Junortoun

Junortoun lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Junortoun's population is estimated at around 4,762 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 900 people (23.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,862 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,068 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in Jun 2024 and an additional 33 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 222 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Junortoun's growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (7.9%) and the non-metro area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the Junortoun statistical area (Lv2) expected to expand by 2,381 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 37.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Junortoun among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Junortoun recorded approximately 25 residential properties granted approval annually between FY-21 and FY-25. This totals an estimated 125 homes over the past five financial years. As of FY-26, 14 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 5 people moved to the area per dwelling built during this period.

The supply of new dwellings is lagging behind demand, which could lead to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. Developers are focusing on the premium market, with an average construction cost value of $464,000 for new homes.

Commercial development activity has been minimal in FY-26, with approvals totalling $1.2 million. Recent developments have consisted entirely of standalone homes, maintaining Junortoun's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The area has approximately 140 people per dwelling approval, indicating a growing market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Junortoun is projected to gain 1,783 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Junortoun has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Forest Ridge Estate, Rangelea Rise, McIvor Heights, and Mercy Junortoun Sporting Precinct. The following details projects expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Junortoun places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Junortoun has a well-educated workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.3% as of September 2025, lower than the Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%. There are 2,049 residents employed currently, with a workforce participation rate of 63.5%, higher than Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Health care & social assistance is particularly specialized, employing 1.2 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 0.7% of local workers, lower than Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%.

Employment opportunities may be limited locally as indicated by Census data comparison. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.6%, and labour force increased by 2.7%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. experienced a 0.7% employment decline and 0.6% labour force decline. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Junortoun's employment mix indicates local employment should grow by 6.9% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Junortoun's median income among taxpayers was $51,319 in financial year 2023, lower than the national average. The suburb's average income stood at $61,747 during this period. Comparing these figures to Rest of Vic.'s median and average incomes of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively shows Junortoun had slightly higher incomes. By September 2025, estimates based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth suggest Junortoun's median income could reach approximately $55,553 and the average around $66,841. According to 2021 Census figures, Junortoun's household income ranked at the 76th percentile ($2,170 weekly) and personal income at the 58th percentile. Income distribution data reveals that 30.3% of Junortoun residents earned between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly (1,442 individuals), aligning with broader regional trends. Notably, 33.0% earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating prosperity in the area. After housing costs, residents retain 88.1% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. Junortoun's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Junortoun is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Junortoun's dwelling structure, assessed at the latest Census, consisted of 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings. Home ownership stood at 42.0%, with 52.9% of dwellings mortgaged and 5.1% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, and the median weekly rent was $380. Nationally, Junortoun's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Junortoun features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.8 people

Family households constitute 81.9% of all households, including 42.7% couples with children, 32.5% couples without children, and 6.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 18.1%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households making up 0.7%. The median household size is 2.8 people.

Junortoun demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate of 30.3%, among residents aged 15+, exceeds the Rest of Vic average of 21.7% and the SA4 region's rate of 25.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 34.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (22.1%). Educational participation is high, with 31.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.0% in primary education, 10.4% in secondary education, and 3.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Junortoun shows that there are currently 15 operational transport stops. These stops offer a variety of bus services, with two individual routes providing a total of 114 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as moderate, with residents typically located approximately 568 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 16 trips per day across all routes, which equates to around seven weekly trips per individual stop.

Junortoun's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Junortoun's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a fairly standard level. The rate of private health cover is relatively low, approximately 51% of the total population (~2,441 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 9.3% and 8.3% of residents respectively. A majority, 68.2%, report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 0% across Rest of Vic.. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.4% (1,019 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average and broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Junortoun is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Junortoun, as per the findings, exhibited below-average cultural diversity. The population was predominantly Australian-born, with 90.9%, and citizens, with 93.9%. English was the language spoken primarily at home by 95.5% of residents.

Christianity emerged as the leading religion in Junortoun, accounting for 56.1% of its inhabitants, which is notably higher than None% recorded across Rest of Vic.. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (31.4%), English (31.3%), and Irish (12.1%). Notably, Scottish ancestry was disproportionately high in Junortoun at 9.4%, compared to None% regionally. Similarly, Hungarian ancestry was present at 0.3%, and New Zealand ancestry at 0.7%, both not typically represented in the broader regional context.

Junortoun hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Junortoun has a median age of 43, matching the figure for Rest of Vic and exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile indicates that residents aged 5-14 are notably prominent at 14.7%, while those aged 25-34 comprise a smaller proportion (6.5%) compared to Rest of Vic. Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 11.2% to 12.1%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 5-14 has decreased from 16.1% to 14.7%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Junortoun's age structure, with the 45-54 group expected to grow by 50%, reaching a total of 1,031 people from its current figure of 685.