Casey

Population growth drivers in Casey are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Casey is around 6,667, reflecting an increase of 196 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 3.0% rise from the previous population count of 6,471. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 6,636 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,544 persons per square kilometer, placing Casey in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Casey has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.3%, outperforming the SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, also based on 2022, are adopted. Looking ahead, Casey is expected to grow by just below the median of national statistical areas, with a projected increase of 701 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 10.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Casey according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Casey has received approximately 17 dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 86 homes were approved, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26. Each dwelling built over this period has resulted in an average of 2.9 new residents per year.

The average construction value for these dwellings is $267,000. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totaled $340,000. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Casey shows significantly reduced construction activity, with 73.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. The area's development activity is also under the national average, suggesting potential planning limitations.

Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining Casey's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. Developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies, reflecting strong demand for family homes amidst densification trends. With around 3302 people per dwelling approval, Casey reflects a highly mature market. Population forecasts indicate Casey will gain 670 residents by 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers may encounter growing competition as population increases.

Casey has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Seven projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance: Gold Creek Country Club Build-to-Rent (Gold Creek Golf Club Redevelopment), Gold Creek Events Facility and 60-room Hotel, North Gungahlin Community Health Centre, Casey Emergency Services Station.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Casey demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Casey has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.0%, having seen a 0.9% employment growth over the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025, Casey's unemployment rate is 0.6% lower than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%.

Workforce participation in Casey stands at 82.6%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 72.5%. A low 10.1% of residents work from home (Census data). Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical sectors.

However, public administration & safety is under-represented at 29.2%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 30.4%. The residential area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, Casey saw employment increase by 0.9% and labour force grow by 1.1%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). In contrast, the Australian Capital Territory experienced a 1.4% employment growth, 1.2% labour force growth, and a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Casey's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, the suburb of Casey had a median income among taxpayers of $75,532 and an average income of $87,466. These figures are notably high compared to national averages. The Australian Capital Territory's median income was $72,206 with an average of $85,981 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year ending June 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $82,526 (median) and $95,565 (average). From the Census conducted in August 2021, incomes in Casey ranked highly nationally, with household incomes at the 93rd percentile, family incomes at the 94th percentile, and personal incomes at the 95th percentile. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captured 38.1% of Casey's population (2,540 individuals), which is consistent with broader trends in the area showing 34.3% in the same category. A significant portion of Casey's residents, 43.4%, earn over $3,000 per week, indicating considerable affluence and supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income in Casey, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 92nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Casey is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Casey's dwelling structure, assessed in the latest Census, consisted of 75.6% houses and 24.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Australian Capital Territory's 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Casey was at 11.8%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (58.4%) or rented (29.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Australian Capital Territory's average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure was $502, compared to Australian Capital Territory's $450. Nationally, Casey's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Casey features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.3% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.7%, with lone person households at 17.9% and group households making up 2.9%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Casey demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Casey's educational attainment exceeds national averages significantly. Among residents aged 15 or above, 42.3% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.9%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.8% of residents holding them – advanced diplomas account for 12.7% and certificates for 17.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.0% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (12.3%), secondary education (7.0%), and tertiary education (6.4%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Casey has 17 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a total of 55 different routes, providing a combined weekly passenger trip count of 2,584 trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 194 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuting in Casey is outward-bound, with cars being the primary mode of transportation for 91% of residents. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling in Casey, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 10.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages at 369 trips per day, equating to approximately 152 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Casey is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Casey shows superior health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (4,116 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 8.5% and 7.6% of residents respectively. 76.8% of residents report being completely free of medical ailments, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 70.2%. The under-65 population has better than average health outcomes. Casey has 6.5% (433 people) of residents aged 65 and over, which is lower than the Australian Capital Territory's 14.3%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Casey was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Casey's cultural diversity is notable, with 32.3% of its population born overseas and 33.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Casey, making up 42.1% of its population. The most significant overrepresentation is seen in the 'Other' religious category, comprising 3.1% of Casey's population compared to 1.4% across the Australian Capital Territory.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups represented in Casey are Australian (22.2%), English (20.1%), and Other (16.1%). There are notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Croatian is overrepresented at 1.6%, compared to 0.9% regionally; Sri Lankan is also overrepresented at 0.7%, compared to 0.4%; Indian is notably higher at 6.0%, compared to 3.3%.

Casey hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Casey's median age in 2021 was 33 years, which is slightly below the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and significantly lower than the national median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Casey had a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (22.7%) but fewer individuals aged 75-84 (1.6%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds was notably above the national average of 14.3%. Between 2021 and present, demographic aging has been observed with the median age increasing from 32 to 33 years. During this period, the proportion of the population aged 45-54 grew from 11.1% to 14.1%, while the share of those aged 25-34 decreased from 18.7% to 15.6%. Additionally, the proportion of individuals aged 0-4 dropped from 10.1% to 8.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Casey. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to grow by 274 people (a 29% increase) from 940 to 1,215. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.