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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Samford Valley has an estimated 13,266 residents, up from 12,385 at the 2021 Census — a change of 881 people, or 7.1%. Growth has averaged 1.1% a year over five years. 261 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 58.8% of that increase. Density is about 80 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to analysis conducted by AreaSearch, the population of Samford Valley stands at approximately 13,266 as of Aug 2026, representing an addition of 881 people (7.1%) relative to the 12,385 people recorded in the 2021 Census. This calculation incorporates the ABS estimated resident population benchmark of 13,239 as of June 2025 alongside 261 validated new addresses registered following the Census date. With a density of 79 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers generous space per resident as well as scope for prospective development. Over the preceding decade, Samford Valley demonstrated consistent demographic resilience, posting a 1.1% compound annual growth rate that outpaced the wider SA3 area.
Recent population growth has been predominantly fueled by overseas migration, which generated roughly 58.8% of total demographic gains, though natural growth and interstate migration also remained positive contributors. For small-area modeling, AreaSearch utilizes ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 projections released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. Where SA2 coverage is unavailable or for periods post-2032, figures reference Queensland State Government SA2 projections published in 2023 based on 2021 data. Because state projections lack age-specific breakdowns, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings sourced from the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) across individual age cohorts. Demographic outlooks place the locality within the lower quartile of national expansion, with an anticipated increase of 367 persons by 2041 derived from the latest annual ERP figures, marking an overall gain of 2.6% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
294 new dwellings have been approved in Samford Valley over the past five years, an average of 58 a year. That places the area in the 62nd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 4 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 56 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 80% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building activity in Samford Valley registers roughly 58 dwelling approvals each year, totaling 294 homes approved across the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). Consistent demand is reflected in an intake of 2.4 new residents per year for each dwelling over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26), underpinning local property values, while newly constructed homes show an average construction value of $532,000, slightly above regional norms to highlight a focus on high-standard housing. Additionally, commercial development remains steady, with $14.0 million in commercial approvals logged during this financial year.
Per-capita residential approvals in Samford Valley track closely with Greater Brisbane, sustaining market stability in accordance with regional trends. Recent residential construction comprises 80.0% detached houses and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the community's traditional low-density profile centered on spacious family living. This composition signals a meaningful shift from the existing dwelling stock (currently 98.0% houses), reflecting reduced development site availability while accommodating evolving lifestyle choices and affordability considerations. Operating at approximately 296 people per dwelling approval, Samford Valley reflects a developing residential market. Projections from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate indicate that Samford Valley will add 340 residents through to 2041. At present rates of construction, residential delivery appears well-aligned to satisfy incoming demand, fostering favorable buyer conditions while creating potential for growth to outstrip baseline projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Samford Valley
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 94 current infrastructure and development projects close to Samford Valley, worth an estimated $13.8 billion. 27 are already under construction and 32 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic infrastructure investments and urban planning initiatives exert a significant influence over local growth and connectivity. In total 17 projects have been identified by AreaSearch with anticipated local impacts. Key works include the Ferny Grove Central - Mixed Use Development, Ferny Hills Precinct Planning Project, Ferny Grove Station Car Park Upgrade, and Palmer Road Rural Residential Subdivision, with leading initiatives detailed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Ferny Grove Central
Ferny Grove Central is a transport oriented mixed use precinct adjoining Ferny Grove railway station. The project includes a retail and entertainment centre anchored by Woolworths, Dan Murphy's, Goodlife, Goodstart Early Learning and Cinebar, The Fernery with 82 apartments, upgraded station access, bus, taxi and kiss and ride facilities, and more than 1,400 integrated commuter and retail parking spaces. As of the latest official updates, Stage 1 park and ride works are complete and Stage 2 retail, residential, access road and public transport interface works remain under construction, with practical completion targeted for 2026.
Ferny Grove Station Car Park Upgrade
Joint Australian and Queensland Government upgrade of the Ferny Grove station park and ride precinct. Stage 1, including the 905-space multi-storey commuter car park, is complete. Stage 2 remains under construction and includes additional commuter parking, new internal roads, upgraded bus interchange, Kiss 'n' Ride, taxi facilities, retail and residential integration as part of the Ferny Grove Transit Oriented Development.
Ferny Hills Precinct Planning Project
A precinct planning project by the City of Moreton Bay to guide future growth and development in Ferny Hills, focusing on increasing housing supply and diversity while enhancing local identity. The area features existing local shopping, parks, and access to Kedron Brook.
Palmer Road Rural Residential Subdivision
Approved rural residential subdivision comprising 16.68 hectares with development approval for 9 large rural residential lots. The naturally treed property offers low-density living in a semi-rural environment close to urban amenities in the Moreton Bay region. The development site was previously marketed through Savills and listings have since been removed from the market, suggesting the property may have been sold or withdrawn. The approved subdivision aligns with Moreton Bay Regional Council's Rural Residential zone provisions for very low density residential development on the edge of urban areas.
Ferny Grove to Samford Road Cycleway (Stage 2)
Construction of a 2.5km off road shared path connecting Ferny Hills and Arana Hills and linking into the broader North Brisbane cycle network as part of the wider Samford to Ferny Grove active transport corridor.
Ellendale Upper Kedron
Masterplanned community at 324 Canvey Road, Upper Kedron by Cedar Woods Properties. 12km from Brisbane CBD on 62-hectare site with 900 lots. Features 91 hectares of nature corridors, display village, and community facilities. Borders South D'Aguilar National Park.
Winn Road Resurfacing and Kremzow Road Rehabilitation
Road improvements including resurfacing of Winn Road, Cashmere, and rehabilitation of Kremzow Road, Brendale (delivered over two years).
Everton Hills Central
A proposed neighbourhood shopping centre anchored by a full-line Woolworths supermarket, with specialty retail, medical centre, gym, and childcare facility. The centre will have direct frontage to South Pine Road in Everton Hills, serving the surrounding Hills District community in the City of Moreton Bay.
7,593 residents of Samford Valley are employed, from a labour force of 7,759. Unemployment sits at 2.1%, with participation at 70.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 10,784, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Samford Valley possesses a highly qualified workforce with substantial professional services involvement, a low unemployment rate of 2.1%, and steady employment stability over the preceding year. As of March 2026, working residents count at 7,593, while the unemployment rate remains 2.2% below Greater Brisbane's 4.3%, and workforce participation matches the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 70.1%. Furthermore, Census records showed that 33.4% of employed residents worked from home, though broader Covid-19 lockdown circumstances should be factored in. Resident employment centers primarily on health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and construction.
Concentration is especially pronounced in professional & technical fields, where employment stands at 1.3 times the regional average. By contrast, manufacturing makes up a modest 4.2% of employment compared to 6.4% across the broader region. As a primarily residential community, local job containment is limited, as evidenced by Census balances between working population and resident population counts. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM figures shows that during the year to March 2026, local employment grew by 0.2% and the labour force increased by 0.4%, leading to a 0.2 percentage points rise in the unemployment rate. Over the identical timeframe, Greater Brisbane recorded employment gains of 3.2% and labour force expansion of 3.4%, alongside a 0.1 percentage points increase in unemployment. Looking forward, Jobs and Skills Australia national forecasts from Mar-26 provide perspective on potential labor requirements across five and ten-year intervals when mapped against the local industry profile. Nationwide employment is projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with marked variations across sectors. Applying these industry growth trajectories to Samford Valley's workforce suggests local employment expansion of 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Samford Valley is $2,806 a week (about $146,000 a year), with median personal income at $978 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $63,336 a year against an average of $97,279. The average runs 54% above the median, a wider spread than most areas and a sign of a concentrated group of high earners. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Postcode-level ATO figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 place individual incomes in the Samford Valley SA2 within the upper national percentile, with a median of $63,336 and an average of $97,279. This exceeds Greater Brisbane benchmarks of a $58,236 median and a $72,799 average. Incorporating an 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of approximately $70,531 (median) and $108,330 (average) as of March 2026. Weekly household earnings are notable at $2,806, placing the area in the 95th percentile according to Census data.
High-income earners form the leading bracket, with 32.4% of residents (4,298 people) in the $4000+ category, unlike the wider region where the $1,500 - 2,999 band leads at 33.3%. Affluence is prominent with 47.1% earning above $3,000 weekly, and households retain 88.5% of income after servicing housing obligations, corresponding with a 9th decile SEIFA income position.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Samford Valley had 3,993 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 98% detached houses and 1% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 7% rented and 43% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $495 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,492 a month. Rent absorbs 17.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census findings show that separate houses account for 97.5% of residential stock in Samford Valley, with 2.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Outright home ownership stands at 42.7%, well above metropolitan levels, with remaining properties either mortgaged (50.2%) or rented (7.1%). Housing expenses exceed regional and national figures: local median monthly mortgage repayments are $2,492 versus $1,863 across Brisbane metro and $1,863 nationwide, while median weekly rent is $495 compared to $380 in Brisbane metro and $375 across Australia.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Samford Valley counted 3,993 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 4,277 today, averaging 3.0 people each. 46% are couples with children, more than in 90% of areas nationally, against 34% couples without children. 11% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households represent the vast majority of local living arrangements at 87.5% of all households. Among these, couples with children constitute 45.7%, couples without children comprise 34.3%, and single parent families make up 7.1%. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.5%, divided between lone person households at 11.2% and group households at 1.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, exceeding the 2.6 recorded across Greater Brisbane.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
39.0% of adults in Samford Valley hold a university qualification, including 25.4% with a bachelor degree and 9.3% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 90% of areas nationally. A further 19.2% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 1,135 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,092 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment across Samford Valley is exceptionally high, with 39.0% of residents aged 15+ possessing university credentials, surpassing the 24.9% recorded in the SA4 region and 25.7% across QLD. Within higher education, Bachelor degrees are held by 25.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 9.3% and graduate diplomas at 4.3%. Vocational qualifications are also prevalent, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding technical credentials across advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (19.2%). Community participation in formal study is strong, with 30.8% of residents enrolled in education. This proportion comprises 11.2% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Samford Valley means driving: households keep an average of 2.2 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.2% of residents in Samford Valley report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 92% of areas nationally. 3.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 69.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across Samford Valley reflect strong outcomes based on AreaSearch evaluations of mortality and chronic conditions, showing minimal incidence of common medical conditions across age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is notably widespread, held by approximately 70% of the total population (9,246 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%. The most frequently reported conditions in the locality are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 7.3 and 7.0% of residents, respectively, while 72.2% reported being free of diagnosed medical conditions compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane.
Working-age cohorts maintain excellent overall vitality with limited chronic illness. Seniors aged 65 and over represent 21.4% of the population (2,840 people), above the 15.0% found across Greater Brisbane, and exhibit strong health outcomes aligned with national figures.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Samford Valley is largely Australian-born, at 79.4% of residents, with 4.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (33.4%) and Australian (25.3%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics for Samford Valley sit below broader averages, with 79.4% of residents born in Australia, 92.4% holding Australian citizenship, and 95.1% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, observed by 50.5% of residents in comparison to 47.8% throughout Greater Brisbane. Regarding parental country of birth, the primary ancestries in Samford Valley are English at 33.4% (well above the 26.8% regional figure), Australian at 25.3%, and Irish at 10.3%. Furthermore, distinct concentrations appear for several other backgrounds, including Scottish at 10.1% of Samford Valley (vs 7.4% regionally), South Australian at 1.0% (vs 0.6%), and Welsh at 0.8% (vs 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Samford Valley is 45, older than 78% of areas nationally. 19.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Samford Valley trends older than Greater Brisbane benchmarks. Estimates updated to August 2026 show that 32.4% of residents belong to middle aged and young retiree cohorts (45 - 64), against 22.6% in Greater Brisbane, while young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) account for 15.3% versus 30.6% regionally. The estimated median age is 45, unchanged from the 2021 Census, sitting 9 years above the Greater Brisbane median of 36 recorded at that Census and above Australia's Census median of 38. The most visible shift since the Census occurred among retiree and elderly cohorts (65+), rising from 17.6% to an estimated 21.4% of the community.
In addition, children aged 5 to 14 decreased from 15.6% to an estimated 13.3%, while the 15 to 24 cohort expanded from 11.5% to 14.6%, without inward migration at younger ages. By 2041, retiree and elderly cohorts are expected to absorb the majority of local growth, adding 1,118 residents (39%) to reach 3,958, while children and young adults along with young to middle aged adults are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Samford Valley
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 261 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (12,385 at the 2021 Census → 13,266 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (314011387). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.