Chart Color Schemes
This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
Find a Recent Sale
Sales Detail
Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek has an estimated 15,803 residents, up from 11,333 at the 2021 Census — a change of 4,470 people, or 39.4%. Growth has averaged 8.0% a year over five years, faster than 96% of areas nationally. 2,395 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 79.3% of that increase. That puts 179 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek stands at approximately 15,803 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 4,470 residents (39.4%) from the 11,333 individuals recorded in the 2021 Census. This population shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 15,749 from June 2025 alongside 2,395 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The current population translates to a density of 179 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density with ample space and capacity for future housing expansion. With its 39.4% increase since the 2021 census, the locality outpaced the Rest of Vic.
(4.3%) and the broader SA4 region, establishing itself as a regional growth hotspot. This demographic expansion was heavily supported by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 79.3% of the total population growth in recent times, though natural increase and overseas migration also made positive contributions. AreaSearch utilizes population projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024, which use 2022 as their starting point. In instances where specific SA2 areas lack this coverage, projections from the VIC State Government released in 2023 are applied, utilizing weighted aggregation to scale population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. The age structure growth patterns derived from these aggregations are also projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic forecasts indicate that the district will experience rapid growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of regional locations nationwide, with the population projected to expand by 11,944 residents by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP data, translating to a total growth of 75.2% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
2,751 new dwellings have been approved in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek over the past five years, an average of 550 a year. That places the area in the 95th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 35 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 457 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 96% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 438, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
The region of Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek has seen an average of approximately 550 residential building approvals annually, totaling 2,751 dwellings over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 402 during the current FY-26. The ratio of 1.8 individuals moving to the district for every new home built during those 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) suggests that supply is aligning well with local demand, supporting a balanced market environment where new dwellings carry an average construction value of $327,000. Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $10.0 million in the current financial year, pointing to ongoing investment in local business infrastructure.
Per capita construction rates in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek are 164.0% higher than in the Rest of Vic., providing purchasers with a wider array of options. This volume is also much higher than the national average, reflecting high developer confidence in the local market. Detached houses comprise 96.0% of the new construction projects, while attached dwellings make up just 4.0%, thereby preserving the low-density, family-oriented layout of the neighborhood that attracts buyers wanting extra space. With approximately 29 people per approval, Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek demonstrates the characteristics of an expanding residential zone. Long-term forecasts suggest that Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek will welcome an additional 11,890 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. Given the current pace of construction, housing output is expected to meet this demand comfortably, creating favorable purchasing conditions and potentially paving the way for growth that surpasses standard predictions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 11 current infrastructure and development projects inside Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek, worth an estimated $1.21 billion. A further 163 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $31.6 billion. 53 are already under construction and 67 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and development initiatives are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 31 projects expected to influence the area. Prominent developments include the Barwon Heads Road Upgrade - Stage 2 (Reserve Road to Lower Duneed Road), Glenlee, Warralily Quarter, and Harriott Armstrong Creek, with details on the most significant projects provided in the list below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Warralily Quarter
Warralily Quarter is an 8,000sqm neighbourhood convenience centre developed by Oreana Property Group. The precinct features 1,700sqm of retail space including a Coles supermarket, SNAP 24/7 Fitness, and specialty shops. It also includes a 130-place Aspire Early Education & Kindergarten centre. The development is designed to complement the adjacent Village Warralily and serve the rapidly growing Armstrong Creek community.
Harriott Armstrong Creek
Master planned residential community by Jinding in Armstrong Creek, delivering a mix of land lots and architecturally designed townhomes with green corridors, Central Park, and Hilltop Park. Current works include the Harkness Boulevard and Barwon Heads Road signalised intersection and final landscaping at Hilltop Park. Townhome Stage 09 (Reserve Release) is underway with titles anticipated Q1 2026. Key project stats published by the developer: 626 lots across a 79ha site; gross end value $458m.
Barwon Heads Road Upgrade - Stage 2 (Reserve Road to Lower Duneed Road)
A $318 million jointly funded (Australian and Victorian governments) project to duplicate approximately 6km of Barwon Heads Road from two to four lanes between Reserve Road, Charlemont and Lower Duneed Road, Connewarre. Delivered in two phases: Reserve Road to Lake Road (Stage 2a, under construction, due for completion late 2027) and Lake Road to Lower Duneed Road (Stage 2b, due for completion late 2028). Key features include upgraded intersections at Warralily Boulevard, Central Boulevard and Precinct Road, new traffic lights at Newport Drive and Boundary Road, signalised pedestrian crossings near Build Street and Harriot Road, a pedestrian bridge over Armstrong Creek, shared walking and cycling paths, on-road cycling lanes, street lighting, signage, drainage and landscaping.The upgrade will provide more reliable journeys for around 35,000 motorists a day, improving safety and capacity ahead of forecast growth in the Bellarine and Geelong region. FCC Construction Australia and BildGroup are delivering the Stage 2a works.
Harriott Townhomes
Premium turn-key townhomes at Harriott Estate featuring 2, 3 and 4 bedroom configurations with no body corporate fees and individual wall construction. The 164-townhome precinct includes modern finishes, luxury upgrades, and quality inclusions. Located between Harkness Reserve and Central Park, just 250m from Warralily Village shopping centre with Woolworths and Aldi, and 500m from Armstrong Creek School and Oberon High School. First 45 townhomes commenced construction in June 2025 with completion expected by September 2026.
Harriott Armstrong Creek
Harriott is a premium masterplanned community in Armstrong Creek, located adjacent to the future Sparrovale Wetlands. The project delivers over 700 lots including titled land and designer townhomes. Key features include the Central Park green spine, 21 hectares of sporting facilities, and immediate access to the Warralily Village retail precinct. The development emphasizes environmental integration with 500 hectares of conserved wetlands and extensive walking trails.
Stockland Banksia Armstrong Creek
Stockland's coastal-inspired masterplanned community in Armstrong Creek featuring approximately 500 homes across land lots, house and land packages, and townhomes, plus a proposed onsite childcare centre. The 30-hectare estate sits 10 minutes from Geelong CBD and 20 minutes from Torquay beach, with a revegetated waterway reserve, walking trails, and landscaped open space running through the community. Construction began in 2022 and the community now has more than 300 resident families, with land and house and land packages still being released and sold.
Mount Duneed Village
Major $55 million mixed-use development by Empire Properties within Villawood Properties' Armstrong Mount Duneed Estate featuring shopping centre anchored by Champions IGA supermarket, medical/dental facilities, Chemist Warehouse, Saltwater Learn to Swim centre, Omega Daycare, hairdresser, restaurants, cafe, 41 apartments and 52 townhouses. Pioneering medium-density living as the first four-level project in Geelong growth corridor with sleek green and glass features, planters and pergolas. Provides 60 construction jobs and 80 permanent jobs.
IGA Barwon Heads Redevelopment
Multi-stage redevelopment which doubled the supermarket's floor area, added upgraded stockrooms, coolrooms, a new basement car park with 20 spaces, and constructed six new townhouses above the supermarket extension. The project was managed to allow the IGA to continue trading during construction.
8,010 residents of Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek are employed, from a labour force of 8,190. Unemployment sits at 2.2%, with participation at 66.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 13,349, about 84% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The labor force in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek is characterized by high levels of education and strong representation in essential services, alongside a very low unemployment rate of 2.2%. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 8,010, keeping the local unemployment rate 1.5% below the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%, while the participation rate of 66.7% was notably higher than the Regional Vic. average of 61.1%. Data from the Census showed that 27.3% of workers operated from home, though this figure may have been influenced by COVID-19 pandemic restrictions. Healthcare & social assistance, construction, and education & training stand out as the primary employment sectors for local residents.
The workforce displays a strong concentration in professional & technical services, with an employment share that is 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 1.3% of the local workforce compared to 7.5% across Regional Vic.. A comparison of the Census working population against the resident workforce suggests that local job opportunities are somewhat limited. According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics, the workforce shrank by 0.9% and total employment fell by 0.9% during the twelve months ending March 2026, keeping the unemployment rate steady. Over the same timeframe, Regional Vic. saw employment decrease by 0.1% and the labor force decline by 0.3%, resulting in a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment. National employment projections released in May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context regarding future labor demand in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek. These five and ten-year forecasts have been aligned with the local industry profile to project potential trends. Globally, national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though individual sector growth rates vary. Applying these trends to the local employment mix suggests a 6.9% increase in local employment over five years and a 14.1% rise over ten years, although this weighting calculation does not account for localized population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek is $2,201 a week (about $114,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,004 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $60,546 a year against an average of $80,085. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The median taxpayer income in the Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek SA2 is $60,546, with an average income of $80,085, based on aggregated postcode data from the ATO for the 2023 financial year. These figures are elevated on a national scale and exceed the Regional Vic. median of $50,954 and average of $62,728. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates point to a median income of $66,371 and an average income of $87,789 as of March 2026. Census findings place household, family, and individual incomes between the 78th and 79th percentiles nationally.
The largest income bracket is the 37.6% of residents (5,941 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, which is similar to the 30.3% share observed in the wider region. High earnings are evident with 30.7% of the population making more than $3,000 per week, indicating a strong market for high-end retail and services. Housing costs require 13.7% of income, and strong earnings place residents in the 80th percentile for disposable income, with the area ranking in the 7th decile of the SEIFA index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek had 3,906 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 1% apartments. 43% are owned with a mortgage, 27% rented and 30% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $420 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,907 a month. Rent absorbs 19.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Data from the latest Census shows that houses made up 92.2% of the dwelling stock in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek, while apartments, semi-detached, and other housing structures accounted for 7.9%. This contrasts with Regional Vic., where houses comprised 90.1% and other options made up 9.9%. Home ownership stood at 30.1%, which is lower than the Regional Vic. average, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (43.2%) or rented (26.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment of $1,907 was higher than the Regional Vic. average, while the median weekly rent was $420, compared to $1,430 and $285 respectively for Regional Vic..
Nationally, repayments in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are higher than the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek counted 3,906 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 5,447 today, averaging 2.7 people each. 37% are couples with children, against 30% couples without children. 18% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families represent 78.7% of all households in the area, consisting of couples with children at 37.3%, couples without children at 29.6%, and single-parent households at 10.7%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 21.3%, made up of single-person households at 17.5% and group households at 3.7%. The median household size is 2.7 residents, which is higher than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
37.1% of adults in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek hold a university qualification, including 25.7% with a bachelor degree and 7.5% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 86% of areas nationally. A further 21.3% hold a vocational qualification. 5 schools serve the area, with 2,749 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,059 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Residents in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek exhibit high levels of education, with 37.1% of the population aged 15+ holding a university qualification, compared to 21.7% in the Rest of Vic. and 28.6% in the SA4 region. This high concentration of tertiary education positions the local workforce well for knowledge-driven sectors. Bachelor degrees represent the most common credential at 25.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 7.5% and graduate diplomas at 3.9%. Vocational and technical education is also common, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, including advanced diplomas at 13.8% and certificate level courses at 21.3%.
The level of educational participation is high, with 33.7% of residents currently enrolled in study. This group is comprised of 12.9% in primary school, 7.8% in high school, and 5.6% attending tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek reaches 58 stops on 12 routes, timetabled for about 900 services a week. The typical home sits about 340 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of the public transport network shows 58 stops operating in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek. These access points are served by 12 distinct routes, which run a total of 904 passenger trips each week. Transport connectivity is high, with the average distance from a dwelling to the nearest stop being 342 meters. Commuting patterns reflect the residential nature of the area, with 94% of workers using private vehicles to travel to work. Household car ownership stands at 1.7 vehicles, which is above the regional average. Additionally, 27.3% of residents work from home, based on the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-related working arrangements.
The average service frequency is 129 trips per day across the network, which translates to approximately 15 weekly trips for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.3% of residents in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 93% of areas nationally. 3.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 59.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 2.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics for Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek indicate positive outcomes, with AreaSearch evaluations showing low mortality rates and a low prevalence of chronic illnesses across all age cohorts. Additionally, private health insurance uptake is high at approximately 60% of the population (9,402 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic.. Mental health challenges and asthma are the most frequently reported conditions, affecting 8.7% and 8.4% of the population respectively, while 72.3% of residents reported having no chronic health issues, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic.. Residents under 65 years of age show positive health indicators.
Those aged 65 and over make up 14.1% of the local population (2,228 people), which is lower than the Regional Vic. average of 23.9%. Senior citizens in the area enjoy good health, with national health rankings that correspond closely to the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek is largely Australian-born, at 84.7% of residents, with 7.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (30.0%) and Australian (28.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek is lower than average, with 84.7% of residents born in Australia, 89.3% holding citizenship, and 92.1% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 39.8% of the local population. The most notable statistical variation is in the Other category, which represents 1.1% of the population compared to 0.8% across Regional Vic.. English ancestry is reported by 30.0% of the population, followed by Australian ancestry at 28.0% and Irish ancestry at 10.2%. There are also differences in other ethnic heritages, with Dutch ancestry overrepresented at 1.9% (compared to 1.7% regionally), Scottish at 9.1% (compared to 8.8%), and Welsh at 0.6% (compared to 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek is 34, younger than 79% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 28.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 34 in Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek is lower than the Regional Vic. median of 43 and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Regional Vic., there is a high concentration of residents aged 25 - 34 (16.8% locally) and a lower proportion of people aged 55 - 64 (8.0%). Since 2021, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 14.7% to 16.8% of the population, and the 35 to 44 cohort has risen from 14.9% to 15.9%. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 16.1% to 14.4%, and the 55 to 64 bracket fell from 9.7% to 8.0%.
Demographic models project that the age profile will change by 2041, with the 25 to 34 cohort expected to grow by 2,599 people (98%), increasing from 2,656 to 5,256.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 11 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 2,395 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (11,333 at the 2021 Census → 15,803 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (203031489). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.