Blairgowrie

Blairgowrie lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, Blairgowrie's population is estimated at around 2,705, reflecting a decrease of 81 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,786. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 2,674 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of three new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 430 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Blairgowrie has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, Blairgowrie is expected to record an above median population growth of national statistical areas, increasing by 590 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 20.7% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Blairgowrie according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Blairgowrie recorded approximately 24 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 120 homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded. On average, 1.8 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, this figure increased to 10 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, reflecting Blairgowrie's growing popularity and potential supply constraints. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $1,271,000, targeting the premium market with high-end developments.

This year, $2.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Blairgowrie exhibits 72.0% higher construction activity per person. Recent development has consisted entirely of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population count is 712 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet, low-activity development environment.

By 2041, Blairgowrie is projected to grow by 559 residents (latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Blairgowrie has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 29thth percentile nationally

No changes were identified by AreaSearch that could influence the area's performance. Key projects include Geelong Renewable Energy Zone, Corridor Preservation For Melbourne Outer Metropolitan Ring Road/E6, Level Crossing Removal Project, and Additional VLocity Trains.

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Blairgowrie ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Blairgowrie has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 1.9% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 1.6%. As of December 2025, 1,262 residents were employed at a 2.9% lower unemployment rate than Greater Melbourne's 4.8%.

Workforce participation was 52.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Home workership stood at 39.1%. Key industries included construction, professional & technical services, and retail trade. Construction employment was particularly high at 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance had lower representation at 9.2% versus the regional average of 14.2%. Employment opportunities appeared limited locally, with a lower Census working population vs resident population count. Between December 2024 and 2025, employment increased by 1.6%, labour force by 1.5%, reducing unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. In Greater Melbourne, employment grew by 2.4%, labour force expanded by 2.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May-25) project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blairgowrie's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Blairgowrie had a median income among taxpayers of $47,906. The average income stood at $82,442. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the Greater Melbourne averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Blairgowrie would be approximately $51,858 (median) and $89,243 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Blairgowrie rank modestly, between the 35th and 46th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 27.0% of residents (730 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 32.8% similarly occupy this range. Housing costs are manageable with 88.2% retained, but disposable income is below average at the 40th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Blairgowrie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Blairgowrie, as per the latest Census, 98.9% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 1.1% being semi-detached, apartments, or 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's figures of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blairgowrie stood at 60.1%, with mortgaged properties at 25.4% and rented dwellings at 14.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average, while median weekly rent was $400 compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Blairgowrie's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Blairgowrie has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.6% of all households, including 18.9% couples with children, 43.6% couples without children, and 5.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 29.8% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Blairgowrie demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 32.8% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 23.5% and the SA3 area rate of 25.0%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 22.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 35.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 15.7% and certificates at 20.2%.

A substantial 22.6% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, including 7.3% in primary education, 6.5% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 35 operational transport stops in Blairgowrie, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by two distinct routes, collectively facilitating 306 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically situated 310 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward, with car being the primary mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. A significant 39.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census; potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 43 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Blairgowrie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results for Blairgowrie, with AreaSearch's assessment finding very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 59% of the total population (1,605 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 11.7 and 7.6% of residents respectively, while 63.8% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are generally typical. The area has 45.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,228 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Blairgowrie ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blairgowrie had a cultural diversity below average, with 87.8% citizens, 85.4% born in Australia, and 94.8% speaking English only at home as of the latest data. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 48.0%. Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

In terms of ancestry, Blairgowrie had notably higher percentages for English (33.5%), Australian (25.6%), and Irish (11.6%) than regional averages. Other ethnic groups with notable divergences included Scottish at 10.6%, Polish at 0.9%, and Russian at 0.4%.

Blairgowrie ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Blairgowrie's median age in the 2021 Census was 59, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and substantially exceeding the national norm of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Blairgowrie had a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (23.7%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (4.4%). This concentration of 65-74 year-olds was well above the national figure of 9.5%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, Blairgowrie's population aged 75 to 84 grew from 12.7% to 17.2%, while those aged 85+ increased from 3.0% to 4.5%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 45 to 54 decreased from 11.6% to 10.2%, and those aged 25 to 34 dropped from 5.7% to 4.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Blairgowrie's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 49%, reaching 691 people from the current figure of 465. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, comprising 86% of projected population growth. Conversely, both the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.