Cohuna

Cohuna has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the estimated population of Cohuna as of February 2026 is around 2,407 people. This reflects a decrease of 8 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,415. The current resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 2,296, following an examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and with additional validation of 45 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 14.9 persons per square kilometer. While Cohuna experienced a 0.3% decline since the census, the surrounding SA3 area showed a 0.2% growth, indicating divergent trends. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted through weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the suburb of Cohuna's population is expected to decline by 558 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 4 people during this period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Cohuna, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Cohuna averaged around 6 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 33 homes. As of FY26, 3 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, the area has seen an average of 0.2 people moving in for each dwelling built. This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction cost value of new properties is $607,000, demonstrating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY26, there have been $3.0 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Vic., Cohuna records 14.0% less building activity per person, placing it among the 54th percentile nationally. However, construction activity has intensified recently.

This is below average nationally and reflects the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent development has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 297 people per approval, Cohuna reflects a low density area. Given the expected stable or declining population, housing pressure should remain reduced, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Cohuna has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 0 projects impacting this region. Key projects are Victoria to NSW Interconnector West (VNI West), Regional Housing Fund (Victoria), Victorian Renewable Energy Zones, and Melbourne To Adelaide Freight Rail Improvements.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Cohuna significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Cohuna has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, notably in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.8%, stable over the past year according to AreaSearch data aggregation. As of December 2025, 1,000 residents are employed at an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Regional Vic.'s 3.7%.

Workforce participation in Cohuna is lower at 50.8%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Census responses show that only 6.9% of residents work from home, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has a particularly strong representation with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, accommodation & food services have lower representation at 3.6% compared to Regional Vic.'s average of 6.9%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census working population versus resident population counts. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 0.4%, while labour force decreased by 2.1%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 2.5 percentage points. In comparison, Regional Vic.'s employment declined by 0.6%, labour force by 0.7%, with unemployment falling by only 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate potential future demand within Cohuna. Applying these projections to Cohuna's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Cohuna had a median taxpayer income of $42,307 and an average income of $49,315 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages, with Regional Vic.'s median income being $50,954 and average income $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $45,797 (median) and $53,383 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Cohuna fall between the 8th and 10th percentiles nationally. The income band of $400 - 799 captures 28.7% of Cohuna's community, differing from regional patterns where the $1,500 - 2,999 band dominates at 30.3%. Housing costs are modest, with 91.7% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 15th percentile nationally.

Cohuna is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Cohuna, as per the latest Census evaluation, 94.8% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.2% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cohuna stood at 56.2%, with mortgaged properties making up 25.6% and rented dwellings accounting for 18.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $997, significantly lower than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Weekly rent in Cohuna averaged at $185, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Cohuna's median monthly mortgage repayment is notably lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Cohuna features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 62.7% of all households, including 20.7% couples with children, 34.6% couples without children, and 6.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 37.3%, with lone person households at 35.2% and group households making up 2.6%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Cohuna faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.2%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.5%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.1%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.9%) and certificates (26.8%). A total of 21.2% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, with 9.4% in primary, 6.7% in secondary, and 1.3% in tertiary education.

A substantial 21.2% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 6.7% in secondary education, and 1.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cohuna has two active public transport stops. Six different routes service these stops, offering a total of 44 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is limited, with residents typically living 782 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outside Cohuna, primarily by car (91%). Walking accounts for 6% of commutes. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 6.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages six trips per day, resulting in approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Cohuna is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Cohuna faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment as of May 2021. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (around 1,117 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Victoria and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis, impacting 13.5% of residents, and asthma, affecting 9.2%. Conversely, 56.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Regional Victoria. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. As of May 2021, the area has 38.2% of residents aged 65 and over (around 919 people), which is higher than the 23.9% in Regional Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings even higher than those of the general population.

The latest Census data sees Cohuna placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cohuna's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 91.3% of its population being Australian citizens, 94.0% born in Australia, and 96.9% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Cohuna is Christianity, accounting for 51.9% of the population, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic.. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups in Cohuna are English (36.3%), Australian (34.1%), and Irish (9.0%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry is slightly overrepresented at 8.5%, while Dutch and Lebanese ancestries are underrepresented at 1.3% and 0.2% respectively, compared to regional averages of 8.8%, 1.7%, and 0.1%.

Cohuna ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Cohuna's median age in 20XX was 55 years, significantly higher than Regional Vic.'s average of 43 and national norm of 38. The age profile showed that those aged 65-74 were particularly prominent at 19.3%, while the 25-34 group was relatively smaller at 7.6% compared to Regional Vic.. This concentration in the 65-74 age bracket was notably higher than the national average of 9.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 0-4 age group grew from 4.3% to 5.2%, while the 5-14 cohort declined from 9.7% to 8.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Cohuna's age structure. The 85+ age cohort is expected to increase by -8 people (-6%), decreasing from 139 to 131. Conversely, the 85+ and 25-34 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.