Upper Kedron

Upper Kedron lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the Upper Kedron statistical area (Lv2) had an estimated population of around 6,575 as of Nov 2025. This reflected an increase of 775 people (13.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,800 people. The change was inferred from the resident population of 6,544 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 190 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equated to a density ratio of 707 persons per square kilometer, which was relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Upper Kedron's 13.4% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (8.1%), along with the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 41.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, were adopted. It should be noted that these state projections did not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch applied proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Moving forward with demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch was expected, with the Upper Kedron (SA2) expected to grow by 692 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 5.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Upper Kedron recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Upper Kedron has seen around 62 dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 314 homes were approved, with another 34 approved in FY-26 so far. Each dwelling is estimated to bring in about 2 new residents annually over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost of new homes is $569,000, indicating a focus on premium market properties. This year has seen $88.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Upper Kedron has 162.0% more development activity per person. All new construction consists of detached houses, maintaining the area's low density and attracting space-seeking buyers. There are estimated to be 536 people per dwelling approval in the area.

By 2041, Upper Kedron is projected to gain 366 residents based on current AreaSearch estimates. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth.

Upper Kedron has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely impacting the area. Key projects are Ferny Grove Central - Mixed Use Development, Ferny Grove Station Car Park Upgrade, Great Western Super Centre Expansion & Renovation, and Ferny Hills Precinct Planning Project. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Upper Kedron ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Upper Kedron has a well-educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. The unemployment rate is 2.5%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, there are 3,492 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.5% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation is high at 77.8%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. The leading employment industries among residents are public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Upper Kedron shows strong specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share of 2.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, manufacturing has lower representation at 2.7% compared to the regional average of 6.4%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.6%, and employment declined by 3.0% in Upper Kedron, resulting in a fall in unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.8% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a drop in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Upper Kedron's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, although this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Upper Kedron had a median taxpayer income of $75,881 and an average income of $90,146 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. These figures are significantly higher than those of Greater Brisbane, which had a median income of $58,236 and an average income of $72,799 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Upper Kedron would be approximately $83,401 (median) and $99,079 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes in Upper Kedron ranked between the 92nd and 96th percentiles nationally. Income analysis revealed that the largest segment comprised 34.5% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with a total of 2,268 residents falling into this category. This is similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort also represents 33.3%. Notably, 49.7% of Upper Kedron's residents earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating prosperity in the area. Housing accounts for 14.0% of income, while strong earnings place residents within the 96th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Upper Kedron is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Upper Kedron's dwellings were entirely houses at the latest Census, contrasting with Brisbane metro's 81.6% houses and 18.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Upper Kedron was 19.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.8% and rented ones at 26.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, exceeding Brisbane metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent in Upper Kedron was $455, higher than Brisbane metro's $400. Nationally, Upper Kedron's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,383 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Upper Kedron features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 92.3% of all households, including 58.0% couples with children, 25.0% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 7.7%, with lone person households at 7.1% and group households making up 0.5%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.7.

Upper Kedron demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Upper Kedron's educational attainment is notably higher than Queensland's average. Among residents aged 15 and above, 36.6% have university qualifications, compared to the state's 25.7%. This includes 23.8% with bachelor degrees, 8.6% with postgraduate qualifications, and 4.2% with graduate diplomas. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 35.5% of residents holding such qualifications.

Advanced diplomas account for 13.3%, while certificates comprise 22.2%. Educational participation is high in the area, with 36.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.7% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 5.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Upper Kedron has 13 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a single route, offering a total of 131 weekly passenger trips combined. The accessibility of transport in Upper Kedron is rated as good, with residents typically located 342 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 18 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Upper Kedron's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Upper Kedron's health outcomes data shows notable results, with younger cohorts having a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 63% (4,136 people) have private health cover, higher than the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 9.1 and 6.7% of residents respectively. 75.4% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.6% in Greater Brisbane. Upper Kedron has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 7.1% (466 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 15.2%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Upper Kedron records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Upper Kedron, surveyed in 2016, had higher than average linguistic diversity with 11.1% of residents speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 21.7% of Upper Kedron's population was recorded in 2016. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 50.0% of people in Upper Kedron as per the 2016 data.

Judaism, at 0.1%, was slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane's 0.1%. For ancestry, Australians made up 28.6%, English 27.8%, and Irish 8.3% of Upper Kedron's population in 2016. Notably, South African (1.2%), Hungarian (0.4%), and Dutch (1.5%) ethnic groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.8%, 0.3%, and 1.3% respectively.

Upper Kedron hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Upper Kedron has a median age of 34, which is slightly younger than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 and substantially under Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Upper Kedron has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 (17.5%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (3.6%). This 5-14 concentration is well above the national average of 12.2%. From the 2021 Census, the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 11.6% to 13.9%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 1.9% to 3.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 19.3% to 17.5%. Population forecasts for Upper Kedron in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 45 to 54 age group is projected to grow strongly at 19%, adding 203 residents to reach a total of 1,255. Meanwhile, both the 5 to 14 and 35 to 44 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.