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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Barwon Heads has an estimated 4,229 residents, down from 4,353 at the 2021 Census — a change of 124 people, or 2.8%. The population has thinned by an average 0.5% a year over five years, slower than 98% of areas nationally. That puts 621 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on demographic evaluations from the ABS for the wider region, along with newer addresses verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the population of the suburb of Barwon Heads is projected to be approximately 4,229 in May 2026. This represents a decline of 124 residents (2.8%) from the 4,353 individuals counted during the 2021 Census. This shift is calculated from a local population of 4,198, which AreaSearch estimated using June 2025 ABS ERP data and 27 newly verified addresses since the Census. Such population numbers translate to a density of 621 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and potential capacity for future building.
Recent population gains were driven mostly by interstate relocations, which accounted for approximately 77.0% of the growth, though all factors including natural increase and overseas migration made positive contributions. AreaSearch implements projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia for every SA2 region, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline. For SA2 territories where this data is unavailable, projections are sourced from the 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA dataset, adjusted by scaling population changes from the LGA to the SA2 level. Growth dynamics by age bracket from these models are also applied to all areas for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Looking forward, the suburb of Barwon Heads is projected to experience population expansion placing it in the top quarter of regional areas nationwide, with an estimated addition of 1,252 residents by 2041 based on combined SA2 figures, representing an increase of 28.9% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
188 new dwellings have been approved in Barwon Heads over the past five years, an average of 37 a year. That places the area in the 52nd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 9 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 46 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 100% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Few approvals have been recorded in the most recent months, well below the longer-run average; the latest ABS periods are still being reported. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals allocated by statistical area indicates that the suburb of Barwon Heads averages roughly 37 approved dwellings annually, with a total of 188 residential completions approved over the past 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 1 approval has been logged. Because the local population decreased recently, the volume of new completions has likely matched market demand to provide sufficient options for buyers, with new builds averaging an estimated construction value of $493,000, pointing to a focus by developers on upmarket residential projects. Additionally, commercial approvals reached $187,000 in the current financial year, reinforcing the residential focus of the locality.
When contrasted with the Rest of Vic., the suburb of Barwon Heads shows approximately half the volume of building approvals per capita, though it places in the 95th percentile of all examined locations nationally, with construction activity rising in recent times. Furthermore, all recent building permits have been for separate houses, preserving the established low-density layout of the area with spacious properties suited to families. There are roughly 51 residents for every approved dwelling, reflecting a low-density property market. Long-term forecasts suggest the suburb of Barwon Heads will gain 1,221 residents by 2041, according to the latest quarterly models from AreaSearch. Current building rates are tracking closely with this projected growth, though home buyers may experience heightened competition as the resident population rises.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Barwon Heads
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside Barwon Heads, worth an estimated $4 million. A further 74 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $9.61 billion. 24 are already under construction and 27 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning decisions, and new developments are key factors in regional performance. AreaSearch has identified 6 projects in the locality that are expected to influence the community. These developments include the 5-7 Bridge Road Mixed Use Development Site, the Barwon Heads Village Park Master Plan, the IGA Barwon Heads Redevelopment, the At The Heads Restaurant Refurbishment, and new cabins at the Barwon Heads Caravan Park, with details provided on those of highest relevance.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
5-7 Bridge Road Mixed Use Development Site
Prime 1338 sqm Commercial 1 zoned corner site in the heart of Barwon Heads town centre, listed for sale at $4,000,000. Advertised as a development opportunity suitable for a large-scale commercial and/or residential mixed-use project, subject to council approval.
IGA Barwon Heads Redevelopment
Multi-stage redevelopment which doubled the supermarket's floor area, added upgraded stockrooms, coolrooms, a new basement car park with 20 spaces, and constructed six new townhouses above the supermarket extension. The project was managed to allow the IGA to continue trading during construction.
Barwon Heads Village Park Master Plan
Long-term master plan for the 23 hectare Barwon Heads Village Park guiding staged upgrades to community sporting facilities, recreation spaces, environmental protection, accessibility and Wadawurrung cultural recognition. The City of Greater Geelong continues to implement the adopted 2021 master plan through individual capital works projects, including pavilion renewals and recreation improvements.
At The Heads Restaurant Refurbishment and Barwon Heads Caravan Park Cabins
Refurbishment and upgrade of the 'At The Heads' restaurant at the Barwon Heads jetty, including improvements to the kitchen, storage, and staff amenities, relocation of the historic 'Boot Room', and an updated public seating area. The project also delivered seven new accommodation cabins at the entrance to the adjoining Barwon Heads Caravan Park.
Barwon Coast Foreshore Master Plan
A 15-year strategic framework and master plan for managing coastal public land from Breamlea to Collendina, focusing on environmental protection, climate adaptation, trails, amenities, and infrastructure. The plan incorporates technical feedback and extensive community engagement, with the final Master Plan scheduled for release in mid-2026.
57-59 The Parade Apartments
A three-storey coastal residential development featuring 16 contemporary apartments with basement parking. The project combines modern architectural design with coastal living, offering spacious residences ranging from 94 to 188 square metres. Designed by UXD Group with landscape architecture by CDA Design Group, the development provides luxury coastal living in a prime Ocean Grove location with easy access to local amenities and Ocean Grove Beach.
Ti-Tree Village Redevelopment
Proposed redevelopment of a 5,775 sqm beachside holiday park site into luxury residential or aged care facilities. Located 250m from Ocean Grove beach with significant development potential subject to council approval. The property features 3 street frontages and favorable residential zoning.
61 Powell Street Townhouses
A boutique collection of five architecturally designed three-bedroom townhouses set across two levels in a prime Ocean Grove location. The development application has been submitted with completion expected by late 2026. Each residence features spacious open-plan layouts, contemporary finishes, and integrated outdoor areas designed for coastal lifestyle living.
1,578 residents of Barwon Heads are employed, from a labour force of 1,609. Unemployment sits at 1.9%, with participation at 45.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 3,637, about 86% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Barwon Heads features a highly qualified labor force with a strong concentration of professionals, alongside an unemployment rate of only 1.9%, according to aggregated local data. As of March 2026, there are 1,578 employed residents, representing an unemployment rate 1.8% lower than the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%, while the participation rate is notably low at 45.3% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.1%. Census details indicate that a substantial 35.3% of workers operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic restrictions. The primary employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.
The suburb of Barwon Heads shows a notable concentration in professional & technical services, with a employment share 2.1 times that of the regional benchmark. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 1.9% of local jobs compared to the regional average of 7.5%. The discrepancy between local jobs and the resident workforce suggests that local employment opportunities are somewhat limited. Analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated for the area shows that over the 12 months to March 2026, the local labor force contracted by 15.2% and the number of employed residents fell by 15.3%, while the unemployment rate remained virtually unchanged. This differs from Regional Vic., where employment fell by 0.1%, the labor force decreased by 0.3%, and the unemployment rate dropped by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide context for future labor demand. These five and ten-year forecasts have been combined with the local industry profile to estimate future trends. Nationally, employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Applying these figures to the local industry mix suggests employment among residents of the suburb of Barwon Heads could rise by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, based on a simple weighting of industry categories without adjusting for local population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Barwon Heads is $2,226 a week (about $116,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,030 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $60,054 a year against an average of $78,947. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest ATO postcode data for the financial year 2023, taxpayers in the suburb of Barwon Heads recorded a median income of $60,054 and an average income of $78,947. These figures are high on a national scale, comparing to a median of $50,954 and an average of $62,728 across Regional Vic. Based on a Wage Price Index increase of 9.62% since the financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 stand at approximately $65,831 for the median and $86,542 for the average. Census statistics show household, family, and individual incomes all rank between the 79th and 81st percentiles nationally.
Income distribution data indicates 28.2% of the population, representing 1,192 people, earn between $1,500 and $2,999, which is similar to the broader region where 30.3% of people are in this bracket. A further 37.1% of residents earn more than $3,000 weekly, pointing to affluent households that support local retail trade. After mortgage and rent payments, residents keep 88.8% of their earnings, indicating high discretionary spending, and the area is positioned in the 9th decile of the SEIFA index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Barwon Heads had 1,553 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 91% detached houses and 3% apartments. 35% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 49% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $450 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,184 a month. Rent absorbs 20.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Housing profiles in the suburb of Barwon Heads at the time of the latest Census consisted of 90.9% separate houses and 9.0% alternative housing options like townhouses and apartments, compared to Regional Vic.'s breakdown of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership was higher than the regional average, standing at 48.8%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged at 34.8% or rented at 16.4%. The median mortgage cost of $2,184 per month was higher than the Regional Vic. median of $1,430, while weekly rent averaged $450 compared to the Regional Vic.
median of $285. Nationally, mortgage costs in the suburb of Barwon Heads are higher than the Australian median of $1,863, and rents also exceed the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Barwon Heads counted 1,553 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.5 people each. 33% are couples with children, against 32% couples without children. 24% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 74.6% of all households in the suburb of Barwon Heads, consisting of couples with children at 33.2%, couples without children at 32.2%, and single parent households at 8.2%. The remaining 25.4% are non-family households, with single person households accounting for 24.1% and group households representing 1.5%. The average household size is 2.5 people, slightly higher than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
44.2% of adults in Barwon Heads hold a university qualification, including 30.4% with a bachelor degree and 8.8% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 99% of areas nationally. A further 16.3% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 426 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,117 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The proportion of residents with tertiary qualifications in the suburb of Barwon Heads is higher than wider regional averages, with 44.2% of individuals aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 21.7% in the Rest of Vic. and 28.6% across the SA4 region. This high concentration of qualifications positions the local workforce well for professional opportunities. Bachelor degrees are held by 30.4% of residents, followed by postgraduate degrees at 8.8% and graduate diplomas at 5.0%. Vocational training is also common, with 30.0% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas at 13.7% and certificates at 16.3%.
School and university participation is strong, with 33.2% of the local population enrolled in an educational institution. This group includes 13.9% in primary school, 10.2% in high school, and 4.1% in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Barwon Heads reaches 25 stops on 4 routes, timetabled for about 210 services a week. The typical home sits about 220 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport networks in the suburb of Barwon Heads feature 25 active stops. These are connected by 4 transit routes, which provide a total of 214 weekly services. Access is generally good, with the average home located 216 meters from a transit point. Because the area is primarily residential, most workers commute outside the area, with private vehicles remaining the main choice at 90% and bicycles used by 3%. Households own an average of 1.6 vehicles. A total of 35.3% of workers worked from home, based on 2021 Census data which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Transit service levels average 30 daily trips across the local routes, which represents approximately 8 weekly services per bus stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.6% of residents in Barwon Heads report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 95% of areas nationally. 2.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 58.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators show positive outcomes in the suburb of Barwon Heads, with low rates of chronic illness and low mortality rates across all age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is high, with approximately 58% of the population, or around 2,451 residents, holding cover. This compares to a rate of 50.5% across Regional Vic. The most prevalent health issues reported locally are arthritis and asthma, affecting 9.5 and 7.2% of the population, respectively. Conversely, 71.6% of residents reported having no long-term health conditions, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic. The working-age cohort shows low rates of chronic disease.
Seniors aged 65 and over make up 28.1% of the local population, totaling 1,188 people, which is higher than the Regional Vic. average of 23.9%. Health measures for this older demographic are favorable, matching the strong performance seen in the broader local community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Barwon Heads is largely Australian-born, at 89.8% of residents, with 1.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.3%) and Australian (28.9%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Barwon Heads has lower levels of cultural diversity than broader benchmarks, with citizens making up 91.2% of the population, Australian-born residents at 89.8%, and English-only speakers at 98.3%. Christianity is the most common religious affiliation, represented by 41.4% of the population. The most distinct relative overrepresentation is among those identifying as Jewish, who account for 0.1% of residents, matching the 0.1% average for Regional Vic. Looking at ancestral backgrounds, the three most common heritages in the suburb of Barwon Heads are English at 32.3%, Australian at 28.9%, and Irish at 12.5%.
Differences compared to the wider region include Scottish ancestry at 11.6% of the population compared to 8.8% regionally, Dutch ancestry at 1.7% compared to 1.7% regionally, and Welsh ancestry at 0.6% compared to 0.4% regionally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Barwon Heads is 48, older than 82% of areas nationally. That is 2 years older than at the 2021 Census. 14.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in the suburb of Barwon Heads is 48 years, which is older than the Regional Vic. median of 43 and the Australian median of 38. The largest age bracket is 45 - 54 year-olds at 15.9%, while the 25 - 34 cohort is relatively small at 5.5% compared to Regional Vic. Since the 2021 Census, the median age has increased from 46 to 48 years. Changes include the 55 to 64 bracket increasing from 13.9% to 15.8% of the population, and the 65 to 74 group rising from 14.9% to 16.6%.
Meanwhile, children aged 5 to 14 fell from 16.3% to 12.6% and residents aged 35 to 44 fell from 12.2% to 11.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 show shifts, with the 45 to 54 cohort expected to grow by 52%, adding 349 residents to reach 1,022, while the 15 to 24 cohort is projected to grow by 10%, adding 35 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Barwon Heads
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 4 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 27 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (4,353 at the 2021 Census → 4,229 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20162). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.