Kemps Creek

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kemps Creek reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of May 2026, the estimated population of Kemps Creek is around 2,462. This reflects an increase of 341 people (16.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,121 people. The change was inferred from the resident population of 2,149 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 58 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 71 persons per square kilometer. Kemps Creek's growth of 16.1% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (7.1%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 84.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Considering projected demographic shifts, exceptional growth is predicted over the period from 2026 to 2041, with the area expected to increase by 1,785 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 59.8%.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kemps Creek according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Kemps Creek averaged around 16 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 82 homes. So far in FY-26, 22 approvals have been recorded. The population has fallen during this period, but development activity has been adequate relative to population change, which could be positive for buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $610,000, indicating developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

This financial year, $645.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting robust local business investment. New building activity comprises 93.0% detached houses and 7.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of around 151 people per approval.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kemps Creek is expected to grow by 1,472 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Kemps Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 62 projects that may affect this region. Notable ones include Advanced Manufacturing Readiness Facility (AMRF), Access Logistics Park, Kemps Creek Industrial Precinct, and Sydney Metro Western Sydney Airport Line. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 2.9%, Kemps Creek has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Kemps Creek has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent. Its unemployment rate was 2.9% as of AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of December 2025815 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 1.3% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Kemps Creek was 46.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A high 34.7% of residents worked from home, according to Census responses, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment among residents are construction, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and health care & social assistance.

Notably, agriculture, forestry & fishing had employment levels at 22.4 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services were under-represented with only 5.1% of Kemps Creek's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The ratio of 0.8 workers per resident indicated substantial local employment opportunities as of the Census. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 12.1%, while employment declined by a similar percentage, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force expansion of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insights into potential future demand within Kemps Creek. Applying these projections to Kemps Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that median income in Kemps Creek is $44,934 and average income is $60,695. This is lower than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth from June 2023 to March 2026, estimated median income in Kemps Creek would be approximately $49,571 and average income would be around $66,959. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, individual incomes are at the 16th percentile ($633 weekly) and household incomes are at the 50th percentile. Income distribution shows that 31.2% of locals (768 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, similar to the regional figure of 30.9%. After housing expenses, 86.6% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the fourth decile.

Kemps Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Kemps Creek, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.8% houses and 6.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kemps Creek was 48.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 20.6% and rented dwellings at 30.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,875, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Kemps Creek was $470, matching Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, Kemps Creek's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kemps Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.0% of all households, including 40.7% couples with children, 23.8% couples without children, and 13.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.0%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Kemps Creek fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.2%) and certificates (26.5%). Educational participation is high at 27.8%, comprising primary education (10.5%), secondary education (8.6%), and tertiary education (4.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kemps Creek has 44 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 49 different routes that collectively facilitate 504 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 546 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents in this primarily residential area commute outward using cars, which remain the dominant mode of transport at 87%. Nine percent of residents walk to their destinations. On average, there are 2.2 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

Notably, 34.7% of residents work from home, as recorded in the 2021 Census, a figure which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 72 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kemps Creek's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data for Kemps Creek shows positive outcomes overall. Mortality rates and health conditions are largely in line with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are relatively low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts compared to national averages. Private health cover is found in approximately 51% of the total population (~1,254 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and diabetes, affecting 9.4 and 6.3% of residents respectively. 69.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Kemps Creek has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.2% (497 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Kemps Creek was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kemps Creek has a high level of cultural diversity, with 31.8% of its population born overseas and 42.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kemps Creek, comprising 70.5% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Kemps Creek are Italian (19.3%), Australian (18.2%), and Other (14.2%).

Notably, Maltese (6.4%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.0%, as are Croatian (3.0% vs 0.7%) and Serbian (1.7% vs 0.5%).

Kemps Creek hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Kemps Creek as of 2021 was 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and the national average of 38. The age profile showed that those aged 65-74 made up 11.3%, while those aged 25-34 constituted only 9.3%. Between 2021 and the present, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 10.9% to 13.1% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 14.5% to 15.6%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 14.9% to 13.0%, and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 10.4% to 9.3%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate that the 45 to 54 age cohort is expected to grow substantially, increasing by 341 people (107%) from 320 to 662.