Epsom (Vic.)

Epsom lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Epsom (Vic.) is around 5,498, reflecting an increase of 484 people since the 2021 Census. The population in 2021 was reported as 5,014 people. This increase represents a growth rate of 9.7%. AreaSearch estimated the resident population at 5,072 following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 615 persons per square kilometer. Epsom's growth rate exceeded both the SA4 region (8.0%) and the Rest of Vic., making it a growth leader in the region.

Natural growth contributed approximately 43.0% to overall population gains, with other factors such as interstate migration also positive contributors. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024, based on 2022 data. For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Projected demographic shifts indicate exceptional growth, placing Epsom in the top 10 percent of regional areas nationally. By 2041, the suburb is expected to increase by 2,678 persons, reflecting a total increase of 41.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Epsom among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates that Epsom has averaged approximately 49 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 245 homes. As of FY-26, 22 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 has resulted in around 2.9 new residents annually, suggesting healthy demand which may support property values. The average construction cost value for new homes is approximately $337,000.

This financial year, there have been $296,000 in commercial approvals, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Epsom records somewhat elevated construction levels, with 37.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand.

All new construction has been comprised of detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking family homes with space. With around 106 people per dwelling approval, Epsom shows characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Epsom is projected to add approximately 2,252 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Epsom has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nine projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. Key projects include Victory Christian College Epsom Campus, Epsom Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Maiden Gully Road/Calder Highway Intersection Upgrade, and Elmwood Epsom. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Epsom exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Epsom has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.4%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.6% over the past year according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 2,668 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.3% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation in Epsom stands at 70.8%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Based on Census responses, 12.4% of residents work from home. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. Health care & social assistance has an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 1.8%.

Employment levels increased by 1.6% during the year to December 2025, with a corresponding rise in labour force by 2.0%, leading to an unemployment rate increase of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment decline by 0.6% and labour force decline by 0.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Epsom's local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the area's employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Epsom shows a median taxpayer income of $53,886 and an average income of $65,581 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is just below the national average, contrasting with Regional Vic.'s median income of $50,954 and average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $58,332 (median) and $70,991 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Epsom, between the 47th and 52nd percentiles. Distribution data shows the predominant cohort spans 40.7% of locals (2,237 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, reflecting patterns seen the broader area where 30.3% similarly occupy this range. After housing, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Epsom is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Epsom's dwelling structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 95.5% houses and 4.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Regional Vic had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Epsom was at 26.5%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (49.2%) or rented (24.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Epsom was $1,473, higher than Regional Vic's average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Epsom was $340, compared to Regional Vic's $285. Nationally, Epsom's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Epsom has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.9% of all households, including 35.7% couples with children, 25.9% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.1%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households making up 3.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Epsom fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.0%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 38.9% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 28.6%. Educational participation is high, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.4% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 42 active public transport stops in Epsom. These include train stations serviced by 10 routes offering a total of 1,101 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good with residents typically 287 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode at 97%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.7, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 12.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 157 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Epsom is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Epsom faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is higher than average at approximately 53% of the total population (~2901 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic.. Mental health issues and asthma were found to be the most common medical conditions, affecting 10.2% and 9.8% of residents respectively. Conversely, 67.0% of residents reported being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Working-age residents have a higher prevalence of chronic health conditions than average. As of 2021, the area has 12.9% of residents aged 65 and over (709 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Epsom ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Epsom, as per the census conducted on the 9th of August, 2016, displayed a below average level of cultural diversity. A significant majority of its population, 88.0%, were born in Australia, with 91.7% holding Australian citizenship and 88.7% speaking English exclusively at home. Christianity emerged as the predominant religion in Epsom, accounting for 44.5% of the population.

However, the category 'Other' showed an overrepresentation in Epsom, comprising 0.8% compared to the regional average of 0.8%. In terms of ancestry, Australians formed the largest group at 32.2%, followed by English at 30.0%, and Irish at 9.1%. Notably, Indians were overrepresented in Epsom at 2.2% compared to the regional average of 0.8%, Maltese at 0.4% (regional: 0.5%), and Samoan at 0.1% (regional: 0.1%).

Epsom hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Epsom is 32, which is notably under Regional Vic.'s average of 43 and also substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Regional Vic., Epsom has a higher concentration of 25-34 residents at 17.9%, but fewer 65-74 year-olds at 7.8%. Since the 2021 Census, the 35-44 age group has grown from 14.4% to 16.5% of the population. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 16.0% to 14.6%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 11.0% to 9.6%. By 2041, Epsom is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 25-34 group growing by 65% (634 people), reaching 1,619 from 984.