Moncrieff

Moncrieff lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of the Moncrieff statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at around 6,025 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 715 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,310 people in the Moncrieff (SA2). The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 5,913 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS on June 2024, along with an additional 36 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,138 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Moncrieff (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 13.5% since the 2021 census, exceeding the state's growth rate of 6.4%. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 49.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted. Looking ahead, significant population increases are forecasted for the Moncrieff (SA2), with an expected growth of 2,331 persons to reach a total population of around 8,356 by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of approximately 36.8% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Moncrieff when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Moncrieff had around 21 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 107 homes were approved, with one more in FY-26 so far. This results in an average of 16.1 people moving to the area per year for each dwelling built during this period.

The demand significantly outpaces supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $525,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $40,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Comparatively, Moncrieff has significantly less development activity than the Australian Capital Territory average, at 54.0% below per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The building activity shows 18.0% detached houses and 82.0% medium and high-density housing.

This shift towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a notable change from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 55.0% houses. With around 308 people per dwelling approval, Moncrieff indicates a developing market. Population forecasts suggest Moncrieff will gain 2,219 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Moncrieff has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones include North Gungahlin Community Health Centre, Aunty Agnes Shea High School, Gungahlin Tennis Facility (Amaroo Tennis Centre), and Casey Emergency Services Station. The following list details those most relevant.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Moncrieff ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Moncrieff has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.7%, with estimated employment growth of 1.6% over the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of September 2025, there are 3,351 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 3.8%, higher than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation is high at 79.3% compared to ACT's 69.6%. Leading industries include public administration & safety (28.5%), health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

However, public administration & safety shows lower representation than the regional average of 30.4%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 1.6% while labour force grew by 1.4%, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). In comparison, ACT recorded employment growth of 1.4%, labour force growth of 1.2%, with unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points. As of 25-November 2025, ACT's employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%, and employment growth is 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moncrieff's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Moncrieff is high nationally. The median income is $68,064 and the average income stands at $77,882. This contrasts with Australian Capital Territory's figures of a median income of $72,206 and an average income of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $74,367 (median) and $85,094 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, incomes in Moncrieff rank highly nationally, between the 92nd and 93rd percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis reveals that 39.1% of individuals earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly earnings band (2,355 individuals), aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort represents 34.3%. Notably, 42.0% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting prosperity in the area. High housing costs consume 17.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 92nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Moncrieff displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

As of the latest Census, Moncrieff's dwelling structure consisted of 55.1% houses and 44.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 66.3% houses and 33.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moncrieff stood at 5.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 69.9% and rented ones at 24.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,123. The median weekly rent in Moncrieff was $470, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $462. Nationally, Moncrieff's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Moncrieff features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 86.2% of all households, including 55.2% couples with children, 18.7% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.8%, with lone person households at 10.7% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.9.

Moncrieff demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Moncrieff's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. 51.4% of residents aged 15 years and above have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA3 area's 46.3%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 29.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (18.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.3% of residents holding them – advanced diplomas comprise 11.3%, while certificates make up 14.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 37.4% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.1% in primary, 7.0% in secondary, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Moncrieff has 13 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together facilitate 1,886 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in Moncrieff is rated as good, with residents on average being located 203 meters from the nearest stop.

The service frequency across all routes averages 269 trips per day, which equates to approximately 145 weekly trips per individual stop.

Moncrieff's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Moncrieff's health outcomes show excellent results with low prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 58% (~3,492 people) have private health cover, the highest rate in Moncrieff. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.5%) and mental health issues (6.8%), while 80.8% claim to be free from any medical ailments compared to 76.4% across the Australian Capital Territory. Only 3.5% of residents are aged 65 and over (210 people), lower than the 8.3% in the Australian Capital Territory. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

Moncrieff is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Moncrieff has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.3% of its population born overseas and 50.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Moncrieff is Christianity, comprising 33.4% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 14.9% compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 9.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (23.9%), Australian (18.2%), and English (14.7%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Indian is overrepresented at 12.5%, Korean at 1.5%, and Croatian at 1.0%.

Moncrieff hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Moncrieff's median age in 2021 was 31, which is younger than the Australian Capital Territory figure of 35 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Moncrieff has a higher concentration of 35-44 year-olds at 24.1%, but fewer 55-64 year-olds at 4.5%. This 35-44 age group is well above the national average of 14.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 45 to 54 age group has grown from 8.8% to 10.8% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 21.6% to 17.7%, and the 0 to 4 age group dropped from 11.7% to 10.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Moncrieff's age structure. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 82%, from 650 to 1,183 people. The 85+ age group displays more modest growth at 0%, adding only 0 residents.