North Geelong

North Geelong lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

North Geelong's population, as of Nov 2025, is estimated at around 3,366. This reflects an increase of 141 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,225. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,312 in Jun 2024 and validation of 120 new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 682 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the North Geelong statistical area (Lv2) is forecasted to increase by 805 persons, reflecting an 18.8% gain over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees North Geelong recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

North Geelong recorded approximately 38 residential property approvals per year over the past five financial years ending June 2021. This totals an estimated 190 homes. As of July 2026, seven approvals have been recorded in this financial year. The area has experienced population decline, with new supply likely keeping pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $548,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In the current financial year, $65.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to the rest of Victoria, North Geelong shows moderately higher construction activity, at 11.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period ending June 2021. This preserves reasonable buyer options while sustaining existing property demand, though construction activity has eased recently. This is substantially higher than the national average, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 29.0% detached houses and 71.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift towards compact living that offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 82.0% houses. North Geelong reflects a low density area, with approximately 130 people per approval. Future projections show North Geelong adding 634 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, released in Q2 2022). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

North Geelong has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects that could affect the region. Notable ones include Northern Geelong Industrial Precinct, 340-344 Melbourne Road Retail Redevelopment, Geelong Hydrogen Hub, and Bell Park / Bell Post Hill Enhanced Early Years and Community Hub. The following list outlines those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in North Geelong lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

North Geelong has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate as of September 2025 is 6.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

At this time, 1,558 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.5% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in North Geelong is somewhat lower at 55.1%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key industries of employment among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Finance & insurance has an employment share that is 2.1 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.6% compared to the regional average of 7.5%.

There are 1.6 workers for every resident in North Geelong, indicating it functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.7% alongside a 1.1% employment decline, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points in North Geelong. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest national employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Geelong's employment mix suggests local employment should also increase by similar percentages over these periods, assuming constant population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, North Geelong had a median taxpayer income of $55,571 and an average income of $68,051. These figures align with national averages and are higher than those in Rest of Vic., which stood at $50,954 (median) and $62,728 (average). Based on Wage Price Index growth from June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income for North Geelong is approximately $60,156, with average income around $73,665. Census data from 2021 shows incomes in North Geelong ranked modestly, between the 34th and 35th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The dominant income bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, with 31.1% of residents (1,046 people). This is similar to surrounding regions where 30.3% fall into this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in North Geelong, with only 83.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 34th percentile.

North Geelong is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In North Geelong, as per the latest Census evaluation, 82.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 18.0% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 84.6% houses and 15.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Geelong stood at 26.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.8% and rented ones at 41.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,625, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,712. The median weekly rent in North Geelong was $315, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $335. Nationally, North Geelong's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

North Geelong features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 61.9% of all households, including 26.2% couples with children, 21.7% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 38.1%, with lone person households at 32.9% and group households at 4.9%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

North Geelong demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Geelong's educational qualifications trail regional benchmarks, with 25.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to Victoria's state average of 33.4%. The most common qualification is bachelor degrees at 16.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.0%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 34.6% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.2%) and certificates (23.4%). Educational participation is high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (9.0%), secondary (7.1%), and tertiary education (5.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.0% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Geelong has 35 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 7 different routes that together facilitate 1,667 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents on average located 205 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 238 trips per day across all routes, translating to roughly 47 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in North Geelong is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

North Geelong faces significant health challenges, affecting both younger and older age groups.

The rate of private health cover in this area is approximately 54%, or around 1,808 people, which is higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues are the most prevalent condition, impacting 12.7% of residents, followed by arthritis at 9.8%. Conversely, 58.5% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 65.9% in Rest of Vic. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 22.7% or 764 people, compared to the state average of 16.8%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly reflective of the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in North Geelong was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Geelong had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 28.0% of its population born overseas and 24.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in North Geelong, accounting for 49.7% of people. However, the category 'Other' showed significant overrepresentation, comprising 2.0% of North Geelong's population compared to 1.2% across Victoria.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian at 23.1%, English at 22.8%, and Other at 9.9%. Notably, Croatian (3.9%), Polish (1.6%) and Hungarian (0.6%) ethnicities were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.5%, 0.8% and 0.3% respectively.

North Geelong's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in North Geelong as of 2021 is 39 years, which is lower than Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but aligns with Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Vic., North Geelong has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (19.4%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (7.1%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, North Geelong's median age decreased by one year, from 40 to 39, indicating a shift towards a younger demographic. Key changes include an increase in the proportion of residents aged 25-34, from 16.6% to 19.4%, and an increase in the 35-44 age group, from 12.3% to 13.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5-14 decreased from 10.8% to 9.4%, and the proportion aged 65-74 dropped from 9.3% to 8.0%. Demographic projections suggest that North Geelong's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 25-34 age group projected to grow strongly, increasing by 296 people (45%) from 653 to 950. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 65-74 age groups.