Wallington

Wallington lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, as of Nov 2025, Wallington's estimated population is around 1,955. This reflects a growth of 440 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,515. This increase represents a 29.0% rise from the previous census figure. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 1,925, following examination of ABS's ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of additional 24 new addresses since the Census date. Wallington's population density is approximately 53 persons per square kilometer. This growth rate exceeds both the non-metro area average (7.9%) and the national average, positioning Wallington as a growth leader regionally.

Interstate migration contributed significantly to this growth, accounting for around 64.0% of overall population gains in recent periods. However, all factors including overseas migration and natural growth were positive contributors. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Future projections anticipate exceptional growth for Wallington, placing it in the top 10 percent of Australia's regional areas. By 2041, based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the area is expected to increase by 819 persons, reflecting a total gain of 24.0% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Wallington recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Wallington has seen approximately 23 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 116 homes. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.7 people move to the area per year for each new dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand dynamics. The average construction cost value for new dwellings is $653,000, suggesting a focus on premium properties.

Commercial approvals this financial year amount to $435,000, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Wallington has 11.0% less building activity per person but ranks at the 63rd percentile nationally, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 77.0% detached houses and 23.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character while introducing more diverse housing options. With around 228 people per dwelling approval, Wallington shows a developing market with population forecasts indicating an increase of 470 residents by 2041. Current construction levels should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Population forecasts indicate Wallington will gain 470 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Wallington has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are SALT Business Park, Kingston Ocean Grove Estate, Bellarine Peninsula Tourism Infrastructure, and Drysdale Sporting Precinct Stage 2. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Wallington shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Wallington has a skilled workforce with a notable construction sector, an unemployment rate of 2.4% as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of September 2025823 residents are employed at a rate 1.4% lower than Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%, with similar workforce participation rates of 57.4%.

Key employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction is particularly prominent, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 3.1% compared to the regional 7.5%. The area hosts more jobs than residents, with a worker-to-resident ratio of 1.2. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Wallington's labour force decreased by 0.2%, employment fell by 0.6%, leading to an unemployment rate increase of 0.4 percentage points.

State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with a state unemployment rate of 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wallington's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 6.4% in five years and 13.2% in ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Wallington's income level is lower than average nationally. According to AreaSearch aggregated ATO data for FY2023, Wallington's median income among taxpayers was $46,875 and the average was $63,191. Comparatively, Rest of Vic.'s figures were $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY2023, current estimates for Wallington would be approximately $50,742 (median) and $68,404 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 data shows household incomes rank at the 88th percentile ($2,410 weekly), while personal income ranks lower at the 39th percentile. Distribution data indicates that the largest segment comprises 26.0% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (508 residents), consistent with broader trends across the region showing 30.3% in the same category. Notably, a significant 40.3% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting pockets of prosperity driving robust local economic activity. After housing costs, residents retain 90.0% of income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Wallington is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Wallington's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were all houses with none being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro Vic., where 93% of dwellings were houses and 7% were other types. Home ownership in Wallington stood at 50%, with mortgaged properties at 42.5% and rented ones at 7.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,205, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,950. The median weekly rent in Wallington was $325, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s $402. Nationally, Wallington's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,205 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $325 compared to the national figure of $375.

Wallington features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.0% of all households, including 45.8% that are couples with children, 29.8% that are couples without children, and 8.0% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.0%, with lone person households at 13.6% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Wallington exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Wallington's educational qualifications lag behind regional benchmarks, with 26.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding university degrees compared to the Victorian average of 33.4%. This discrepancy suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement in the area. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 16.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 35.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.8% while certificates make up 22.9%.

Educational participation is notably high in Wallington, with 30.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.8% in secondary education, 9.4% in primary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wallington has 12 active public transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes that together facilitate 177 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is limited, with residents typically residing 679 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 25 trips per day across all routes, translating to around 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Wallington is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Wallington faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 52% of the total population (~1,013 people), compared to 57.1% across Rest of Vic..

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 9.5% of residents and arthritis impacting 8.9%. A total of 65.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.8% across Rest of Vic.. Wallington has 27.1% of residents aged 65 and over (529 people), higher than the 24.2% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly inline with the general population's health profile.

Wallington is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Wallington, surveyed in 2016, had a predominantly Australian-born population with 86.1% born there, and 90.1% being citizens. English was the primary language spoken at home by 95.5%. Christianity was the dominant religion, practiced by 53.2%, compared to 45.3% in Rest of Vic..

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.9%), Australian (27.7%), and Scottish (10.5%). Notably, Dutch (1.8%) and Croatian (1.0%) ethnicities were overrepresented compared to regional averages, while Irish ethnicity was slightly underrepresented at 10.4%.

Wallington hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Wallington's median age in 2021 was 48 years, which is older than Rest of Vic.'s 43 and significantly higher than Australia's median age of 38. The age profile showed that the 45-54 year-olds were particularly prominent at 15.1%, while the 25-34 group was smaller at 5.7% compared to Rest of Vic.. Post-2021 Census data indicated that the 15-24 age group had grown from 12.3% to 13.7% and the 75-84 cohort increased from 7.4% to 8.5%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 14.3% to 12.7%. Demographic modeling suggested that Wallington's age profile would evolve significantly by 2041. The 45-54 age cohort was projected to grow steadily, increasing by 96 people (33%) from 295 to 392. In contrast, the 65-74 cohort showed minimal growth of just 5% (14 people).