Kangaroo Flat (Vic.)

Population growth drivers in Kangaroo Flat are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the population of Kangaroo Flat (Vic.) statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 12,053 people. This reflects an increase of 725 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,328 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population as 11,397 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), and an additional 37 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 664 persons per square kilometer. Kangaroo Flat's growth rate of 6.4% since the census positions it within 1.5 percentage points of its SA4 region (7.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the Kangaroo Flat (Vic.) (SA2) is forecasted to expand by 2,868 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 19.6% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Kangaroo Flat recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Kangaroo Flat saw around 73 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 366 homes were approved, with another 6 approved in FY-26 so far. This results in an average of 1.1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

The average construction value of new properties is $382,000, slightly above the regional average. In FY-26, $9.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating Kangaroo Flat's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Vic., Kangaroo Flat has 10.0% less building activity per person but places among the 49th percentile nationally, suggesting limited buyer options and strengthening demand for established dwellings. Recent construction consists of 63.0% standalone homes and 37.0% attached dwellings, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments to cater to different price points.

This is a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (90.0%). Kangaroo Flat has approximately 329 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Kangaroo Flat's population will grow by 2,366 residents. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Kangaroo Flat has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 16 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Kangaroo Flat Lifestyle Estate Expansion, Kangaroo Flat Skate Park, Kangaroo Rise Estate, and Kangaroo Flat Mine Site Rehabilitation. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Kangaroo Flat has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Kangaroo Flat has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue-collar jobs. Key sectors include essential services, with an unemployment rate of 5.0% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.0%. The area's unemployment rate is 1.3% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%, and workforce participation stands at 50.5%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Resident employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a strong specialization in manufacturing (1.7 times the regional level). Agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, at 1.7% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.0%, while labour force grew by 2.8%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with a state unemployment rate of 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Kangaroo Flat's employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Kangaroo Flat's median income among taxpayers was $45,202 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $52,547 during the same period. These figures are lower than those for Rest of Vic., which were $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest Kangaroo Flat's median income will be approximately $48,931, with an average income of around $56,882, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Kangaroo Flat fall between the 9th and 17th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Incomes ranging from $800 to $1,499 accounted for 28.9% of the community (3,483 individuals), unlike metropolitan patterns where incomes between $1,500 and $2,999 dominate at 30.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Kangaroo Flat, with only 84.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 11th percentile nationally.

Kangaroo Flat is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kangaroo Flat's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kangaroo Flat stood at 39.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.3% and rented ones at 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,408. Median weekly rent in Kangaroo Flat was $285, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $295. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863 and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kangaroo Flat features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.2% of all households, including 21.1% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 13.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 37.8%, with lone person households at 34.7% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Kangaroo Flat fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.2%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 29.1%. Educational participation is high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.5% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kangaroo Flat has 69 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 11 different routes that together facilitate 1,629 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents on average being 253 meters from the nearest stop.

Services run at an average frequency of 232 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kangaroo Flat is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Kangaroo Flat faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. The private health cover rate is low at approximately 48%, covering around 5,748 people, compared to Victoria's overall rate of 50.4%. Nationally, the average private health cover stands at 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.4%) and mental health issues (11.4%). Around 55.4% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 62.0% in the rest of Victoria. Kangaroo Flat has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 25.7%, with approximately 3,097 people falling into this age category, compared to 18.9% across the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Kangaroo Flat ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kangaroo Flat had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 88.6% of its population being Australian citizens, 88.1% born in Australia, and 91.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 47.4% of Kangaroo Flat's population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 1.2%, higher than the 0.7% average across Victoria.

The top three ancestry groups were English (33.8%), Australian (30.1%), and Irish (8.3%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Scottish was overrepresented at 8.3% compared to 8.7% regionally, Macedonian was present at 0.1% versus 0%, and Welsh at 0.5% versus 0.4%.

Kangaroo Flat hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Kangaroo Flat's median age is 43, matching Rest of Vic.'s figure and exceeding Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows a prominent group of 25-34 year-olds (14.0%) and a comparatively smaller group of 55-64 year-olds (10.7%), compared to Rest of Vic.. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35-44 age group has increased from 11.2% to 12.7%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has decreased from 11.8% to 10.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Kangaroo Flat's age structure. Notably, the 25-34 group is projected to grow by 51%, reaching 2,542 people from its current total of 1,687. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 75-84 and 55-64 cohorts.