Gungahlin

Gungahlin lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of Nov 2025, Gungahlin's estimated population is around 10,110. This reflects a 17.7% increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,586. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 9,193 in Jun 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,217 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Gungahlin's growth exceeded both state (6.4%) and SA4 region levels, marking it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 64.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, age group growth rates from ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted. Population projections predict exceptional growth, placing Gungahlin in the top 10 percent of Australian statistical areas. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 6,484 persons, reflecting a gain of 55.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Gungahlin among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Gungahlin has averaged approximately 313 new dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 1,568 homes were approved, with an additional 1 approved so far in FY-26. This results in about 1 new resident per year arriving for each new home over the past five financial years.

The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $249,000. In the current financial year, $31.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating strong local business investment. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Gungahlin has 261.0% higher new home approvals per person, offering greater choice for buyers and reflecting robust developer confidence. Recent development consists entirely of attached dwellings, providing affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift represents a notable decrease from the area's existing housing composition, currently 36.0% houses. Gungahlin reflects a developing area with approximately 27 people per approval. By 2041, it is projected to grow by an additional 5,566 residents, and current development rates suggest that new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, fostering good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Looking ahead, Gungahlin is expected to grow by 5,566 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Gungahlin has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 57 potential impact projects in total. Key initiatives include Gungahlin Community Centre, Gungahlin Marketplace Expansion, Moncrieff East Residential Estate, and Raya Gungahlin. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Gungahlin has been broadly consistent with national averages

Gungahlin has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 4.5% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.5% over the past year.

This is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. In comparison to the Australian Capital Territory (ACT), Gungahlin has a higher unemployment rate at 0.9%, but its workforce participation rate is higher at 76.0%. Employment among residents is concentrated in public administration & safety, accommodation & food, and health care & social assistance sectors. Notably, employment levels in accommodation & food are at 1.7 times the regional average, while public administration & safety has a limited presence with 23.4% employment compared to the regional average of 30.4%.

Despite local employment opportunities, many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the past year, employment increased by 1.5%, and the labour force grew by 1.5%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, ACT saw employment rise by 1.4% with a slight decrease in unemployment to 3.6%. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gungahlin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, although this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Gungahlin suburb's income level aligns with national averages based on latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ending June 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Gungahlin is $56,805, while the average income stands at $67,291. These figures compare to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $62,065 (median) and $73,522 (average), accounting for a 9.26% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Gungahlin rank between the 78th and 82nd percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 38.7% of residents (3,912 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, reflecting broader area patterns where 34.3% occupy this range. Notably, 31.3% earn above $3,000 weekly, suggesting prosperity and robust local economic activity. High housing costs consume 17.1% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 76th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Gungahlin features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Gungahlin, as recorded in the latest Census, 35.7% of dwellings were houses while 64.3% were other types such as semi-detached and apartments. In contrast, the Australian Capital Territory had a higher proportion of houses at 66.3%. Home ownership in Gungahlin was lower at 13.6%, with mortgaged properties at 32.9% and rented dwellings at 53.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Gungahlin was $1,801, below the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,123. Weekly rent in Gungahlin was $450 compared to the ACT's $462. Nationally, Gungahlin's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher at $375.

Gungahlin features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.0% of all households, including 29.6% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 32.0%, with lone person households at 25.1% and group households comprising 6.9%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.9.

Educational achievement in Gungahlin places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Educational attainment in Gungahlin is notably higher than the national average, with 48.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4%. This educational advantage indicates a strong position for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 26.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (18.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational pathways account for 23.2% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas comprising 10.8% and certificates making up 12.4%.

Educational participation is significantly high in the area, with 32.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% pursuing tertiary education, 7.0% in primary education, and 6.1% engaged in secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gungahlin has 35 active public transport stops, offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 68 unique routes that together facilitate 5,119 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 184 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency across all routes is 731 trips per day, translating to around 146 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gungahlin's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Gungahlin shows excellent health outcomes with low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Private health cover is held by approximately 54% of Gungahlin's total population (~5,437 people), slightly higher than the average SA2 area but lower than the Australian Capital Territory's 59.5%.

Mental health issues affect 8.4% and asthma affects 6.5% of residents. 78.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 76.4% across the Australian Capital Territory. 8.0% of residents are aged 65 and over (808 people). While health outcomes among seniors are strong, they require more attention than those in the broader population.

Gungahlin is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Gungahlin's cultural diversity is notable, with 49.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 49.8% born overseas. Christianity is the dominant religion, comprising 32.4%. Hinduism is overrepresented in Gungahlin at 11.4%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's average of 9.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (19.9%), English (17.2%), and Australian (17.1%). Korean, Indian, and Vietnamese ethnicities also show notable differences in representation: Korean is overrepresented at 2.7% compared to the regional average of 1.2%, Indian is slightly underrepresented at 5.8% versus 6.4%, and Vietnamese is overrepresented at 2.0% against a regional average of 1.5%.

Gungahlin hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Gungahlin's median age in 2021 was 32 years, which is younger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Gungahlin had a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (26.1%), but fewer residents aged 5-14 (8.6%). This 25-34 age group was well above the national average of 14.5%. Post-2021 Census data showed that the 65 to 74 age group had grown from 4.2% to 5.4%, while the 55 to 64 cohort increased from 7.3% to 8.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group had declined from 27.8% to 26.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Gungahlin's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the 35 to 44 age cohort projected to expand considerably, increasing by 995 people (57%) from 1,759 to 2,755.