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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Barwon Heads has an estimated 4,234 residents, down from 4,353 at the 2021 Census — a change of 119 people, or 2.7%. The population has thinned by an average 0.5% a year over five years, slower than 98% of areas nationally. That puts 622 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
In the suburb of Barwon Heads, demographic assessments incorporating broader ABS figures alongside 27 validated new addresses registered since the Census indicate a resident count of roughly 4,234 as of Aug 2026. This represents a contraction of 119 people (2.7%) relative to the 4,353 people recorded in the 2021 Census. AreaSearch arrived at this trajectory by examining the ABS Estimated Resident Population (ERP) release from June 2025, which placed the population at 4,200, supplemented by the newly confirmed addresses. With a density of 621 persons per square kilometer, the locality maintains considerable physical space per resident alongside capacity for future expansion.
Interstate migration served as the foremost catalyst for demographic expansion, generating roughly 77.0% of recent population additions, while overseas migration and natural growth also registered positive contributions. Population modeling for the suburb of Barwon Heads incorporates ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 (anchored to a 2022 baseline), supplemented where necessary by 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA datasets adjusted via weighted aggregation from LGA down to SA2 boundaries. Age-specific expansion rates derived from these aggregations are additionally utilized across all localities for the years 2032 to 2041. Projections indicate that the suburb of Barwon Heads is positioned within the top quartile among regional non-metropolitan districts nationwide, with aggregated SA2 figures forecasting a gain of 1,152 persons by 2041, representing an overall expansion of 26.4% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
489 new dwellings have been approved in Barwon Heads over the past five years, an average of 97 a year. That is 23.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 97 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 98% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Few approvals have been recorded in the most recent months, well below the longer-run average; the latest ABS periods are still being reported. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Statistical evaluations of ABS building approval records indicate that annual residential construction approvals in Barwon Heads have averaged around 97 dwellings, totaling an estimated 489 homes across the previous 5 financial years (spanning FY-21 through FY-25), with 2 approvals logged to date in FY-25. Given the local contraction in population, residential construction has comfortably satisfied local requirements, maintaining balanced market conditions and ample selection for purchasers, with new residential projects carrying an average expected construction cost of $432,000. Meanwhile, non-residential building activity has been subdued, evidenced by $187,000 in commercial approvals during the current financial year.
Per capita building activity in Barwon Heads outpaces Rest of Vic. by 63.0%, affording purchasers extensive options even as construction momentum has moderated in recent times. This elevated building rate substantially exceeds national standards, underscoring solid developer enthusiasm. Detached houses comprise 98.0% of new residential development, with medium and high-density housing accounting for the remaining 2.0%, reinforcing the locality's established low-density footprint and focus on spacious family accommodation. Demonstrating the subdued nature of local development, there are an estimated 2094 people in the community for every approved dwelling. According to the latest quarterly projections from AreaSearch, Barwon Heads is anticipated to add 1,118 residents by 2041. Present development trends suggest that incoming housing stock will capably satisfy anticipated demand, sustaining advantageous conditions for prospective buyers and potentially accommodating demographic growth above current forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Barwon Heads
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside Barwon Heads, worth an estimated $4 million. A further 74 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $9.64 billion. 23 are already under construction and 28 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Major planning schemes, capital works, and infrastructure upgrades exert a primary influence on the trajectory of any locality. AreaSearch has pinpointed a total of 6 projects positioned to shape the local environment. Prominent developments include the 5-7 Bridge Road Mixed Use Development Site, the Barwon Heads Village Park Master Plan, the IGA Barwon Heads Redevelopment, as well as the At The Heads Restaurant Refurbishment and Barwon Heads Caravan Park Cabins.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
5-7 Bridge Road Mixed Use Development Site
Prime 1338 sqm Commercial 1 zoned corner site in the heart of Barwon Heads town centre, listed for sale at $4,000,000. Advertised as a development opportunity suitable for a large-scale commercial and/or residential mixed-use project, subject to council approval.
IGA Barwon Heads Redevelopment
Multi-stage redevelopment which doubled the supermarket's floor area, added upgraded stockrooms, coolrooms, a new basement car park with 20 spaces, and constructed six new townhouses above the supermarket extension. The project was managed to allow the IGA to continue trading during construction.
Barwon Heads Village Park Master Plan
Long-term master plan for the 23 hectare Barwon Heads Village Park guiding staged upgrades to community sporting facilities, recreation spaces, environmental protection, accessibility and Wadawurrung cultural recognition. The City of Greater Geelong continues to implement the adopted 2021 master plan through individual capital works projects, including pavilion renewals and recreation improvements.
At The Heads Restaurant Refurbishment and Barwon Heads Caravan Park Cabins
Refurbishment and upgrade of the 'At The Heads' restaurant at the Barwon Heads jetty, including improvements to the kitchen, storage, and staff amenities, relocation of the historic 'Boot Room', and an updated public seating area. The project also delivered seven new accommodation cabins at the entrance to the adjoining Barwon Heads Caravan Park.
Barwon Coast Foreshore Master Plan
A 15-year strategic framework and master plan for managing coastal public land from Breamlea to Collendina, focusing on environmental protection, climate adaptation, trails, amenities, and infrastructure. The plan incorporates technical feedback and extensive community engagement, with the final Master Plan scheduled for release in mid-2026.
57-59 The Parade Apartments
A three-storey coastal residential development featuring 16 contemporary apartments with basement parking. The project combines modern architectural design with coastal living, offering spacious residences ranging from 94 to 188 square metres. Designed by UXD Group with landscape architecture by CDA Design Group, the development provides luxury coastal living in a prime Ocean Grove location with easy access to local amenities and Ocean Grove Beach.
Ti-Tree Village Redevelopment
Proposed redevelopment of a 5,775 sqm beachside holiday park site into luxury residential or aged care facilities. Located 250m from Ocean Grove beach with significant development potential subject to council approval. The property features 3 street frontages and favorable residential zoning.
61 Powell Street Townhouses
A boutique collection of five architecturally designed three-bedroom townhouses set across two levels in a prime Ocean Grove location. The development application has been submitted with completion expected by late 2026. Each residence features spacious open-plan layouts, contemporary finishes, and integrated outdoor areas designed for coastal lifestyle living.
1,527 residents of Barwon Heads are employed, from a labour force of 1,556. Unemployment sits at 1.9%, with participation at 43.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 3,669, about 87% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Barwon Heads boasts a highly educated workforce where professional services are strongly represented and the unemployment rate stands at just 1.9%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 1,527 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.8% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation lags significantly (43.7% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.1%). Based on Census responses, a high 35.3% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training constitute the primary industries employing local residents.
The workforce displays an exceptional concentration in professional & technical services, operating at 2.1 times the regional average, whereas agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for 1.9% of employment compared to the regional standard of 7.5%. Based on Census comparisons between local workers and resident totals, the area provides a relatively contained volume of jobs within its own boundaries. Synthesized ABS and SALM figures show identical 16.1% declines across both total labour force and overall employment over the 12-month period, keeping local unemployment relatively steady. In comparison, Regional Vic. recorded a 0.1% dip in employment, a 0.3% decrease in its labour force, and a 0.2 percentage point reduction in unemployment. National outlooks from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide broader perspective when mapped against local occupational distributions. Across Australia, workforce numbers are projected to grow by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, though sectoral rates vary widely. Aligning these industry trajectories with local employment patterns projects local job growth of 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years (representing an illustrative weighted calculation rather than localized population modelling).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Barwon Heads is $2,226 a week (about $116,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,030 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $60,054 a year against an average of $78,947. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxation records from the ATO for financial year 2023 place personal earnings in the suburb of Barwon Heads among the upper tiers across Australia, registering a median of $60,054 and an average of $78,947, compared to Regional Vic.'s corresponding median of $50,954 and average of $62,728. Accounting for a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 reach approximately $65,831 for the median and $86,542 for the average. In the 2021 Census, personal, family, and household earnings all placed between the 79th and 81st percentiles across the nation.
Weekly individual earnings between $1,500 - 2,999 account for 28.2% of residents (1,193 individuals), aligning closely with the 30.3% recorded across the wider region. Furthermore, 37.1% of residents earn above $3,000/week, highlighting substantial financial resources, while households retain 88.8% of income after servicing housing costs, placing the community in the 9th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Barwon Heads had 1,553 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 91% detached houses and 3% apartments. 35% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 49% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $450 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,184 a month. Rent absorbs 20.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential dwellings in Barwon Heads at the most recent Census consisted of 90.9% standalone houses and 9.0% alternative housing formats (including semi-detached properties, apartments, and other dwellings), relative to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwelling types across Regional Vic. Outright home ownership reached 48.8%, markedly exceeding the regional benchmark, while 34.8% of residences were mortgaged and 16.4% were tenanted. Monthly median mortgage commitments stood at $2,184, well above Regional Vic.'s $1,430, while weekly median rent reached $450 compared to $285 regionally. On a national scale, local housing expenses remain significantly elevated against Australia-wide medians of $1,863 for monthly mortgages and $375 for weekly rents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Barwon Heads counted 1,553 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.5 people each. 33% are couples with children, against 32% couples without children. 24% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the clear majority of local living arrangements at 74.6% of all households, consisting of couples with children (33.2%), couples without children (32.2%), and single parent families (8.2%). Non-family residences make up the remaining 25.4%, driven by single-person households at 24.1% alongside group households at 1.5%. The typical local household comprises a median of 2.5 people, exceeding the 2.4 average recorded across Regional Vic.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
44.2% of adults in Barwon Heads hold a university qualification, including 30.4% with a bachelor degree and 8.8% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 99% of areas nationally. A further 16.3% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 426 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,117 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher education qualifications in Barwon Heads substantially exceed regional benchmarks, with 44.2% of individuals aged 15+ holding tertiary degrees compared to 21.7% in Rest of Vic. and 28.6% across the wider SA4 region. Bachelor degrees form the primary credential at 30.4%, accompanied by postgraduate qualifications (8.8%) and graduate diplomas (5.0%). Vocational and technical training is also widely held, with 30.0% of residents aged 15+ possessing trade credentials, comprising advanced diplomas (13.7%) and certificates (16.3%). A substantial 33.2% of the local population is actively engaged in formal study. Within this cohort, primary school attendees account for 13.9% of residents, secondary students comprise 10.2%, and 4.1% are undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Barwon Heads reaches 25 stops on 4 routes, timetabled for about 450 services a week. The typical home sits about 220 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Commuting infrastructure in Barwon Heads is supported by 25 transit stops across 4 separate routes, delivering 454 weekly services. Connectivity is favorable, with residents situated an average distance of 216 meters from the nearest boarding point. Due to the area's predominantly residential profile, the majority of journeys head outward, with private vehicles accounting for 90% of travel and cycling making up 3%. Households maintain an average of 1.6 vehicles each. At the 2021 Census, 35.3% of workers operated from home, though this figure reflects conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic. Transit services run at an overall rate of 64 daily trips across the combined network, translating to roughly 18 scheduled departures per week at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.6% of residents in Barwon Heads report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 95% of areas nationally. 2.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 58.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Evaluations of chronic illness and mortality metrics indicate exceptional wellness outcomes across Barwon Heads, characterized by minimal prevalence of standard medical conditions across every demographic cohort. Private health insurance coverage is extensive, encompassing roughly 58% of the populace (~2,454 people), notably higher than the 50.5% benchmark across Regional Vic. Arthritis and asthma represent the two most prevalent diagnosed conditions locally, affecting 9.5 and 7.2% of the community respectively, while 71.6% of residents reported no chronic health issues at all, outperforming the 63.4% recorded across Regional Vic. Health indicators are notably strong among working-age individuals.
Residents aged 65 and over account for 28.8% of the population (1,219 people), higher than the 24.0% regional share, with older residents demonstrating favorable health outcomes consistent with broader national trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Barwon Heads is largely Australian-born, at 89.8% of residents, with 1.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.3%) and Australian (28.9%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Measures of cultural diversity in Barwon Heads remain lower than national averages, with Australian citizens making up 91.2% of the population, 89.8% born domestically, and 98.3% using solely English in the home. Christianity represents the leading religious affiliation at 41.4% of residents. In relative terms, Judaism exhibits the most notable concentration at 0.1% of the local population, matching the 0.1% proportion seen across Regional Vic. Regarding ancestral background, English ancestry is the most common at 32.3%, followed by Australian at 28.9% and Irish at 12.5%. Several other heritages show elevated representation compared to regional figures, including Scottish ancestry at 11.6% (compared to 8.8% regionally), Dutch at 1.7% (matching 1.7%), and Welsh at 0.6% (against 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Barwon Heads is 48, older than 82% of areas nationally. That is 2 years older than at the 2021 Census. 13.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic profile of the suburb of Barwon Heads leans toward mature cohorts and established families. Middle-aged residents and early retirees (45 - 64) constitute 32.2% of the population as at August 2026, compared to 24.4% in Regional Vic., while young to middle-aged adults (25 - 44) represent 15.2% against a regional share of 23.1%. The estimated median age is 48, up from 46 at the 2021 Census, placing it 5 years above the Regional Vic. Census benchmark of 43 and well above the Australian Census median of 38. The share of children and young adults (0 - 24) has shifted from 29.6% at the Census to an estimated 24.0%.
By 2041, the 45 - 64 age group is projected to see the largest expansion, increasing by 529 residents (39%) to reach 1,892.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Barwon Heads
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 4 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 27 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (4,353 at the 2021 Census → 4,234 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20162). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.