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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Kerang has an estimated 3,786 residents, down from 3,960 at the 2021 Census — a change of 174 people, or 4.4%. The population has thinned by an average 0.8% a year over five years, slower than 99% of areas nationally. Density is about 26 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the population in the suburb of Kerang is estimated to be approximately 3,786, drawn from AreaSearch analysis of ABS population updates across the surrounding area along with 5 validated new addresses identified since the Census date. This represents a contraction of 174 people (4.4%) from the 3,960 residents recorded at the 2021 Census, aligning with an estimated resident population of 3,784 following evaluation of the ABS June 2025 ERP data release. With a density of 25 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers significant personal space.
The suburb's -4.4% reduction since the census tracks closely with the wider SA3 area (-2.5%), differing by only 1.9 percentage points and demonstrating shared regional demographic patterns, with local population shifts underpinned by balanced contributions from natural increase and migration. Demographic outlooks for the suburb of Kerang incorporate ABS/Geoscience Australia 2024 projections based on 2022 benchmarks across SA2 areas, supplemented where necessary by 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA datasets adjusted via weighted growth aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 tiers. These age-specific growth weightings are maintained across all geographies from 2032 to 2041. Applying this forecasting approach, long-term projections point toward ongoing population contraction, with the area modeled to lose 1,049 persons by 2041.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
62 new dwellings have been approved in Kerang over the past five years, an average of 12 a year. That is 2.3 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 8, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential construction metrics compiled by AreaSearch from ABS building approvals indicate Kerang averages approximately 12 new dwellings annually, totaling roughly 62 approved homes across the preceding 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), including 8 approved during FY-25 to date. Amid local demographic decline, this addition of stock appears sufficient to meet buyer requirements, while prospective dwellings carry an average anticipated construction cost of $549,000, exceeding broader regional benchmarks to signal higher-end building activity. Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $4.4 million in the current financial year, highlighting subdued commercial development.
Per capita residential building approvals in Kerang track at approximately three-quarters the level recorded across Rest of Vic., placing the locality in the 29th percentile nationwide, which curtails housing additions and reinforces buyer demand across established properties. This subdued rate relative to national figures underscores local market maturity alongside potential building constraints. Detached houses comprise 88.0% of approved residential structures compared to 12.0% for townhouses or apartments, preserving a low-density neighborhood fabric centered on spacious family dwellings, while an estimated ratio of 508 people per dwelling approval reflects an understated construction pace. Given expectations of a stable or contracting demographic base, building demand across Kerang is likely to stay moderate, potentially enhancing opportunities for property buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Kerang
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Kerang, worth an estimated $4.07 billion. A further 49 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $10.4 billion. 17 are already under construction and 24 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and energy. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local economic momentum and community outcomes are strongly guided by capital projects, infrastructure upgrades, and planning programs. AreaSearch has identified 7 prominent projects impacting the area, highlighted by the Victoria to NSW Interconnector West (VNI West), Kerang Solar & BESS Hybrid, Koorangie Energy Storage System (KESS), and the Kerang District Health Facility Upgrade (CSSD, PACU, and Operating Theatre Equipment), detailed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Victoria to NSW Interconnector West (VNI West)
The Victoria to NSW Interconnector West (VNI West) is a proposed 500 kV double-circuit high-voltage alternating current transmission line connecting the electricity grids of New South Wales and Victoria. The transmission corridor extends from the Dinawan Substation north of Jerilderie to new terminal facilities at Tragowel near Kerang and Bulgana in Victoria. Jointly progressed by Transgrid and VicGrid with development partner Iberdrola Australia, the project is progressing through comprehensive environmental assessments ahead of final approvals.
Kerang Solar & BESS Hybrid
Kerang Hybrid is a 161 MW DC solar farm co-located with a 55 MW / 110 MWh AC-coupled Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) on private land adjacent to the Kerang Terminal Station. It received Development Approval from Gannawarra Shire Council and AEMO 5.3.4A grid connection approval in July 2025. Construction is targeted to commence in Q4 2025.
Koorangie Energy Storage System (KESS)
A $400 million, 185 MW / 370 MWh grid-forming battery energy storage system (BESS) featuring 100 Tesla Megapacks with advanced grid-forming inverters. The project provides critical system strength services under a 20-year agreement with AEMO, enabling an additional 300 MW of renewable generation in the Murray River Renewable Energy Zone (REZ). It is capable of powering 350,000 homes for two hours and operates under a 15-year offtake agreement with Shell Energy.
Kerang District Health Facility Upgrade (CSSD, PACU, and Operating Theatre Equipment)
Upgrade of the Central Sterile Services Department (CSSD), expansion of the Post-Anaesthesia Care Unit (PACU), and replacement of operating room equipment. Funded by a $3.5 million package from the Victorian Government, the project involved refurbishing the CSSD to meet AS 4187 standards, adding two bed bays to the PACU, and installing a new reverse osmosis water filtration system. Construction required a temporary closure of surgical services from September 2024 until May 2025. The upgrades ensure local access to surgery and reduce procedure cancellations by modernising critical sterilisation and monitoring infrastructure.
Kerang CBD Redevelopment
Redevelopment of Kerang's central business district (Stages 3 and 4), including upgraded concrete paving (replacing uneven pavers) and wider footpaths for improved accessibility, new street furniture and trees, landscaping (new garden beds), remodelled kerbing, and new lighting, particularly around the Karlie McDonald Memorial Clock. The project's goal was to revitalise the CBD to be attractive and functional, improving accessibility and increasing foot traffic.
Kerang Solar Plant
A 37.2 MWp solar plant using single axis trackers and bifacial modules, spanning over 64 hectares near Kerang in Victoria's Gannawarra Shire. The plant reached full output in mid-2025 and was officially opened in October 2025 by developer and operator British Solar Renewables. Exporting up to 30 MW AC into the grid via the Kerang Zone Substation, the facility supplies clean electricity to around 6,000 homes annually and avoids up to 40,000 tonnes of CO2-equivalent emissions each year.BSR is now progressing plans for co-located battery storage at the site.
Swan Hill Aerodrome Master Plan Development
Development of a comprehensive master plan for Swan Hill Aerodrome to guide future development and improvements. Aviation Projects, Australia's leading airport and aerodrome specialists, is facilitating the planning process to assess current facilities, identify future needs, and plan for enhanced aviation services and infrastructure.
Swan Hill Regional Art Gallery Redevelopment
Redevelopment creating a modern space honoring the gallery's legacy with expanded exhibition areas, dedicated workshop zones, improved storage for artworks, and upgraded environmental systems.
1,586 residents of Kerang are employed, from a labour force of 1,632. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 51.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour market in Kerang displays a split across blue and white-collar roles with substantial representation in essential services, accompanied by an unemployment rate of 2.8% according to statistical area aggregations by AreaSearch. Employment stood at 1,586 residents as of March 2026, keeping the local jobless rate 0.9% lower than the 3.7% observed across Regional Vic., though local labour force participation of 51.3% sits well beneath the regional benchmark of 61.1%. Additionally, 8.6% of residents reported working from home at the Census, although pandemic-related lockdown measures should be kept in mind.
Local workforce participation is heavily centered around manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Public administration & safety exhibits a distinct concentration, capturing a workforce proportion 1.6 times that of the broader region. Conversely, accommodation & food accounts for only 5.1% of local employment, trailing the 6.9% recorded for Regional Vic.. Comparing Census working figures against local residents suggests that a substantial number of workers travel outside the locality for their jobs. Over a 12-month timeframe, AreaSearch evaluation of ABS and SALM records indicates Kerang experienced a 3.4% reduction in the labour pool and a 1.2% drop in working numbers, which reduced the local unemployment rate by 2.2 percentage points. In comparison, Regional Vic. saw employment fall by 0.1%, the workforce diminish by 0.3%, and unemployment decrease by 0.2 percentage points. Projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide context on future industry needs; nationwide employment is anticipated to rise by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, with distinct sectoral variations. Weighting these projections against Kerang's existing industry profile points to potential employment gains of 5.7% over five years and 12.5% over ten years (representing a baseline weighting model for illustration that excludes local demographic projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Kerang is $1,006 a week (about $52,000 a year), with median personal income at $573 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $42,504 a year against an average of $50,020. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Postcode-based ATO statistics for financial year 2023 aggregated by AreaSearch reveal Kerang recorded a median taxpayer earnings level of $42,504 and an average of $50,020, sitting below nationwide figures as well as the respective benchmarks of $50,954 and $62,728 recorded across Regional Vic.. Factoring in Wage Price Index expansion of 9.62% since financial year 2023 generates updated March 2026 benchmarks of roughly $46,593 for median earnings and $54,832 on average. Census 2021 records place local personal, family, and household earnings between the 3rd and 8th percentiles nationally. Weekly earnings of $400 - 799 represent the largest cohort at 32.5% (1,230 people), contrasting with Regional Vic.
where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates at 30.3%. With 40.1% of workers earning below $800 weekly, local disposable capacity is constrained despite residents retaining 89.0% of income after modest housing outlays, resulting in total disposable earnings in the 7th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Kerang had 1,663 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 90% detached houses and 0% apartments. 28% are owned with a mortgage, 24% rented and 49% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $200 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,000 a month. Rent absorbs 19.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census data shows standalone houses constitute 89.6% of residential stock in Kerang, while semi-detached units, apartments, and other residential formats make up 10.5%, closely tracking the 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings recorded across Regional Vic.. Fully owned properties comprise 48.9% of local tenures, considerably exceeding regional averages, while mortgaged properties represent 27.5% and rental homes account for 23.6%. Local housing costs remain comparatively low, featuring a median monthly mortgage of $1,000 and a median weekly rent of $200, compared to $1,430 and $285 regionally, and well beneath national medians of $1,863 for home loans and $375 for rentals.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Kerang counted 1,663 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.1 people each. 19% are couples with children, fewer than in 89% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 39% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.3 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families form 58.7% of households in the area, divided into childless couples (28.2%), couples with offspring (19.1%), and single parents (10.0%). The remaining 41.3% consists of non-family arrangements, dominated by single-person dwellings at 38.7% and group households at 2.8%. Overall, the median household size stands at 2.1 people, slightly lower than the 2.4 average found throughout Regional Vic..
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
11.8% of adults in Kerang hold a university qualification, including 8.6% with a bachelor degree and 1.6% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 85% of areas nationally. A further 29.1% hold a vocational qualification. 5 schools serve the area, with 686 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 959 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment in the area lags broader state figures, with university degrees held by 11.8% of residents compared to the 33.4% Victorian average. Higher education credentials consist primarily of bachelor degrees (8.6%), alongside postgraduate degrees (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). In contrast, technical and vocational training is widely represented, with 38.6% of the population aged 15+ possessing vocational qualifications, divided between certificates (29.1%) and advanced diplomas (9.5%). Formal study engagement is substantial, encompassing 25.3% of the resident population. Primary school attendees comprise 10.6% of locals, while secondary education accounts for 7.9% and higher education enrollees make up 1.6%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Kerang means driving: households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport connectivity in Kerang is provided by 2 active stops with train services, accommodating 5 individual routes that generate 76 weekly passenger trips. Overall public transport access remains limited, with an average distance of 902 meters from dwellings to the closest stop. Private vehicles serve as the main commuting mode for 90% of traveling workers, while 8% travel on foot. Household vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.3 per dwelling, trailing regional figures. In addition, 8.6% of residents worked from home at the 2021 Census, subject to possible COVID-19 influences.
Transit schedules provide an average of 10 daily services across the route network, translating to roughly 38 trips per week at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
56.6% of residents in Kerang report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 84% of areas nationally. 9.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Assessment of chronic condition prevalence and mortality metrics by AreaSearch points to pronounced health vulnerabilities in Kerang across both older and younger cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is notably restricted, encompassing approximately 47% of residents (~1,768 people), trailing both the Regional Vic. benchmark of 50.5% and the Australian figure of 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma constitute the most prevalent diagnosed conditions locally, recorded among 13.0 and 9.9% of residents respectively, while 56.6% reported no ongoing medical conditions, below the 63.4% observed in Regional Vic.. Elevated chronic illness rates also affect working-age residents.
Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 31.9% of the population (1,207 people), above the 24.0% regional proportion, with senior health indicators generally mirroring broader population trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Kerang is largely Australian-born, at 93.9% of residents, with 2.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (35.2%) and Australian (33.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Demographic measures indicate below-average cultural diversity in Kerang, where 93.9% of residents are Australian-born, 91.2% hold citizenship, and 97.4% communicate solely in English at home. Christianity forms the principal religious affiliation, observed by 55.6% of the local population compared to 47.3% throughout Regional Vic.. Evaluating parental country of birth reveals English (35.2%), Australian (33.5%), and Scottish (9.2%) as the three predominant ancestral backgrounds in Kerang. Other cultural heritages show varying concentrations, with Australian Aboriginal background notably elevated at 2.6% compared to 1.4% regionally, while Irish background stands at 8.3% (vs 9.7%) and German ancestry accounts for 3.3% (vs 3.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Kerang is 51, older than 93% of areas nationally. 17.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Kerang exhibits an older demographic distribution relative to Regional Vic.. Based on August 2026 AreaSearch estimates, retirees and seniors aged 65+ account for 31.9% of the population compared to 24.0% across the region, while young to middle-aged adults (25 - 44) represent 18.5% locally versus 23.1% regionally. As at August 2026, the estimated median age is 51, matching the 2021 Census figure, which sat 8 years above the Regional Vic. median of 43 and well above the Australian median of 38 at that Census. The retiree cohort (65+) has shown the clearest increase since the Census, shifting from 30.9% to an estimated 31.9%.
Projections to 2041 indicate no major expansion in any broad age segment, with contractions anticipated across children, young adults, and senior age groups.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Kerang
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 5 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,960 at the 2021 Census → 3,786 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL21328). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.