Kangaroo Flat (Vic.)

Population growth drivers in Kangaroo Flat are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Kangaroo Flat (Vic.) is around 12,074, reflecting an increase of 746 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 6.6% increase from the previous population count of 11,328. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 11,397, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 38 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 665 persons per square kilometer. Kangaroo Flat's growth rate of 6.6% since the census is within 1.4 percentage points of the SA4 region's growth rate of 8.0%. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch projections for Kangaroo Flat are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024, with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Kangaroo Flat's population is forecasted to increase by 2,861 persons, reflecting a total increase of 19.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Kangaroo Flat recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Kangaroo Flat has seen approximately 73 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 366 homes were approved, with a further 6 approved in FY-26 to date. This results in an average of about 1.1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

The average construction value for new properties is approximately $382,000, slightly above the regional average. In FY-26, $9.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Kangaroo Flat maintains similar construction rates per person relative to Rest of Vic., supporting market stability. Recent construction comprises 63.0% standalone homes and 37.0% attached dwellings, reflecting a growing mix of townhouses and apartments.

This shows a shift from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (90.0%). The location has approximately 329 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kangaroo Flat is expected to grow by 2,327 residents through to 2041. Development appears to be keeping pace with projected growth, though increasing competition among buyers may arise as the population expands.

Kangaroo Flat has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 16 projects likely impacting this area. Notable projects include Kangaroo Flat Lifestyle Estate Expansion, Kangaroo Flat Skate Park, Kangaroo Rise Estate, and Kangaroo Flat Mine Site Rehabilitation. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kangaroo Flat has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Kangaroo Flat has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue-collar jobs, with prominent essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1%. As of September 2025, 5,009 residents were employed, but the unemployment rate was higher at 4.0%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%.

Workforce participation was lower at 55.3% versus Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. Census data showed that only 11.9% of residents worked from home, but Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a strong specialization in manufacturing at 1.7 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employment is under-represented at 1.7% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, while labour force increased by 2.8%, raising the unemployment rate to 4.7%. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw employment decline by 0.7% and labour force decline by 0.6%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kangaroo Flat's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Kangaroo Flat had a lower income level than the national average according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ended June 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Kangaroo Flat was $45,202 and the average income stood at $52,547, compared to figures of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively for the rest of Victoria. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since June 2023, estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $48,931 (median) and $56,882 (average). According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Kangaroo Flat fell between the 9th and 17th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income analysis showed that 28.9% of the community earned between $800 and $1,499 (3,489 individuals), differing from metropolitan patterns where earnings between $1,500 and $2,999 dominated at 30.3%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 84.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 11th percentile nationally.

Kangaroo Flat is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Kangaroo Flat, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 89.7% houses and 10.3% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic.'s dwelling structure was 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kangaroo Flat was 39.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.3% and rented dwellings at 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area, as of 2016 data, was $1,300, while the median weekly rent figure was $285. Nationally, Kangaroo Flat's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kangaroo Flat features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.2% of all households, including 21.1% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 13.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 37.8%, with lone person households at 34.7% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Kangaroo Flat fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.2%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (29.1%). Educational participation is high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.5% in primary, 7.4% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kangaroo Flat has 69 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train services. These stops are served by 11 individual routes, facilitating 1,629 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 253 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Kangaroo Flat's primarily residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transport, used by 94% of residents. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 11.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 232 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 23 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Kangaroo Flat is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Kangaroo Flat faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Several health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 48% of the total population (~5,758 people), compared to 50.5% in Rest of Vic.

and the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.4%) and mental health issues (11.4%), while 55.4% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Rest of Vic. Working-age population health is notably challenged by high chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 25.3%, with 3,054 people, compared to 23.9% in Rest of Vic. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly in line with national rankings.

Kangaroo Flat ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kangaroo Flat showed lower cultural diversity, with 88.6% citizens, 88.1% born in Australia, and 91.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 47.4%. The 'Other' religious category had a higher representation of 1.2%, compared to 0.8% regionally.

For ancestry, the top groups were English (33.8%), Australian (30.1%), and Irish (8.3%). Notably, Scottish (8.3%) was overrepresented compared to regional figures of 8.8%. Macedonian (0.1%) and Welsh (0.5%) also had lower representations than regionally (0.2% and 0.4% respectively).

Kangaroo Flat hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Kangaroo Flat has a median age of 43, matching the Rest of Vic figure and exceeding the national average of 38 years. The age profile indicates that those aged 25-34 are notably prominent (14.5%), while those aged 55-64 comprise a smaller proportion (10.5%) compared to the Rest of Vic. Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 35-44 has grown from 11.2% to 13.2%, while the 25-34 age group has increased from 13.2% to 14.5%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 11.8% to 10.5%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Kangaroo Flat's age structure. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 45%, adding 795 people and reaching a total of 2,546 from the current figure of 1,750. Meanwhile, numbers in the 55-64 age range are projected to fall by 55%.