Maiden Gully
Statistical Area - sa2

Maiden Gully lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Maiden Gully's population is approximately 5,996 as of August 2025. This represents an increase of 478 people, an 8.7% rise since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 5,518. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,841 in June 2024 and an additional 71 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 139 persons per square kilometer. Maiden Gully's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (4.6%) and SA4 region, indicating it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 59.5% of overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, a significant increase is forecast for Maiden Gully, with an expected rise of 2,481 persons by 2041, representing a total gain of 38.8% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Maiden Gully when compared nationally

Maiden Gully averaged approximately 40 new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data is provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis: 201 dwellings approved over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, and 10 so far in FY-26. On average, 2.4 new residents have been added annually per dwelling over these five years, indicating strong demand which supports property values. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $568,000, moderately above regional levels, suggesting a focus on quality construction.

There have also been $7.9 million in commercial approvals this financial year, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Comparing Maiden Gully to the Rest of Vic., construction activity per person appears comparable, maintaining market equilibrium with surrounding areas. However, development activity has decreased somewhat recently.

All new constructions have consisted of standalone homes, preserving Maiden Gully's traditional low-density character and appealing to families seeking space, with around 214 people approved per dwelling. Population forecasts project an increase of 2,325 residents by 2041 in Maiden Gully, keeping pace with growth projections, although buyers may face increased competition as the population grows.

Maiden Gully has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Jobs Gully Road Social Housing Project, Neangar Green Estate, Lansell Square Shopping Centre, and Virginia Hill in Bendigo. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Maiden Gully performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Maiden Gully has a skilled workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.0% as of June 2025, lower than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.4%. There were 3,138 residents employed in June 2025, with a workforce participation rate of 72.5%, higher than the Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Major employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Finance & insurance shows significant specialization, with an employment share 2.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 1.8%, compared to the regional average of 7.5%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 1.4% while labour force increased by 1.7%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 shows VIC's employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Maiden Gully's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Maiden Gully's median income among taxpayers was $54,210, with an average of $65,143 in financial year 2022. This is comparable to national averages and higher than Rest of Vic.'s median of $48,741 and average of $60,693. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 10.11% from financial year 2022 to March 2025, estimated current incomes are approximately $59,691 (median) and $71,729 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Maiden Gully fall around the 72nd percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 40.3% of locals (2,416 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 per week, similar to metropolitan regions where 30.3% occupy this range. After housing costs, residents retain 88.9% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power and placing the area in the 6th decile according to SEIFA income rankings.

Maiden Gully is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Maiden Gully's dwellings, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 98.9% houses and 1.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maiden Gully stood at 37.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 55.7% and rented ones at 7.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,690, exceeding Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,408. The median weekly rent in Maiden Gully was $380, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s $295. Nationally, Maiden Gully's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Maiden Gully features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.1% of all households, including 49.6% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.9%, with lone person households at 11.3% and group households comprising 1.8% of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Maiden Gully performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 22.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (3.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.3% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.8% and certificates at 29.5%. Educational participation is high, with 31.9% currently enrolled in formal education: 13.0% in primary, 10.0% in secondary, and 3.0% in tertiary education.

Maiden Gully Primary School and Marist College Bendigo serve a total of 1,745 students, with Maiden Gully having an ICSEA score of 1025. The area has one primary and one K-12 school, functioning as an education hub with 29.1 school places per 100 residents, exceeding the regional average of 18.0 and attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Maiden Gully has 30 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven distinct routes that together facilitate 334 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these services is deemed good, with average residential proximity to the nearest stop being 336 meters.

Across all routes, an average of 47 trips per day is maintained, translating to roughly 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Maiden Gully's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Maiden Gully residents show relatively positive health outcomes, with common conditions seen evenly across young and old age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 52%, slightly higher than the SA2 area average. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (9.6% of residents) and arthritis (8.1%). Notably, 70.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 62.0% in Rest of Vic. The area has 14.4% of residents aged 65 and over (864 people), lower than the 18.9% in Rest of Vic. Senior health outcomes are above average, mirroring the general population's profile.

The latest Census data sees Maiden Gully placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Maiden Gully, surveyed in August 2016, had a population with 94.1% born in Australia, 95.2% being citizens, and 96.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 48.6%, slightly higher than the 45.8% regional average. The top three ancestral groups were English (33.7%), Australian (32.3%), and Scottish (9.3%).

Notably, Welsh (0.6%) and Irish (9.0%) populations in Maiden Gully were higher than the regional averages of 0.4% and 10.2%, respectively. German ancestry was at 3.5%, close to the regional average of 3.2%.

Maiden Gully's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Maiden Gully is 37 years, which is lower than the Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 and close to the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 5-14 are prominently represented at 16.6%, while the 75-84 group is comparatively smaller at 3.8% compared to Rest of Vic.. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.0% to 13.6% of the population. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 17.8% to 16.6%, and the 0-4 group has dropped from 6.8% to 5.6%. Looking ahead to the year 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Maiden Gully's age structure, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to rise substantially by 512 people (an increase of 86%) from 594 to 1,107.