Blairgowrie

Blairgowrie lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Blairgowrie is estimated at approximately 2,664 as of May 2026. This figure reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,786 people. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated since the census date. The resident population in Blairgowrie was estimated at 2,663 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional two validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 423 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Blairgowrie has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%, outperforming the SA3 area.

Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth during this period. AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, the suburb is expected to experience above median population growth, with an increase of 501 persons projected by 2041, reflecting a gain of 18.8% in total over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Blairgowrie, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Blairgowrie has recorded approximately 24 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 120 homes. In FY-26 so far, 2 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25 is 0.2, indicating that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand.

This offers ample buyer choice and creates capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new homes is $1,271,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $2.6 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Blairgowrie shows 69.0% higher construction activity per person, creating greater choice for buyers, though recent construction activity has eased.

Recent development has comprised entirely of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated count of 670 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Looking ahead, Blairgowrie is expected to grow by 500 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Blairgowrie has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 29thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting this area. Notable projects include Geelong Renewable Energy Zone, Corridor Preservation For Melbourne Outer Metropolitan Ring Road/E6, Level Crossing Removal Project, and Additional VLocity Trains, with the following list specifying those likely to be most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Blairgowrie demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Blairgowrie has a well-educated workforce. Its professional services sector is strongly represented, with an unemployment rate of 2.0% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.7%.

Compared to Greater Melbourne's unemployment rate of 4.8%, Blairgowrie's rate is 2.7% lower. However, workforce participation lags behind Greater Melbourne's rate by 18.7 percentage points (51.2% vs 69.9%). According to Census responses in December 2025, 39.1% of residents work from home. Key industries of employment among residents are construction, professional & technical services, and retail trade.

Blairgowrie has a significant employment specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 9.2%, compared to the regional average of 14.2%. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 0.7% while labour force increased by 0.6%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4%, labour force expand by 2.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blairgowrie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Blairgowrie had a median taxpayer income of $47,906 and an average income of $82,442. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $52,515 (median) and $90,373 (average), based on a 9.62% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census 2021 income data ranks Blairgowrie modestly for household, family, and personal incomes, between the 35th and 46th percentiles. The dominant income bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, with 27.0% of residents (719 people). This pattern is similar to the surrounding region, where 32.8% occupy this range. Housing costs are manageable with 88.2% retained, but disposable income ranks below average at the 40th percentile. Blairgowrie's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Blairgowrie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Blairgowrie, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 98.9% houses and 1.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blairgowrie was at 60.1%, with the remainder either mortgaged (25.4%) or rented (14.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Blairgowrie was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Blairgowrie's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Blairgowrie has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 68.6% of all households, including 18.9% couples with children, 43.6% couples without children, and 5.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 29.8% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Blairgowrie demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 32.8%, higher than the SA4 region average of 23.5% and the SA3 area average of 25.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 15.7% and certificates at 20.2%.

A total of 22.6% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 7.3% in primary, 6.5% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blairgowrie has 35 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two routes that together provide 306 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Blairgowrie is rated as good, with residents typically located 310 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its primarily residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 39.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 43 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

Blairgowrie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Blairgowrie's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 59% of the total population (1,580 people), compared to 56.7% in Greater Melbourne.

The most common conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 11.7 and 7.6% respectively. 63.8% of residents reported no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among working-age residents are typical. Blairgowrie has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 42.0%, compared to 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Senior health outcomes rank broadly in line with the general population nationally.

Blairgowrie ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blairgowrie, as per the 2016 Census, had a cultural diversity index below average. Its population was predominantly Australian citizens (87.8%), born in Australia (85.4%), and speaking English only at home (94.8%). Christianity was the primary religion (48.0%).

Judaism, however, was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne (0.2% vs 1.0%). For ancestry, Blairgowrie had notably higher percentages of English (33.5%, regional average: 20.1%), Australian (25.6%, regional average: 18.4%), and Irish (11.6%, regional average: 6.5%) heritage. Other ethnic groups with notable representation included Scottish (10.6% vs regional 5.6%), Polish (0.9% vs regional 0.8%), and Russian (0.4% vs regional 0.4%).

Blairgowrie ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Blairgowrie is 58 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and also above the national norm of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Blairgowrie has a notably higher proportion of people aged 65-74 (21.7% locally versus an average), while those aged 25-34 are under-represented (4.9%). The concentration of people aged 65-74 in Blairgowrie is well above the national figure of 9.4%. Between 2021 and now, the proportion of people aged 75 to 84 has grown from 12.7% to 15.6%, while those aged 85+ increased from 3.0% to 4.7%. Conversely, the proportion of people aged 65-74 has declined from 23.1% to 21.7%, and the proportion of children aged 0-4 has dropped from 4.4% to 3.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Blairgowrie. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 51%, adding 213 residents to reach a total of 629. Senior residents aged 65+ will drive 89% of population growth, highlighting the trend towards an aging population. Conversely, both the 15-24 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.