Newcomb - Moolap

Newcomb - Moolap has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Newcomb - Moolap's population is approximately 15,212 as of May 2026. This figure reflects a decrease since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,462 people. The change is inferred from ABS estimates: 15,188 in June 2025 and an additional 113 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 351 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics project an above median growth in regional areas, with the area expected to grow by 2,119 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 13.8% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Newcomb - Moolap, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Newcomb-Moolap has seen approximately 37 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years. Between FY21 and FY25, a total of 188 homes were approved, with an additional 21 approved so far in FY26. The average construction value of these properties is $265,000.

In terms of commercial development, there have been $28.1 million in approvals during the current financial year. Comparing Newcomb-Moolap's development activity to the rest of Victoria, it is significantly lower, at 77.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties in the area. The recent construction composition in Newcomb-Moolap comprises 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% medium to high-density housing. This shift from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses at 87.0%, reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The estimated population per dwelling approval in the area is 658 people. Future projections estimate that Newcomb-Moolap will add approximately 2,094 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to match this projected population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases in the area.

Newcomb - Moolap has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 30 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Geelong Ring Road Extension (Bellarine Link), Whittington Family and Community Hub, Aldershot Reserve Improvements, and another project named Geelong Ring Road Extension (Bellarine Link). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Newcomb - Moolap face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Newcomb-Moolap has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominent essential services sectors, and an unemployment rate of 8.6% as of December 2025. The employment rate is 4.9% higher than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is lower at 57.7%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.0%.

A low 13.2% of residents work from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade has a higher representation with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.8% compared to Regional Vic.'s average of 7.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the ratio of working population to resident population.

Between December 2024 and November 2025, labour force decreased by 0.9%, employment decreased by 0.9%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In comparison, Regional Vic. recorded an employment decline of 0.6% and a labour force decline of 0.7%, with unemployment falling by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Newcomb-Moolap's local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the area's current employment mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Newcomb - Moolap SA2's median income among taxpayers in financial year 2023 was $52,306. The average income stood at $60,594 during the same period. These figures are lower than those for Regional Vic., which had a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728 in 2023. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $57,338 (median) and $66,423 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Newcomb - Moolap all fall between the 10th and 15th percentiles nationally. The largest income bracket comprises 28.1% earning $800-$1,499 weekly (4,274 residents), unlike broader area trends where 30.3% fall within the $1,500-$2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 11th percentile nationally.

Newcomb - Moolap is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Newcomb-Moolap, as per the latest Census evaluation, 86.6% of dwellings were houses, with 13.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Newcomb-Moolap stood at 34.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.4% and rented ones at 34.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,367, below Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Newcomb-Moolap was $300, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Newcomb-Moolap's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Newcomb - Moolap features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 61.5% of all households, including 19.5% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 14.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 38.5%, with lone person households at 34.7% and group households comprising 3.7%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Newcomb - Moolap fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 15.5%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 39.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 29.7%. Educational participation is high, with 25.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.3% in primary, 7.1% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.3% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 118 active transport stops operating within Newcomb - Moolap. These stops are serviced by 21 individual routes, collectively providing 2076 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 193 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward, with car being the dominant mode at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 13.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 296 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Newcomb - Moolap is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Newcomb-Moolap faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Notably, common health conditions are prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 49% (~7,484 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 11.9% and 10.4% of residents respectively. However, 56.5% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 25.0% of residents aged 65 and over (3,796 people), higher than the 23.9% in Regional Vic. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly inline with national rankings for the general population.

Newcomb - Moolap ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Newcomb-Moolap had a cultural diversity level below average, with 87.7% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (84.6%), and speaking English at home exclusively (91.4%). Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 47.1% of Newcomb-Moolap's population. Islam, however, was slightly overrepresented at 1.3%, compared to Regional Vic.'s average of 1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (30.4%), Australian (28.9%), and Irish (8.8%). Notably, Dutch (2.2%) Croatian (0.6%), and Italian (3.7%) ethnicities were overrepresented in Newcomb-Moolap compared to regional averages of 1.7%, 0.4%, and 2.9% respectively.

Newcomb - Moolap hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Newcomb-Moolap's median age is 44 years, similar to Regional Victoria's 43 and above the national average of 38 years. Compared to Regional Victoria, Newcomb-Moolap has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (8.4%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the 25-34 age group increased from 14.0% to 16.0%, while the 35-44 cohort rose from 10.4% to 11.5%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort decreased from 12.1% to 10.3%, and the 5-14 group fell from 9.6% to 8.4%. By 2041, Newcomb-Moolap's age composition is projected to change significantly. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 35%, reaching 3,267 people from 2,427. Meanwhile, the 75-84 and 15-24 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.