White Hills - Ascot

White Hills - Ascot lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

White Hills - Ascot's population was approximately 16,690 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 2,244 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 14,446. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: the resident population in June 2024 was 15,689 and there were 754 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 246 persons per square kilometer. White Hills - Ascot's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (5.6%) and SA4 region, indicating it as a growth leader. Natural growth contributed approximately 43.6% to overall population gains recently.

All migration factors were positive contributors. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used, adjusted via weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future projections indicate exceptional growth in the top 10 percent of non-capital city locations, with an expected increase of 9,766 persons by 2041 based on latest ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 52.5% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in White Hills - Ascot was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

White Hills - Ascot has recorded approximately 203 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 1,016 homes have been approved, with an additional 68 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, around 2.1 people per year have moved to the area for each new home constructed over these five years, indicating healthy demand which supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $258,000, aligning with regional trends. This financial year has seen $22.3 million in commercial development approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., White Hills - Ascot shows 95.0% higher development activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and indicating robust developer interest in the area. New building activity is predominantly standalone homes at 99.0%, with only 1.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 70 people per dwelling approval, White Hills - Ascot exhibits characteristics of a growth area.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, future projections show White Hills - Ascot adding approximately 8,765 residents by 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

White Hills - Ascot has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 24 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones are Victory Christian College Epsom Campus, Epsom Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Maiden Gully Road/Calder Highway Intersection Upgrade, and Maiden Gully Growth Area. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in White Hills - Ascot shows above-average strength when compared nationally

White Hills - Ascot has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate in September 2025 was 3.4%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4% over the past year.

Residents' employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade, particularly health care & social assistance which employs 1.2 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 2.2% of local workers compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. The area shows limited employment opportunities locally, with a Census working population vs resident population count indicating this trend. Over the past year, employment increased by 2.4%, while labour force increased by 3.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points.

In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.7% and its labour force contracted by 0.6%. State-level data from 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that White Hills - Ascot's local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that White Hills - Ascot SA2 has an average national income. The median assessed income is $53,217 and the average income stands at $65,222. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., which has a median income of $48,741 and an average income of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, the current estimates for White Hills - Ascot SA2 are approximately $59,688 (median) and $73,153 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in White Hills - Ascot rank modestly, between the 46th and 51st percentiles. The largest segment comprises 38.8% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (6,475 residents), mirroring the surrounding region where 30.3% occupy this bracket. After housing, 85.9% of income remains for other expenses.

White Hills - Ascot is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

White Hills - Ascot's dwellings were 95.5% houses and 4.5% other types (semi-detached, apartments, etc.) in the latest Census, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.6% houses and 9.4% others. Home ownership was at 29.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.8% and rented ones at 25.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,469, above Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,408. Median weekly rent was $330, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $295. Nationally, White Hills - Ascot's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,469 versus Australia's $1,863, and rents were also lower at $330 compared to the national figure of $375.

White Hills - Ascot has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.8 percent of all households, including 33.8 percent couples with children, 27.3 percent couples without children, and 13.8 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.2 percent, with lone person households at 21.4 percent and group households making up 2.8 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

White Hills - Ascot shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 19.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (29.2%). Educational participation is high at 30.9%, with 12.1% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 97 active transport stops operating in White Hills - Ascot. These include a mix of train and bus services. The area is served by 10 individual routes that collectively provide 866 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 330 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 123 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 8 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in White Hills - Ascot is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

White Hills - Ascot faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across all age groups, but particularly among older residents.

The area has a private health cover rate of approximately 52%, which is slightly higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 10.8% and 9.7% of residents respectively. A total of 65.7% of residents declared themselves free from medical ailments, compared to 62.0% across Rest of Vic.. As of 30 June 2018, there were 13.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,328 people), which is lower than the 18.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these higher percentages of common health conditions.

White Hills - Ascot ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

White Hills-Ascot was found to have a below average level of cultural diversity, with 90.9% of its population being citizens, 89.6% born in Australia, and 91.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in White Hills-Ascot, making up 44.1% of its population. While there was no significant overrepresentation compared to regional averages for most religions, Judaism was notably underrepresented at 0.1%, compared to 0.1% across Rest of Vic..

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups in White Hills-Ascot are Australian (32.2%), English (30.7%), and Irish (9.5%). There were notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Scottish was overrepresented at 7.8%, Indian at 1.6%, and Australian Aboriginal at 1.9%.

White Hills - Ascot hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

White Hills-Ascot has a median age of 34, which is lower than the Rest of Vic's figure of 43 and Australia's average of 38 years. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 16.5% locally compared to the Rest of Vic's average, while the 75-84 age group is under-represented at 3.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 13.8% to 15.5%, whereas the 45-54 cohort has declined from 10.8% to 9.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests White Hills-Ascot's age profile will significantly evolve. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow significantly, expanding by 2,267 people (82%) from 2,758 to 5,026.