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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Leopold has an estimated 13,878 residents, up from 13,272 at the 2021 Census — a change of 606 people, or 4.6%. Growth has averaged 0.9% a year over five years. 411 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 497 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis conducted by AreaSearch, Leopold has a population of approximately 13,878 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 606 people (4.6%) compared to the 2021 Census, which recorded 13,272 residents. This shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 13,869 from June 2025 alongside 411 validated new addresses identified since the Census. With this population level, the density stands at 496 persons per square kilometer, indicating low-density living and potential capacity for future expansion. The 4.6% expansion since the 2021 census outpaced the Rest of Vic.
(4.3%), establishing the area as a regional growth leader. The primary driver of this demographic expansion was interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 57.0% of the total population increase, though other factors such as overseas migration and natural increase also made positive contributions. For each SA2 region, AreaSearch adopts the ABS/Geoscience Australia projections published in 2024, utilizing 2022 as the baseline year. In cases where SA2 regions lack direct coverage in this dataset, projections are derived from the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted via a weighted aggregation methodology that scales population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. The age group growth rates obtained from these aggregations are also applied across all regions for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographic trends, substantial population growth is anticipated in the top national quartile of regional areas, with this specific locality projected to grow by 4,066 persons by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing an overall increase of 29.2% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
412 new dwellings have been approved in Leopold over the past five years, an average of 82 a year. That places the area in the 62nd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 6 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 62 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 92% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 128, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Property development in Leopold has seen an average of approximately 82 new dwelling approvals annually, resulting in a total of 412 homes over the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, there have been 118 approvals documented. Given that an average of 1.4 new residents arrived per new home annually over the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, demand and supply appear to be in equilibrium, fostering steady market conditions, with new dwellings showing an average expected construction cost of $267,000. Additionally, commercial approvals during the current financial year stand at $7.2 million, which points to a minimal focus on commercial projects.
In comparison to the Rest of Vic., Leopold exhibits roughly two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per capita, placing it in the 59th percentile of analyzed areas across the country. New residential construction is dominated by detached houses at 92.0%, while attached dwellings make up 8.0%, maintaining the low-density character of the neighborhood with a focus on single-family homes that draw buyers looking for space. The estimated ratio of 368 people in the locality for each dwelling approval highlights a quiet development sector with low construction activity. Long-term forecasts indicate that Leopold will add 4,057 residents by 2041, starting from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch. Should the pace of construction remain at current levels, the supply of new housing may fail to match the incoming population, which could intensify competition among buyers and provide upward pressure on property prices.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Leopold
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Leopold, worth an estimated $721 million. A further 149 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $28.8 billion. 45 are already under construction and 54 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
The progression of a locality is heavily shaped by updates to regional infrastructure, major construction projects, and zoning plans. AreaSearch has tracked 16 projects that are anticipated to influence the area. Key residential developments include Estuary Estate, Caspian Estate, Leopold Green Estate, and Allegra Estate, with details on the most significant initiatives provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Sanctuary Springs Estate, Leopold
Boutique residential estate in Leopold delivering approximately 536 lots with waterways, wetlands, parks and a display village. Current stages are sold out, with the next land release anticipated in 2026. The estate is developed by Granite Projects with project sales and marketing by RPM Group.
Estuary Estate
Established in 2009, Estuary is a master-planned residential community near Bellarine's beaches and 10km from Geelong CBD. Originally comprising 651 lots that sold out in record time, the development has expanded with multiple phases including Estuary II (200 lots) and River Cove (225 lots). The community features sports ovals, parks, playgrounds, wetlands, sculptural art, and over 1500 residents. Stage 17C is the final stage, titling in May 2026, with ongoing construction connecting Estuary Boulevard to Ash Road amenities.
Caspian Estate
New residential estate in Leopold offering approximately 70 residential lots ranging from 390m2 to 520m2, nestled between country and ocean on the outskirts near Lake Connewarre. The land has recently been rezoned to residential by the City of Greater Geelong, offering an exciting opportunity for new residents to create a vibrant community. Close to shopping, playgrounds, childcare, cafes, wineries, sporting clubs, and wildlife reserves.
Leopold Green Estate
A fantastic residential land subdivision nestled in a popular pocket of the thriving suburb of Leopold. Prime residential allotments ranging from 300m2 to 483m2 located in an established position close to Gateway Plaza Shopping Centre. Direct access to Central Geelong, the Waterfront and the Bellarine Peninsula. Selected allotments capturing views of Corio Bay and The Bellarine Rail Trail, positioned in a popular, established area with access to local schools, wineries, restaurants, Geelong Adventure Park, and world-famous Surf Coast beaches.
Lifestyle Bellarine
Premium resort-style community for over 50s on 100 acres featuring spacious low-maintenance homes, spectacular clubhouse with indoor and outdoor pools, gym, cinema, library, stunning vistas of Port Phillip Bay and You Yangs, and exclusive beach access on the Bellarine Peninsula. Currently in final sales phase with limited homes available.
Allegra Estate
A picturesque community embodying the essence of coastal living, nestled beside future reserves and adjacent to the Bellarine Rail Trail, located 10km east of Geelong. Stage 1 construction is approximately 50% complete with 60% of Stage 1 lots already sold. Limited lots remaining with exclusive promotions available. Offers the perfect blend of coastal lifestyle and urban convenience, just 15 minutes from Ocean Grove and Barwon Heads beaches.
Moolap Coastal Strategic Framework Plan
Victorian Government framework guiding renewal and land use change across northern Moolap including Point Henry and the former saltworks. DEECA is leading the Environmental Management Masterplan for the Wetlands and Former Saltworks Precinct with planning underway.
Fathom Group Curlewis Project
A 250-lot subdivision and town centre development within the Curlewis growth area.
7,154 residents of Leopold are employed, from a labour force of 7,409. Unemployment sits at 3.4%, with participation at 64.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 11,277, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is characterized by a strong presence of skilled workers, particularly within essential services, and is supported by a low unemployment rate of 3.4%. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 7,154, with the unemployment rate sitting 0.2% below the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%, while the participation rate is relatively typical at 64.9% compared to 61.1% in Regional Vic. Census data indicates that a moderate 16.5% of the working population operated from home, though this figure may have been influenced by pandemic-related lockdowns. The major employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.
The local economy shows a high concentration of jobs in construction, representing 1.3 times the proportion seen across the wider region. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is underrepresented, employing only 1.0% of the workforce compared to the regional average of 7.5%. The relationship between the Census working population and the resident population suggests that local job opportunities within the area are relatively limited. An analysis of SALM and ABS data by AreaSearch shows that during the twelve months ending March 2026, the local labour force contracted by 0.9% and total employment fell by 0.6%, resulting in a 0.2 percentage point reduction in the unemployment rate. Over the same timeframe, Regional Vic. experienced a 0.1% drop in employment, a 0.3% contraction in the labour force, and a 0.2 percentage point decline in unemployment. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia released in May-25 offer additional context regarding potential future demand patterns in Leopold. These five- and ten-year forecasts have been aligned with the local industry profile to estimate employment trends. Nationally, employment is projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though growth rates vary widely by industry. Projecting these national industry trends onto the local workforce structure suggest Leopold's employment could grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation that does not account for local population dynamics.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Leopold is $1,589 a week (about $83,000 a year), with median personal income at $757 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,458 a year against an average of $62,091. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest postcode-level ATO statistics compiled by AreaSearch for the 2023 financial year, local incomes lag behind national averages, showing a median income of $52,458 and an average income of $62,091. By comparison, Regional Vic. recorded a median of $50,954 and an average of $62,728. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, estimated income figures as of March 2026 would be roughly $57,504 for the median and $68,064 for the average. Based on the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Leopold occupy modest positions, ranking between the 39th and 40th percentiles.
The weekly income band of $1,500 - 2,999 is the most common, accounting for 34.3% of residents (4,760 people), which aligns with metropolitan patterns where 30.3% of households fall into this group. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 85.6% of their income for other living expenses, and the area is positioned in the 5th decile of the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Leopold had 5,021 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 0% apartments. 43% are owned with a mortgage, 19% rented and 39% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $375 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,603 a month. Rent absorbs 23.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the local housing stock consisted of 92.3% standalone houses and 7.8% other dwelling types such as townhouses, apartments, or alternative structures, compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings across Regional Vic. Home ownership in Leopold was slightly lower than the Regional Vic. benchmark at 38.5%, with the remaining properties being purchased with a mortgage (42.8%) or rented (18.7%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,603, which is notably higher than the Regional Vic. median of $1,430, while weekly rent sat at $375 compared to the regional median of $285.
In a national context, Leopold's median mortgage payment is below the Australian average of $1,863, whereas the median weekly rent matches the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Leopold counted 5,021 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.5 people each. 32% are couples with children, against 30% couples without children. 24% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the vast majority of households at 74.3%, consisting of couples with children at 31.5%, couples without children at 30.1%, and single parent households at 11.6%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 25.7%, which is primarily comprised of single-person households at 23.9% and group households at 1.8%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is slightly larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
19.7% of adults in Leopold hold a university qualification, including 13.9% with a bachelor degree and 3.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 29.4% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 882 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,019 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The local area faces notable educational hurdles, with university graduation rates at 19.7%, which is considerably lower than the VIC state average of 33.4%. This gap represents a clear opportunity for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher education qualification at 13.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 3.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.7%. Vocational and technical training are highly represented, with 41.7% of residents aged 15+ holding tertiary trade qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas at 12.3% and certificates at 29.4%. The proportion of residents engaged in study is high, with 27.3% of the population currently enrolled in education.
This group includes 9.4% attending primary school, 7.3% in secondary school, and 3.6% enrolled in tertiary education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Leopold reaches 70 stops on 15 routes, timetabled for about 1,300 services a week. The typical home sits about 220 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
An analysis of public transit options shows 70 active transit stops located in Leopold. These stops are served by 15 distinct routes, which combine to support 1,260 weekly passenger journeys. Local transit access is rated as good, with residents living an average of 221 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the residential character of the suburb, most workers travel outside the area for employment, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel for 95% of commuters. Households own an average of 1.6 vehicles. Approximately 16.5% of workers worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect temporary pandemic restrictions.
Transit service frequency averages 180 journeys per day across all routes, which translates to roughly 18 weekly departures per transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.6% of residents in Leopold report no long-term health condition. 6.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Leopold presents notable public health concerns, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of local mortality rates and the prevalence of chronic illnesses, with typical health issues affecting both younger and older demographics. Additionally, the rate of private health insurance coverage is relatively low, encompassing approximately 50% of the population (~6,911 people) compared to a national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical issues reported in the region are mental health difficulties and asthma, affecting 10.3 and 8.5% of the population respectively, while 63.6% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic.
Residents of working age exhibit higher-than-average rates of chronic conditions. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 21.6% of the local population (2,994 people), which is lower than the Regional Vic. average of 23.9%. Health trends among the elderly show some challenges, with national health rankings remaining broadly consistent with the wider population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Leopold is largely Australian-born, at 86.1% of residents, with 6.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (30.7%) and Australian (28.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Leopold exhibits lower levels of cultural diversity compared to broader averages, with Australian-born residents making up 86.1% of the population, citizens comprising 92.0%, and 93.1% of people speaking only English in their homes. Christianity is the dominant religious affiliation, representing 49.6% of local residents, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. Regarding ancestral backgrounds based on parents' place of birth, the three largest ancestries in Leopold are English at 30.7% of the population, Australian at 28.4%, and Irish at 8.9%. Certain European ancestries show elevated concentrations locally compared to regional averages, with Dutch ancestry represented at 2.7% (compared to 1.7% regionally), Polish at 0.9% (compared to 0.5%), and Scottish at 8.8% (matching the regional figure of 8.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Leopold is 41. 24.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Leopold is 41 years, which is slightly below the Regional Vic. average of 43 years but higher than the national median of 38 years. The 25 - 34 age bracket is highly represented at 12.9% relative to Regional Vic., while the 65 - 74 age group is less common at 11.0%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 35 to 44 has risen from 12.3% to 13.2%, whereas the cohort aged 45 to 54 has decreased from 12.6% to 11.4%. Demographic models project that Leopold's age profile will undergo major shifts by 2041, with the 25 to 34 age bracket expected to experience the fastest growth at 58%, adding 1,048 residents to reach a total of 2,846.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Leopold
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 411 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (13,272 at the 2021 Census → 13,878 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (203021044). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.