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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Long Gully has an estimated 3,309 residents, down from 3,420 at the 2021 Census — a change of 111 people, or 3.2%. The population has thinned by an average 1.1% a year over five years, slower than 98% of areas nationally. That puts 951 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations integrating broader ABS demographic updates alongside post-Census address validations, the suburb of Long Gully has an estimated resident count of approximately 3,309 as of Aug 2026. This represents a contraction of 111 people (3.2%) compared to the 2021 Census tally of 3,420 people. This adjustment stems from an ERP baseline of 3,273 determined by AreaSearch following the ABS June 2025 release, combined with 27 validated new addresses identified after the Census date. Consequently, the suburb of Long Gully maintains a density of 950 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with benchmarks across AreaSearch assessed territories.
Inbound overseas migration served as the primary demographic driver, accounting for virtually all recent local population additions. Forward-looking demographic modeling by AreaSearch incorporates 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 projections based on 2022 benchmarks. Where SA2 coverage is absent, figures utilize 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA datasets adjusted through weighted growth aggregation down to SA2 boundaries, with age-cohort growth trajectories applied across all regions for 2032 to 2041. Based on these aggregated SA2 projections, the suburb of Long Gully is slated for demographic gains outpacing median Australian non-metropolitan rates, expanding by 420 persons by 2041 to deliver an overall growth of 11.6% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Residential building activity in Long Gully remains constrained, registering an average of 1 approvals per year, totaling 8 dwellings over the five-year period. Such subdued construction volumes align with non-urban settings where moderate dwelling requirements and local infrastructure capacity naturally curb construction output. Given these minimal approval totals, annual rates and comparisons are subject to significant fluctuation based on standalone initiatives. Construction levels across Long Gully track well below figures recorded in Rest of Vic., with local building activity also trailing national benchmarks. Long Gully is projected to add 384 residents by 2041 according to the most recent AreaSearch quarterly release.
Should the present pace of construction persist, residential building volumes could fall short of demographic expansion, creating heightened buyer competition and upward pricing pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Long Gully
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Long Gully, worth an estimated $110 million. A further 50 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $2.4 billion. 20 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, education & training and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local economic and social outcomes are substantially shaped by surrounding civic planning and public investments. AreaSearch has highlighted 4 major projects positioned to influence the district, highlighted by the Bendigo Stadium and Showgrounds Redevelopment, the Water and Sewer Network Program, the Regional Sports Infrastructure Program - Bendigo, and the La Trobe University Bendigo Campus Transformation.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Bendigo Stadium and Bendigo Showgrounds Redevelopment
Two of the three projects in the Victorian Government's Bendigo Sports Package, delivered by Development Victoria on behalf of Sport and Recreation Victoria under the Regional Sports Infrastructure Program. Construction commenced at both venues in September 2025 and is due for completion in late 2026. At Bendigo Stadium (Red Energy Arena, 91 Inglis Street, West Bendigo), Fairbrother Pty Ltd is delivering a new two-court indoor annex with amenities and a second community entry, accessibility refurbishment of existing courts 9 and 10, an upgrade to the Sky Lounge and tournament office, a solar installation and backup generator, water reuse and energy-efficient systems, and car park and pedestrian access improvements.New 200-lux lighting across the 12 outdoor netball courts was completed and switched on in March 2026, ahead of the Central Victorian Netball Association season. At Bendigo Showgrounds (42-72 Holmes Road, North Bendigo), AW Nicholson is delivering a new multipurpose pavilion and function centre with 500-seat capacity and additional market sites, a re-levelled and resurfaced grass arena with upgraded drainage and new LED light poles relocated to the arena edge, new perimeter and security fencing, upgrades to all four entrances including a new pedestrian entry and ticket box at Gate 1, new asphalt trafficable surfacing for parking and stall areas, and additional seating, lighting and landscaping. The showgrounds component is funded at approximately 19.1 million dollars and remains open to the public throughout construction. Design was led by City Collective with Bendigo-based RMG Civil & Structural Engineers and Trident Building Surveyors. Both venues were originally slated to host 2026 Commonwealth Games events before the Victorian Games program was cancelled in July 2023. Delivery partners include the City of Greater Bendigo, Bendigo Stadium Limited and the Bendigo Agricultural Show Society.
Regional Sports Infrastructure Program - Bendigo
The Bendigo Sports Package is a major revitalization of three key sporting precincts. The Bendigo Stadium upgrade features a new 2-court annex, refurbishment of courts 9 and 10, and sustainability upgrades including solar panels. The Bendigo Showgrounds works include a new 500-seat multipurpose pavilion (the Showgrounds Function Centre), arena redevelopment with improved drainage, and perimeter fencing. The Bendigo Bowls and Croquet Clubs are receiving 4 refurbished bowls greens, 2 compliant croquet lawns, and a major clubhouse upgrade.These projects aim to boost regional tourism and community participation.
Water and Sewer Network Program
A major program to renew and upgrade critical water and sewer infrastructure across the Coliban Water region. Key 2026 activities include routine water mains cleaning via air scouring in Maiden Gully and Bendigo Central, and significant upgrades to the Cohuna Water Treatment Plant. The program also encompasses the Coliban Rural Water Efficiency Project, a $160 million initiative to modernize gold rush-era open channels with piped networks to reduce water loss by up to 79%. The Maiden Gully to Marong pipeline, a 17km critical link, is a centerpiece of this 'Big Water Build' to support regional population growth.
Bendigo Art Gallery Redevelopment
The largest civic infrastructure project by the City of Greater Bendigo, this $45M redevelopment includes a second-level blockbuster exhibition space, an innovative learning centre, a 100-seat theatre, and a Traditional Owner Place of Keeping for Dja Dja Wurrung cultural materials. Construction officially commenced in February 2026, aimed at increasing gallery capacity and regional tourism impact by an estimated $35M annually.
La Trobe University Bendigo Campus Transformation
Completed campus upgrade delivering a new four-storey Engineering and Technology Building (opened March 2019) with Bendigo Tech School on level 3, an expanded Library & Student Union building, new entry plaza and improved campus circulation. Facilities include flexible teaching spaces, research laboratories, advanced manufacturing and technology equipment.
Barrell Street Childcare Centre
Single-storey childcare centre for up to 110 children across four rooms, including demolition of the existing dwelling, outdoor play areas and a minor reduction in on-site car parking. City of Greater Bendigo issued a Notice of Decision to Grant a Permit on March 17, 2025 subject to conditions.
California Gully Oval Upgrade
Upgrades proposed to facilities at California Gully Recreation Reserve (California Gully Oval) to increase community use for sport and recreation, supporting the Eaglehawk Junior Football Club and the California Gully Cricket Club. The reserve currently includes an AFL/cricket oval, cricket training nets, a pavilion with two changerooms, a kiosk, and a playspace.
Poplar Street Townhouse Development
Permit approved 32 lot subdivision with 32 townhouse dwellings on an 8,878 m2 site in the General Residential Zone. Site servicing and ground works appear completed. The parcel is currently for sale with Ray White Bendigo and Savills, seeking a developer to deliver the townhouses.
1,219 residents of Long Gully are employed, from a labour force of 1,350. Unemployment sits at 9.7%, with participation at 50.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 3,903, about 118% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
A balanced mix of blue-collar and white-collar roles characterizes Long Gully's workforce, supported by solid representation across vital service sectors. Regional aggregation by AreaSearch indicates a 9.7% unemployment rate and annual job growth of 1.8%. By March 2026, employed locals numbered 1,219, yet joblessness sits 6.0% above the 3.7% recorded across Regional Vic., while labor participation of 50.3% falls well short of the wider regional mark of 61.1%. Remote work was reported by a modest 10.4% of residents at the Census, though prevailing Covid-19 restrictions provide context. Health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing constitute the primary employment sectors for local residents.
The workforce displays an exceptional concentration in health care & social assistance, capturing an employment share 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 1.5% of jobs locally against 7.5% regionally. A Census ratio of 0.8 workers per resident demonstrates an above-average volume of local employment opportunities. Broader statistical synthesis of ABS and SALM metrics by AreaSearch indicates that over the 12-month period, local employment expanded by 1.8% while the labor pool contracted by 0.1%, yielding a 1.7 percentage point drop in unemployment. In comparison, Regional Vic. recorded a 0.1% decline in jobs alongside a 0.3% drop in the labor force, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. Longer-term occupational trajectories are informed by national Jobs and Skills Australia Mar-26 projections across five and ten-year horizons mapped to local industry structures. Nationally, employment is projected to expand 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, though industry variations exist. Extrapolating these national industry trends across Long Gully's specific sectoral distribution indicates local employment growth potential of 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (representing a baseline weighted calculation without localized population adjustments).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Long Gully is $989 a week (about $51,000 a year), with median personal income at $575 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $38,218 a year against an average of $49,989. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxpayer income across the suburb of Long Gully trails the nationwide benchmark according to AreaSearch aggregations of ATO statistics for financial year 2023. Median taxpayer earnings stand at $38,218 with an average of $49,989, trailing Regional Vic.'s corresponding marks of $50,954 and $62,728. Factoring in 9.62% growth in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 yields estimated values of $41,895 (median) and $54,798 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census places local personal, family, and household earnings between the 3rd and 9th percentiles nationwide. The prevailing weekly income bracket encompasses 29.9% of earners at $800 - 1,499 (989 residents), contrasting with Regional Vic.
where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.3%. Severe affordability constraints leave residents with 81.8% of income after housing expenses, sitting at the 4th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Long Gully had 1,388 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 2% apartments. 27% are owned with a mortgage, 44% rented and 29% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $250 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,117 a month. Rent absorbs 25.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 26.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records show that standalone separate houses comprised 91.8% of Long Gully's housing stock, with semi-detached dwellings, apartments, and other housing formats representing 8.1%, compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings across Regional Vic.. Full home ownership lagged broader regional patterns at 28.8%, with the balance occupied via mortgages (26.9%) or rented (44.4%). Typical monthly mortgage repayments settled at $1,117, substantially under the Regional Vic. benchmark of $1,430 and national average of $1,863. Similarly, median weekly rents were $250, compared with $285 in Regional Vic. and $375 nationwide.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Long Gully counted 1,388 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.2 people each. 17% are couples with children, fewer than in 93% of areas nationally, against 21% couples without children. 36% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 59.1% of all households, consisting of couples without children (21.2%), single parent families (19.3%), and couples with children (16.7%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 40.9%, led by lone person households at 36.3% alongside group households at 4.4%. Typical household occupancy averages 2.2 people, slightly under the Regional Vic. standard of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.2% of adults in Long Gully hold a university qualification, including 10.4% with a bachelor degree and 2.4% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 29.5% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 135 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 951 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels present ongoing hurdles, as university qualification rates of 15.2% fall well behind the 33.4% recorded across VIC. Attainment is led by bachelor degrees at 10.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Technical and trade accreditations are prominent, with 38.9% of those aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, divided between advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (29.5%). Formal study participation is strong, with 31.1% of the population engaged in education. Enrollment divides into primary schooling at 10.9%, secondary education at 8.1%, and higher tertiary studies at 3.6%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Long Gully reaches 15 stops on 6 routes, timetabled for about 1,600 services a week. The typical home sits about 270 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Long Gully encompasses 15 operational transport stops across 6 distinct routes, delivering 1,647 weekly passenger trips. Service access is favorable, with residents averaging 273 meters to their closest transit facility. Outward commuting patterns prevail, with private vehicles accounting for 92% of journeys. Vehicle ownership registers at 1.2 per dwelling, below regional norms, while 10.4% worked remotely at the 2021 Census amid prevailing pandemic settings. Transit service schedules maintain an average of 235 trips per day across the network, translating to roughly 109 weekly trips per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
54.4% of residents in Long Gully report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 95% of areas nationally. 10.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health analyses by AreaSearch reveal pronounced wellness challenges in Long Gully across varied age demographics, reflected in elevated mortality and chronic illness rates. Furthermore, private health insurance coverage is notably restricted, held by approximately 47% of residents (~1,545 people), lagging both the Regional Vic. rate of 50.5% and the Australian figure of 55.7%. Mental health conditions and arthritis represent the most prevalent diagnoses, affecting 14.6 and 11.0% of the community respectively, with 54.4% reporting no diagnosed medical conditions compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Chronic ailments are notably elevated among working-age locals.
Residents aged 65 and over comprise 20.4% of the population (675 people), below the 24.0% regional proportion, exhibiting health indicators generally aligned with national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Long Gully is largely Australian-born, at 89.3% of residents, with 7.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (31.2%) and English (30.9%). 3.1% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics in Long Gully sit beneath broader averages, with Australian-born citizens comprising 89.3% and 85.2% of residents respectively, while 92.1% speak exclusively English at home. Christianity constitutes the leading religious affiliation at 37.7% of the populace. Notably, Buddhism exhibits distinct overrepresentation at 3.6%, compared with 1.0% across Regional Vic.. Ancestry records reflect predominant Australian (31.2%), English (30.9%), and Irish (9.4%) backgrounds. Other notable representations include Scottish ancestry at 8.1% (vs 8.8% regionally), Australian Aboriginal heritage at 3.1% (vs 1.4% regionally), and Dutch lineage at 1.4% (vs 1.7% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Long Gully is 38. 27.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic profile of Long Gully is comparatively younger than Regional Vic. at upper cohorts. As of August 2026 estimates, young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) account for 29.0% of the population versus 23.1% regionally, while retiree and senior cohorts (65+) represent 20.4% compared to 24.0% regionally. The estimated median age of 38 matches the 2021 Census baseline, trailing the Regional Vic. median of 43 by 5 years. Since the Census, the 25 - 44 bracket increased from 25.9% to 29.0%. Projections to 2041 indicate this cohort will see the strongest expansion, rising by 337 residents (35%) to reach 1,297, whereas middle-aged, young retiree, and senior groups are slated to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Long Gully
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 27 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,420 at the 2021 Census → 3,309 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21534). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.