Kemps Creek

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kemps Creek reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of Kemps Creek is estimated at around 2,455 as of Feb 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 334 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,121 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,962 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 53 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 71 persons per square kilometer. The suburb's 15.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state average of 7.8%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 84.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering these projections, exceptional growth is predicted over the period, with the suburb expected to increase by 2,093 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 65.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Kemps Creek among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Kemps Creek shows an average of around 16 new dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 82 homes. In FY-26 so far, 18 approvals have been recorded. This results in approximately 13.5 new residents arriving per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. The supply of dwellings is substantially lagging demand, indicating heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

Developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments, as shown by an average construction cost value of $610,000 for new homes. Additionally, $645.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment.

New building activity comprises 93.0% detached houses and 7.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. Kemps Creek reflects a transitioning market with around 211 people per approval. Looking ahead, Kemps Creek is expected to grow by 1,600 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Kemps Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 62 projects likely impacting the area. Major initiatives include Access Logistics Park, Western Sydney University Aerotropolis Campus, Sydney Metro Western Sydney Airport Line, and Western Sydney Aerotropolis. The following list details projects of particular relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kemps Creek has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kemps Creek has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent. The unemployment rate in the area was 3.6% as of an unspecified date.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.1%. As of December 2025, 1,398 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 0.6% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Kemps Creek was 87.9%, higher than Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 34.7% of residents worked from home.

The leading employment industries were construction, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and health care & social assistance. Agriculture, forestry & fishing had a particularly high share of employment at 22.4 times the regional level. Professional & technical services had limited presence with only 5.1% employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The worker-to-resident ratio was substantial at 0.8 workers per resident, indicating ample local employment opportunities. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 3.1%, labour force grew by 3.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. According to Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25, overall employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kemps Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that Kemps Creek's median income is $44,934 and average income is $60,695. This is lower than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $48,915 (median) and $66,073 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, individual incomes in Kemps Creek are at the 16th percentile ($633 weekly), while household incomes are at the 50th percentile. The predominant income cohort spans 31.2% of locals (765 people) with incomes between $1,500 and $2,999 per week. After housing costs, 86.6% of income remains for other expenses. Kemps Creek's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Kemps Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Kemps Creek's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.8% houses and 6.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kemps Creek was at 48.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 20.6% and rented ones at 30.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,875, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $470, matching Sydney metro's figure but higher than the national average of $375. Nationally, Kemps Creek's mortgage repayments were slightly higher at $1,863.

Kemps Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 80.0% of all households, including 40.7% couples with children, 23.8% couples without children, and 13.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.0%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households making up 3.0%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Kemps Creek fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has university qualification rates of 12.3%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 10.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (0.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 35.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 9.2% and certificates at 26.5%. Educational participation is high, with 27.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.5% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 44 active transport stops operating within Kemps Creek. These stops are serviced by 49 individual routes, collectively providing 504 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 546 meters from the nearest transport stop. As of the 2021 Census, a high 34.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 72 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop. The area is primarily residential, with most residents commuting outward.

Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 87%, with 9% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 2.2 per dwelling, above the regional average.

Kemps Creek's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data for Kemps Creek shows positive outcomes overall. Mortality rates and health conditions are broadly in line with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low, at approximately 51% of the total population (~1,251 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and diabetes, affecting 9.4 and 6.3% of residents respectively. 69.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. As of the latest data (2021), 20.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (513 people), higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Kemps Creek was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kemps Creek has a high level of cultural diversity, with 31.8% of its population born overseas and 42.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kemps Creek, making up 70.5% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Kemps Creek are Italian (19.3%), Australian (18.2%), and Other (14.2%).

Notably, Maltese is overrepresented at 6.4%, Croatian at 3.0%, and Serbian at 1.7%.

Kemps Creek hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Kemps Creek is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, making up 11.5% of the population, while those aged 25-34 constitute a smaller proportion at 8.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 10.9% to 13.0%, whereas the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 14.9% to 13.2%. The 25 to 34 age group has also dropped from 10.4% to 8.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Kemps Creek's age structure, with the 45 to 54 age cohort expected to grow exceptionally, increasing by 386 people (119%) from 324 to 711.