Gungahlin

Gungahlin lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Gungahlin's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 10,115. This figure indicates a growth of 1,529 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,586. The increase was inferred from ABS estimates: the resident population was 9,198 in June 2024 and there were an additional 875 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 2,218 persons per square kilometer, higher than national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Gungahlin's growth rate of 17.8% since the 2021 Census surpassed both state (5.9%) and SA4 region averages. Overseas migration contributed approximately 64.5% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, also using 2022 as the base year. Future demographic trends predict exceptional growth for Gungahlin, with an expected increase of 6,484 persons to reach a total population of approximately 16,600 by 2041, reflecting a 55.0% increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Gungahlin among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Gungahlin has seen approximately 313 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25. A total of 1,568 homes were approved during this period, with one approval so far in FY26. This results in an average of around 1 new resident per year per dwelling constructed.

The market demonstrates a balance between supply and demand, supporting stable conditions. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $297,000. In the current financial year, $31.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Gungahlin has 261% more new home approvals per person, offering greater choice for buyers and reflecting strong developer confidence. Recent development has consisted entirely of attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns (currently 36% houses). This trend towards denser development provides accessible entry options, appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. With around 4450 people per dwelling approval, Gungahlin reflects a highly mature market.

Future projections estimate an addition of 5,561 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current development patterns suggest new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Gungahlin has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 10thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 57 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Gungahlin Community Centre, Gungahlin Marketplace Expansion, Moncrieff East Residential Estate, and Raya Gungahlin. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Gungahlin has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Gungahlin has a highly educated workforce with an unemployment rate of 4.5% as of September 2025. The area experienced 1.5% employment growth over the past year.

There are 5,920 residents in work, which is 0.9% above the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation is at 76.0%, compared to ACT's 69.6%. Leading employment industries among residents include public administration & safety, accommodation & food, and health care & social assistance. Accommodation & food has a particularly high representation with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

However, public administration & safety is under-represented at 23.4% compared to ACT's 30.4%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data analysis. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.5%, while labour force also grew by 1.5%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, ACT saw employment growth of 1.4% with a 0.2 percentage point drop in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.5%, slightly above the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gungahlin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Gungahlin SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $56,805 and an average of $67,291 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was slightly above the national average, contrasting with the Australian Capital Territory's median income of $68,678 and average income of $83,634. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $64,530 (median) and $76,443 (average), based on a 13.6% growth in wages since financial year 2022. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Gungahlin rank between the 78th and 82nd percentiles nationally. In Gungahlin, 38.7% of the population (3,914 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 34.3% in the same category. Notably, 31.3% earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating prosperity pockets driving local economic activity. High housing costs consume 17.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 76th percentile, with the area's SEIFA income ranking placing it in the 8th decile.

Gungahlin features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Gungahlin, as evaluated at the 2016 Census, comprised 35.7% houses and 64.3% other dwellings. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory had 66.3% houses and 33.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gungahlin was 13.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.9% and rented dwellings at 53.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,801, lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,123. Median weekly rent in Gungahlin was $450, compared to $462 in the Australian Capital Territory. Nationally, Gungahlin's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,863 and rents higher at $375.

Gungahlin features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.0% of all households, including 29.6% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.0%, with lone person households at 25.1% and group households comprising 6.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.9.

Educational achievement in Gungahlin places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Gungahlin is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 48.3% have university qualifications, compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. This educational advantage is reflected in various qualification types: Bachelor degrees are held by 26.4%, postgraduate qualifications by 18.4%, and graduate diplomas by 3.5%. Vocational pathways account for 23.2% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 10.8% and certificates at 12.4%.

Educational participation is high in the area, with 32.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in tertiary education, 7.0% in primary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Gungahlin shows that there are 40 active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a mix of light rail and bus services. A total of 23 individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 4,037 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in the area is rated as excellent, with residents typically located an average of 179 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 576 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 100 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gungahlin's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Gungahlin with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 53% (~5,401 people) have private health cover, compared to 58.6% across the Australian Capital Territory.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 8.4 and 6.5% of residents respectively. About 78.4% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 76.4% across the Australian Capital Territory. In Gungahlin, 8.0% (808 people) are aged 65 and over. While health outcomes among seniors are strong, they require more attention than those in the broader population.

Gungahlin is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Gungahlin's cultural diversity is notable, with 49.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 49.8% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 32.4%. Hinduism stands out at 11.4%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 9.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (19.9%), English (17.2%), and Australian (17.1%). Korean is overrepresented at 2.7% versus 1.2% regionally, Chinese at 11.0% compared to 6.7%, and Indian at 5.8% compared to 6.4%.

Gungahlin hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Gungahlin's median age at 32 years is younger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Gungahlin has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (26.1%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (8.6%). This 25-34 concentration is well above the national average of 14.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 4.2% to 5.4% of the population, while the 55 to 64 cohort increased from 7.3% to 8.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 27.8% to 26.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Gungahlin's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to expand considerably, increasing by 999 people (57%) from 1,756 to 2,756.