Epsom (Vic.)

Epsom lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Epsom (Vic.) statistical area (Lv2) is around 5,498 people. This reflects a growth of 484 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,014. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 5,072 in June 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 177 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 615 persons per square kilometer. The Epsom (Vic.) (SA2) has shown significant growth since the 2021 census, with a 9.7% increase compared to the SA4 region's 7.9%. Natural growth contributed approximately 43.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, while other factors such as interstate and overseas migration also played positive roles.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the Epsom (Vic.) (SA2) is predicted to experience exceptional growth, expanding by 3,287 persons and recording a total gain of 58.7% over the 17-year period, placing it in the top 10 percent of Australia's regional areas.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Epsom among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Epsom has seen approximately 49 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 248 homes. So far in FY-26, 19 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.9 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating solid demand for property. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $339,000.

In FY-26, there have been $296,000 in commercial approvals registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Epsom has recorded somewhat elevated construction activity, with 38.0% more per person over the past five years. This preserves buyer options while sustaining existing property demand.

All recent developments have been standalone homes, preserving Epsom's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 104 people per dwelling approval, Epsom shows characteristics of a growth area. Population forecasts indicate that Epsom will gain approximately 3,228 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Epsom has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects that could affect the region. Notable ones are Victory Christian College Epsom Campus, Epsom Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Maiden Gully Road/Calder Highway Intersection Upgrade, and Elmwood Epsom. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Epsom exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Epsom has a skilled workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.4% as of September 2025, lower than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.4%. As of September 2025, 2665 residents were in work, with a workforce participation rate of 67.8%, higher than Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. Health care & social assistance has particularly high concentration, with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, at only 1.8% of Epsom's workforce compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4%, labour force by 3.1%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw employment decline of 0.7% and labour force decline of 0.6%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with a state unemployment rate of 4.7%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Epsom's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Epsom's median income among taxpayers is $53,886. The average income in the suburb is $65,581. Nationally, incomes are higher with a median of $64,791 and an average of $85,860. Compared to Rest of Vic., Epsom's median income is slightly higher at $50,954 but the average is lower at $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $58,332 (median) and $70,991 (average). Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Epsom rank modestly between the 47th and 52nd percentiles. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 40.7% of the community (2,237 individuals). After housing costs, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Epsom is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Epsom's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 95.5% houses and 4.5% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Epsom was at 26.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.2% and rented ones at 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,473, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,408. Median weekly rent in Epsom was $340, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $295. Nationally, Epsom's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,473 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $340 compared to the national figure of $375.

Epsom has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 75.9% of all households, including 35.7% couples with children, 25.9% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.1%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Epsom fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.0%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (28.6%). Educational participation is high, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 12.4% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 3.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.4% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 43 active transport stops operating within Epsom. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. They are serviced by 10 individual routes, collectively providing 1,101 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 287 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 157 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Epsom is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Epsom faces significant health challenges with common health conditions being somewhat prevalent across all age groups but to a higher degree among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 53%, which is slightly higher than the average SA2 area and impacts around 2,901 people.

This compares to a rate of 50.4% in the rest of Victoria. Mental health issues affect 10.2% of residents, while asthma impacts 9.8%. A total of 67.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 62.0% in the rest of Victoria. The area has 13.0% of residents aged 65 and over, which is around 714 people, lower than the 18.9% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Epsom ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Epsom's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 88.0% of its population born in Australia, 91.7% being citizens, and 88.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Epsom, comprising 44.5% of people. The most notable overrepresentation was seen in the 'Other' category, which made up 0.8% of the population compared to 0.7% across Rest of Vic.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups in Epsom were Australian (32.2%), English (30.0%), and Irish (9.1%). There were notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Indian was overrepresented at 2.2%, Maltese at 0.4%, and Samoan at 0.1%.

Epsom hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Epsom is 32 years, which is notably lower than Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 and also substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Rest of Vic., Epsom has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (17.0%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (8.2%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 35-44 grew from 14.4% to 16.2%, while the population aged 45-54 declined from 11.0% to 9.8%. By 2041, Epsom is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition, with the 25-34 group projected to grow by 89% (833 people), reaching a total of 1,768 from 934.