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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Heathcote has an estimated 5,417 residents, up from 5,062 at the 2021 Census — a change of 355 people, or 7.0%. Growth has averaged 1.9% a year over five years. 120 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 92.4% of that increase. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Heathcote is approximately 5,417 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 355 individuals (7.0%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 5,062 people. This shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 5,382 alongside 120 validated new addresses identified after the Census. The resulting population density is 7.2 persons per square kilometer, indicating a spacious residential environment. Heathcote's 7.0% expansion since the 2021 census outperformed the broader SA4 region (4.0%) as well as the SA3 area, establishing it as a regional growth leader.
This population rise was mostly fueled by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 92.4% of the total population gains in recent times. AreaSearch incorporates projections from the ABS/Geoscience Australia for each SA2 region, published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline. For SA2 regions lacking this dataset, AreaSearch uses the 2023 Victorian State Government Regional/LGA projections, adjusting them via a weighted aggregation of population expansion from the LGA level to the SA2 level. The age group growth rates derived from these aggregations are applied to all locations for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic forecasts point to substantial population gains in the upper quartile of regional Australian locations, with Heathcote projected to add 1,687 residents by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP data, representing a 30.5% expansion over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
210 new dwellings have been approved in Heathcote over the past five years, an average of 42 a year. That places the area in the 66th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 8 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 31 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 100% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 26, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Heathcote averages roughly 42 home construction approvals annually, amounting to 210 residential properties over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 24 approvals have been documented. With an average of 2.3 new residents per dwelling over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, there is consistent demand supporting property values. The average construction value for these new homes is $321,000. Additionally, commercial approvals worth $4.5 million have been registered during this financial year, highlighting the residential focus of the locality. Building activity in Heathcote is moderately higher compared to the Rest of Vic.
average, running 24.0% above the regional average per person over the 5 year period, which maintains choice for buyers while supporting current property values despite a recent softening in development activity. Furthermore, all new residential approvals have been standalone homes, maintaining the low density layout of the area with detached structures drawing buyers looking for extra space. Recording approximately 208 people per dwelling approval, Heathcote exhibits the patterns of a developing area. Looking forward, Heathcote is projected to add 1,652 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. Home building is progressing at a steady rate relative to this anticipated expansion, though buyers may face heightened competition as the population increases.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Heathcote
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Heathcote, worth an estimated $5 million. A further 86 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $4.94 billion. 31 are already under construction and 29 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Changes to infrastructure, major projects, and local planning are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has highlighted 4 projects expected to influence Heathcote. The main developments of relevance include the Heathcote Community Hub Redevelopment, Heathcote Boutique Lots by SIG Group, the Axedale Solar Farm, and the Strathfieldsaye Growth Area.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Heathcote Community Hub Redevelopment
Multi-million dollar redevelopment and expansion of the heritage-listed Heathcote Municipal Office and former Court House to create an integrated community hub. The project features an expanded library with a tech hub, three community meeting spaces, co-working areas, and updated maternal and child health facilities. The design preserves heritage values while significantly improving accessibility and energy efficiency with new landscaping and outdoor community spaces.
Heathcote Boutique Lots (SIG Group)
A boutique residential estate offering 25 exclusive lots in the heart of Heathcote, Victoria, blending country-town living with access to local shops, cafes, schools, and essential services.
Axedale Solar Farm
A 190MW hybrid solar and battery storage project developed by FRV Australia, located on a 365-hectare site approximately 20km east of Bendigo. The facility combines 140MWac of solar PV generation with a 50MW/100MWh battery energy storage system. Once operational, it will supply clean energy to approximately 80,000 Victorian homes with an estimated annual output of 369,459MWh, reducing CO2 emissions by around 200,000 tonnes per year. A planning permit has been secured and construction is targeted to commence in 2025, with AusNet progressing grid connection works via a new 220kV terminal station at Axedale.
Strathfieldsaye Growth Area
A major growth area located approximately 8 km south-east of Bendigo city centre. Under the City of Greater Bendigo's Managed Growth Strategy (adopted September 2024), Strathfieldsaye is identified as one of four priority greenfield growth areas (alongside Huntly, Marong and Maiden Gully) to accommodate 30 per cent of the region's new housing supply. The township's population was estimated at over 7,000 in 2023 and is forecast to reach approximately 12,500 by 2036. Planning framework documents include the Strathfieldsaye Township Plan (2012, revised), the Strathfieldsaye Urban Design Framework (2017), and Planning Scheme Amendment C287gben to implement the Managed Growth Strategy.A new $1.5 million town square on the corner of Apsley Lane and Wellesley Street commenced construction in mid-2024 as part of the Urban Design Framework.
Imagine Estate
Large masterplanned residential community in Strathfieldsaye, on Bendigo's eastern fringe, developed by Villawood Properties across 650 planned dwellings and 300+ lots. Offers large allotments from around 350sqm to over 800sqm in a landscaped setting adjoining Emu Creek, with open space reserves, wetlands, walking and cycling paths, and a central playground. Hosts Regional Victoria's largest display village with more than a dozen builder partners. Located minutes from Strathfieldsaye town centre and around 9km from Bendigo CBD, with a future childcare centre planned within the estate.New land releases (including Stage 22A and the Serene Release) are progressively coming to market, with additional stages expected to be delivered over the coming years.
Bendigo Fields Country Club
Independent living community for over 55s comprising 206 homes with premium facilities including an onsite private golf course, walking tracks, community centre, and bowling green. Stage 1 completed with first residents moved in May 2025, further stages under construction.
Emu Rise Estate
Family-oriented residential land subdivision in Strathfieldsaye along Emu Creek Road, offering 119 lots ranging from 469m2 to 1068m2. The estate features the Barramal Baring Reserve, a $1 million park with a lake, sheltered picnic areas, play spaces, and a multi-purpose netball/basketball court. Stages 1 and 2 are titled and Stage 3a is now selling, with titles expected in Q2 2027. Close to Strathfieldsaye Primary School, St Francis of the Fields Primary School, shops, medical facilities, and under 15 minutes from Bendigo CBD.
Strathfieldsaye Shopping Centre
Existing neighbourhood shopping centre in the heart of Strathfieldsaye's commercial precinct, anchored by Champions IGA Supermarket and Liquor with five specialty shops. JLL's current listing states the asset is under contract and highlights a 1.0 ha Commercial 1 Zoned landholding, dual street exposure, more than 100 m frontage to Wellington Street and 178 at-grade car spaces.
2,237 residents of Heathcote are employed, from a labour force of 2,356. Unemployment sits at 5.1%, with participation at 51.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.8% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 4,952, about 91% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce in Heathcote is balanced between white and blue collar occupations, with notable representation in industrial and manufacturing fields, an unemployment rate of 5.1%, and a yearly job growth estimate of 0.7%. As of March 2026, 2,237 residents are employed, which leaves the unemployment rate 1.4% higher than the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%. Workforce participation is also lower at 51.8% compared to 61.1% across Regional Vic. Census data indicates that a moderate 18.3% of workers operated from home, though this figure may be influenced by Covid-19 restrictions.
The primary employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and manufacturing. The locality exhibits a strong concentration in mining, with its employment share reaching 7.4 times the regional average. Conversely, education & training is less represented, accounting for 6.5% of employment compared to 9.1% across the region. The comparison between the resident workforce and local Census job counts indicates a shortage of local employment opportunities. AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data shows that during the 12 months ending March 2026, the employed population grew by 0.7% and the labour force expanded by 0.8%, leading to a 0.1 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Regional Vic. saw employment shrink by 0.1%, the labor force drop by 0.3%, and the unemployment rate decrease by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia dated May-25 offer additional context on future demand trends in Heathcote. These five and ten-year forecasts have been aligned with the local industry profile to project local growth. Although national employment is predicted to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary by sector. Applying these national industry trends to the Heathcote workforce structure projects local job growth of 5.8% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a basic weighted projection that does not factor in local population adjustments.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Heathcote is $1,115 a week (about $58,000 a year), with median personal income at $556 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $48,644 a year against an average of $59,717. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Tax data from the ATO for the 2023 financial year, analyzed by AreaSearch, indicates that Heathcote SA2 residents earn less than the national average. The median taxpayer income in Heathcote SA2 is $48,644 and the average income is $59,717, compared to Regional Vic. averages of $50,954 and $62,728. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates point to a median income of $53,324 and an average of $65,462 as of March 2026. The 2021 Census places Heathcote family, household, and personal incomes between the 7th and 8th percentiles nationally.
The local earnings profile is dominated by the $400 - 799 weekly income bracket, which contains 28.1% of the population (1,522 individuals), whereas the regional profile is led by the $1,500 - 2,999 range at 30.3%. Despite housing costs being relatively low, leaving residents with 86.8% of their income, total disposable income sits in the 11th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Heathcote had 2,035 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 0% apartments. 36% are owned with a mortgage, 13% rented and 52% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $260 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,387 a month. Rent absorbs 23.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 28.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the last Census, the housing mix in Heathcote was dominated by standalone houses at 96.4%, with other structures like semi-detached properties and apartments making up 3.6%. This compares to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings across Regional Vic. Home ownership in Heathcote was high at 51.7%, with the remaining properties occupied by mortgagors (35.8%) or renters (12.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment was lower than the regional standard at $1,387, and the median weekly rent was $260, compared to Regional Vic. figures of $1,430 and $285. On a national scale, mortgage payments in Heathcote are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are below the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Heathcote counted 2,035 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,178 today, averaging 2.2 people each. 21% are couples with children, fewer than in 85% of areas nationally, against 34% couples without children. 32% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 64.1% of all households, consisting of couples without children at 34.3%, couples with children at 20.5%, and single parent households at 7.8%. The remaining 35.9% are non-family households, which are mostly lone person households at 32.4% along with group households at 3.4%. The median size of households in Heathcote is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
17.2% of adults in Heathcote hold a university qualification, including 11.2% with a bachelor degree and 2.8% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 31.0% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 318 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 994 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The region shows lower rates of higher education, with university qualification levels at 17.2% compared to the VIC average of 33.4%. This highlights a clear area for targeted educational programs. Among those with university degrees, bachelor degrees account for 11.2%, graduate diplomas make up 3.2%, and postgraduate qualifications represent 2.8%. Vocational education is prominent, with 42.5% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 11.5% and certificates at 31.0%. Enrolment rates are high, with 25.8% of the local population engaged in formal studies. This group is distributed between primary school students at 10.5%, secondary school students at 6.9%, and tertiary students at 2.3%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Heathcote means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
An analysis of public transport shows 13 active stops in Heathcote across 4 separate routes, delivering a total of 77 weekly passenger journeys. Accessibility is limited, with residents living an average of 1982 meters from the nearest stop. The area is mostly residential, with 95% of commuters traveling outside the locality using private cars. Car ownership stands at 1.7 vehicles per household, which is above the regional average. Census data from 2021 shows 18.3% of residents working from home, which may reflect pandemic-related conditions. Service frequency is around 11 daily trips across the transit network, which averages out to approximately 5 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
55.4% of residents in Heathcote report no long-term health condition. 8.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 48.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators in Heathcote point to challenges, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality statistics and chronic disease trends across different age groups, alongside a low rate of private health insurance coverage at roughly 49% of the population (~2,648 people) compared to the national benchmark of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent medical issues, affecting 14.7% and 9.7% of the population, respectively. Meanwhile, 55.4% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic. The working-age cohort has a high rate of chronic conditions, and seniors aged 65 and over make up 29.2% of the population (1,583 people), compared to 23.9% across Regional Vic.
Health profiles for local seniors are generally in line with national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Heathcote is largely Australian-born, at 88.0% of residents, with 3.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.0%) and Australian (30.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Heathcote has lower levels of cultural diversity, with citizens making up 86.0% of the population, 88.0% of residents born in Australia, and 96.6% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion at 49.5%, which compares to 47.3% across Regional Vic. English ancestry is claimed by 32.0% of the population, followed by Australian ancestry at 30.2% and Irish ancestry at 11.6%. Some groups show higher representation compared to the wider region, including Scottish ancestry at 9.4% (compared to 8.8% regionally), Maltese at 0.7% (compared to 0.5%), and German at 3.7% (compared to 3.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Heathcote is 52, older than 95% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 15.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 52 years in Heathcote is higher than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and the national average of 38. The 55 - 64 age bracket is highly represented locally at 17.3%, compared to regional levels and the national figure of 11.2%, while the 25 - 34 bracket is lower at 7.3%. Since 2021, the 35 to 44 age cohort increased from 9.2% to 11.3%, whereas the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 13.7% to 11.7%. Population projections to 2041 estimate that the 45 to 54 cohort will grow by 45%, adding 288 residents to reach 922, while the 55 to 64 cohort will expand by 5% (44 people).
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Heathcote
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 120 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (5,062 at the 2021 Census → 5,417 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (202021029). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.