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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Gannawarra has an estimated 6,524 residents, down from 6,719 at the 2021 Census — a change of 195 people, or 2.9%. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Gannawarra has a population of approximately 6,524 as of May 2026, according to analysis by AreaSearch. This represents a contraction of 195 individuals (2.9%) from the 6,719 residents recorded in the 2021 Census. This population shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 6,522 alongside 74 validated new addresses registered since the Census. The region maintains a density ratio of 1.8 persons per square kilometer, which ensures abundant space for inhabitants. This -2.9% drop in population closely matches the -2.8% change observed in the surrounding SA3 region, differing by only 0.1 percentage points and highlighting shared demographic trends.
Population gains in recent times were almost exclusively fueled by overseas migration. AreaSearch incorporates projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline year for each SA2 region. For SA2 areas lacking this coverage, projections from the VIC State Government's 2023 release are utilized, adjusted via a weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 tiers. The age cohort growth rates derived from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Projections indicate a downward trajectory for the overall population over this timeframe, with a projected reduction of 1,615 persons by 2041. Despite this decline, expansion is expected in particular age groups, led by residents aged 85 and over, which is projected to grow by 2 people.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
134 new dwellings have been approved in Gannawarra over the past five years, an average of 26 a year. That is 4.1 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 9, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Dwelling approvals in Gannawarra average approximately 26 annually, with 134 residential properties approved over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, and 9 approved during FY-26 to date. Given the recent population contraction, the supply of new housing has likely matched demand, providing buyers with suitable options, while the average expected construction cost for these new properties stands at $320,000. Furthermore, commercial development approvals total $13.7 million for the current financial year, pointing to steady commercial building activity. Gannawarra exhibits a moderately higher rate of new home approvals relative to Rest of Vic., tracking 25.0% above the regional average per capita over the 5 year timeframe, which supports local real estate values while maintaining choice for buyers, even though building pace has slowed recently.
All new construction has consisted of detached houses, maintaining the low density character of the locality and appealing to buyers seeking extra space. The development landscape is quiet and low in activity, with a ratio of 382 people for every residential approval. Because the population is projected to shrink or stay stable, housing demand in Gannawarra will likely ease, which may present favorable conditions for buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Gannawarra
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 3 current infrastructure and development projects inside Gannawarra, worth an estimated $2 billion. A further 75 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $33.4 billion. 20 are already under construction and 32 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans energy, residential development and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning decisions, and development programs are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified 10 key projects that are expected to impact this locality. The most relevant initiatives include the Kerang Solar & BESS Hybrid, the Victoria to NSW Interconnector West (VNI West), the Koorangie Energy Storage System (KESS), and the Kerang District Health Facility Upgrade (comprising CSSD, PACU, and Operating Theatre Equipment), with details on specific projects provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Kerang Solar Plant
A 37.2 MWp solar plant using single axis trackers and bifacial modules, spanning over 64 hectares near Kerang in Victoria's Gannawarra Shire. The plant reached full output in mid-2025 and was officially opened in October 2025 by developer and operator British Solar Renewables. Exporting up to 30 MW AC into the grid via the Kerang Zone Substation, the facility supplies clean electricity to around 6,000 homes annually and avoids up to 40,000 tonnes of CO2-equivalent emissions each year.BSR is now progressing plans for co-located battery storage at the site.
Kerang Solar & BESS Hybrid
Kerang Hybrid is a 161 MW DC solar farm co-located with a 55 MW / 110 MWh AC-coupled Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) on private land adjacent to the Kerang Terminal Station. It received Development Approval from Gannawarra Shire Council and AEMO 5.3.4A grid connection approval in July 2025. Construction is targeted to commence in Q4 2025.
Victoria to NSW Interconnector West (VNI West)
VNI West is a proposed 500 kV double circuit overhead transmission interconnector linking the NSW and Victorian high voltage electricity grids. The preferred option runs from Transgrid's Dinawan Substation north of Jerilderie to new substations proposed near Kerang and Bulgana, connecting EnergyConnect in NSW with Western Renewables Link in Victoria. The project is intended to increase transfer capacity between the states, support renewable energy zones, improve reliability and security of supply, and enable regional jobs and community benefits.The NSW section has completed EIS exhibition and Transgrid is preparing Submissions and Amendment Reports for lodgement in mid-2026. The Victorian section is preparing an Environment Effects Statement, with VicGrid responsible for planning and Iberdrola Australia selected as development partner.
Koorangie Energy Storage System (KESS)
A $400 million, 185 MW / 370 MWh grid-forming battery energy storage system (BESS) featuring 100 Tesla Megapacks with advanced grid-forming inverters. The project provides critical system strength services under a 20-year agreement with AEMO, enabling an additional 300 MW of renewable generation in the Murray River Renewable Energy Zone (REZ). It is capable of powering 350,000 homes for two hours and operates under a 15-year offtake agreement with Shell Energy.
Tragowel BESS Project
Proposed 200 MW / 800 MWh utility-scale battery energy storage system south of Kerang, near the Kerang Terminal Station. The planning permit application has been lodged with the Victorian Minister for Planning through the Department of Transport and Planning and is under assessment. The project is intended to strengthen grid reliability, store surplus energy and support renewable energy integration in northern Victoria. Construction is targeted to start in 2027, subject to approvals, with operations targeted for 2029.
Kerang CBD Redevelopment
Redevelopment of Kerang's central business district (Stages 3 and 4), including upgraded concrete paving (replacing uneven pavers) and wider footpaths for improved accessibility, new street furniture and trees, landscaping (new garden beds), remodelled kerbing, and new lighting, particularly around the Karlie McDonald Memorial Clock. The project's goal was to revitalise the CBD to be attractive and functional, improving accessibility and increasing foot traffic.
Kerang District Health Facility Upgrade (CSSD, PACU, and Operating Theatre Equipment)
Upgrade of the Central Sterile Services Department (CSSD), expansion of the Post-Anaesthesia Care Unit (PACU), and replacement of operating room equipment. Funded by a $3.5 million package from the Victorian Government, the project involved refurbishing the CSSD to meet AS 4187 standards, adding two bed bays to the PACU, and installing a new reverse osmosis water filtration system. Construction required a temporary closure of surgical services from September 2024 until May 2025. The upgrades ensure local access to surgery and reduce procedure cancellations by modernising critical sterilisation and monitoring infrastructure.
Koorangie Energy Storage System
The Koorangie Energy Storage System, developed by Edify Energy, is a 185 megawatt / 370 megawatt hour battery storage system located at Sandhill Lake near Kerang, Victoria, to enhance storage capacity in the Murray River Renewable Energy Zone.
3,108 residents of Gannawarra are employed, from a labour force of 3,161. Unemployment sits at 1.7%, with participation at 57.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,995, about 92% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The workforce in Gannawarra is balanced between white and blue collar jobs across multiple industries, accompanied by a low unemployment rate of 1.7%. Employment figures for March 2026 show 3,108 working residents, and the unemployment rate is 2.0% below the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%. Participation in the labor force is somewhat lower than the regional benchmark, sitting at 57.1% compared to 61.1% in Regional Vic. Census data indicated that a moderate 15.7% of employed residents worked from home, though this may have been influenced by COVID-19 restrictions. The principal employment industries for local residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
The region exhibits high specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with its share of employment reaching 4.2 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, health care & social assistance is less prevalent, accounting for 11.6% of local jobs compared to 16.8% across the region. A comparison of the Census working population against the resident population suggests that local employment options within the area are relatively limited. According to AreaSearch's evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics, the labor force shrank by 3.4% and total employment fell by 2.3% over the 12-month period, resulting in a 1.1 percentage point drop in unemployment. In comparison, Regional Vic. experienced a 0.1% decrease in employment, a 0.3% reduction in the labor force, and a 0.2 percentage point decline in unemployment. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia released in May-25 provide context for local demand trends. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential changes. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by industry. Applying these trends to the local industry mix suggests employment in Gannawarra could rise by 5.0% over five years and 11.3% over ten years, representing a basic weighting extrapolation that excludes local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Gannawarra is $1,114 a week (about $58,000 a year), with median personal income at $601 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $44,896 a year against an average of $53,820. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest postcode ATO data from AreaSearch for financial year 2023, taxpayers in the Gannawarra SA2 earn a median income of $44,896 and an average income of $53,820. These figures sit below national benchmarks, and compare to a median of $50,954 and an average of $62,728 in Regional Vic. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 are approximately $49,215 for the median and $58,997 for the average. Census records show that local personal, family, and household incomes fall between the 8th and 11th percentiles nationally.
Looking at distribution, 28.3% of the community (1,846 individuals) earn within the $800 - 1,499 range, whereas the wider regional area is led by the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket at 30.3%. Residents retain 92.0% of their income due to modest housing costs, but total disposable income ranks in the 15th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Gannawarra had 2,696 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 97% detached houses and 0% apartments. 26% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 58% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $180 a week and the median mortgage repayment $997 a month. Rent absorbs 16.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, the housing stock in Gannawarra consisted of 96.8% separate houses and 3.1% other dwelling types such as apartments, semi-detached properties, or alternative structures, compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings in Regional Vic. Home ownership rates were high, with 57.9% of residents owning their properties outright, while 25.9% had a mortgage and 16.2% rented. The median monthly mortgage payment was $997, which is notably lower than the Regional Vic. average of $1,430. The median weekly rent was $180, compared to $285 for Regional Vic.
On a national level, Gannawarra mortgage payments are significantly below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are well below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Gannawarra counted 2,696 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.2 people each. 23% are couples with children, fewer than in 77% of areas nationally, against 37% couples without children. 30% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.2 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 67.8% of all households in the area, consisting of couples without children at 36.6%, couples with children at 23.1%, and single parents at 7.5%. The remaining 32.2% are non-family households, which are mostly lone persons at 30.0% and group households at 2.0%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is slightly below the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
11.9% of adults in Gannawarra hold a university qualification, including 8.7% with a bachelor degree and 1.4% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 85% of areas nationally. A further 29.5% hold a vocational qualification. 7 schools serve the area, with 568 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 971 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels in the area show that 11.9% of residents hold a university qualification, which is lower than the VIC average of 33.4%. Among these qualifications, bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.7%, followed by graduate diplomas at 1.8% and postgraduate degrees at 1.4%. Vocational and technical training is prominent, with 37.9% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, including advanced diplomas at 8.4% and certificates at 29.5%. Formal education enrollment stands at 24.6% of the population. This figure includes 10.5% of residents in primary school, 8.0% in secondary school, and 1.5% in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Gannawarra means driving: households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport services in Gannawarra include 18 active bus stops. These stops are served by 7 distinct routes that run a total of 66 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is limited, with residents living an average of 961 meters from the nearest stop. The commuting profile is typical of a residential area, with 88% of residents driving to work, 8% walking, and 15.7% working from home according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.8 cars per dwelling, which is above the regional average.
Bus routes run an average of 9 trips per day, which translates to approximately 3 weekly passenger trips for each stop in the network.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
60.8% of residents in Gannawarra report no long-term health condition. 6.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics indicate notable challenges in Gannawarra, based on mortality data and the frequency of chronic illnesses across both younger and older demographics. The rate of private health insurance is low, covering approximately 47% of the population (~3,040 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic. and a national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent medical diagnoses in the region, affecting 12.1% and 9.0% of inhabitants respectively. A total of 60.8% of residents reported having no long-term health conditions, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic. Chronic illness rates are elevated among the working-age population.
Furthermore, 31.8% of the population is aged 65 and over (2,074 people), compared to 23.9% in Regional Vic., with national rankings for chronic conditions in this group higher than the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Gannawarra is largely Australian-born, at 94.0% of residents, with 2.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (36.1%) and English (33.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics are lower than average in Gannawarra, where 89.5% of the population are citizens, 94.0% were born in Australia, and 97.4% speak only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, practiced by 52.8% of the population, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. Regarding parental country of birth, the three largest ancestry groups are Australian at 36.1% of the population, which is higher than the regional average of 29.6%, English at 33.7%, and Irish at 9.3%. There are minor differences in the representation of other ethnic backgrounds, with Scottish making up 8.7% of the population (compared to 8.8% regionally), Dutch at 1.3% (compared to 1.7%), and Maltese at 0.4% (compared to 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Gannawarra is 52, older than 94% of areas nationally. 16.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Gannawarra is 52 years, which is higher than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and the national average of 38. The 65 - 74 age group is over-represented locally at 17.3% compared to Regional Vic., and sits above the national share of 9.4%, while the 25 - 34 bracket is under-represented at 7.5%. Since 2021, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 grew from 10.0% to 11.2%, while the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 12.7% to 11.6%. Projections for 2041 suggest changing demographics, with the 85+ cohort showing the strongest growth rate of -1%, adding -2 residents to reach a total of 209, while declines are projected for both the 85+ and 0 to 4 age groups.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Gannawarra
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 3 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 74 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (6,719 at the 2021 Census → 6,524 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (215031401). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.