Casey

Casey lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Casey's population is estimated at 6,667 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 196 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,471. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 6,636 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, and validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,544 persons per square kilometer, placing Casey in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Casey demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.3%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, age group growth rates from ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted. Future population dynamics anticipate an increase just below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, expecting Casey to expand by 701 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 10.1% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Casey according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Casey has seen approximately 17 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Around 86 homes were approved between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, with none approved so far in FY-26. Each dwelling built resulted in an average of 2.9 new residents per year over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost value for new homes was $267,000. This financial year, Casey has recorded $340,000 in commercial development approvals, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Casey had 73.0% less development activity per person as of recent data. The scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties due to limited supply. All approved developments between FY-21 and FY-25 were detached houses, sustaining Casey's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes.

This is notable as it indicates continued strong demand for traditional family homes despite density pressures, with 76.0% of dwellings at Census being detached houses. The area has approximately 3302 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established market. Future projections estimate Casey to add 670 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Building activity is keeping pace with growth projections, though increased competition among buyers may be expected as the population grows.

Casey has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Gold Creek Country Club Build-to-Rent (Gold Creek Golf Club Redevelopment), Gold Creek Events Facility and 60-room Hotel, North Gungahlin Community Health Centre, and Casey Emergency Services Station. The following list details those most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Casey demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Casey's workforce is highly educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.0% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.9%. Casey's unemployment rate of 0.6% was below the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) rate of 3.6%, with workforce participation at 81.4%, higher than ACT's 69.6%. Leading employment industries were public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

However, public administration & safety was under-represented in Casey compared to the ACT (29.2% vs. 30.4%). Limited local employment opportunities were indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the year to September 2025, Casey's employment increased by 0.9%, labour force by 1.1%, leading to a slight rise in unemployment (0.2 percentage points). In contrast, the ACT saw employment growth of 1.4% and a decrease in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data up to 25-Nov showed ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year with an unemployment rate of 4.5%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Casey's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though these are illustrative extrapolations not accounting for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Casey's median income among taxpayers was $75,532, with an average of $87,466. This is among the highest in Australia, compared to Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $82,526 (median) and $95,565 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data ranks Casey's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 93rd and 95th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals 38.1% of Casey's population (2,540 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to the surrounding region where 34.3% occupy this range. The area demonstrates considerable affluence with 43.4% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 92nd percentile. Casey's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Casey is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Casey's residential structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 75.6% houses and 24.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Australian Capital Territory had 66.3% houses and 33.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Casey was at 11.8%, with the rest either mortgaged (58.4%) or rented (29.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Casey was $2,167, higher than Australian Capital Territory's average of $2,123. The median weekly rent figure in Casey was $502, compared to Australian Capital Territory's $462. Nationally, Casey's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Casey features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 79.3% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.7%, with lone person households at 17.9% and group households making up 2.9%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Australian Capital Territory average.

Casey demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Casey's residents aged 15 and above have a higher proportion of university qualifications than the national average, with 42.3% compared to Australia's 30.4%. This disparity highlights Casey's educational advantage, which is beneficial for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 13.9% and graduate diplomas at 4.0%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent among residents aged 15 and above, with a total of 29.8%.

This includes advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (17.1%). Educational participation is notably high in Casey, with 35.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Casey has 17 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 55 individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 2,584 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 194 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 369 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 152 weekly trips per individual stop.

Casey's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Casey's health outcomes show excellent results across all age groups. Both younger and older cohorts have a low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is notably high at approximately 62% of Casey's total population (4116 people), which compares favourably to the Australian Capital Territory's 59.5%.

Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions in Casey are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 8.5% and 7.6% of residents respectively. Notably, 76.8% of Casey residents report being completely free from medical ailments, closely matching the Australian Capital Territory's figure of 76.4%. Casey has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 6.1%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 8.3%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Casey warrant more attention than those in the broader population.

Casey was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Casey's population shows high cultural diversity, with 32.3% born overseas and 33.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Casey, accounting for 42.1% of its population. Notably, the category 'Other' comprises 3.1%, slightly higher than the Australian Capital Territory's average of 2.7%.

The top three ancestry groups in Casey are Australian (22.2%), English (20.1%), and Other (16.1%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Croatian is overrepresented at 1.6% compared to the regional average of 1.3%, Sri Lankan at 0.7% versus 0.6%, and Indian at 6.0% versus 6.4%.

Casey hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Casey's median age in 2021 was 33 years, which is slightly below the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and significantly lower than the national median of 38. Casey had a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (23.0%) compared to the ACT (21.7%) and Australia (14.2%). However, Casey had fewer residents aged 75-84 (1.4%) than both the ACT (2.4%) and Australia (2.9%). Between 2021 and 2022, Casey's median age increased from 32 to 33 years. The 45-54 age group grew from 11.1% to 13.4% of the population during this period, while the 25-34 cohort decreased from 18.7% to 16.2%. The 0-4 age group also declined, from 10.1% to 8.3%. By 2041, Casey's population is projected to see significant changes. The 45-54 age group is expected to grow by 321 people (36%), increasing from 893 to 1,215 residents. Conversely, the 35-44 and 0-4 age groups are forecasted to decrease in population.