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2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
Casey lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends
As of Nov 2025, Casey's population is estimated at around 6,667, reflecting an increase of 196 people since the 2021 Census. The population was reported as 6,471 in the Census. This increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 6,636 following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. Casey's population density ratio stands at 2,544 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Casey has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.3%, outpacing the SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.
AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and ACT Government's SA2 area projections with 2022 as a base for areas not covered by this data and years post-2032. Future population dynamics anticipate an increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with Casey expected to expand by 701 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 10.1% in total over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
Residential development activity is lower than average in Casey according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets
Casey has seen approximately 17 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 86 homes were approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26. Each dwelling built, on average, attracts about 2.9 new residents per year over these years.
The average construction cost value of new homes is approximately $267,000, which is below regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. This financial year has seen $80,000 in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development activity compared to the Australian Capital Territory, where Casey's development activity is 73.0% below the regional average per person. The scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties due to market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent development has been exclusively detached dwellings, preserving Casey's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Developers are constructing more detached housing than implied by the existing pattern (76.0% at Census), reflecting strong demand for family homes amid densification trends.
Casey reflects a highly mature market with around 3302 people per dwelling approval. Future projections estimate Casey to add 670 residents by 2041, with development keeping pace with projected growth despite increasing competition among buyers as the population expands.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Casey has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally
AreaSearch has identified seven projects that could impact the area's performance. Key projects include Gold Creek Country Club Build-to-Rent (Gold Creek Golf Club Redevelopment), Gold Creek Events Facility and 60-room Hotel, North Gungahlin Community Health Centre, and Taylor Residential Estate. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Taylor Residential Estate
Major greenfield residential development by ACT Government's Suburban Land Agency accommodating approximately 2,500 dwellings with a mix of detached homes, townhouses and apartments, plus community facilities, a primary school (Margaret Hendry School), and a high school (Agnes Shea High School, opening 2025). Land release and construction are ongoing, with a focus on delivering housing diversity and affordable housing options.
North Gungahlin Community Health Centre
New community health centre in Casey (North Gungahlin) delivering integrated primary care with a strong focus on child, youth and family services. Part of a 2.4-hectare community facilities precinct. To be operated by Canberra Health Services with multidisciplinary teams including GPs, nurses, allied health and mental health professionals. Early works funding allocated in 2025-26 ACT Budget.
Gungahlin College East (Nicholls)
New public secondary college in Nicholls (Gungahlin East) for Years 7-10 initially, opening with capacity for 800 students and designed to expand to 1,100. Includes state-of-the-art learning spaces, performing arts centre, sports facilities and shared community use areas. Part of the ACT Government's $800 million school infrastructure program.
Gold Creek Homestead Precinct
An $80 million retirement village extension and aged care development featuring 45 new two- and three-bedroom independent living villas by Keyton, plus a separate 124-bed residential aged care facility by Arcare. The project includes restoration and repurposing of the historic Gold Creek Homestead (dating to 1860) into a multi-function amenity space with arts and crafts studio, surrounded by landscaped gardens. The development prioritizes sustainability with 7-star NatHERS energy rating, 5-star Green Star Community rating, and incorporates heritage preservation, bush tucker gardens, yarning circle, and intergenerational community spaces.
Casey Emergency Services Station
New ACTAS Ambulance and Fire Station as part of Casey community services precinct. Will enhance emergency response times for growing Gungahlin community. Part of broader precinct development including health centre and indoor sports facility.
Gold Creek Events Facility and 60-room Hotel
Proposal for a 550-seat events facility (place of assembly) with an ancillary 60-room hotel, basement and surface parking, and retention/adaptation of the heritage-listed former Roman Catholic Church at Gold Creek Village. The DA (202342382 / S144B) was refused by the ACT Planning and Land Authority on 15 Aug 2024 citing non-compliance with heritage, parking and code requirements. As of 20 Aug 2025, no public record of a successful appeal or resubmission was found.
Casey Indoor Sports Facility
Indoor sports facility within the Casey 2.4-hectare community services precinct. Will provide local residents, sporting groups and organisations with access to better amenities and state-of-the-art facilities.
Gold Creek School Senior Campus expansion
ACT Government project to expand the Gold Creek School Senior Campus (Years 7-10) with additional contemporary learning spaces, staff areas and amenity upgrades. Delivered to accommodate approximately 200 extra students and lift total capacity to a little over 1,000 from the start of the 2022 school year. Works included studios, adaptable classrooms, quiet spaces, staff workspace, meeting rooms and bike/parking upgrades. Contractor: Rork Projects.
Employment
Casey ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance
Casey has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.7%, having seen a 1.4% employment growth over the past year (AreaSearch data).
As of June 2025, Casey's unemployment rate is 0.7% lower than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.4%. Workforce participation in Casey stands at 81.4%, surpassing the Australian Capital Territory's 69.6%. The dominant employment sectors among residents are public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.
However, public administration & safety is under-represented in Casey compared to the Australian Capital Territory (29.2% vs 30.4%). Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by the Census working population count versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 1.4%, labour force by 1.6%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points in Casey. In contrast, Australian Capital Territory experienced an employment growth of 1.9% with a 0.3 percentage point drop in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Casey's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, although these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localised population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis
Casey had a median taxpayer income of $75,532 and an average of $87,466 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2022. This is notably high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median income of $68,678 and average income of $83,634. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $85,804 and an average of $99,361, based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.6% since financial year 2022. In Casey, incomes rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes all between the 93rd and 95th percentiles according to the 2021 Census figures. The predominant income cohort spans 38.1% of locals (2,540 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category. This aligns with broader trends showing 34.3% in the same category across the broader area. Economic strength is evident through 43.4% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 92nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Casey is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region
Casey's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 75.6% houses and 24.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory had 66.3% houses and 33.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Casey was at 11.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 58.4% and rented ones at 29.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Casey was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,123. The median weekly rent figure in Casey was $502, compared to $462 in the Australian Capital Territory. Nationally, Casey's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Casey features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size
Family households comprise 79.3% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.7%, with lone person households at 17.9% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.9 people, matching the Australian Capital Territory average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Casey demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics
Casey's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. 42.3% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.9%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 17.1%.
Educational participation is high, with 35.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. Educational facilities appear to be situated outside Casey's immediate boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Casey has 18 active public transport stops operating within its area. These stops are served by a mix of bus routes, with a total of 4 individual routes providing service to the region. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 704.
Transport accessibility in Casey is rated as excellent, with residents typically located approximately 190 meters from their nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 100 trips per day across all routes, which equates to roughly 39 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Casey's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions
Casey's health outcomes show notable results with both younger and older age groups experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. The private health cover rate stands at approximately 62% of Casey's total population (4,116 people), higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 58.6% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in Casey, affecting 8.5% and 7.6% of residents respectively.
A total of 76.8% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, slightly higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 76.4%. Casey has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 6.1% (406 people) compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 8.3%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Casey is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics
Casey's population shows high cultural diversity with 32.3% born overseas and 33.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 42.1%. The 'Other' religious category is slightly overrepresented in Casey at 3.1%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 2.7%.
In terms of ancestry, Australians make up 22.2% of Casey's population, followed by English at 20.1% and Other at 16.1%. Notably, Croatian (1.6%), Sri Lankan (0.7%), and Indian (6.0%) ethnic groups show higher representation in Casey compared to regional averages of 1.3%, 0.6%, and 6.4% respectively.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Casey hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide
Casey's median age in 2021 was 33 years, which is modestly below the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and significantly lower than the national median of 38. Casey has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (23.0%), compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 19.7% and Australia's 14.2%. However, Casey has fewer residents aged 75-84 (1.4%) than both the Australian Capital Territory (2.6%) and Australia (2.3%). Between 2021 and the present day, demographic aging is evident with the median age increasing from 32 to 33 years. During this period, the 45-54 age group has grown from 11.1% to 13.4%, while the 25-34 cohort has declined from 18.7% to 16.2% and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 10.1% to 8.3%. Population forecasts for Casey indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to grow significantly, increasing by 321 people (36%) from 893 to 1,215. Conversely, the 35-44 and 0-4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.