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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Leopold has an estimated 13,878 residents, up from 13,272 at the 2021 Census — a change of 606 people, or 4.6%. Growth has averaged 0.9% a year over five years. 411 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 497 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on evaluation of ABS demographic updates for the wider region, alongside new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Leopold has a residency estimated at approximately 13,878 as of May 2026. This indicates a growth of 606 people (4.6%) since the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 13,272 people. This shift is calculated from a resident population of 13,869, calculated by AreaSearch using the most recent ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 411 validated new addresses since the Census date.
This size of population represents a density ratio of 496 persons per square kilometer, offering substantial space per individual and potential scope for subsequent expansion. The 4.6% expansion of the suburb of Leopold since the 2021 census was higher than the Rest of Vic. (4.3%), positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Population expansion for the area was majorly driven by interstate migration which accounted for roughly 41.0% of overall demographic gains during recent times, though all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive contributors. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region, published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For SA2 regions lacking this dataset, AreaSearch uses the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections published in 2023 with modifications made using a system of weighted aggregation of demographic expansion from LGA to SA2 scales. Expansion rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Factoring in the projected demographic changes, a substantial population increase in the top quartile of Australia's non-metropolitan regions is predicted, with the suburb of Leopold expected to expand by 4,067 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, representing a gain of 29.2% in total over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
412 new dwellings have been approved in Leopold over the past five years, an average of 82 a year. That places the area in the 62nd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 78 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 91% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 128, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval statistics, distributed from statistical area data, Leopold has seen approximately 82 dwellings receiving development approval annually, with an estimated 412 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 118 so far in FY-26. With an average of 1.4 people per year relocating to the area for each dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand seem well-balanced, yielding stable market conditions, while new homes are being constructed at an average value of $380,000—slightly above the regional average—suggesting a focus on quality projects.
There have also been $7.2 million in commercial approvals this financial year, pointing to the area's residential character. Compared to Rest of Vic., Leopold registers about 59% of the building activity per person while it ranks in the 60th percentile of areas evaluated nationally. New building activity consists of 91.0% detached houses and 9.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 253 people per dwelling approval, showing a low density market. Population forecasts suggest Leopold will gain 4,058 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current construction rates continue, housing supply could fall behind population growth, likely increasing buyer competition and supporting price appreciation.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Leopold
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Leopold, worth an estimated $1.06 billion. A further 43 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $5.24 billion. 16 are already under construction and 16 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Little can affect a region's performance as significantly as updates to local infrastructure, major developments and planning programs. Overall, 16 initiatives have been recognized by AreaSearch as having a likely effect on the area. Primary developments include Estuary Estate, Caspian Estate, Leopold Green Estate, and Allegra Estate, with the list below detailing those likely to hold the greatest significance.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Estuary Estate
Established in 2009, Estuary is a master-planned residential community near Bellarine's beaches and 10km from Geelong CBD. Originally comprising 651 lots that sold out in record time, the development has expanded with multiple phases including Estuary II (200 lots) and River Cove (225 lots). The community features sports ovals, parks, playgrounds, wetlands, sculptural art, and over 1500 residents. Stage 17C is the final stage, titling in May 2026, with ongoing construction connecting Estuary Boulevard to Ash Road amenities.
Caspian Estate
New residential estate in Leopold offering approximately 70 residential lots ranging from 390m2 to 520m2, nestled between country and ocean on the outskirts near Lake Connewarre. The land has recently been rezoned to residential by the City of Greater Geelong, offering an exciting opportunity for new residents to create a vibrant community. Close to shopping, playgrounds, childcare, cafes, wineries, sporting clubs, and wildlife reserves.
Leopold Green Estate
A fantastic residential land subdivision nestled in a popular pocket of the thriving suburb of Leopold. Prime residential allotments ranging from 300m2 to 483m2 located in an established position close to Gateway Plaza Shopping Centre. Direct access to Central Geelong, the Waterfront and the Bellarine Peninsula. Selected allotments capturing views of Corio Bay and The Bellarine Rail Trail, positioned in a popular, established area with access to local schools, wineries, restaurants, Geelong Adventure Park, and world-famous Surf Coast beaches.
Sanctuary Springs Estate, Leopold
Boutique residential estate in Leopold delivering approximately 536 lots with waterways, wetlands, parks and a display village. Current stages are sold out, with the next land release anticipated in 2026. The estate is developed by Granite Projects with project sales and marketing by RPM Group.
Allegra Estate
A picturesque community embodying the essence of coastal living, nestled beside future reserves and adjacent to the Bellarine Rail Trail, located 10km east of Geelong. Stage 1 construction is approximately 50% complete with 60% of Stage 1 lots already sold. Limited lots remaining with exclusive promotions available. Offers the perfect blend of coastal lifestyle and urban convenience, just 15 minutes from Ocean Grove and Barwon Heads beaches.
Harriott Armstrong Creek
Master planned residential community by Jinding in Armstrong Creek, delivering a mix of land lots and architecturally designed townhomes with green corridors, Central Park, and Hilltop Park. Current works include the Harkness Boulevard and Barwon Heads Road signalised intersection and final landscaping at Hilltop Park. Townhome Stage 09 (Reserve Release) is underway with titles anticipated Q1 2026. Key project stats published by the developer: 626 lots across a 79ha site; gross end value $458m.
Moolap Coastal Strategic Framework Plan
Victorian Government framework guiding renewal and land use change across northern Moolap including Point Henry and the former saltworks. DEECA is leading the Environmental Management Masterplan for the Wetlands and Former Saltworks Precinct with planning underway.
Ashbury Estate Armstrong Creek
Master-planned residential estate by Dennis Family Corporation in Armstrong Creek, offering over 1,400 homes with house and land packages. Combines natural living with modern conveniences, surrounded by parklands, nature reserves, and wetlands. Features open spaces, future community facilities, and proximity to Geelong CBD and Surf Coast.
7,154 residents of Leopold are employed, from a labour force of 7,409. Unemployment sits at 3.4%, with participation at 64.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 11,278, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Leopold has a skilled labor force, with essential services sectors well represented, and an unemployment rate of only 3.4%, according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 7,154 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.2% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, and labor force participation is fairly standard (64.9% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.1%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 16.5% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The primary sectors of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.
The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, employing only 1.0% of Leopold's workforce compared to 7.5% in Regional Vic.. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, aggregated from broader statistical areas, during the year to March 2026, the labor force declined by 0.9% alongside a 0.6% employment decrease, causing unemployment to decline by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Regional Vic. recorded employment decline of 0.1%, labor force decline of 0.3%, with unemployment falling 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Leopold. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Leopold's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localized population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Leopold is $1,589 a week (about $83,000 a year), with median personal income at $757 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $49,792 a year against an average of $59,795. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 reveals that income in the suburb of Leopold is lower than average on a national basis, with the median assessed at $49,792 while the average income stands at $59,795. This contrasts to Regional Vic.'s figures of a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $54,582 (median) and $65,547 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Leopold, between the 40th and 40th percentiles.
The data shows 34.3% of the population (4,760 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen the metropolitan region where 30.3% similarly occupy this range. After housing, 85.6% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Leopold had 5,021 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 0% apartments. 43% are owned with a mortgage, 19% rented and 39% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $375 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,603 a month. Rent absorbs 23.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Dwelling structure within Leopold, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 92.3% houses and 7.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Leopold was slightly lagging that of Regional Vic., at 38.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (42.8%) or rented (18.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Regional Vic. average at $1,603, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $375, compared to Regional Vic.'s $1,430 and $285.
Nationally, Leopold's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are comparable to the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Leopold counted 5,021 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.5 people each. 32% are couples with children, against 30% couples without children. 24% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households dominate at 74.3% of all households, comprising 31.5% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.9% and group households comprising 1.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
19.7% of adults in Leopold hold a university qualification, including 13.9% with a bachelor degree and 3.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 29.4% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 882 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,019 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The local community experiences challenges in higher education, with university graduation rates (19.7%) coming in significantly below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a hurdle and a chance for targeted schooling programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Professional and technical qualifications are highly visible, with 41.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.3%) and certificates (29.4%). School enrollment is remarkably high, with 27.3% of local inhabitants currently engaged in structured studies. This includes 9.4% in primary schools, 7.3% in secondary schools, and 3.6% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Leopold reaches 70 stops on 15 routes, timetabled for about 1,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 220 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit assessment indicates 70 operational transit stops positioned inside Leopold. These stops are served by 15 separate routes, which together supply 1,260 weekly passenger journeys. Transit convenience is classified as good, with citizens typically situated 221 meters from the closest transit stop. Because it is a mostly residential area, the majority of citizens travel outside the boundary - the personal vehicle remains the primary choice at 95%. Car ownership averages 1.6 per household. Around 16.5% of citizens work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 settings). Service frequency averages 180 journeys per day across all routes, translating to roughly 18 weekly journeys for each transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.6% of residents in Leopold report no long-term health condition. 6.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 50.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Leopold, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts , and the rate of private health cover found to be relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~7,011 people). The national average is 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and asthma, impacting 10.3 and 8.5% of residents, respectively, while 63.6% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic..
Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 21.7% of residents aged 65 and over (3,011 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Leopold is largely Australian-born, at 86.1% of residents, with 6.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (30.7%) and Australian (28.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Leopold was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 86.1% of its population born in Australia, 92.0% being citizens, and 93.1% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Leopold was found to be Christianity, which makes up 49.6% of people in Leopold. This compares to 47.3% across Regional Vic.. In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Leopold are English, comprising 30.7% of the population, Australian, comprising 28.4% of the population, and Irish, comprising 8.9% of the population.
Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 2.7% of Leopold (vs 1.7% regionally), Polish at 0.9% (vs 0.5%) and Scottish at 8.8% (vs 8.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Leopold is 41. 24.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
At 41 years, Leopold's median age is somewhat lower than the Regional Vic. average of 43 yet modestly exceeding the 38-year national average. The 25 - 34 age group shows strong representation at 12.9% compared to Regional Vic., whereas the 65 - 74 cohort is less prevalent at 11.0%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 12.3% to 13.2% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 12.6% to 11.4%. Demographic modeling suggests Leopold's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041.
The 25 to 34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 59%, adding 1,055 residents to reach 2,846.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Leopold
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 411 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (13,272 at the 2021 Census → 13,878 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21493). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.