Epsom (Vic.)

Epsom lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of the suburb of Epsom (Vic.) is around 5,473, reflecting an increase of 459 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 5,014 in the suburb. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 5,180 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional 177 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 612 persons per square kilometer. Epsom's growth rate of 9.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's 5.6%. Natural growth contributed approximately 43.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, with all migration factors also positive.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Epsom is predicted to have exceptional growth in the top 10 percent of Australia's regional areas. By 2041, the suburb is expected to expand by 3,327 persons, reflecting a gain of 60.2% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Epsom among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Epsom had around 52 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years ending FY-25. This totals an estimated 264 homes. As of FY-26, 16 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 2.7 people moved to Epsom per new home constructed.

The average construction cost was $353,000 per dwelling. In FY-26, $1.4 million in commercial development approvals were recorded. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Epsom's construction activity was 47.0% higher per person over these five years.

This suggests a growth area with around 129 people per dwelling approval. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Epsom will grow by 3,293 residents. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and price growth.

Epsom has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Victory Christian College Epsom Campus, Epsom Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Maiden Gully Road/Calder Highway Intersection Upgrade, and Elmwood Epsom. The following details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Epsom demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Epsom has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.3% in the past year.

Employment growth was estimated at 0.7%. As of June 2025, 2,572 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.5%, lower than Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation was 67.8%, higher than the regional average of 57.4%. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction.

Health care had a particularly strong presence with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence at 1.8% compared to the regional 7.5%. Employment opportunities locally might be limited as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 0.7%, labour force by 1.8%, and unemployment rose by 1.0 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic. saw employment decline by 0.9%, labour force decline by 0.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Epsom. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Epsom's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ending June 2022 shows Epsom had a median income among taxpayers of $53,889 and an average income of $65,580. These figures are comparable to national averages. In contrast, Rest of Vic had median and average incomes of $48,741 and $60,693 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% from financial year ending June 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income in Epsom would be approximately $60,442 and average income around $73,555. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Epsom rank modestly, between the 47th and 52nd percentiles. Income distribution shows that 40.7% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, which is similar to surrounding regions where approximately 30.3% fall into this earnings band. After housing costs, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Epsom is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Epsom's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.5% houses and 4.5% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic had 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Epsom stood at 26.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.2% and rented ones at 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,473, higher than Non-Metro Vic's average of $1,408. The median weekly rent in Epsom was recorded at $340, compared to Non-Metro Vic's $295. Nationally, Epsom's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Epsom has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.9% of all households, including 35.7% couples with children, 25.9% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.1%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Epsom fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.0%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (28.6%). Educational participation is high at 31.8%, comprising 12.4% in primary, 7.7% in secondary, and 3.0% in tertiary education.

Epsom Primary School serves the area with an enrollment of 461 students. The school focuses on primary education only, with nearby areas offering secondary options. Local school capacity is limited at 8.4 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 17.9, leading many families to seek schooling elsewhere.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 42 active stops operating within Epsom. These include a mix of train and bus services. Ten individual routes serve these stops, collectively facilitating 866 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 287 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 123 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Epsom is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Epsom faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 53%, or around 2,888 people, which is higher than the average SA2 area and compares to 50.5% across the rest of Victoria.

Mental health issues impact 10.2% of residents, while asthma affects 9.8%. A total of 67% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 62% in the rest of Victoria. The area has 12.9% of residents aged 65 and over (706 people), which is lower than the 18.9% in the rest of Victoria but still presents health challenges requiring attention.

Epsom ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Epsom's cultural diversity was below average, with 88.0% born in Australia, 91.7% being citizens, and 88.7% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 44.5%. The most notable overrepresentation was 'Other', at 0.8%, compared to 0.7% regionally.

Top ancestry groups were Australian (32.2%), English (30.0%), and Irish (9.1%). Indian (2.2%) was notably overrepresented, compared to regional figures of 1.0%. Maltese (0.4%) and Samoan (0.1%) also showed higher representation than the regional averages of 0.2% and 0.0%, respectively.

Epsom hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Epsom is 32 years, which is notably lower than Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 and also substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Rest of Vic., Epsom has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (17.0%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (8.2%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 35 to 44 has grown from 14.4% to 16.2%, while the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 11.0% to 9.7%. By 2041, Epsom is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 91%, reaching 1,777 people from the current 930.