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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
Herne Hill has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends
Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the estimated population of Herne Hill (Vic.) as of May 2026 is around 3,471. This reflects a decrease of 36 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 3,507. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 3,471 residents using ERP data released by ABS in June 2025 and an additional 21 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,314 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.
AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, they utilise VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate a significant increase in the top quartile of national non-metropolitan areas, forecasting an addition of 868 persons to Herne Hill (Vic.) by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total gain of 25.0% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
Residential development activity is lower than average in Herne Hill according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets
Herne Hill has seen approximately 14 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 71 homes. In FY-26, so far, there have been 4 recorded approvals. The average number of new residents arriving per new home in Herne Hill between FY-21 and FY-25 is around 0.6 per year.
New construction has matched or outpaced demand during this period. Developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments, as indicated by an average dwelling value of $547,000. In FY-26, there have been $1.3 million in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Rest of Vic., Herne Hill shows significantly reduced construction, 61.0% below the regional average per person.
New development consists mainly of detached houses (83.0%) and townhouses or apartments (17.0%), preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 308 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Future projections estimate Herne Hill to add around 868 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Herne Hill (Vic.)
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
Infrastructure
Herne Hill has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally
Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified two major projects that could affect this region: Northern and Western Geelong Growth Areas; Barwon Health North; Marshall Street Social Housing Renewal; Latrobe Boulevard Riverside Development. Most relevant projects are listed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Northern and Western Geelong Growth Areas
The largest greenfield urban growth project in regional Victoria, spanning approximately 5,500 hectares across the Northern (Lovely Banks) and Western (Batesford/Fyansford) corridors. Designed to accommodate 110,000 new residents across approximately 40,000 dwellings. Four Precinct Structure Plans (PSPs) are in active preparation. Amendment C450ggee (Creamery Road PSP) completed public exhibition from 18 December 2025 to 9 February 2026 following Ministerial consent on 8 December 2025; the Standing Advisory Committee will conduct a Referral 2 hearing before the amendment can be adopted. The Elcho Road East PSP is progressing despite topographic and biodiversity challenges. Medium-term precincts (Batesford North, Elcho Road West and Heales Road West) are advancing technical studies. A revised Environmental Protection and Biodiversity Conservation (EPBC) Strategic Assessment underwent public exhibition in November-December 2025, with Council and Federal Minister endorsement expected in 2026.
South Geelong to Waurn Ponds Duplication (Geelong Line Upgrade)
The South Geelong to Waurn Ponds Duplication project duplicated 8km of track, upgraded South Geelong and Marshall stations, and rebuilt the Waurn Ponds station precinct. Key works included removing level crossings at Fyans Street and Surf Coast Highway with elevated rail bridges, upgrading signalling, and adding 500+ car spaces. The project also delivered 5km of shared user paths and 10 hectares of native landscaping. These upgrades enable 10-minute peak frequency and extra services for Marshall and Waurn Ponds. Major construction finished in August 2024, with services fully resumed.
Barwon Health North
Barwon Health North is a state-of-the-art healthcare facility providing urgent care, renal dialysis, medical imaging, pathology, and child and family services. It serves as a community-based ambulatory care hub designed to reduce pressure on University Hospital Geelong while meeting the needs of Geelong's northern suburbs. Recent expansions include the relocation of public dental services to the site to improve community access.
University Hospital Geelong Children's Emergency Department
A $20 million dedicated paediatric emergency department at University Hospital Geelong. The facility features 28 dedicated treatment spaces, including two fast-track and eight short-stay beds. It includes a separate paediatric triage system, dedicated waiting and play areas, and a calming design intended to reduce anxiety for children and families. The project was delivered by the Victorian Health Building Authority in partnership with Barwon Health and Kane Constructions.
Geelong Line Upgrade
A staged upgrade of the Geelong Line, Victoria's busiest regional passenger rail corridor, jointly funded by the Australian and Victorian Governments at a total cost of around 933.6 million dollars. Major works completed in late 2024 included the South Geelong to Waurn Ponds Duplication of around 8km of track, the rebuilding of South Geelong and Marshall stations with new buildings, second platforms and accessible overpasses, the removal of two level crossings at Fyans Street and Surf Coast Highway via elevated rail bridges, signalling upgrades, more than 5km of new shared walking and cycling paths, and the new Waurn Ponds train maintenance and stabling facility. The duplication has enabled five peak and three off-peak services per hour to Marshall and Waurn Ponds. A Stage 3 business case examining further upgrades to the 400m Geelong rail tunnel and the Barwon River rail bridge was due for completion in early 2026. The earlier Geelong Fast Rail proposal, which targeted a 50-minute Melbourne-Geelong journey, had its federal funding withdrawn in late 2023 and is not part of the delivered scope.
Geelong Renewables Terminal
GeelongPort is proposing a 25-hectare offshore wind farm terminal at its Oyster Cove site in North Geelong to support Victoria's Gippsland and Southern Ocean offshore wind zones. The brownfield site features an existing 12.3-metre-deep berth pocket requiring no dredging, and is designed to handle the marshalling, storage and assembly of wind turbine foundations and generator components. The terminal is being progressed through a streamlined environmental approvals pathway and is positioned as a cornerstone of Victoria's multi-port strategy supporting the state's target of 2 GW of offshore wind capacity by 2032, scaling to 9 GW by 2040. Forecast to generate around 4,200 direct and indirect construction jobs and 850 ongoing operational roles. In March 2026, GeelongPort signed a memorandum of understanding with The Gordon TAFE to co-develop a Renewables Research and Education Campus on the terminal site. Project timing is now tied to Victoria's first offshore wind auction, with the Request for Tender scheduled to open in August 2026 and contracts awarded before October 2026. GeelongPort has identified a pathway to operational readiness by early 2029.
Creamery Road Precinct Structure Plan
The Creamery Road Precinct Structure Plan (PSP) is the initial development within the Western Geelong Growth Area, covering 344.57 hectares. The project aims to deliver over 4,200 dwellings for approximately 11,770 residents. Key features include two primary schools, a local town center, a community hub, and significant sporting reserves. The plan emphasizes sustainable transit via a central boulevard with dedicated cycle and walking paths. A major focus is the conservation of Cowies Creek to protect the Growling Grass Frog habitat. As of February 2026, the project is undergoing a full review by the Standing Advisory Committee following a public exhibition period that concluded in early February 2026.
Northern Geelong Industrial Precinct
Development of a major employment and industrial precinct in northern Geelong to support manufacturing, logistics, and advanced manufacturing industries. The precinct will feature office buildings, technology hubs, modern industrial facilities, transport links, and utilities infrastructure to create jobs and economic growth.
Employment
The labour market in Herne Hill demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia
Herne Hill has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 3.6%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data as of December 2025. In this month, 1,989 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.1% lower than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.
Workforce participation in Herne Hill stands at 71.5%, higher than Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. Census responses indicate that 21.6% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training.
Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with only 0.7% employment compared to the regional average of 7.5%. The predominantly residential area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as suggested by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.1%, alongside a 2.2% decline in employment, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, Regional Vic. experienced an employment decline of 0.6% and a labour force decline of 0.7%, with a slight drop in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide insights into potential future demand within Herne Hill. National employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Herne Hill's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment
The suburb of Herne Hill has an income level above the national average, according to AreaSearch data from the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Herne Hill is $54,129, with an average income of $68,791. This compares to Regional Vic.'s median and average incomes of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Based on a 9.62% increase from the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes are approximately $59,336 (median) and $75,409 (average) as of March 2026. According to census data, personal income ranks at the 62nd percentile ($870 weekly), while household income is at the 30th percentile. Income distribution shows that 29.3% of individuals in Herne Hill earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (1,017 individuals), similar to the regional figure of 30.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 28th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Herne Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region
Herne Hill's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.4% houses and 28.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Herne Hill was at 27.5%, with dwellings either mortgaged (33.4%) or rented (39.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Herne Hill was $270, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Herne Hill's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Herne Hill features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size
Family households account for 55.8% of all households, including 22.7% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 44.2%, with lone person households at 40.1% and group households comprising 3.6%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
The educational profile of Herne Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics
The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 29.3%, surpassing the Rest of Vic. average of 21.7%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, held by 36.9% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (25.7%).
Educational participation is high at 25.3%, with 8.6% in primary education, 5.1% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Herne Hill has 17 active public transport stops. These are served by two routes offering a total of 363 weekly passenger trips. Residents have good access to transport, living an average of 201 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, with cars being the main mode of travel at 91%. On average, there is 1.1 vehicle per dwelling, below the regional average. In 2021, 21.6% of residents worked from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.
Across all routes, service frequency averages 51 trips per day, equating to about 21 weekly trips per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Herne Hill is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts
Herne Hill faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.
The rate of private health cover is found to be high at approximately 54% of the total population, around 1,875 people, compared to 50.5% across Regional Vic.. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 11.2 and 9.5% of residents respectively, while 65.0% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 16.5% of residents aged 65 and over, around 572 people, which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Herne Hill ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Herne Hill's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 86.7% of its population born in Australia, 91.1% being citizens, and 92.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Herne Hill, comprising 48.2% of its population. However, Judaism appears to be overrepresented compared to Regional Vic., with 0.1% of Herne Hill's population identifying as such.
The top three ancestry groups in Herne Hill are English (27.7%), Australian (27.3%), and Irish (12.0%). Notably, Scottish ancestry is also overrepresented at 9.8%, compared to the regional average of 8.8%. Dutch ancestry is similarly overrepresented at 2.0% versus Regional Vic.'s 1.7%, and Macedonian ancestry is notably higher at 0.5% compared to 0.2%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Herne Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern
Herne Hill's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Regional Vic average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 19.5% locally compared to the Regional Vic average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 8.4%. Following the census in 2021, the population of Herne Hill aged 35 to 44 has grown from 14.5% to 16.5%, while the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 11.2% to 10.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that by 2041, Herne Hill's age profile will evolve significantly. The 25 to 34 cohort is projected to grow by 43%, adding 289 residents to reach a total of 966. Conversely, the 55 to 64 group is expected to contract by 1 resident.