Point Lonsdale

Point Lonsdale lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Point Lonsdale's population is estimated at around 4,495 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 707 people (18.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,788 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,930, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 147 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 318 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. The suburb's 18.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the Rest of Vic. (8.1%), along with the national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 86.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of non-metropolitan areas nationally is projected, with the suburb expected to expand by 1,007 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 9.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Point Lonsdale among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Point Lonsdale has seen approximately 66 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 333 homes. As of FY26, 19 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.3 people per year have moved to the area with each new home constructed between FY21 and FY25. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $906,000, indicating a focus on premium market segment properties.

This financial year has seen around $15.3 million in commercial approvals, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Point Lonsdale maintains similar construction rates per person, suggesting regional market stability. However, recent activity has eased slightly. Construction activity is above national averages, indicating strong developer confidence in the area.

Recent construction comprises 93% detached houses and 7% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low density character with a focus on family homes. With around 95 people per dwelling approval, Point Lonsdale exhibits growth area characteristics. Future projections estimate an addition of 442 residents by 2041. Current construction levels should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Point Lonsdale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Seven projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. Key projects include Point Lonsdale Lighthouse Reserve Restoration and Revitalisation, Coles Supermarket Point Lonsdale, Queenscliff Feeder Main Replacement and Upgrade, and The Point.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Point Lonsdale shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Point Lonsdale has a highly educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate as of December 2025 was 2.2%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. During this period, 1,667 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate 1.5% lower than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

However, workforce participation lagged significantly at 49.5%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Census responses indicated that 34.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key industries of employment among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training, with a particularly strong specialization in professional & technical services (2.0 times the regional level). Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employed just 1.6% of local workers, below Regional Vic.'s 7.5%.

The area appeared to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 1.0%, alongside a 1.4% employment decline, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.4 percentage points. This contrasted with Regional Vic., where employment fell by 0.6%, labour force contracted by 0.7%, and unemployment fell by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offered insights into potential future demand within Point Lonsdale. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, estimated that national employment would expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Point Lonsdale's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, although these were simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes and did not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Point Lonsdale had a median taxpayer income of $47,718 and an average income of $78,916. These figures are higher than the national averages of $50,954 and $62,728 in Regional Vic. respectively. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 8.25%, the median income is estimated at approximately $51,655 and the average at $85,427. The 2021 Census shows personal income ranks at the 55th percentile ($833 weekly) and household income at the 38th percentile. Income distribution indicates that 28.7% of locals fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region's 30.3%. Housing costs allow for 88.8% retention, but disposable income is below average at the 45th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Point Lonsdale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Point Lonsdale's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.7% houses and 12.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Point Lonsdale stood at 61.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.6% and rented ones at 14.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Point Lonsdale was $420, significantly lower than the national figure of $375.

Point Lonsdale features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.3% of all households, including 19.9% couples with children, 42.9% couples without children, and 5.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.7%, with lone person households at 30.6% and group households at 0.4%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Point Lonsdale places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Point Lonsdale's educational attainment significantly exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 43.5% possess university qualifications, compared to 21.7% in the rest of Victoria and 28.6% in the SA4 region. This high level of educational attainment positions Point Lonsdale favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 29.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.4%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 14.5% and certificates at 15.7%.

Notably, 22.3% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.0% in primary education, 5.4% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Point Lonsdale has 25 active public transport stops serving three different routes. These routes collectively facilitate 177 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 252 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outside Point Lonsdale, primarily by car at a rate of 94%. The area has an average vehicle ownership of 1.3 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 34.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency across all routes averages 25 trips per day, equating to approximately seven weekly trips per stop.

Point Lonsdale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Point Lonsdale's health outcomes data shows excellent results, with AreaSearch finding very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is approximately 58%, or about 2,605 people, compared to 50.5% in Regional Victoria.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (12.7%) and mental health issues (7.3%). A total of 61.7% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 63.4% across Regional Vic. The under-65 population has better-than-average health outcomes. Point Lonsdale has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (45%, or 2,022 people), compared to Regional Victoria's 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors in Point Lonsdale are strong, broadly in line with national rankings.

Point Lonsdale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Point Lonsdale had a cultural diversity below average, with 88.3% of its population born in Australia, 90.9% being citizens, and 96.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 50.4% of Point Lonsdale's population. However, Judaism was overrepresented, comprising 0.2% compared to Regional Vic's 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (35.3%), Australian (25.0%), and Irish (12.7%). Notably, Scottish (11.9%) and Hungarian (0.4%) were overrepresented, while Dutch (1.8%) was slightly more prevalent than regionally (1.7%).

Point Lonsdale ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Point Lonsdale's median age of 60 years is notably higher than Regional Vic.'s 43 and well above Australia's median of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 make up a significant portion (21.8%), while the 25-34 group is relatively smaller at 6.3%, compared to Regional Vic.. This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above Australia's national average of 9.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 14.7% to 16.7% of the population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 14.8% to 12.2%, and the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 9.9% to 8.6%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Point Lonsdale's age structure. The 85+ age cohort is projected to increase by 119 people (41%), from 292 to 412. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.