Quarry Hill

An assessment of population growth drivers in Quarry Hill reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of Quarry Hill is around 2,411 people. This reflects an increase of 46 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,365. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation using the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and additional validation of 25 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 992 persons per square kilometer, aligning with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Quarry Hill's growth rate of 1.9% since the census is within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 3.9%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. The primary driver for population growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilized the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Quarry Hill is forecasted to experience significant population increase in the top quartile of national non-metropolitan areas. By 2041, the suburb is expected to grow by 529 persons, reflecting a gain of 21.9% in total over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Quarry Hill, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Quarry Hill has received around 9 dwelling approvals per year. Between Financial Year 21 and Financial Year 25, approximately 49 homes were approved, with an additional 11 approved in Financial Year 26 to date. Despite population decline during this period, new supply appears to have kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice.

Average construction cost for new properties is $525,000, indicating focus on the premium market. There have been $5.5 million in commercial approvals so far this financial year, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Quarry Hill shows approximately 58% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 45th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties.

Recent construction comprises 75% detached dwellings and 25% medium and high-density housing, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 365 people per dwelling approval, Quarry Hill shows a developed market. Population forecasts indicate Quarry Hill will gain 529 residents by 2041 (from AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Quarry Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Six projects are identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance: Spring Hill Estate, Flora Hill, Water and Sewer Network Program, and Howard Street/Midland Highway Intersection Upgrade. These are considered key projects.

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The labour market in Quarry Hill shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Quarry Hill has an educated workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.1%, lower than the regional average of 3.7%. Over the past year, there was estimated employment growth of 3.0%.

As of December 2025, 1,325 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% below the regional level and workforce participation at 67.1%, higher than Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. According to Census responses, 20.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The area specializes in health care & social assistance with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.5%.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 3.0% and labour force grew by 2.4%, reducing unemployment by 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment decline by 0.6%, labour force decrease by 0.7%, with unemployment falling by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Quarry Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 7.0% over five years and 14.6% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Quarry Hill suburb has a median taxpayer income of $57,360 and an average income of $75,028 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is higher than the national average, contrasting with Regional Vic.'s median income of $50,954 and average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $62,878 (median) and $82,246 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, personal income ranks at the 61st percentile ($863 weekly), while household income sits at the 44th percentile. The largest segment comprises 34.2% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (824 residents). Housing costs are manageable with 87.5% retained, but disposable income is below average at the 48th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Quarry Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

As of the latest Census, Quarry Hill's dwelling structure consisted of 85.1% houses and 14.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Quarry Hill stood at 33.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.3% and rented ones at 35.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,417, lower than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Quarry Hill was $298, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Quarry Hill's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Quarry Hill features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 63.7% of all households, including 25.0% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 36.3%, with lone person households at 31.8% and group households comprising 4.6%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Quarry Hill shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Quarry Hill is notable. Among residents aged 15 and above, 35.1% hold university qualifications, surpassing the broader benchmarks of 21.7% in Rest of Vic. and 23.6% in SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.1%) and graduate diplomas (6.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 31.4% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 20.5%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in secondary education, 8.1% in primary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Quarry Hill has 19 active public transport stops serving six different routes, offering a total of 556 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 167 meters to the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, with most commuters traveling outward. Car remains the primary mode of transportation at 88%, while walking and cycling account for 8% and 3% respectively. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 20.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 79 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 29 weekly trips per individual stop.

Quarry Hill's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Quarry Hill's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are seen at a standard level across both young and old age groups.

Private health cover is very high, with approximately 56% of the total population (~1,361 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 11.5 and 9.4% of residents respectively. 63.5% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 63.4% across Regional Vic. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. Quarry Hill has 16.6% of residents aged 65 and over (400 people), lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, with national rankings even higher than those of the general population.

Quarry Hill is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Quarry Hill, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 90.4% of residents born in Australia, 92.1% being citizens, and 94.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 43.3%. Buddhism, at 1.7%, was overrepresented compared to Regional Vic's 1.0%.

Top ancestry groups were English (31.9%), Australian (24.5%) and Irish (13.9%). Scottish (9.9%) and Spanish (0.6%) were notably overrepresented, while German (4.3%) was slightly above the regional average of 3.5%.

Quarry Hill's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Quarry Hill is 39, which is significantly lower than Regional Vic.'s average of 43 but essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Regional Vic., Quarry Hill has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (14.7%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (4.6%). According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group increased from 12.2% to 14.7% of Quarry Hill's population, while the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 12.7% to 11.2%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Quarry Hill's age structure. Notably, the 25 to 34 group is projected to grow by 65%, reaching 584 people from 354. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort is projected to decline by 8 people.