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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Kerang has an estimated 3,786 residents, down from 3,960 at the 2021 Census — a change of 174 people, or 4.4%. The population has thinned by an average 0.8% a year over five years, slower than 99% of areas nationally. Density is about 26 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to evaluations of ABS population adjustments for the wider region, alongside recent addresses verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the resident count for the suburb of Kerang is projected to be approximately 3,786 as of May 2026. This represents a contraction of 174 residents (4.4%) from the 2021 Census, which documented 3,960 individuals. The variation is calculated from a resident population of 3,784, determined by AreaSearch using the latest ABS ERP data release (June 2025) combined with 5 newly verified addresses following the Census. This population level yields a density of 25 persons per square kilometer, offering residents substantial personal space.
The suburb of Kerang's -4.4% postwar Census reduction is within 1.6 percentage points of the broader SA3 territory (-2.8%), showing that population pressures are shared across the district. Demographic changes were balanced between migration and natural shifts. Projections for each SA2 district utilize ABS and Geoscience Australia figures published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline. For locations lacking this coverage, AreaSearch incorporates the 2023 Victorian State Government Regional/LGA projections, modified by aggregating LGA-level population growth to SA2 levels using a weighted system. Age bracket growth trends from these models are applied across all regions for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographic shifts, these calculations project an overall reduction in residency, with a projected decline of 1,050 persons across the suburb of Kerang by 2041.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
62 new dwellings have been approved in Kerang over the past five years, an average of 12 a year. That is 3.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 8, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of building permit statistics from statistical areas indicates that Kerang averages approximately 12 approved residential builds each year. This totals an estimated 62 approved dwellings over the preceding 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 8 during the current FY-26. Amidst recent population declines, construction volumes have been relatively sufficient, which is advantageous for purchasers, while newly approved residences show an average value of $501,000, indicating that developers are focusing on the higher-priced, premium tier of the market. Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $4.4 million during the current financial year, which highlights the predominantly residential makeup of the area.
Relative to the Rest of Vic., construction volumes per capita in Kerang are comparable, reinforcing market equilibrium in line with regional trends. However, this rate falls short of the national average, pointing to the established nature of the local market and possible regulatory bottlenecks. New approvals are composed of 89.0% separate houses and 11.0% semi-detached properties or units, preserving the traditional low-density residential profile designed for households wanting extra space. The ratio of 544 residents per single approved dwelling highlights the quiet, subdued nature of local construction activity. Given that demographic projections point to stable or declining numbers, Kerang is likely to see reduced pressure on housing demand, which represents a favorable trend for prospective purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Kerang
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Kerang, worth an estimated $8.37 billion. A further 49 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $14.6 billion. 17 are already under construction and 24 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and energy. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major works, and planning updates are key drivers of regional outcomes. In total, 7 projects have been identified that are expected to influence the area. Principal developments include the Victoria to NSW Interconnector West (VNI West), the Kerang Solar & BESS Hybrid project, the Koorangie Energy Storage System (KESS), and the Kerang District Health Facility Upgrade (focusing on CSSD, PACU, and operating theatre equipment), with the following details focusing on those of greatest local significance.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Victoria to NSW Interconnector West (VNI West)
VNI West is a proposed 500 kV double circuit overhead transmission interconnector linking the NSW and Victorian high voltage electricity grids. The preferred option runs from Transgrid's Dinawan Substation north of Jerilderie to new substations proposed near Kerang and Bulgana, connecting EnergyConnect in NSW with Western Renewables Link in Victoria. The project is intended to increase transfer capacity between the states, support renewable energy zones, improve reliability and security of supply, and enable regional jobs and community benefits.The NSW section has completed EIS exhibition and Transgrid is preparing Submissions and Amendment Reports for lodgement in mid-2026. The Victorian section is preparing an Environment Effects Statement, with VicGrid responsible for planning and Iberdrola Australia selected as development partner.
Kerang Solar & BESS Hybrid
Kerang Hybrid is a 161 MW DC solar farm co-located with a 55 MW / 110 MWh AC-coupled Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) on private land adjacent to the Kerang Terminal Station. It received Development Approval from Gannawarra Shire Council and AEMO 5.3.4A grid connection approval in July 2025. Construction is targeted to commence in Q4 2025.
Koorangie Energy Storage System (KESS)
A $400 million, 185 MW / 370 MWh grid-forming battery energy storage system (BESS) featuring 100 Tesla Megapacks with advanced grid-forming inverters. The project provides critical system strength services under a 20-year agreement with AEMO, enabling an additional 300 MW of renewable generation in the Murray River Renewable Energy Zone (REZ). It is capable of powering 350,000 homes for two hours and operates under a 15-year offtake agreement with Shell Energy.
Kerang District Health Facility Upgrade (CSSD, PACU, and Operating Theatre Equipment)
Upgrade of the Central Sterile Services Department (CSSD), expansion of the Post-Anaesthesia Care Unit (PACU), and replacement of operating room equipment. Funded by a $3.5 million package from the Victorian Government, the project involved refurbishing the CSSD to meet AS 4187 standards, adding two bed bays to the PACU, and installing a new reverse osmosis water filtration system. Construction required a temporary closure of surgical services from September 2024 until May 2025. The upgrades ensure local access to surgery and reduce procedure cancellations by modernising critical sterilisation and monitoring infrastructure.
Kerang CBD Redevelopment
Redevelopment of Kerang's central business district (Stages 3 and 4), including upgraded concrete paving (replacing uneven pavers) and wider footpaths for improved accessibility, new street furniture and trees, landscaping (new garden beds), remodelled kerbing, and new lighting, particularly around the Karlie McDonald Memorial Clock. The project's goal was to revitalise the CBD to be attractive and functional, improving accessibility and increasing foot traffic.
Kerang Solar Plant
A 37.2 MWp solar plant using single axis trackers and bifacial modules, spanning over 64 hectares near Kerang in Victoria's Gannawarra Shire. The plant reached full output in mid-2025 and was officially opened in October 2025 by developer and operator British Solar Renewables. Exporting up to 30 MW AC into the grid via the Kerang Zone Substation, the facility supplies clean electricity to around 6,000 homes annually and avoids up to 40,000 tonnes of CO2-equivalent emissions each year.BSR is now progressing plans for co-located battery storage at the site.
Swan Hill Aerodrome Master Plan Development
Development of a comprehensive master plan for Swan Hill Aerodrome to guide future development and improvements. Aviation Projects, Australia's leading airport and aerodrome specialists, is facilitating the planning process to assess current facilities, identify future needs, and plan for enhanced aviation services and infrastructure.
Swan Hill Regional Art Gallery Redevelopment
Redevelopment creating a modern space honoring the gallery's legacy with expanded exhibition areas, dedicated workshop zones, improved storage for artworks, and upgraded environmental systems.
1,586 residents of Kerang are employed, from a labour force of 1,632. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 51.4%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Kerang has a diverse workforce composed of both professional and manual workers, alongside a solid base in essential service sectors, resulting in an unemployment rate of only 2.8% according to aggregated statistical area data. As of March 2026, there are 1,586 employed residents. The local unemployment rate sits 0.9% lower than the Regional Vic. benchmark of 3.7%, whereas the participation rate of 51.4% is notably lower than the Regional Vic. average of 61.1%. According to the Census, a modest 8.6% of working residents operated from home, though this figure should be interpreted in the context of pandemic restrictions.
The primary employment sectors for local citizens are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Public administration & safety is highly represented locally, employing staff at 1.6 times the Regional Vic. average. Conversely, accommodation & food services is underrepresented, accounting for only 5.1% of the workforce compared to 6.9% regionally. Although local positions are available, a comparison between local job counts and the working population suggests a high proportion of residents travel outside the area for employment. Labour force assessments from SALM and ABS data aggregated from surrounding statistical areas show that during the year leading to March 2026, the overall workforce shrank by 3.4% and the number of employed individuals dropped by 1.2%, which led to a 2.2 percentage point decline in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment contract by 0.1%, the workforce drop by 0.3%, and unemployment decrease by 0.2 percentage points. Employment projections released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide an indication of future workforce requirements. These five and ten-year national outlooks have been aligned with local industry profiles to estimate employment paths. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with wide variations across different fields. Applying these trends to the local industry mix suggests employment among residents could rise by 5.7% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, based on a basic weighted extrapolation that does not incorporate local demographic forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Kerang is $1,006 a week (about $52,000 a year), with median personal income at $573 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $42,504 a year against an average of $50,020. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO records for the 2023 financial year show that incomes in the suburb of Kerang are below the national average, with a median of $42,504 and an average of $50,020. This compares to a median of $50,954 and an average of $62,728 across Regional Vic. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, estimates for March 2026 would be roughly $46,593 for the median and $54,832 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes all ranked between the 3rd and 8th percentiles nationwide.
The largest income group contains 32.5% of residents (1,230 people) who earn between $400 - 799 weekly, whereas the wider region is dominated by the $1,500 - 2,999 range at 30.3%. With 40.1% of the population earning under $800 weekly, local purchasing power is limited. Although residents retain 89.0% of their income due to low housing costs, total disposable income sits at the 7th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Kerang had 1,663 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 90% detached houses and 0% apartments. 28% are owned with a mortgage, 24% rented and 49% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $200 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,000 a month. Rent absorbs 19.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of housing in Kerang at the time of the last Census consisted of 89.6% separate houses and 10.5% alternative dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and other housing types, compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% alternative dwellings in Regional Vic. Home ownership was particularly high at 48.9%, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (27.5%) or renting (23.6%). The median monthly mortgage payment was notably lower than the regional average at $1,000, while the median weekly rent was $200, compared to Regional Vic. medians of $1,430 and $285.
Nationally, mortgage payments are much lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rent prices are far below the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Kerang counted 1,663 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.1 people each. 19% are couples with children, fewer than in 89% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 39% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.3 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units account for the majority of households at 58.7%, which includes 19.1% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 10.0% single parent families. Non-family living arrangements account for the other 41.3%, consisting of lone person households at 38.7% and group households at 2.8%. The median household size of 2.1 people is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
11.8% of adults in Kerang hold a university qualification, including 8.6% with a bachelor degree and 1.6% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 85% of areas nationally. A further 29.1% hold a vocational qualification. 5 schools serve the area, with 686 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 959 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Local statistics highlight educational gaps, as university completion rates of 11.8% are much lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. This represents an area for targeted educational strategies. Bachelor degrees represent the most common higher qualification at 8.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 1.6% and graduate diplomas at 1.6%. Technical and trade qualifications are common, with 38.6% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas at 9.5% and certificates at 29.1%. Enrolment rates are high, with 25.3% of the population engaged in formal study. This comprises 10.6% in primary schools, 7.9% in secondary schools, and 1.6% in tertiary study.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Kerang means driving: households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport infrastructure consists of 2 active stops within Kerang, providing train services. These facilities are serviced by 5 distinct routes, offering a total of 64 passenger trips each week. Transport accessibility is low, with residents living an average of 902 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the residential nature of the area, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary mode of travel at 90%, followed by walking at 8%. Households own an average of 1.3 vehicles, which is lower than the regional average.
A low 8.6% of residents worked from home, based on 2021 Census data which may reflect pandemic-era conditions. Transit services average 9 runs per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 32 weekly trips at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
56.6% of residents in Kerang report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 84% of areas nationally. 9.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health statistics show considerable difficulties in Kerang, based on mortality figures and the prevalence of chronic illnesses across both younger and older cohorts, alongside private health insurance rates that are low at roughly 47% of the population (~1,768 people). This is below the Regional Vic. level of 50.5% and the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent chronic conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 13.0% and 9.9% of residents, respectively. Meanwhile, 56.6% of residents reported having no chronic health issues, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic. The working-age population exhibits elevated rates of chronic illnesses.
Residents aged 65 and over make up 31.0% of the population (1,173 people), compared to 23.9% across Regional Vic. Health rankings for seniors are generally consistent with national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Kerang is largely Australian-born, at 93.9% of residents, with 2.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (35.2%) and Australian (33.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures are low, with citizens making up 91.2% of the population, 93.9% of residents born in Australia, and 97.4% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion at 55.6% of the population, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic. The most common ancestries are English at 35.2%, Australian at 33.5%, and Scottish at 9.2%. Notable differences compared to regional averages include Australian Aboriginal representation at 2.6% of the local population (compared to 1.4% regionally), Irish ancestry at 8.3% (compared to 9.7% regionally), and German ancestry at 3.3% (compared to 3.5% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Kerang is 51, older than 93% of areas nationally. 17.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 51 years is higher than the Regional Vic. median of 43 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Regional Vic., the 65 - 74 age cohort is highly represented at 16.4%, while 15 - 24 year-olds are underrepresented at 8.8%. The proportion of residents aged 65 - 74 is higher than the national average of 9.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 35 to 44 age group increased from 9.6% to 10.7% of the population, while the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 10.9% to 9.4%.
By 2041, demographic shifts are expected to change the age structure. The 85+ cohort is projected to decrease by -3% (-5 people), shifting from 185 to 180, while population declines are also projected for the 85+ and 45 to 54 cohorts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Kerang
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 last month all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 5 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,960 at the 2021 Census → 3,786 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21328). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.