Epsom (Vic.)

Epsom lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated since May 2026, the suburb of Epsom (Vic.) has an estimated population of around 5,365. This figure represents a growth of 351 people (7.0%) from the 2021 Census total of 5,014 residents. AreaSearch's estimate is based on a resident population of 5,303, derived from examining the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025, and an additional 195 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio stands at 600 persons per square kilometer, indicating ample space per person with potential for further development. Epsom's growth rate of 7.0% since the 2021 census surpassed both the SA3 area (3.9%) and the SA4 region, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 43.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with other factors such as interstate migration and overseas migration also being positive influences.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest exceptional growth for the suburb over the period leading up to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Epsom is expected to expand by 2,516 persons by this year, reflecting a total gain of 45.7% over the 16-year span.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Epsom when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Epsom had approximately 49 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 245 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 34 approvals recorded. On average, 0.8 new residents per year arrived for each new home between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating supply met or exceeded demand. The average construction value of these properties was $337,000.

This financial year has seen $296,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Epsom had 35.0% higher construction activity per person over the five-year period, providing reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand. All approved developments were standalone homes, preserving Epsom's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of around 100 people per dwelling approval.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Epsom is projected to gain 2,454 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Epsom has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects likely affecting the area. Key projects include Victory Christian College Epsom Campus, Epsom Village Shopping Centre Redevelopment, Maiden Gully Road/Calder Highway Intersection Upgrade, and Elmwood Epsom. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Epsom has been broadly consistent with national averages

Epsom has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 3.6% as of December 2025. This rate is 0.1% lower than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation in Epsom is similar to Regional Vic.'s rate of 61.0%. According to Census responses, 12.4% of residents work from home. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and construction. Health care & social assistance has a particularly strong presence with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 1.8% employment compared to 7.5% regionally. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Epsom's labour force increased by 0.1%, while employment declined by 0.4%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Regional Vic. recorded an employment decline of 0.6% and a labour force decline of 0.7%, with unemployment falling by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Epsom's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on 30 June 2023, the suburb of Epsom had a median income among taxpayers of $53,886 with the average level standing at $65,581. This is just below the national average and compares to levels of $50,954 and $62,728 across Regional Vic. respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $59,070 (median) and $71,890 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Epsom, between the 47th and 52nd percentiles. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 40.7% of the community (2,183 individuals), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.3% similarly occupy this range. After housing, 85.4% of income remains for other expenses.

Epsom is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Epsom's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.5% houses and 4.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Epsom stood at 26.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.2% and rented dwellings at 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,473, exceeding Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Epsom was $340, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Epsom's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Epsom has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households are the majority, accounting for 75.9% of all households. They consist of 35.7% couples with children, 25.9% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.1%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Epsom fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 13.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.0%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (28.6%). Educational participation is high at 31.8%, with 12.4% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.4% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 3.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Epsom has 42 operational public transport stops, offering a mix of train services. These are covered by 10 different routes, collectively facilitating 1,101 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents usually situated 287 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most Epsom residents commute outward, predominantly using cars at a rate of 97%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 12.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency across all routes averages 157 trips daily, equating to roughly 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Epsom is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Epsom faces significant health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notably high across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is more prevalent than average at approximately 53% of the total population (~2,831 people), compared to Regional Vic.'s 50.5%. The most common conditions are mental health issues (10.2%) and asthma (9.8%), while 67.0% report no medical ailments, compared to Regional Vic.'s 63.4%. Working-age residents have a higher-than-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. Epsom has 13.7% of residents aged 65 and over (735 people), lower than Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, aligning with general population rankings nationally.

Epsom ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Epsom, according to data, has a below average cultural diversity level. Its population breakdown shows that 88.0% were born in Australia, 91.7% are citizens, and 88.7% speak English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 44.5% of Epsom's population.

The 'Other' religion category has a slightly higher representation in Epsom compared to Regional Vic., with 0.8% versus 0.8%. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are Australian (32.2%), English (30.0%), and Irish (9.1%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences: Indian is overrepresented at 2.2% in Epsom compared to 0.8% regionally, Maltese is slightly underrepresented at 0.4% versus 0.5%, and Samoan representation remains similar at 0.1%.

Epsom hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Epsom is 32 years, which is notably lower than Regional Victoria's average of 43 and also substantially under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Regional Vic., Epsom has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34, at 16.6%, but fewer residents aged 65-74, at 8.3%. According to the 2021 Census, the age group of 35 to 44 has grown from 14.4% to 16.4% of Epsom's population. Conversely, the age group of 5 to 14 has declined from 16.0% to 14.8%. By 2041, Epsom is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 25 to 34 age group projected to grow by 69%, adding 612 people and reaching a total of 1,503 from the current figure of 890.