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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Waurn Ponds has an estimated 4,749 residents, down from 4,956 at the 2021 Census — a change of 207 people, or 4.2%. The population has thinned by an average 1.0% a year over five years, slower than 99% of areas nationally. That puts 272 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to ABS population updates for the wider region and new address datasets verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Waurn Ponds has an estimated population of 4,749 in May 2026. This indicates a decline of 207 residents (4.2%) compared to the 2021 Census, when the population was recorded at 4,956 people. The reduction is calculated from the local population of 4,743, estimated by AreaSearch using the June 2025 ABS ERP release and subsequent address validations. This population size represents a density of 272 persons per square kilometer, offering ample room per resident and capacity for prospective expansion.
Growth in the suburb of Waurn Ponds was chiefly supported by arrivals from other states, who made up about 64.0% of all population increases recently, even though all indicators including overseas arrivals and natural increase were positive. AreaSearch employs ABS and Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region, published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 regions lacking this coverage, AreaSearch uses the 2023 Victorian State Government Regional/LGA projections, adjusted by weighting population expansion from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age cohort from these aggregations are also used for all areas between 2032 and 2041. Looking at future demographic shifts, remarkable growth placing the suburb of Waurn Ponds in the top 10 percent of regional Australia is anticipated, with the population projected to rise by 2,183 persons by 2041 under aggregated SA2 projections, representing a total increase of 45.8% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
The suburb of Waurn Ponds exhibits negligible building activity, with fewer than natural numbers of new dwellings approved annually (representing virtually no new homes over the five-year period). These minimal construction levels align with the rural character of the locality, where building is generally prompted by specific local housing requirements rather than broad market demand. It should be noted that the tiny sample size means specific individual developments can significantly distort annual statistics and growth comparisons. The suburb of Waurn Ponds naturally exhibits much lower construction activity relative to the Rest of Vic..
Residential development trends are also significantly below national benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Waurn Ponds
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside Waurn Ponds, worth an estimated $1.11 billion. A further 94 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $23.8 billion. 30 are already under construction and 39 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning decisions, and new developments are critical drivers of local performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 17 projects likely to affect the local area. Prominent examples include the Waurn Ponds Sporting Complex, Levande Highton Retirement Village, Armstrong Mount Duneed Estate, and Grovedale Village, with details provided below on those most likely to have an impact.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Waurn Ponds Sporting Complex
Construction is underway on a new regional indoor sport and recreation hub for the growing Geelong region. The Development Victoria project, delivered on behalf of Sport and Recreation Victoria with the City of Greater Geelong and Wadawurrung Traditional Owners, will include six indoor multi-sport courts, a regional-level gymnastics facility, dance studio and hall, change rooms, community and social spaces, kiosk and lounge areas, more than 300 car spaces with EV charging, bicycle parking and inclusive amenities including a Changing Places facility, sensory room and multi-faith room.The design targets a 5 Star Green Star rating with an all-electric building, solar PV, passive design and Wadawurrung-led cultural expression. Construction began in October 2025 and completion is expected in early 2027.
Grovedale Village
A mixed-use retail and community precinct located at the corner of Rossack Drive and Colac Road in Grovedale. The six-lot subdivision features a diverse mix of tenants including drive-through outlets for Guzman Y Gomez, KFC, and Starbucks, alongside a Liberty Fuel service station. Community amenities include a 1,100sqm Club Lime gymnasium and a 120-place Jenny's ELC childcare centre. The project aimed to address a significant shortage of childcare places in the Waurn Ponds area and provide modern convenience retail to the growing local population.
Levande Highton Retirement Village
A $70 million retirement village being developed by Levande on a 4.71-hectare former caravan park site opposite Waurn Ponds Shopping Centre in Highton, Geelong. The project delivers 125 architecturally designed single-storey villas across two and three bedroom layouts, with single and double garage options. A central two-storey clubhouse with wellness facilities, heated pool, gym, cinema and library anchors the community. Construction commenced in March 2026 via a sod-turning ceremony, with builder Winslow Constructors and architect ClarkeHopkinsClarke leading delivery across four stages.First residents are expected to move in by early 2027.
Armstrong Mount Duneed Estate
Award-winning master-planned residential community by Villawood Properties in Mount Duneed, Geelong. Over 1,500 homes completed, housing 5,000 residents, with total planned 3,000 lots. Features Club Armstrong with gym, two pools (one heated), tennis courts, function space, 9 Grams cafe, over 30km of walking and bike paths, and 24 hectares of parks, wetlands, and sporting fields. Currently selling lots in final precincts, with new offerings coming soon. Includes large display village. Located 15 minutes from Geelong CBD and 10 minutes from Torquay.
Deakin University Waurn Ponds Campus Expansion
Ongoing multi-stage transformation of Deakin University's Geelong Waurn Ponds Campus under the Climate Ready Campus masterplan. Key completed components include the Geelong Future Economy Precinct (GFEP) - Victoria's epicentre of advanced manufacturing, energy and sustainability research - the 7.5MW renewable energy microgrid (operational since 2021), 320-bed student accommodation (completed April 2021), and the REACH health hub. Active works include road network upgrades, integrated water management and wetland conversion, and Building KA infill (completed 2025). The GFEP hosts 18 joint ventures with a market value of approximately $1 billion and the REACH Trailblazer program ($380 million total value) focused on clean energy and recycling commercialisation.
Grovedale Village
Mixed-use neighbourhood retail centre under construction at the corner of Colac Road and Rossack Drive. The development comprises convenience retail, drive-through food outlets, a fuel station, coffee outlet, Club Lime gymnasium and a 120-place childcare centre. Initial retail tenancies commenced construction in 2024, with remaining components continuing to open in stages.
The Grange
A boutique residential land estate in Waurn Ponds, offering fully titled lots from 406my up to 1310my. It's the last opportunity to secure new land in Waurn Ponds, focusing on locality, connectedness, and individual space.
Birchmore Waurn Ponds Estate
A completed residential estate comprising 214 residential lots across two stages, featuring landscaped open space and waterway rehabilitation. The development is strategically located within walking distance of Waurn Ponds Railway Station, local retail facilities, and Deakin University campus. The project includes rehabilitation of approximately 1km of existing waterway, providing enhanced environmental outcomes for the local community.
2,524 residents of Waurn Ponds are employed, from a labour force of 2,682. Unemployment sits at 5.9%, with participation at 67.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,511, about 116% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Waurn Ponds possesses a highly educated workforce, a strong representation of essential services industries, and an unemployment rate of 5.9%, compiled from aggregated statistical area statistics. In March 2026, 2,524 local residents were employed, while the jobless rate was 2.2% higher than the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%, and labor force participation stood well above normal levels at 67.6% compared to 61.1% in Regional Vic.. According to Census figures, a moderate 19.3% of workers performed their roles from home, although Covid-19 restrictions during that period should be taken into account.
The primary employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food services. The local area is particularly concentrated in accommodation & food, with its workforce share measuring 1.7 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 1.2% of local employment, which is lower than the 7.5% seen across Regional Vic.. A ratio of 0.9 workers per resident at the time of the Census indicates substantial local job availability. Based on analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from broader statistical divisions, labor force levels fell by 5.0% and total employment dropped by 4.9% during the 12 months ending March 2026, which kept the unemployment rate relatively unchanged. In comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment fall by 0.1% and the labor force contract by 0.3%, alongside a 0.2 percentage point decline. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment projections from May-25 provide further context on prospective workforce needs in the suburb of Waurn Ponds. These forecasts, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been matched against the local job profile to project future trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary heavily by industry. Applying these industry projections to the local employment structure suggests the suburb of Waurn Ponds should see employment rise by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (note that this is a simple weighted projection for illustration and does not incorporate local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Waurn Ponds is $2,286 a week (about $119,000 a year), with median personal income at $642 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $43,276 a year against an average of $54,084. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest postcode ATO statistics released for financial year 2023, taxpayers in the suburb of Waurn Ponds have a median income of $43,276 and an average of $54,084. These figures sit below national benchmarks, and compare with a median of $50,954 and an average of $62,728 in Regional Vic.. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to approximately $47,439 for the median and $59,287 for the average as of March 2026. Census findings show household incomes are exceptionally high at the 82nd percentile ($2,286 weekly), whereas individual incomes are lower at the 18th percentile.
Income distribution analysis indicates the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket accounts for 34.2% of the local population (1,624 individuals), which is close to the wider region where this segment comprises 30.3%. High earners are also prominent, with 33.9% making more than $3,000 weekly, pointing to strong purchasing power. After paying for housing, residents keep 88.2% of their earnings, and the area ranks in the 7th decile on the SEIFA index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Waurn Ponds had 1,292 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 0% apartments. 44% are owned with a mortgage, 21% rented and 35% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $430 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,755 a month. Rent absorbs 18.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 17.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential architecture in the suburb of Waurn Ponds at the last Census was dominated by separate houses at 97.6%, with other structures like semi-detached homes, apartments, or alternative dwellings making up 2.4%, compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings in Regional Vic.. Meanwhile, home ownership rates in the suburb of Waurn Ponds trailed the regional benchmark, sitting at 34.9%, with the remaining properties held under mortgages (44.0%) or rented (21.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment was significantly higher than the Regional Vic. average at $1,755, while the median weekly rent stood at $430, compared to $1,430 and $285 respectively in Regional Vic..
On a national scale, mortgage costs in the suburb of Waurn Ponds are below the Australian average of $1,863, whereas rental costs are notably higher than the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Waurn Ponds counted 1,292 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.0 people each. 46% are couples with children, more than in 90% of areas nationally, against 25% couples without children. 15% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.3 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 81.2% of all households in the suburb of Waurn Ponds, consisting of couples with children at 46.1%, couples without children at 25.3%, and single parents at 9.1%. The remaining 18.8% consists of non-family households, with lone person households representing 14.5% and group households making up 4.6%. The median household size of 3.0 individuals exceeds the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
28.9% of adults in Waurn Ponds hold a university qualification, including 18.3% with a bachelor degree and 7.4% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 91% of areas nationally. A further 20.3% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The educational profile of the suburb of Waurn Ponds is highly distinctive within the region, with university degree holders comprising 28.9% of residents aged 15+, which is higher than the Rest of Vic. average of 21.7%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.3%, followed by postgraduate degrees (7.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Technical qualifications are also prevalent, with 31.0% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (20.3%). A high proportion of residents are currently studying, with 45.2% enrolled in formal education.
This group includes 23.0% in higher education, 9.0% in primary school, and 8.1% in high school.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Waurn Ponds reaches 16 stops on 19 routes, timetabled for about 3,100 services a week. The typical home sits about 250 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 2.0 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services in the suburb of Waurn Ponds include 16 active stops. These stops are served by 19 distinct routes, which accommodate 3,084 passenger journeys every week. Accessibility is good, with residents living an average of 250 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb of Waurn Ponds is predominantly residential, leading most residents to travel outside the area for work, with private cars remaining the primary travel mode at 91%. Households own an average of 2.0 vehicles, which is higher than the regional average. Approximately 19.3% of residents worked from home during the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Service frequency across all routes averages 440 journeys daily, representing roughly 192 weekly services for each transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
73.4% of residents in Waurn Ponds report no long-term health condition. 3.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 48.3% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
The suburb of Waurn Ponds shows positive health trends, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic illness rates, with low levels of common conditions among both young and elderly groups. Private health insurance coverage is low, held by approximately 48% of the population (~2,293 people). This compares to 50.5% in Regional Vic. and a national average of 55.7%. Asthma and mental health conditions are the most prevalent health issues in the suburb of Waurn Ponds, affecting 8.9% and 8.6% of residents respectively. Conversely, 73.4% of residents reported having no long-term health issues, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic..
Residents under the age of 65 enjoy better than average health outcomes. Residents aged 65 and older represent 7.8% of the population (370 people), which is below the 23.9% share in Regional Vic.. Senior health outcomes are above average, with national rankings matching those of the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Waurn Ponds is largely Australian-born, at 81.3% of residents, with 13.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (28.0%) and Australian (27.9%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Waurn Ponds shows similar levels of cultural diversity to the wider region, with citizens making up 86.6% of the population, 81.3% born in Australia, and 86.1% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 45.8% of residents. The most notable difference is in Hinduism, which represents 3.4% of the population in the suburb of Waurn Ponds compared to 0.7% across Regional Vic.. Looking at parent countries of birth, the three largest ancestry groups in the suburb of Waurn Ponds are English at 28.0%, Australian at 27.9%, and Scottish at 8.5%.
Other ethnic heritages show notable differences compared to the region, including Dutch representing 2.5% of residents (compared to 1.7% regionally), Hungarian at 0.5% (compared to 0.2%), and Sri Lankan at 0.4% (compared to 0.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Waurn Ponds is 26, younger than 99% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 44.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 26 years, the suburb of Waurn Ponds has a younger demographic than Regional Vic., where the median is 43, and sits below the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Regional Vic., the suburb of Waurn Ponds has a higher percentage of residents aged 15 - 24 (28.7%) but fewer aged 65 - 74 (4.8%). The 15 - 24 cohort is also well above the national share of 12.7%. Since the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age bracket has risen from 12.1% to 15.7%, and the 35 to 44 cohort has grown from 10.5% to 12.4%.
Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 group fell from 8.5% to 7.0%, and the 45 to 54 group decreased from 13.4% to 12.1%. Projections suggest the age structure in the suburb of Waurn Ponds will change significantly by 2041, with the 25 to 34 age group expected to show the highest growth of 75%, adding 560 residents to total 1,306.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Waurn Ponds
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 7 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (4,956 at the 2021 Census → 4,749 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22730). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.