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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Kerang has an estimated 3,786 residents, down from 3,960 at the 2021 Census — a change of 174 people, or 4.4%. The population has thinned by an average 0.8% a year over five years, slower than 99% of areas nationally. Density is about 26 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Kerang stands at approximately 3,786 as of May 2026. This represents a reduction of 174 individuals (-4.4%) from the 2021 Census, which documented 3,960 people. This shift is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 3,784 from June 2025 alongside 5 validated new addresses identified since the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 25 persons per square kilometer, indicating a spacious environment. The -4.4% contraction in Kerang is within 1.6 percentage points of the broader SA3 region (-2.8%), showing that population challenges are shared across the locality.
Balanced influences across natural changes and migration patterns drove the population dynamics. Projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia, published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline, are utilized for each SA2 area. For SA2 regions lacking this data, projections from the VIC State Government released in 2023 are applied, adjusted using a weighted aggregation method of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age brackets from these aggregations are also applied to all regions for the period from 2032 to 2041. Future demographic forecasts point to a shrinking population, with expectations that the headcount will contract by 1,052 persons by 2041 under this approach.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
62 new dwellings have been approved in Kerang over the past five years, an average of 12 a year. That is 3.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 8, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Dwelling approvals in Kerang have run at an annual average of about 12, totaling 62 building approvals over the preceding 5 financial years (FY-21 to FY-25) and 8 during FY-26 so far. As the population has contracted lately, this new supply has likely matched demand, providing options for buyers, with new residences constructed at an average cost of $256,000, aligning with regional trends. In addition, commercial approvals reached $4.4 million during the current financial year, highlighting the predominantly residential character of the locality. Relative to the Rest of Vic., Kerang maintains a similar rate of new home approvals per capita, keeping the market balanced in line with surrounding territories.
This building pace remains below the national average, suggesting a mature market and potential planning barriers. Standalone houses account for 86.0% of new residential construction, while medium and high-density formats make up 14.0%, keeping density low and focusing on detached homes that appeal to buyers wanting space. The estimated ratio of 544 residents for each dwelling approval highlights a quiet, low-intensity development climate. Because the population is projected to stabilize or decrease, housing demand in Kerang should ease, potentially opening up opportunities for prospective buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Kerang
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside Kerang, worth an estimated $8.62 billion. A further 83 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $33.5 billion. 23 are already under construction and 36 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans energy, transport & logistics and residential development. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Changes in local infrastructure, major construction, and planning policies significantly affect regional performance. AreaSearch has identified 7 projects expected to influence this locality. Prominent projects include the Victoria to NSW Interconnector West (VNI West), the Kerang Solar & BESS Hybrid facility, the Koorangie Energy Storage System (KESS), and the Kerang District Health Facility Upgrade (focusing on CSSD, PACU, and Operating Theatre Equipment), with details on the most significant initiatives provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Victoria to NSW Interconnector West (VNI West)
VNI West is a proposed 500 kV double circuit overhead transmission interconnector linking the NSW and Victorian high voltage electricity grids. The preferred option runs from Transgrid's Dinawan Substation north of Jerilderie to new substations proposed near Kerang and Bulgana, connecting EnergyConnect in NSW with Western Renewables Link in Victoria. The project is intended to increase transfer capacity between the states, support renewable energy zones, improve reliability and security of supply, and enable regional jobs and community benefits.The NSW section has completed EIS exhibition and Transgrid is preparing Submissions and Amendment Reports for lodgement in mid-2026. The Victorian section is preparing an Environment Effects Statement, with VicGrid responsible for planning and Iberdrola Australia selected as development partner.
Kerang Solar & BESS Hybrid
Kerang Hybrid is a 161 MW DC solar farm co-located with a 55 MW / 110 MWh AC-coupled Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) on private land adjacent to the Kerang Terminal Station. It received Development Approval from Gannawarra Shire Council and AEMO 5.3.4A grid connection approval in July 2025. Construction is targeted to commence in Q4 2025.
Koorangie Energy Storage System (KESS)
A $400 million, 185 MW / 370 MWh grid-forming battery energy storage system (BESS) featuring 100 Tesla Megapacks with advanced grid-forming inverters. The project provides critical system strength services under a 20-year agreement with AEMO, enabling an additional 300 MW of renewable generation in the Murray River Renewable Energy Zone (REZ). It is capable of powering 350,000 homes for two hours and operates under a 15-year offtake agreement with Shell Energy.
Kerang District Health Facility Upgrade (CSSD, PACU, and Operating Theatre Equipment)
Upgrade of the Central Sterile Services Department (CSSD), expansion of the Post-Anaesthesia Care Unit (PACU), and replacement of operating room equipment. Funded by a $3.5 million package from the Victorian Government, the project involved refurbishing the CSSD to meet AS 4187 standards, adding two bed bays to the PACU, and installing a new reverse osmosis water filtration system. Construction required a temporary closure of surgical services from September 2024 until May 2025. The upgrades ensure local access to surgery and reduce procedure cancellations by modernising critical sterilisation and monitoring infrastructure.
Tragowel BESS Project
Proposed 200 MW / 800 MWh utility-scale battery energy storage system south of Kerang, near the Kerang Terminal Station. The planning permit application has been lodged with the Victorian Minister for Planning through the Department of Transport and Planning and is under assessment. The project is intended to strengthen grid reliability, store surplus energy and support renewable energy integration in northern Victoria. Construction is targeted to start in 2027, subject to approvals, with operations targeted for 2029.
Kerang CBD Redevelopment
Redevelopment of Kerang's central business district (Stages 3 and 4), including upgraded concrete paving (replacing uneven pavers) and wider footpaths for improved accessibility, new street furniture and trees, landscaping (new garden beds), remodelled kerbing, and new lighting, particularly around the Karlie McDonald Memorial Clock. The project's goal was to revitalise the CBD to be attractive and functional, improving accessibility and increasing foot traffic.
Kerang Solar Plant
A 37.2 MWp solar plant using single axis trackers and bifacial modules, spanning over 64 hectares near Kerang in Victoria's Gannawarra Shire. The plant reached full output in mid-2025 and was officially opened in October 2025 by developer and operator British Solar Renewables. Exporting up to 30 MW AC into the grid via the Kerang Zone Substation, the facility supplies clean electricity to around 6,000 homes annually and avoids up to 40,000 tonnes of CO2-equivalent emissions each year.BSR is now progressing plans for co-located battery storage at the site.
Koorangie Energy Storage System
The Koorangie Energy Storage System, developed by Edify Energy, is a 185 megawatt / 370 megawatt hour battery storage system located at Sandhill Lake near Kerang, Victoria, to enhance storage capacity in the Murray River Renewable Energy Zone.
1,586 residents of Kerang are employed, from a labour force of 1,632. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 51.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is balanced between white and blue collar jobs, with a solid representation in essential services and an unemployment rate of only 2.8%. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 1,586, while the unemployment rate was 0.9% below the Regional Vic. level of 3.7%, though participation in the labor force is low (51.4% versus 61.1% in Regional Vic.). Census data showed that a minor 8.6% of residents worked from home, although Covid-19 restrictions during that period should be noted. The primary sectors of employment for residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing.
Public administration & safety shows a strong concentration, with its share of employment reaching 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, accommodation & food services has a small footprint, accounting for 5.1% of employment compared to 6.9% across the region. Although local jobs are available, a comparison between the Census working population and the local population indicates that many residents travel outside the area for work. Analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch shows that over the 12-month period, the labor force shrank by 3.4% and total employment fell by 1.2%, which led to a 2.2 percentage point drop in unemployment. In comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment decline by 0.1%, the labor force drop by 0.3%, and unemployment decrease by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of May-25 provide context for future local demand. These five and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce structure to estimate development trends. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though industry growth rates vary. Applying these national sector trends to the local industry mix suggests employment in Kerang could rise by 5.7% over five years and 12.5% over ten years (this represents a basic weighted extrapolation for demonstration and excludes local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Kerang is $1,006 a week (about $52,000 a year), with median personal income at $573 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $44,224 a year against an average of $54,392. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the ATO postcode data released for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the Kerang SA2 recorded a median income of $44,224 and an average income of $54,392. These figures are below the national benchmarks, and compare with a median of $50,954 and an average of $62,728 in Regional Vic. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates point to approximately $48,478 for the median and $59,625 for the average as of March 2026. Census findings place household, family, and personal incomes in Kerang between the 3rd and 8th percentiles across Australia.
In terms of distribution, the $400 - 799 weekly range is the most common, accounting for 32.5% of residents (1,230 people), which contrasts with the broader region where the $1,500 - 2,999 range leads at 30.3%. The high proportion of lower-income earners (40.1% under $800/week) suggests tight household budgets for a significant part of the community. Although housing costs are low, leaving 89.0% of income retained, overall disposable income sits at the 7th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Kerang had 1,663 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 90% detached houses and 0% apartments. 28% are owned with a mortgage, 24% rented and 49% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $200 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,000 a month. Rent absorbs 19.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing stock in Kerang at the time of the latest Census consisted of 89.6% separate houses and 10.5% other dwelling types (including semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative options), compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings in Regional Vic. Home ownership in Kerang was high at 48.9%, outstripping Regional Vic., while the remaining properties were mortgaged (27.5%) or rented (23.6%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,000, which is below the Regional Vic. average, while the median weekly rent was $200, compared to regional figures of $1,430 and $285 respectively.
Nationally, mortgage payments in Kerang are much lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are well below the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Kerang counted 1,663 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.1 people each. 19% are couples with children, fewer than in 89% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 39% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.3 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 58.7%, consisting of 19.1% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 10.0% single parent households. The remaining 41.3% are non-family households, with single person households accounting for 38.7% and group housing making up 2.8%. The median household size of 2.1 persons is below the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
11.8% of adults in Kerang hold a university qualification, including 8.6% with a bachelor degree and 1.6% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 86% of areas nationally. A further 29.1% hold a vocational qualification. 5 schools serve the area, with 686 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 959 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels in the area are low, with university qualifications held by 11.8% of the population, well below the VIC average of 33.4%. This highlights a clear area for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 8.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Technical and trade qualifications are prevalent, with 38.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, split between advanced diplomas (9.5%) and certificates (29.1%). Participation in study is high, with 25.3% of local residents enrolled in an educational institution.
This group comprises 10.6% in primary school, 7.9% in high school, and 1.6% in tertiary study.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Kerang means driving: households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of transit options shows 2 active public transport stops in Kerang, providing train services. These facilities are served by 5 distinct routes that combine to offer 64 passenger trips each week. Transport access is classified as limited, with residents living an average of 902 meters from their closest stop. As the area is mostly residential, most workers commute out, with private cars being the primary mode of travel at 90%, and 8% walking. Dwelling vehicle ownership averages 1.3, which is below the regional norm. A low share of 8.6% of residents worked from home during the 2021 Census, which was potentially influenced by pandemic conditions.
Services run at an average frequency of 9 trips daily across the network, representing about 32 passenger trips each week for each stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
56.6% of residents in Kerang report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 88% of areas nationally. 9.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments point to major difficulties in Kerang, as highlighted by mortality rates and the occurrence of chronic conditions across both younger and older cohorts, alongside a low rate of private health insurance covering roughly 47% of the population (~1,771 people). This compares to 50.5% coverage in Regional Vic. and a national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 13.0% and 9.9% of residents, while 56.6% reported having no chronic health conditions compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic. The working-age cohort shows high rates of chronic illness.
Residents aged 65 and over represent 31.0% of the population (1,175 people), higher than the Regional Vic. average of 23.9%. Health outcomes for seniors show some challenges, with national rankings aligning generally with the broader local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Kerang is largely Australian-born, at 93.9% of residents, with 2.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (35.2%) and Australian (33.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Kerang is low, with citizens making up 91.2% of the population, 93.9% born in Australia, and 97.4% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 55.6% of the population, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. In terms of parent country of birth, the main ancestries are English (35.2%), Australian (33.5%), and Scottish (9.2%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences from regional averages: Australian Aboriginal residents represent 2.6% of the population (compared to 1.4% regionally), Irish ancestry accounts for 8.3% (versus 9.7%), and German ancestry stands at 3.3% (versus 3.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Kerang is 51, older than 92% of areas nationally. 17.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Kerang is 51 years, which is older than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and the national median of 38. The 65 - 74 age group is highly represented at 16.5% locally compared to the region, while the 15 - 24 age bracket is under-represented at 8.9%. The local concentration of 65 - 74 year-olds is higher than the national share of 9.4%. Post-2021 Census figures show the 65 to 74 cohort grew from 15.4% to 16.5%, and the 35 to 44 cohort rose from 9.6% to 10.7%, while the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 10.9% to 9.4%.
By 2041, demographic shifts will alter the age profile, with the 85+ cohort declining by -3% (-5 people) to reach 180 from 185, while decreases are also expected for the 85+ and 45 to 54 age groups.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Kerang
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 last month all 7 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 5 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,960 at the 2021 Census → 3,786 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (215031402). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.