Upper Kedron

Upper Kedron lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Upper Kedron is estimated at around 6,577 as of February 2026. This reflects an increase of 777 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,800 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 6,544 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 190 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 707 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Upper Kedron's growth of 13.4% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA3 area (8.1%) and SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 41.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Moving forward with demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is expected, with the suburb expected to grow by 701 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 5.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Upper Kedron recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Upper Kedron has seen approximately 62 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 314 homes were approved, with an additional 34 in FY-26. On average, each dwelling accommodates about 2 new residents per year over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost of new homes is $569,000, indicating a focus on premium market properties. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $88.4 million, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Upper Kedron has 162.0% more development activity per capita. All new construction consists of detached houses, maintaining the area's low-density character and attracting space-seeking buyers. The population estimate is 536 people per dwelling approval.

By 2041, Upper Kedron is projected to gain 369 residents based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Current development patterns suggest that new housing supply will meet demand, presenting favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth.

Upper Kedron has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that may affect this region. Major initiatives include Ferny Grove Central - Mixed Use Development, Ferny Grove Station Car Park Upgrade, Great Western Super Centre Expansion & Renovation, and Ferny Hills Precinct Planning Project. The following list details those likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Upper Kedron ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Upper Kedron has a well-educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. The unemployment rate is 2.4%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data as of September 2025. There are 3,506 residents in work and the unemployment rate is 1.5% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation is 72.7%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. According to Census responses, 27.6% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. Upper Kedron shows strong specialization in public administration & safety with an employment share of 2.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, manufacturing has lower representation at 2.7% versus the regional average of 6.4%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.5% and employment declined by 2.9%, resulting in a fall of 0.6 percentage points in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Upper Kedron's employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Upper Kedron has a median taxpayer income of $75,881 and an average income of $90,146, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is notably higher than the national figures, which stand at $58,236 median and $72,799 average for Greater Brisbane. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates project the median income to be approximately $83,401 and the average income to be around $99,079 by September 2025. Data from the 2021 Census places household, family, and personal incomes in Upper Kedron between the 92nd and 96th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 34.5% of residents earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly (2,269 individuals), which is similar to the metropolitan region where this segment represents 33.3%. Notably, 49.7% of Upper Kedron's residents earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating prosperity and robust local economic activity. Housing expenses consume 14.0% of income, while strong earnings rank residents in the 96th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Upper Kedron is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Upper Kedron's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was entirely composed of houses (100.0%) with no other dwellings present (0.0%). This contrasts with Brisbane metro's composition of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Upper Kedron stood at 19.4%, lower than Brisbane metro, with mortgaged properties at 53.8% and rented dwellings at 26.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,383, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure in Upper Kedron was recorded as $455, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Upper Kedron's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,383 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Upper Kedron features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 92.3% of all households, including 58.0% couples with children, 25.0% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 7.7%, with lone person households at 7.1% and group households making up 0.5%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Upper Kedron demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Upper Kedron's residents aged 15+ have a higher proportion with university qualifications (36.6%) compared to Queensland's average (25.7%). Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 23.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.2%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 35.5% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (13.3%) and certificates (22.2%). Educational participation is high, with 36.0% currently enrolled in formal education: 13.7% in primary, 10.5% in secondary, and 5.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.7% in primary education, 10.5% in secondary education, and 5.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Upper Kedron has 13 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a single route, providing a total of 131 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility in the area is rated as good, with residents typically located 342 meters from the nearest stop. The majority of residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 84%, while 11% use trains. On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 27.6% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 18 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Upper Kedron's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Upper Kedron's health data shows positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health condition prevalence is low among residents but higher among older, at-risk cohorts compared to national averages. Approximately 63% of Upper Kedron's total population (4,138 people) has private health cover, higher than Greater Brisbane's 55.8% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 9.1 and 6.7% of residents respectively, while 75.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 7.3% (480 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Brisbane's 15.2%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Upper Kedron records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Upper Kedron's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 11.1% speaking a language other than English at home and 21.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Upper Kedron, comprising 50.0% of its population. While Judaism makes up only 0.1% of Upper Kedron's population, this is higher than the 0.1% regional average for Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (28.6%) and English (27.8%) are the top two groups in Upper Kedron, both significantly higher than their respective regional averages of 23.2% and 25.9%. Irish ancestry comprises 8.3%, which is slightly above the regional average of 7.1%. Notable overrepresentation exists for South African (1.2%), Hungarian (0.4%), and Dutch (1.5%) ethnic groups compared to their respective regional averages of 0.6%, 0.2%, and 1.2%.

Upper Kedron hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Upper Kedron has a median age of 34, which is younger than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Upper Kedron has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 (17.5%), but fewer residents aged 65-74 (3.5%). This 5-14 concentration is well above the national figure of 12.1%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 11.6% to 14.3%, while the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 1.9% to 3.3%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 19.3% to 17.5%, and the 25 to 34 age group has dropped from 12.4% to 11.3%. Population forecasts for Upper Kedron in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 45 to 54 cohort is projected to grow by 19%, adding 200 residents to reach a total of 1,253. However, both the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.