Wallington

Wallington lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the estimated population of Wallington as of Feb 2026 is around 1,951. This reflects an increase of 436 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,515. The change is inferred from the resident population estimate of 1,925 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 52 persons per square kilometer. Wallington's growth rate of 28.8% since the 2021 census exceeded Rest of Vic.'s 8.1% and the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 64.0%. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation method from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period, placing Wallington in the top 10 percent of Australia's regional areas. The area is expected to increase by 926 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 46.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Wallington recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Wallington had approximately 23 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 115 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 10 approvals recorded. On average, about 1.7 people moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting a balance between supply and demand in the market. The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $653,000, indicating a focus on premium properties.

In FY-26, there have been $435,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting Wallington's residential nature. Compared to Rest of Vic., Wallington has 14.0% less building activity per person but ranks at the 63rd percentile nationally, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 77.0% detached houses and 23.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character while diversifying housing options. This represents a shift from Wallington's existing housing stock, which is currently 100.0% houses. With around 228 people per dwelling approval, Wallington shows signs of a developing market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area will gain approximately 900 residents by 2041. Current construction levels should meet housing demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Wallington has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 17 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are SALT Business Park, Kingston Ocean Grove Estate, Bellarine Peninsula Tourism Infrastructure, and Drysdale Sporting Precinct Stage 2. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Wallington shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Wallington has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. As of December 2025831 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.5%. This is below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, but workforce participation lags at 51.8% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%.

A significant portion, 31.2%, of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Dominant employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction is notably specialized with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 3.1% compared to 7.5% regionally. There are 1.2 workers for every resident, indicating Wallington functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.4%, employment fell by 0.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wallington's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Wallington's income level is lower than average nationally according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The suburb's median income among taxpayers is $46,875 and the average income stands at $63,191. These figures compare with Regional Vic.'s median income of $50,954 and average income of $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Wallington would be approximately $50,742 (median) and $68,404 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household incomes rank at the 88th percentile ($2,410 weekly), while personal income ranks lower at the 39th percentile. Distribution data indicates that the largest segment comprises 26.0% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (507 residents), consistent with broader regional trends showing 30.3% in the same category. Notably, 40.3% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting prosperity that drives local economic activity. After housing costs, residents retain 90.0% of income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Wallington is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Wallington's housing structure, as per the latest Census, was 100.0% houses with 0.0% other dwellings. This contrasts with Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wallington stood at 50.0%, with mortgaged properties at 42.5% and rented ones at 7.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,205, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Wallington was $325, lower than Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Wallington's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,205 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $325 against the national figure of $375.

Wallington features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.0% of all households, consisting of 45.8% couples with children, 29.8% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.0%, with lone person households at 13.6% and group households comprising 2.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Wallington exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Wallington lag behind regional benchmarks. As of 2021, 26.6% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to the Victorian average of 33.4%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 35.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (22.9%). Educational participation is high, with 30.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2020 census. This includes 11.8% in secondary education, 9.4% in primary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Wallington has 12 operational public transport stops. These are served by three distinct routes, offering a total of 177 weekly passenger trips. Residents' access to transport is considered limited, with an average distance of 679 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, with cars being the primary mode of transportation at 92%. On average, there are 2.4 vehicles per dwelling, which exceeds the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 31.2% of residents work from home, a figure possibly influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 25 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Wallington is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Wallington shows above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low in Wallington, with approximately 52% of the total population (~1,011 people) having it. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.5 and 8.9% of residents respectively. 65.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. The under-65 population in Wallington has better than average health outcomes. The area has 27.3% of residents aged 65 and over (532 people), which is higher than the 23.9% in Regional Vic. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Wallington is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Wallington's population was found to be predominantly Australian-born, with 86.1% having been born in Australia. This is lower than the regional average of 88%. Additionally, 90.1% of Wallington residents were citizens, and 95.5% spoke English only at home.

Christianity was identified as the primary religion in Wallington, with 53.2% adhering to it, compared to the Regional Vic average of 47.3%. The top three ancestral groups based on country of birth of parents were English (31.9%), Australian (27.7%), and Scottish (10.5%). Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented in Wallington at 1.8%, compared to the regional average of 1.7%. Similarly, Croatian ancestry was higher than the regional average at 1.0% versus 0.4%, and Irish ancestry stood at 10.4%, slightly above the regional average of 9.7%.

Wallington hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Wallington's median age of 48 years is notably older than Regional Vic.'s 38 and significantly higher than the Australian median of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 45-54 are particularly prominent, making up 15.1% of the population, while the 25-34 group comprises only 6.3%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.3% to 13.9%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 7.4% to 8.6%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 14.3% to 12.6%, and the 5-14 group has dropped from 13.0% to 11.8%. Demographic modeling suggests that Wallington's age profile will undergo significant changes by 2041, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to expand considerably, increasing by 172 people (59%) from 294 to 467.