have moved to the area per new home constructed over these past five financial years, indicating strong demand which supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $258,000, aligning with regional trends. This year has seen $22.3 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., White Hills - Ascot exhibits 95.0% higher development activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and indicating robust developer interest in the area. New building activity comprises predominantly standalone homes at 99.0%, with medium and high-density housing making up the remaining 1.0%, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 70 people per dwelling approval, White Hills - Ascot displays characteristics of a growth area.

Future projections estimate that White Hills - Ascot will add approximately 8,765 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and driving price growth.

White Hills - Ascot has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 21stth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 24 projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects include Epsom Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Victory Christian College Epsom Campus, Maiden Gully Road/Calder Highway Intersection Upgrade, and Maiden Gully Growth Area. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in White Hills - Ascot demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

White Hills - Ascot has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.3% as of June 2025.

There was an estimated employment growth of 0.8% over the past year. In this period, 7,429 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.5% lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was at 65.2%, higher than Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade, with a particularly strong specialization in the former, employing 1.2 times more residents than the regional level.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 2.2% of local workers, lower than Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. The area may have limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 0.8%, labour force by 1.8%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.0 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., where employment fell by 0.9%, labour force contracted by 0.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to White Hills - Ascot's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4%% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that White Hills - Ascot has an average national income. The median income is $53,217 and the average is $65,222. In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s median income is $48,741 with an average of $60,693. Based on a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, the current estimated median income is approximately $59,688 and the average is around $73,153 as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, White Hills - Ascot's household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly between the 47th and 51st percentiles. The largest segment comprises 6,475 residents earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, which is 38.8% of the population, mirroring the surrounding region's 30.3%. After housing expenses, 85.9% of income remains for other expenses.

White Hills - Ascot is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

White Hills - Ascot's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 95.5% houses and 4.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Non-Metro Vic., in comparison, had 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in White Hills - Ascot was at 29.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.8% and rented ones at 25.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,469, above Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,408. The median weekly rent figure was $330, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $295. Nationally, White Hills - Ascot's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

White Hills - Ascot has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.8% of all households, including 33.8% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.2%, with lone person households at 21.4% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

White Hills - Ascot shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 19.8%, substantially below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 13.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 39.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (29.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.1% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education. White Hills - Ascot's 5 schools have combined enrollment reaching 2,460 students while the area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 982) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with 4 primary and 1 secondary schools serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 97 active transport stops operating within White Hills - Ascot. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. They are serviced by 10 individual routes, collectively providing 866 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 330 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 123 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in White Hills - Ascot is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

White Hills - Ascot faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, particularly among older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~8,745 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 10.8 and 9.7% of residents respectively. A total of 65.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.0% across Rest of Vic.. The area has 13.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,328 people), which is lower than the 18.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

White Hills - Ascot ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

White Hills-Ascot was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 90.9% of its population being citizens born in Australia who speak English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 44.1% of the population. Judaism is slightly overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to Rest of Vic's 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (32.2%), English (30.7%), and Irish (9.5%). Notably, Scottish (7.8%) and Indian (1.6%) populations are higher than the regional averages of 8.7% and 1.0%, respectively. Additionally, Australian Aboriginal representation is slightly higher at 1.9%.

White Hills - Ascot hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

White Hills-Ascot has a median age of 34, which is lower than the Rest of Vic's figure of 43 and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 cohort is over-represented in White Hills-Ascot at 16.5%, compared to the Rest of Vic average, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 3.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 13.8% to 15.5% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 10.8% to 9.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests White Hills-Ascot's age profile will significantly evolve. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow significantly, expanding by 2,267 people (82%) from 2,758 to 5,026.