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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
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Sales Activity
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Sales Detail
Population
Population growth drivers in Leopold are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends
Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Leopold's population is around 14,409 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,137 people (8.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,272 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,755 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 410 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 515 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Leopold's 8.6% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of Vic. (8.1%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 41.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.
AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, a significant population increase in the top quartile of regional areas across the nation is forecast, with the area expected to expand by 4,235 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, recording a gain of 24.9% in total over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
Recent residential development output has been above average within Leopold when compared nationally
Leopold has seen around 82 new homes approved annually, with 412 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 60 so far in FY-26. At an average of 1.1 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), the market shows a good balance between supply and demand, supporting stable conditions, while new homes are being built at an average value of $267,000. There have also been $7.2 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting the area's residential character.
Relative to the Rest of Vic., Leopold has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person, placing it among the 59th percentile of areas assessed nationally. New development consists of 92.0% detached houses and 8.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low-density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 362 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low-activity development environment.
Future projections show Leopold adding 3,581 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Leopold has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally
Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 17 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Estuary Estate, Caspian Estate, Leopold Green Estate, and Allegra Estate, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Estuary Estate
Established in 2009, Estuary is a master-planned residential community near Bellarine's beaches and 10km from Geelong CBD. Originally comprising 651 lots that sold out in record time, the development has expanded with multiple phases including Estuary II (200 lots) and River Cove (225 lots). The community features sports ovals, parks, playgrounds, wetlands, sculptural art, and over 1500 residents. Stage 17 park is set to open in late 2025, with ongoing construction connecting Estuary Boulevard to Ash Road amenities.
Moolap Coastal Strategic Framework Plan
Victorian Government framework guiding renewal and land use change across northern Moolap including Point Henry and the former saltworks. DEECA is leading the Environmental Management Masterplan for the Wetlands and Former Saltworks Precinct with planning underway 2024-2026, following community consultation in Jan-Mar 2025 and release of an engagement summary in Apr 2025.
Curlewis Masterplanned Community
A masterplanned community located in Curlewis, Victoria, that is part of the larger Jetty Road Urban Growth Area Stage 2. It will feature a natural waterway, a 1-hectare park, a playground, and connections to local parks, wetlands, and the Bellarine Rail Trail. It will offer a diverse mix of lots, including elevated bay-view sites and medium-density options, all designed for 'all-electric' living. The project is being developed by APD Projects, with other developers also involved in the broader growth area.
Caspian Estate
New residential estate in Leopold offering approximately 70 residential lots ranging from 390m2 to 520m2, nestled between country and ocean on the outskirts near Lake Connewarre. The land has recently been rezoned to residential by the City of Greater Geelong, offering an exciting opportunity for new residents to create a vibrant community. Close to shopping, playgrounds, childcare, cafes, wineries, sporting clubs, and wildlife reserves.
Harriott Armstrong Creek
Master planned residential community by Jinding in Armstrong Creek, delivering a mix of land lots and architecturally designed townhomes with green corridors, Central Park, and the new Hilltop Park. Current works include the Harkness Boulevard and Barwon Heads Road signalised intersection and final landscaping at Hilltop Park. Townhome Stage 09 (Reserve Release) is underway with titles anticipated Q1 2026. Key project stats published by the developer: 626 lots across a 79ha site; gross end value $458m.
Ashbury Estate Armstrong Creek
Master-planned residential estate by Dennis Family Corporation in Armstrong Creek, offering over 1,400 homes with house and land packages. Combines natural living with modern conveniences, surrounded by parklands, nature reserves, and wetlands. Features open spaces, future community facilities, and proximity to Geelong CBD and Surf Coast.
Sanctuary Springs Estate, Leopold
Boutique residential estate in Leopold delivering approximately 536 lots with waterways, wetlands, parks and a display village. Current stages are sold out, with the next land release anticipated in 2026. The estate is developed by Granite Projects with project sales and marketing by RPM Group.
Jetty Road Urban Growth Area Stage 2
Rezoning of 150ha greenfield land to enable a major residential expansion with up to 2000 dwellings, including a mix of traditional lots, townhouses, retirement and residential village living, public open spaces, local parks, waterway reserves, trails and an extension of the foreshore reserve to support housing growth.
Employment
The employment landscape in Leopold presents a mixed picture: unemployment remains low at 3.5%, yet recent job losses have affected its comparative national standing
Leopold possesses a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, and an unemployment rate of only 3.5%. As of December 2025, 7,146 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.2% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (65.5% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 16.5% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.
The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area shows particularly strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 1.0% versus the regional average of 7.5%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.
Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.7% alongside a 0.7% employment decline, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. By comparison, Regional Vic. recorded an employment decline of 0.6%, a labour force decline of 0.7%, with unemployment falling 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Leopold. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Leopold's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Leopold SA2 is below the national average, with the median assessed at $52,458 while the average income stands at $62,091. This contrasts with Regional Vic.'s figures of a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $56,786 (median) and $67,214 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Leopold, between the 39th and 40th percentiles. Income brackets indicate the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.3% of residents (4,942 people), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.3% in the same category. After housing, 85.6% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Leopold is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region
Dwelling structure within Leopold, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 92.3% houses and 7.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Leopold slightly lagged that of Regional Vic. at 38.5%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (42.8%) or rented (18.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Regional Vic. average at $1,603, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $375, compared to Regional Vic.'s $1,430 and $285. Nationally, Leopold's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are comparable to the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Leopold has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households dominate at 74.3% of all households, comprising 31.5% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.9% and group households comprising 1.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Educational attainment in Leopold aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics
The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (19.7%) substantially below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 13.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 41.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.3%) and certificates (29.4%).
Educational participation is notably high, with 27.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Public transport analysis reveals 70 active transport stops operating within Leopold. These stops are serviced by 15 individual routes, collectively providing 1,260 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 221 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling. Some 16.5% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).
Service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Leopold is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts
Leopold faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~7,175 people). The national average is 55.7%.
The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 10.3 and 8.5% of residents, respectively, while 63.6% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 20.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,992 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Leopold ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Leopold was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 86.1% of its population born in Australia, 92.0% being citizens, and 93.1% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Leopold is Christianity, which makes up 49.6% of the population. This compares to 47.3% across Regional Vic..
In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Leopold are English, comprising 30.7% of the population, Australian, comprising 28.4% of the population, and Irish, comprising 8.9% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 2.7% of Leopold (vs 1.7% regionally), Polish at 0.9% (vs 0.5%) and Scottish at 8.8% (vs 8.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Leopold's population is slightly older than the national pattern
The 40-year median age in Leopold is modestly under Regional Vic.'s average of 43 though slightly above the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Regional Vic. average, the 25 - 34 cohort is notably over-represented (13.8% locally), while 65 - 74 year-olds are under-represented (10.7%). Since the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 12.3% to 13.8% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 12.6% to 11.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Leopold. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to grow significantly, expanding by 1,048 people (53%) from 1,992 to 3,041. The 75 to 84 group displays more modest growth at 7%, adding only 72 residents.