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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Armstrong Creek (Vic.) has an estimated 17,550 residents, up from 11,247 at the 2021 Census — a change of 6,303 people, or 56.0%. Growth has averaged 12.2% a year over five years, faster than 98% of areas nationally. 3,217 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 80.0% of that increase. That puts 957 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on examination of ABS demographic data updates for the wider region and new addresses verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Armstrong Creek (Vic.) is estimated to have a population of approximately 17,550 in May 2026. This represents a growth of 6,303 people (56.0%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 11,247 residents. The shift is calculated from a resident population of 17,502, estimated by AreaSearch after analyzing the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) and incorporating an additional 3,217 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population size results in a density of 956 persons per square kilometer, which aligns closely with typical averages recorded across areas evaluated by AreaSearch.
The 56.0% growth rate in the suburb of Armstrong Creek (Vic.) since the 2021 census was higher than the Rest of Vic. (4.3%) and the SA4 region, establishing it as a regional growth leader. Population expansion was mostly propelled by interstate migration, which accounted for approximately 80.0% of the total demographic gains in recent times, though all other contributors, including natural increase and overseas migration, remained positive. AreaSearch incorporates ABS and Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 locality, published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline year. For any SA2 regions lacking this coverage, AreaSearch employs the 2023 Regional/LGA projections from the VIC State Government, adjusted by applying a weighted aggregation methodology to scale population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Age group growth rates derived from these aggregations are also applied across all regions for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic trends indicate exceptional expansion, ranking in the top 10 percent of regional areas nationwide, with the suburb of Armstrong Creek (Vic.) projected to add 18,070 residents by 2041 according to aggregated SA2-level forecasts, representing an overall increase of 102.7% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
3,659 new dwellings have been approved in Armstrong Creek (Vic.) over the past five years, an average of 731 a year. That places the area in the 96th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 42 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 691 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 95% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 638, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Based on analysis of ABS building approvals allocated from statistical area data, Armstrong Creek has seen an average of approximately 731 new home approvals annually, with an estimated 3,659 dwellings approved over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 585 during the current FY-26. An average of 2.1 people moved to the area per new dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating strong demand to help sustain property values, with new construction showing an average value of $453,000, pointing to a developer emphasis on the premium market with upmarket dwellings.
Furthermore, commercial approvals have reached $17.8 million this financial year, indicating a moderate level of non-residential development. Recent residential construction consists of 95.0% separate houses and 5.0% townhouses or units, maintaining the traditional low-density profile of the area with an emphasis on spacious family properties. The locality averages approximately 29 people per dwelling approval, which points to a growing market. Looking forward, Armstrong Creek is projected to add 18,022 residents by 2041 (starting from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch). At current construction velocities, the supply of new housing is anticipated to satisfy demand, creating favorable purchasing conditions and potentially supporting growth beyond current demographic forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Armstrong Creek (Vic.)
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 14 current infrastructure and development projects inside Armstrong Creek (Vic.), worth an estimated $4.05 billion. A further 60 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $22.1 billion. 27 are already under construction and 30 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major works, and planning changes play a significant role in shaping local performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 24 projects expected to influence the locality. Major initiatives include Harriott Armstrong Creek, Warralily Quarter, Glenlee, and the Armstrong Creek Mixed Use Precinct (465 Surf Coast Highway), with the following list detailing those of primary relevance.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Warralily Quarter
Warralily Quarter is an 8,000sqm neighbourhood convenience centre developed by Oreana Property Group. The precinct features 1,700sqm of retail space including a Coles supermarket, SNAP 24/7 Fitness, and specialty shops. It also includes a 130-place Aspire Early Education & Kindergarten centre. The development is designed to complement the adjacent Village Warralily and serve the rapidly growing Armstrong Creek community.
Armstrong Creek Town Centre
A $1 billion master-planned precinct serving as the civic, commercial, and retail heart of the Armstrong Creek growth area. Construction is well advanced on the $89 million Tarratarra Stadium (Armstrong Creek Sports Centre), featuring four indoor multi-sport courts and a civic plaza. The broader masterplan incorporates extensive retail, commercial, medical space, and residential dwellings to support the growing regional population.
Armstrong Creek Mixed Use Precinct
A 4.96 ha mixed-use development site opposite Armstrong Creek Town Centre with a 420m frontage to Surf Coast Highway. Sold in August 2025 to an undisclosed buyer by Stonebridge and Colliers. The site has an existing development approval for 43 townhouses on two of its three lots. Future potential exists for additional residential, retail, and commercial uses subject to new planning permits.
Harriott Townhomes
Premium turn-key townhomes at Harriott Estate featuring 2, 3 and 4 bedroom configurations with no body corporate fees and individual wall construction. The 164-townhome precinct includes modern finishes, luxury upgrades, and quality inclusions. Located between Harkness Reserve and Central Park, just 250m from Warralily Village shopping centre with Woolworths and Aldi, and 500m from Armstrong Creek School and Oberon High School. First 45 townhomes commenced construction in June 2025 with completion expected by September 2026.
Warralily Estate Armstrong Creek
Master-planned residential community by Newland Developers with approximately 4500 residential lots across the Warralily Coast and Warralily Grange precincts. The estate is centred on the rejuvenated Armstrong Creek, with 82 hectares of open space, 30 kilometres of hike and bike trails, and over 1 million trees planted. Warralily is already home to a thriving community of over 10,000 residents, with schools, a childcare centre, sporting facilities, and the Warralily Village shopping centre (Woolworths and Aldi) under construction.New land releases continue, including the LOMA townhome precinct and the Promenade section, with land registrations progressing into 2027.
Barwon Heads Road Upgrade - Stage 2 (Reserve Road to Lower Duneed Road)
A $318 million jointly funded (Australian and Victorian governments) project to duplicate approximately 6km of Barwon Heads Road from two to four lanes between Reserve Road, Charlemont and Lower Duneed Road, Connewarre. Delivered in two phases: Reserve Road to Lake Road (Stage 2a, under construction, due for completion late 2027) and Lake Road to Lower Duneed Road (Stage 2b, due for completion late 2028). Key features include upgraded intersections at Warralily Boulevard, Central Boulevard and Precinct Road, new traffic lights at Newport Drive and Boundary Road, signalised pedestrian crossings near Build Street and Harriot Road, a pedestrian bridge over Armstrong Creek, shared walking and cycling paths, on-road cycling lanes, street lighting, signage, drainage and landscaping.The upgrade will provide more reliable journeys for around 35,000 motorists a day, improving safety and capacity ahead of forecast growth in the Bellarine and Geelong region. FCC Construction Australia and BildGroup are delivering the Stage 2a works.
Harriott Armstrong Creek
Harriott is a premium masterplanned community in Armstrong Creek, located adjacent to the future Sparrovale Wetlands. The project delivers over 700 lots including titled land and designer townhomes. Key features include the Central Park green spine, 21 hectares of sporting facilities, and immediate access to the Warralily Village retail precinct. The development emphasizes environmental integration with 500 hectares of conserved wetlands and extensive walking trails.
Glenlee
Glenlee is a masterplanned residential community in Armstrong Creek delivering more than 600 home sites together with parks, open space and supporting community infrastructure. Construction is well advanced with Stages 1 to 13 completed and Stage 14 currently under construction. The estate provides convenient access to Geelong, Barwon Heads, schools, shopping and the Surf Coast.
9,991 residents of Armstrong Creek (Vic.) are employed, from a labour force of 10,261. Unemployment sits at 2.6%, with participation at 77.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 12,905, about 74% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Armstrong Creek has an educated labor force with a high representation of essential services, an unemployment rate of only 2.6%, and an estimated job growth rate of 1.8% over the past year, according to statistical area data aggregated by AreaSearch. In March 2026, 9,991 residents were employed, while the local unemployment rate was 1.1% lower than the 3.7% recorded in Regional Vic., and the labor participation rate of 77.3% significantly outperformed the Regional Vic. average of 61.1%. Census details show that a moderate 20.6% of employed residents worked from home, though the impact of COVID-19 lockdowns should be taken into account.
The primary employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The locality shows a particularly high concentration of workers in health care & social assistance, running at 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 0.5% of the local workforce, which is below the 7.5% average for Regional Vic. The mostly residential character of the neighborhood means local employment opportunities are limited, as shown by comparing the count of the Census working population against the resident population. Analysis of SALM and ABS data aggregated from wider statistical divisions shows that over the 12-month period, employment rose by 1.8% and the labor force grew by 1.8%, keeping unemployment virtually unchanged. In comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment fall by 0.1%, the labor force contract by 0.3%, and the unemployment rate decrease by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context on potential future demand in Armstrong Creek. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce profile to model future growth. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary by sector. Projecting these industry-specific trends onto the local employment distribution suggests Armstrong Creek's employment base will expand by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years (this represents a basic weighted extrapolation for comparison and does not incorporate local population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Armstrong Creek (Vic.) is $2,200 a week (about $114,000 a year), with median personal income at $997 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $59,881 a year against an average of $74,619. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest postcode-level ATO statistics aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023, the suburb of Armstrong Creek shows a median taxpayer income of $59,881 and an average income of $74,619. This is significantly higher than the national average, contrasting with the median income of $50,954 and average of $62,728 in Regional Vic. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 9.62% since the financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 stand at approximately $65,642 for median income and $81,797 for average income. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes all placed in the upper tier, ranking at the 78th and 78th percentiles nationally.
The statistics reveal that the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket is the most common, accounting for 47.8% of residents (8,388 people), which is higher than the regional rate of 30.3%. High housing costs absorb 16.9% of income, yet strong local earnings keep disposable income at the 76th percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Armstrong Creek (Vic.) had 3,721 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 95% detached houses and 0% apartments. 54% are owned with a mortgage, 35% rented and 11% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $420 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,800 a month, a total housing cost higher than 87% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 19.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential structures in Armstrong Creek at the time of the latest Census consisted of 95.0% separate houses and 5.0% other dwelling types (such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and alternative structures), compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings in Regional Vic. Home ownership in Armstrong Creek stood at 11.0%, lower than the regional rate, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (54.1%) or renting tenants (34.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,800 was higher than the Regional Vic. median of $1,430, while the median weekly rent was $420 compared to the Regional Vic.
median of $285. Nationally, mortgage costs in Armstrong Creek are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rental prices are notably higher than the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Armstrong Creek (Vic.) counted 3,721 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 5,806 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 42% are couples with children, more than in 82% of areas nationally, against 26% couples without children. 14% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.4 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households make up 80.3% of the community, consisting of 41.5% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 12.3% single-parent households. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.7%, with single-person households at 13.5% and group households representing 6.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
31.8% of adults in Armstrong Creek (Vic.) hold a university qualification, including 22.0% with a bachelor degree and 6.3% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 85% of areas nationally. A further 25.1% hold a vocational qualification. 5 schools serve the area, with 3,601 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,054 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational qualifications in Armstrong Creek are notably higher than wider benchmarks, with 31.8% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 21.7% in the Rest of Vic. This educational profile positions the community well for professional services and knowledge-based roles. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 22.0%, followed by postgraduate degrees (6.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational and technical skills are also common, with 39.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, including advanced diplomas (14.0%) and certificates (25.1%). Enrollment in education is high, with 33.1% of the population participating in formal study.
This comprises 11.7% in primary school, 6.4% in tertiary education, and 5.7% attending secondary school.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Armstrong Creek (Vic.) reaches 48 stops on 20 routes, timetabled for about 1,600 services a week. The typical home sits about 260 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of local transit shows 48 active transport stops operating in the area. These transit stops are served by 20 distinct routes, which support 1,568 passenger trips per week. Transit access is rated as good, with residents living an average of 258 meters from their nearest stop. As the area is primarily residential, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel for 95% of commuters. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.7 cars per household, which is higher than the regional average.
The 2021 Census recorded 20.6% of residents working from home, which may reflect pandemic-related conditions. Transit service averages 224 trips daily across all local routes, which translates to approximately 32 trips per week at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.8% of residents in Armstrong Creek (Vic.) report no long-term health condition. 4.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Armstrong Creek displays notable health patterns based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality and chronic illnesses, with various common conditions present throughout the population, though concentrated more heavily within older demographics, while private health insurance coverage is high at approximately 56% of the population (~9,878 people). This compares to 50.5% in Regional Vic. The most prevalent medical conditions recorded were mental health conditions and asthma, affecting 10.7 and 9.3% of residents respectively, while 72.8% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic. Residents under the age of 65 experience health outcomes that are better than average.
The population aged 65 and over represents 5.8% of the total (1,017 people), which is lower than the 23.9% average across Regional Vic. Health indicators for seniors present some challenges, ranking lower nationally than the overall local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Armstrong Creek (Vic.) is largely Australian-born, at 80.6% of residents, with 14.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (27.9%) and Australian (27.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Armstrong Creek has a higher level of cultural diversity than average, with 19.4% of residents born outside Australia and 14.0% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 38.1% of the population. The most distinct statistical variation is in the Other category, which accounts for 2.2% of residents compared to 0.8% across Regional Vic. In terms of family heritage, the three most common ancestries are English at 27.9%, Australian at 27.0%, and Irish at 8.3%. There are also notable differences in other ethnic backgrounds, with Dutch heritage accounting for 2.0% of the population (compared to 1.7% regionally), Sri Lankan at 0.4% (compared to 0.1% regionally), and Macedonian at 0.3% (compared to 0.2% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Armstrong Creek (Vic.) is 30, younger than 96% of areas nationally. 34.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in the suburb of Armstrong Creek (Vic.) is 30 years, which is significantly lower than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and the national median of 38. Compared to Regional Vic., the suburb of Armstrong Creek (Vic.) has a higher proportion of residents aged 25 - 34 (22.7%) but fewer aged 65 - 74 (3.5%). The concentration of residents aged 25 - 34 is also higher than the national average of 14.6%. Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age bracket has increased from 17.5% to 22.3% of the population, while the 25 to 34 age bracket has decreased from 24.0% to 22.7%.
Demographic projections suggest the age profile of the suburb of Armstrong Creek (Vic.) will change significantly by 2041, with the 35 to 44 age bracket showing the highest projected growth at 139%, adding 5,443 residents to reach a total of 9,357.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Armstrong Creek (Vic.)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 14 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 3,217 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (11,247 at the 2021 Census → 17,550 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20068). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.