Moncrieff

Moncrieff lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the suburb of Moncrieff's estimated population is around 6,025 as of Feb 2026. This shows an increase of 715 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,310. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 5,913 residents following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and additional 36 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,138 persons per square kilometer, placing Moncrieff in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 13.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state's 6.7%. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 49.0% of overall population gains, although all drivers including interstate migration and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted. According to these trends, Moncrieff is forecasted to experience significant population increase, expected to grow by 2,331 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 36.8% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Moncrieff when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Moncrieff has seen around 21 new homes approved each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 107 homes were approved, with an additional 1 home approved so far in FY-26. On average, 16.1 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built during this period, indicating that demand significantly outpaces supply.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $525,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $40,000 in commercial approvals registered, predominantly reflecting residential development activity. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Moncrieff has significantly less development activity, at 54.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The building activity shows a skew towards compact living, with 18.0% detached houses and 82.0% medium to high-density housing. This shift from the area's current housing composition of 55.0% houses indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options.

With around 308 people per dwelling approval, Moncrieff shows a developing market with population forecasts indicating an increase of 2,219 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Moncrieff has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include North Gungahlin Community Health Centre, Aunty Agnes Shea High School, Gungahlin Tennis Facility (Amaroo Tennis Centre), and Casey Emergency Services Station. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Moncrieff ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Moncrieff's workforce is highly educated with strong representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.7% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.6% over the past year. This figure is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data.

In comparison, Australian Capital Territory's unemployment rate was 3.6%. Workforce participation in Moncrieff was higher at 83.6%, compared to the ACT's 72.5%. According to Census responses, only 10.6% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The leading employment industries among residents were public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. However, public administration & safety showed lower representation at 28.5% compared to the regional average of 30.4%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.6%, while labour force increased by 1.4%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moncrieff's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 30, 2023 shows Moncrieff suburb has high national incomes with median assessed at $68,064 and average income at $77,882. This contrasts with Australian Capital Territory's median income of $72,206 and average income of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% from July 1, 2023 to June 30, 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 are approximately $74,367 (median) and $85,094 (average). According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data from August 2021, Moncrieff's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 92nd and 93rd percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 39.1% of individuals earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly (2,355 individuals), similar to surrounding regions at 34.3%. Notably, 42.0% earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating prosperity driving local economic activity. High housing costs consume 17.2% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 92nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Moncrieff displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Moncrieff, as per the latest Census evaluation, 55.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 44.8% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moncrieff stood at 5.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 69.9% and rented ones at 24.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, exceeding the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent in Moncrieff was $470, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $450. Nationally, Moncrieff's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Moncrieff features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.2% of all households, consisting of 55.2% couples with children, 18.7% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.8%, with lone person households at 10.7% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Moncrieff demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Moncrieff's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. As of 2016 data, 51.4% of residents aged 15 and above held university qualifications, surpassing Australia's 30.4% and the SA3 area's 46.3%. This high level of educational attainment positions Moncrieff favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 29.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (18.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.7%).

Vocational credentials are also common, with 25.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding them - advanced diplomas account for 11.3% and certificates for 14.0%. Educational participation is high, with 37.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest data. This includes 15.1% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Moncrieff has 13 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 20 individual routes that collectively provide 1,886 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as good, with residents typically located approximately 203 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commutes are outward-bound. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation for these outward commutes at 89%, while bus usage stands at 6%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in Moncrieff, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 10.6% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 269 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 145 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Moncrieff is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Moncrieff demonstrates better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but nears the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is very high in Moncrieff, with approximately 58% of the total population (~3,492 people) having it, compared to 62.4% across Australian Capital Territory. The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.5 and 6.8% of residents respectively, while 80.8% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory. Moncrieff has 3.8% of residents aged 65 and over (228 people), lower than the 14.3% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

Moncrieff is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Moncrieff has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.3% of its population born overseas and 50.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Moncrieff, comprising 33.4% of the population. However, Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 14.9% compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 4.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups in Moncrieff are Other at 23.9%, Australian at 18.2%, and English at 14.7%. The representation of Indian is notably higher than regional averages at 12.5% versus 3.3%, Korean at 1.5% versus 0.6%, and Croatian at 1.0% versus 0.9%.

Moncrieff hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Moncrieff's median age is 31, which is younger than the Australian Capital Territory figure of 35 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Moncrieff has a higher concentration of residents aged 35-44 (24.0%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.8%). This 35-44 concentration is well above the national average of 14.3%. Between 2021 and present, the median age has increased by 1.1 years from 30 to 31, indicating an aging population. Key changes include the growth of the 45 to 54 age group from 8.8% to 11.4%, and the increase of the 55 to 64 cohort from 3.6% to 4.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 21.6% to 16.5%, and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 11.7% to 10.5%. Population forecasts for Moncrieff in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes, with the 45 to 54 cohort projected to grow by 72%, adding 496 residents to reach a total of 1,183. In contrast, the 85+ cohort shows minimal growth of just 0% (adding 0 people).