Strathdale

An assessment of population growth drivers in Strathdale reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Strathdale statistical area (Lv2) is around 5,742, reflecting a decrease of 14 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,756. This change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 5,656 based on AreaSearch's examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 1,631 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth in recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the Strathdale (SA2) is projected to expand by 1,031 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 17.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Strathdale, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Strathdale averaged approximately 17 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 85 homes. As of FY26, 5 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.4 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25. This suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially driving population growth beyond current expectations.

The average value of new properties under construction is $437,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. In FY26, commercial approvals totalled $6.2 million, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Strathdale has shown substantially reduced construction activity, with 59.0% fewer approvals per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. Similarly, construction activity is below the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New development in Strathdale consists of 62.0% detached houses and 38.0% attached dwellings, expanding medium-density options and creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets.

This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 88.0% houses, possibly due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The location has approximately 337 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Population forecasts suggest Strathdale will gain 1,017 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and driving price growth.

Strathdale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to impact this area. Key projects are Marnie Place Estate, Kennington Reservoir Dam Wall Rehabilitation (Flora Hill), and Water and Sewer Network Program.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Strathdale exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Strathdale has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.0%, lower than the Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.5%. As of September 2025, 2,656 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.8% below the state average and workforce participation similar to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The area specializes in health care & social assistance, employing 1.3 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.6% of local workers compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on Census data comparison. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 2.5%, while the labour force rose by 2.6%, causing unemployment to rise slightly. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., where employment contracted by 0.7% and unemployment rose marginally. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Strathdale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Strathdale had a median income among taxpayers of $52,574 and an average of $68,768. These figures are slightly above the national averages of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively in Rest of Vic. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $56,911 (median) and $74,441 (average). Census data reveals household, family, and personal incomes in Strathdale rank modestly between the 37th and 47th percentiles. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 30.0% of the community (1,722 individuals), consistent with broader trends across the region showing 30.3% in the same category. Housing costs are manageable with 88.5% retained, but disposable income sits below average at the 42nd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Strathdale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Strathdale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.5% houses and 12.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Strathdale stood at 46.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.4% and rented ones at 25.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,408. Median weekly rent in Strathdale was $300, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $295. Nationally, Strathdale's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 versus Australia's $1,863, and rents were lower at $300 compared to the national figure of $375.

Strathdale features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.4% of all households, including 25.6% couples with children, 30.6% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.6%, with lone person households at 30.4% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Strathdale demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 29.9%, exceeding the Rest of Vic average of 21.7%. This rate reflects a community emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (4.8%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 33.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications.

This includes advanced diplomas (12.4%) and certificates (20.8%). Educational participation is high at 26.5%, with 9.6% enrolled in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Strathdale has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by five different routes that together facilitate 743 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents on average being located 244 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 106 trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 29 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Strathdale is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Strathdale faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 54% (~3,101 people) have private health cover, compared to 50.4% in the rest of Victoria.

The most frequent medical issues are arthritis (11.3%) and mental health problems (9.2%). Around 62.1% report no medical ailments, similar to the 62.0% in the rest of Victoria. Strathdale has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.5% (1,406 people), compared to 18.9% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, outperforming general population health metrics.

Strathdale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Strathdale's cultural diversity was below average, with 89.2% born in Australia, 91.4% being citizens, and 93.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion at 52.6%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to 0.1% regionally.

Top ancestry groups were English (32.0%), Australian (28.2%), and Irish (11.5%). Notable divergences included Scottish (9.1% vs regional 8.7%), Sri Lankan (0.3% vs 0.1%), and Korean (0.2% vs 0.1%).

Strathdale hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Strathdale's median age of 45 years is modestly higher than Rest of Vic.'s 43 years, which is considerably older than the national norm of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of Vic. average, Strathdale has a notably over-represented cohort of 65-74 year-olds (13.6% locally), while the 55-64 age group is under-represented (12.6%). Between 2021 and present, the population of 25 to 34 year-olds has grown from 10.0% to 11.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age cohort has decreased from 12.7% to 11.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Strathdale's age profile will evolve significantly. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 408 people (60%), from 677 to 1,086. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 65 to 74 and 55 to 64 cohorts.