Herne Hill (Vic.)

Herne Hill has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The population of Herne Hill (Vic.) statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at 3,773 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 266 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,507. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 3,555 residents in Jun 2024 and validation of 20 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 2,515 persons per square kilometer, placing Herne Hill (Vic.) in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 7.6% since census is within 0.3 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 7.9%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in Herne Hill (Vic.) (SA2).

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, significant population growth is forecasted for Herne Hill (Vic.) (SA2), with an expected increase of 1,071 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 25.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Herne Hill recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Herne Hill has recorded around 14 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 71 homes approved between FY-21 and FY-25. So far in FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.1 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed annually during this period.

Demand significantly exceeds supply, which typically results in price growth and increased buyer competition. Developers focus on the premium market, with an average construction value of $547,000 for new homes. In FY-26, there have been $1.3 million in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to residential. When measured against Rest of Vic., Herne Hill shows substantially reduced construction, at 62.0% below the regional average per person.

This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. New development consists of 83.0% detached houses and 17.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 316 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth. Future projections show Herne Hill adding 958 residents by 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Herne Hill has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure. Two projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting this particular area. Notable among these are Northern and Western Geelong Growth Areas, Barwon Health North, Geelong Ring Road - Stage 4C (Heales Road to Anglesea Road), and Marshall Street Social Housing Renewal. The following list details those expected to be most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Herne Hill demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Herne Hill has an educated workforce with key sectors well represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 3.4%.

The rate is 0.4% lower than Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%, and participation is high at 68.7% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 0.7% employment versus regional 7.5%.

Labour force levels decreased by 0.3% in Herne Hill from September 2024 to September 2025, with a 0.7% employment decline causing unemployment rate rise of 0.3 percentage points. Statewide, VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year to 25-Nov-25, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts suggest Herne Hill's employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Herne Hill has an income level above the national average, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ended June 30, 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Herne Hill is $54,129, with an average income of $68,791. This compares to figures for Rest of Vic., which are $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since June 30, 2023, current estimates would be approximately $58,595 (median) and $74,466 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows personal income ranks at the 62nd percentile ($870 weekly), while household income sits at the 30th percentile. Distribution data indicates that 29.3% of individuals in Herne Hill earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (1,105 individuals), which is similar to the regional figure of 30.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 28th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fifth decile.

Herne Hill is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Herne Hill's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.4% houses and 28.6% other dwellings. Non-Metro Vic., in comparison, had 84.6% houses and 15.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Herne Hill was at 27.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.4% and rented ones at 39.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,712. The median weekly rent figure in Herne Hill was $270, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s $335. Nationally, Herne Hill's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower than the national figure of $375.

Herne Hill features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 55.8 percent of all households, including 22.7 percent couples with children, 22.5 percent couples without children, and 10.4 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 44.2 percent, with lone person households at 40.1 percent and group households comprising 3.6 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.1 people, smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Herne Hill exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 29.3%, surpassing the Rest of Vic average of 21.7%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.2% and certificates at 25.7%. Educational participation is high, with 25.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 8.6% in primary, 5.1% in secondary, and 5.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.6% in primary education, 5.1% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 17 active stops operating in Herne Hill, serving mixed bus routes. These stops are covered by two routes, offering a combined total of 363 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 201 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 51 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Herne Hill is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Herne Hill faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 54%, covering around 2,038 people. Mental health issues affect 11.2% of residents, while asthma impacts 9.5%. About 65.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.9% across the Rest of Vic. The area has 15.5% of residents aged 65 and over (584 people), lower than the 16.8% in the Rest of Vic. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Herne Hill ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Herne Hill's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 86.7% of its population born in Australia, 91.1% being citizens, and 92.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Herne Hill, making up 48.2% of people residing there. Notably, Judaism was slightly overrepresented compared to the rest of Victoria, with 0.1% of Herne Hill's population identifying as such.

The top three ancestry groups were English (27.7%), Australian (27.3%), and Irish (12.0%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences in representation: Scottish was overrepresented at 9.8%, Dutch remained the same at 2.0%, and Macedonian was slightly underrepresented at 0.5%.

Herne Hill's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Herne Hill's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Rest of Vic. average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 20.3% locally compared to the Rest of Vic. average. Conversely, those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 8.0%. This concentration of the 25-34 age group is well above the national average of 14.5%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group has grown from 18.7% to 20.3%, while the 35-44 cohort increased from 14.5% to 16.0%. Meanwhile, the 45-54 cohort declined from 11.9% to 10.3%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 11.2% to 10.1%. Demographic modeling suggests Herne Hill's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the 25-34 cohort projected to grow by 48%, adding 369 residents to reach 1,135. Conversely, the 55-64 group is expected to contract by 9 residents.