Gerringong

Population growth drivers in Gerringong are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

By Nov 2025, Gerringong's population is estimated at around 4,115, a decrease of 50 people from the 2021 Census figure of 4,165. This decline reflects an estimated resident population of 4,098 based on AreaSearch's analysis of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 27 new addresses since the Census date. The resulting density ratio is 378 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration was the primary driver of recent population growth in Gerringong. For future projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data for SA2 areas released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Applying these growth rates to all areas from 2032 to 2041, Gerringong is expected to grow by approximately 498 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of about 12.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Gerringong, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Gerringong experienced approximately 13 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 68 homes. As of FY-26, four approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice. Developers focus on the premium segment, with new dwellings averaging $1,062,000 for upmarket properties.

This financial year saw $3.8 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Rest of NSW, Gerringong has significantly less development activity, 63.0% below regional average per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This activity is also below national average, suggesting planning constraints. New development consists predominantly of standalone homes (86.0%) with townhouses or apartments making up the remainder (14.0%), preserving the area's low density nature. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 375 people.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Gerringong is projected to grow by 515 residents through to 2041, with construction maintaining a reasonable pace despite potential growing competition as population increases.

Gerringong has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Six projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly, with key ones including Sunnymede Urban Release Area, Princes Highway Gerringong Upgrade, WINIM Mixed-Use Development at 105-107 Fern Street, and 'Acacia' Apartments Gerringong. The following list details those most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Gerringong well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Gerringong has a well-educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.1% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.6%. The unemployment rate is 1.6% lower than Rest of NSW's rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation is similar to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Education & training has a particularly strong share of 1.3 times the regional level.

However, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented with only 1.4% of Gerringong's workforce compared to 5.3% in Rest of NSW. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 0.6% while labour force also increased by 0.6%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 2.1%. This contrasts with Rest of NSW where employment fell by 0.1%, labour force expanded by 0.3%, and unemployment rose to 4.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that Gerringong's employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Gerringong's median income among taxpayers was $47,201 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $73,079 during the same period. These figures compare to national averages of $49,459 and $62,998 respectively for Rest of NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated median income is approximately $53,153 as of September 2025, with average income projected at around $82,294 during the same period. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Gerringong cluster around the 54th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 29.4% of residents (1,209 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to the broader area where 29.9% occupy this bracket. After housing expenses, 85.8% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Gerringong is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Gerringong, as per the latest Census, consisted of 79.3% houses and 20.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro NSW had 79.0% houses and 21.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gerringong stood at 46.3%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (33.2%) or rented (20.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, aligning with Non-Metro NSW's average. The median weekly rent figure was $500, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $430. Nationally, Gerringong's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gerringong has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 74.5% of all households, including 33.1% couples with children, 33.1% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.5%, consisting of 23.1% lone person households and 2.3% group households. The median household size is 2.6 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

Gerringong shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Gerringong is notably higher than broader benchmarks. As of 2021 data, 33.6% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to the SA3 area's 19.9% and Rest of NSW's 21.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 37.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 24.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of 2021. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education. Gerringong Public School provides local educational services within Gerringong, with an enrollment of 388 students as of 2021. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with an ICSEA score of 1083, indicating above-average socio-educational conditions. Secondary options are available in surrounding areas. School places per 100 residents stand at 9.4, below the regional average of 14.2, suggesting some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gerringong has 59 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 17 different routes that together facilitate 2,501 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located just 128 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 357 daily trips across all routes, equating to around 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Gerringong is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Gerringong faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population, around 2,296 people, compared to 52.7% across Rest of NSW.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 10.8 and 8.1% of residents respectively, while 65.0% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 65.2% in Rest of NSW. The area has 27.3% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 1,123 people, which is higher than the 20.9% in Rest of NSW. This is broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Gerringong is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Gerringong, as per the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016 data, showed a lower level of cultural diversity with 87.4% of its population born in Australia, 92.2% being citizens and 96.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 54.6% of people in Gerringong, compared to 57.3% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.4%), Australian (29.6%) and Irish (11.3%).

Some notable differences existed in the representation of other ethnic groups: Scottish was overrepresented at 9.1%, Hungarian remained similar at 0.3%, and New Zealand was slightly higher at 0.8%.

Gerringong hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Gerringong's median age is 46, which is higher than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 and significantly greater than Australia's national norm of 38. The percentage of people aged 85 and above in Gerringong is 4.4%, compared to the Rest of NSW figure, while those aged 25-34 make up 8.7% of the population. According to post-2021 Census data, the proportion of people aged 15-24 has increased from 9.7% to 11.1%, whereas the percentage of those aged 45-54 has decreased from 12.5% to 11.7%. By 2041, Gerringong's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of people aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 86%, reaching 337 from the current figure of 181. Meanwhile, the populations of those aged 65-74 and 15-24 are expected to decrease.