Kemps Creek

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kemps Creek reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the population of the Kemps Creek statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 2,394, reflecting a growth of 273 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 12.9% rise from the previously reported figure of 2,121 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,962 following examination of ABS data up to June 2024 and an additional 51 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 69 persons per square kilometer. The Kemps Creek (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 12.9% between 2021 and Nov 2025, exceeding both state (7.6%) and metropolitan area averages. Interstate migration contributed approximately 84.0% of overall population gains during this period, with other factors such as natural growth and overseas migration also being positive contributors.

AreaSearch's projections for the Kemps Creek (SA2) are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 using a base year of 2022, while areas not covered by this data utilise NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the Kemps Creek (SA2) is expected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent nationally, with an anticipated expansion of 6,012 persons by 2041. This represents a 272.8% increase over the 17-year period from Nov 2025.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Kemps Creek when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Kemps Creek shows around 15 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 75 homes. So far in FY-26, 13 approvals have been recorded. This results in approximately 262 people per approval in Kemps Creek. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 14.7 new residents arrived per year per dwelling constructed.

Commercial approvals this financial year total $645.4 million, indicating high local commercial activity. New building activity consists of 92.0% detached houses and 8.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's low density nature.

Developers focus on the premium market with an average construction cost value of $668,000 per dwelling. Future projections estimate Kemps Creek to add 6,530 residents by 2041, potentially leading to increased buyer competition and price support if housing supply struggles to match population growth at current development rates.

Kemps Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 63 potential impact projects. Key ones are Access Logistics Park, Western Sydney University Aerotropolis Campus, Sydney Metro Western Sydney Airport Line, and Western Sydney Aerotropolis. The following details the most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Kemps Creek has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kemps Creek has a diverse workforce comprising both white and blue-collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent.

As of September 2025, the unemployment rate was 3.4%, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3% over the past year. There are 1,387 residents currently employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.8% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Kemps Creek is lower at 48.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents are construction, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and health care & social assistance.

The area has a strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with an employment share of 22.4 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services have limited presence, accounting for only 5.1% of employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. As at the Census, there are 0.8 workers for each resident in Kemps Creek, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 3.3%, while the labour force increased by 3.6%, resulting in a rise of 0.3 percentage points in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% over the same period, with an increase in labour force of 2.4% and a rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. At the state level, as of 25-November-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, while the state unemployment rate was at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kemps Creek's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 5.8% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, although these estimates are based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2023 indicates that income in Kemps Creek is below the national average. The median income is $44,934 while the average income stands at $60,695. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year ended June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $48,915 (median) and $66,073 (average) as of September 2025. Census data from 2021 shows individual incomes at the 16th percentile are $633 weekly, while household income is at the 50th percentile. The predominant income cohort spans 31.2% of locals, with 746 people in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in the metropolitan region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. After housing costs, 86.6% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Kemps Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Kemps Creek's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 93.8% houses and 6.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Home ownership in Kemps Creek stood at 48.4%, with 20.6% of dwellings mortgaged and 30.9% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,875, while the median weekly rent figure was $470. Nationally, Kemps Creek's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Kemps Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.2 people

Family households account for 80.0% of all households, including 40.7% couples with children, 23.8% couples without children, and 13.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.0%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 3.2 people.

Educational outcomes in Kemps Creek fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.2%) and certificates (26.5%). Educational participation is high, with 27.8% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (10.5%), secondary education (8.6%), and tertiary education (4.7%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kemps Creek has 46 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 49 different routes that together facilitate 504 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 546 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 72 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Kemps Creek are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Kemps Creek shows below-average health indicators with common conditions prevalent among its general population at levels higher than the national average for older cohorts.

Approximately 51% of Kemps Creek's total population (~1,219 people) has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and diabetes, affecting 9.4% and 6.3% of residents respectively. Conversely, 69.6% of residents report no medical ailments compared to 0% across Greater Sydney. Kemps Creek has 16.4% of its population aged 65 and over (392 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

Kemps Creek was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kemps Creek has a high level of cultural diversity, with 31.8% of its population born overseas and 42.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kemps Creek, accounting for 70.5% of the population, compared to None% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Italian (19.3%), Australian (18.2%), and Other (14.2%).

Notably, Maltese (6.4%) and Croatian (3.0%) are overrepresented in Kemps Creek compared to the regional averages of None%. Serbian ancestry is also present at 1.7%, while regionally it is None%.

Kemps Creek hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Kemps Creek was 42 years as of the Census conducted on the 9th of August, 2021. This figure is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The age group of 5-14 years showed strong representation in Kemps Creek at 14.7%, compared to the Greater Sydney region. However, the 25-34 age cohort was less prevalent in Kemps Creek at 10.7%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the area has become younger, with the median age dropping from 44 years to 42 years between censuses. Specifically, the 35-44 age group grew from 10.9% to 15.4% of the population, while the 5-14 age cohort increased from 11.9% to 14.7%. Conversely, the 65-74 age cohort declined from 12.1% to 9.8%, and the 45-54 age group decreased from 14.9% to 13.6%. By the year 2041, Kemps Creek is projected to experience notable shifts in its age composition, with the 45-54 age cohort expected to more than double, expanding by 1,332 people (409%) from 325 to 1,658.