Flora Hill - Spring Gully

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flora Hill - Spring Gully reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Flora Hill - Spring Gully's population is approximately 9,602 as of Feb 2026. This figure represents an increase of 165 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,437. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 9,566 in June 2024 and an additional 29 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 727 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by 2,364 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 24.2% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Flora Hill - Spring Gully according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Flora Hill - Spring Gully has seen approximately 36 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 182 homes. Up to FY-26, 54 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.1 new residents per year arrived for each new home between FY-21 and FY-25. The average construction value of new properties was $304,000.

In FY-26, there were approximately $9.9 million in commercial approvals. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Flora Hill - Spring Gully has about half the construction activity per person and ranks at the 57th percentile nationally. Recent construction comprised 60% detached dwellings and 40% attached dwellings. This indicates a shift from existing housing patterns, which were 85% houses.

The area has approximately 332 people per dwelling approval, suggesting a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Flora Hill - Spring Gully is projected to gain 2,328 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth.

Flora Hill - Spring Gully has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that may impact the area. Key projects include Flora Hill, Burnayi Lurnayi Flora Hill, Spring Hill Estate, and Regional Housing Fund (Victoria). The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Flora Hill - Spring Gully remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Flora Hill - Spring Gully has an educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.1% as of September 2025, lower than the Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Employment grew by 2.7% over the past year.

There are 4,955 employed residents currently, with a workforce participation rate of 64.0%, slightly higher than Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. Approximately 18.5% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade, with notable concentration in healthcare (130% of regional average). However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 0.7%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on Census data. In the past year, employment increased by 2.7%, while labour force grew by 2.8%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. Meanwhile, Rest of Vic. saw employment decline by 0.7% and labour force decrease by 0.6%. Job forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flora Hill - Spring Gully's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.8% in five years and 14.2% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Flora Hill - Spring Gully SA2 has an income median of $53,657 and an average income of $66,653. This is slightly below the national average. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s figures are a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Flora Hill - Spring Gully SA2 would be approximately $58,084 (median) and $72,152 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family and personal incomes in Flora Hill - Spring Gully SA2 rank modestly, between the 33rd and 42nd percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 32.8% of locals (3,149 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, reflecting a pattern seen in the broader area where 30.3% similarly occupy this range. After housing expenses, 86.0% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Flora Hill - Spring Gully is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Flora Hill - Spring Gully, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.9% houses and 15.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro Vic., which had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Flora Hill - Spring Gully was at 32.7%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (29.9%) or rented (37.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,399, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $290, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Flora Hill - Spring Gully's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Flora Hill - Spring Gully features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 61.3% of all households, including 22.9% couples with children, 23.5% couples without children, and 13.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 38.7%, with lone person households at 33.5% and group households comprising 5.2%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Flora Hill - Spring Gully exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 31.3%, exceeding the Rest of Vic average of 21.7%. This rate reflects the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 20.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Trade and technical skills are also prominent, with 33.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 21.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.8% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 8.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 64 active transport stops operating within Flora Hill - Spring Gully. These stops are served by 12 individual routes, collectively providing 2,268 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 209 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward, with car remaining the dominant mode at 90%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, some 18.5% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 324 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Flora Hill - Spring Gully is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Flora Hill - Spring Gully faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment as of April 2021.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover was approximately 52% of the total population, which is slightly lower than the average SA2 area (~5,002 people). The most common medical conditions in the area were mental health issues and asthma, impacting 12.4 and 9.3% of residents respectively, while 62.7% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Rest of Vic.. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. As of June 2020, the area has 16.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,577 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population as of March 2021.

Flora Hill - Spring Gully is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Flora Hill-Spring Gully, as of the 2016 Census, had a cultural diversity index below average. Its population was predominantly Australian-born citizens: 90.5% were citizens, 89.6% born in Australia, and 92.9% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, with 41.4% of people identifying as Christian.

Notably, Buddhism was slightly overrepresented compared to the rest of Victoria, comprising 1.6% versus 1.0%. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.1%), Australian (27.5%), and Irish (12.2%). Some ethnic groups had notable representation: Scottish at 9.5%, German at 3.6%, and Sri Lankan at 0.2%, compared to regional averages of 8.8%, 3.5%, and 0.1% respectively.

Flora Hill - Spring Gully's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Flora Hill - Spring Gully as of 2021 was 37 years, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 43 and close to Australia's national average of 38. The age profile showed that individuals aged 25-34 were most prominent at 17.2%, while those aged 65-74 were relatively smaller at 8.8%. Between 2016 and 2021, the median age decreased by 1.2 years, indicating a shift towards a younger demographic. During this period, the proportion of individuals aged 25 to 34 increased from 13.3% to 17.2%, while those aged 15 to 24 rose from 15.6% to 17.2%. Conversely, the proportion of individuals aged 5 to 14 decreased from 12.3% to 10.4%, and those aged 45 to 54 dropped from 11.9% to 10.1%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes in Flora Hill - Spring Gully, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 67% (1,107 people), reaching 2,764 from 1,656. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 cohort is expected to decline by 29 people.