Kangaroo Flat (Vic.)

Population growth drivers in Kangaroo Flat are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Kangaroo Flat, Victoria, is estimated to be around 11,109 as of May 2026. This figure reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census count of 11,328 people, indicating a decline of 219 individuals (1.9%). The current population estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025, which resulted in an estimated resident population of 11,083. Additionally, 55 new addresses were validated since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 612 persons per square kilometer for Kangaroo Flat.

Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth in recent periods for the suburb. AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 for areas not covered by this data, adjusting with weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Kangaroo Flat is forecasted to experience a significant population increase in line with other top quartile regional areas in Australia. By 2041, the suburb's population is expected to rise by 2,729 persons, reflecting an overall increase of 24.3% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Kangaroo Flat recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Kangaroo Flat shows an average of 72 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 362 homes from FY-18 to FY-22. By FY-26, 14 approvals have been recorded so far. The average number of people moving to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 is 0.9, indicating that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand.

This offers ample buyer choice and creates capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average value of new homes being built is $382,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. In FY-26, $9.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. Comparatively, Kangaroo Flat has 10.0% less new development per person than the Rest of Vic., and it places among the 48th percentile of areas assessed nationally.

This suggests somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established properties. New building activity shows 61.0% standalone homes and 39.0% medium and high-density housing, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 90.0% houses). The estimated count of 345 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Population forecasts indicate Kangaroo Flat will gain 2,703 residents through to 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Development is keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Kangaroo Flat has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 16 projects potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Kangaroo Flat Lifestyle Estate Expansion, Kangaroo Flat Skate Park, Kangaroo Rise Estate, and Kangaroo Flat Mine Site Rehabilitation. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kangaroo Flat has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Kangaroo Flat has a balanced workforce with representation across white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services. The unemployment rate is 5.0% and employment growth over the past year is estimated at 0.6%.

As of December 2025, 4807 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 1.3% above Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation in Kangaroo Flat is lower at 54.1%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. Home-based work is low, at 11.9%. Dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing.

Manufacturing is particularly strong with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 1.7% compared to 7.5% regionally. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 0.6%, labour force by 0.9%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. saw employment decline of 0.6% and labour force decline of 0.7%, with a 0.1 percentage point drop in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand trends for Kangaroo Flat. National employment is forecast to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Kangaroo Flat's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Kangaroo Flat had a median taxpayer income of $45,202 and an average income of $52,547 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures are below the national averages for median ($50,954) and average incomes ($62,728). By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $49,550 (median) and $57,602 (average), based on a 9.62% growth rate since financial year 2023. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Kangaroo Flat fall between the 9th and 17th percentiles nationally. Income analysis shows that 28.9% of Kangaroo Flat's population (3,210 individuals) earn within the $800 - $1,499 range, unlike metropolitan regions where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 30.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Kangaroo Flat, with only 84.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 11th percentile.

Kangaroo Flat is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kangaroo Flat's dwelling structure in 2016 comprised 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings. Regionally, Vic.'s figures were 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kangaroo Flat was 39.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.3% and rented ones at 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent was $285, aligning with Vic.'s figure. Nationally, Kangaroo Flat's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,300 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $285 compared to the national figure of $375.

Kangaroo Flat features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.2% of all households, including 21.1% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 13.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 37.8%, with lone person households at 34.7% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Kangaroo Flat fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.2%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (29.1%). Educational participation is high at 26.3%, with 9.5% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 69 active transport stops operating within Kangaroo Flat. These include a mix of train services. Eleven individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 1,629 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 253 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 94%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 11.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 232 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kangaroo Flat is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Kangaroo Flat faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A variety of health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, with approximately 48% coverage (~5,297 people), compared to Regional Vic.'s 50.5% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.4%) and mental health issues (11.4%), while 55.4% report no medical ailments, compared to Regional Vic.'s 63.4%. Working-age residents face notable health challenges with high chronic condition rates. The area has 26.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,921 people), higher than Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Kangaroo Flat ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kangaroo Flat showed lower cultural diversity, with 88.6% citizens, 88.1% born in Australia, and 91.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 47.4%. The most significant deviation was 'Other', at 1.2%, compared to Regional Vic's 0.8%.

Top ancestry groups were English (33.8%), Australian (30.1%), and Irish (8.3%). Notable differences included Scottish (8.3% vs regional 8.8%), Macedonian (0.1% vs 0.2%), and Welsh (0.5% vs 0.4%).

Kangaroo Flat hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Kangaroo Flat has a median age of 43 years, matching Regional Vic.'s figure and exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile reveals that those aged 25-34 are notably prominent at 13.9%, while the 55-64 age group is relatively smaller at 10.6% compared to Regional Vic.. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35-44 age group has increased from 11.2% to 13.0%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has decreased from 11.8% to 10.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Kangaroo Flat's age structure. The 25-34 group is projected to grow by 51%, adding 794 people and reaching a total of 2,339 from the current 1,544. In contrast, the 55-64 cohort shows minimal growth of just 1%, increasing by only 7 people.