White Hills - Ascot
Statistical Area - sa2

White Hills - Ascot lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

White Hills - Ascot's population is around 16,480 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase from its 2021 Census population of 14,446 people. Between June 2024 and Aug 2025, the area gained approximately 676 new addresses, contributing to a total growth of 2,034 people (14.1%) since the 2021 Census. This results in a population density ratio of 243 persons per square kilometer. White Hills - Ascot's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (4.6%) and SA4 region during this period. Natural growth contributed approximately 43.6% to overall population gains, while other drivers such as interstate migration and overseas migration were also positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections adjusted to SA2 levels for areas not covered by this data. Based on these projections, White Hills - Ascot is expected to grow by 9,766 persons to reach approximately 26,246 people by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 54.5% over the 17-year period from Aug 2025.

The level of residential development activity in White Hills - Ascot was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

White Hills - Ascot has received approximately 203 residential property approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics provides development approval data on a financial year basis. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 1,016 homes were approved. In the current financial year, FY-26, there have been 19 approvals so far.

On average, each dwelling built over these five years has attracted 2.1 new residents annually, indicating strong demand that supports property values. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $315,000, which is below regional levels, offering more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year has seen $22.3 million in commercial approvals, suggesting steady commercial investment activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., White Hills - Ascot demonstrates 95.0% more building activity per person, providing greater choice for buyers and indicating robust developer interest in the area. The majority of new building activity consists of standalone homes (99.0%), with only 1.0% being townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

There are approximately 70 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. Future projections indicate that White Hills - Ascot will add around 8,975 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

White Hills - Ascot has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 21stth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 26 projects that could affect the region. Notable projects include Epsom Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Victory Christian College Epsom Campus, Maiden Gully Road/Calder Highway Intersection Upgrade, and Maiden Gully Growth Area. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis indicates White Hills - Ascot maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

White Hills - Ascot has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.3% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 0.8% over the past year.

There were 7,429 residents employed by June 2025, with an unemployment rate of 0.5% lower than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was higher at 65.2%, compared to the Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Dominant employment sectors included health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area had a strong specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing was under-represented, with only 2.2% of White Hills - Ascot's workforce compared to 7.5% in Rest of Vic.. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census working population vs resident population data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 0.8%, while the labour force increased by 1.8%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s employment contracted by 0.9% over the same period. State-level data from Sep-25 showed VIC employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, adding 39,880 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 projected a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to White Hills - Ascot's employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

White Hills - Ascot had a median taxpayer income of $53,217 and an average of $65,222 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is comparable to national averages, while Rest of Vic.'s median was $48,741 with an average income of $60,693. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 10.11% since the financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of March 2025 would be approximately $58,597 (median) and $71,816 (average). The 2021 Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in White Hills - Ascot ranked modestly, between the 47th and 51st percentiles. Specifically, the income band of $1,500 to $2,999 captured 38.8% of the community (6,394 individuals), which is similar to regional levels where 30.3% fell within this range. After accounting for housing costs, 85.9% of income remained for other expenses.

White Hills - Ascot is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

White Hills - Ascot's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 95.5% houses and 4.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in White Hills - Ascot was 29.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.8% and rented ones at 25.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,469, above Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,408. Median weekly rent in the area was $330, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $295. Nationally, White Hills - Ascot's median monthly mortgage repayment is lower at $1,469 than Australia's average of $1,863, and median weekly rent is substantially below the national figure of $375.

White Hills - Ascot has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.8% of all households, including 33.8% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.2%, with lone person households at 21.4% and group households making up 2.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

White Hills - Ascot shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 19.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common (13.8%), followed by graduate diplomas (3.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 39.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 10.6% and certificates at 29.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 12.1% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 3.1% in tertiary education. White Hills - Ascot has five schools with a combined enrollment of 2,460 students, serving distinct age groups and demonstrating typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 982).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 97 active transport stops operating within White Hills - Ascot. These include a mix of train and bus services. They are serviced by 10 individual routes, providing collectively 866 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 330 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 123 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 8 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in White Hills - Ascot is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

White Hills - Ascot faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups, but to a higher degree among older residents.

The private health cover rate is approximately 52%, slightly higher than the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 10.8% of residents and asthma impacting 9.7%. A total of 65.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 62.0% in Rest of Vic.. As of 30 June 2021, 13.9% of the population is aged 65 and over (2,298 people), which is lower than the state average of 18.9%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to specific challenges they face.

White Hills - Ascot ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

White Hills-Ascot was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 90.9% of its population being citizens born in Australia who speak English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 44.1% of the population. Judaism is slightly overrepresented compared to the regional average, making up 0.1% of White Hills-Ascot's population.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (32.2%), English (30.7%), and Irish (9.5%). Notably, Scottish ancestry is overrepresented at 7.8%, while Indian and Australian Aboriginal ancestries are also slightly higher than the regional averages at 1.6% and 1.9% respectively.

White Hills - Ascot hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

The median age of White Hills - Ascot is 34, which is lower than the Rest of Vic's figure of 43 and Australia's median age of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented in White Hills - Ascot at 16.5%, compared to the Rest of Vic average, while those aged 75-84 are under-represented at 3.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 13.8% to 15.5% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 10.8% to 9.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that by 2041, White Hills - Ascot's age profile will evolve significantly. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow significantly, expanding by 2,301 people (84%) from 2,724 to 5,026.