Crace

Population growth drivers in Crace are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, Crace's estimated population is around 4,779. This reflects a decrease of 21 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,800. The current estimate is inferred from AreaSearch's examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,896 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Crace has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.5%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth of statistical areas across the nation, with the Crace (SA2) expected to grow by 194 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall gain of 4.1% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Crace is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Crace has had virtually no dwelling approvals in recent years.

Between FY21-FY25, an estimated 3 homes were approved, with none so far in FY26. This aligns with population decline, suggesting new supply has met demand. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory and nationally, Crace has significantly less development activity. Recent construction has been entirely standalone homes, maintaining Crace's suburban character and appealing to families seeking space. Developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (70% at Census), indicating strong demand for family homes.

Crace has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No factors influence a region's performance more than changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Kaleen Local Centre Enhancements, Second Gungahlin College (Nicholls), Kenny New Suburb Development, and Kaleen Primary School Facility Upgrades, with the following list outlining those most pertinent.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Crace ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Crace has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate is 2.1%.

Over the past year, it remained relatively stable. As of September 2025, 2,848 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.4% below the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation is high at 77.2%, compared to ACT's 69.6%.

Dominant employment sectors include public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and health care & social assistance. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented in Crace with only 10.1% of the workforce compared to ACT's 11.7%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 0.4%, labour force by 1.0%, leading to a rise in unemployment of 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, ACT recorded employment growth of 1.4% with a fall in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. As of 25-Nov-25, ACT's year-on-year employment growth is 1.19%, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%. National forecasts from May-25 project national employment to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Crace's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Crace has a median taxpayer income of $75,729 and an average income of $86,587 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Australian Capital Territory's median income of $72,206 and average income of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $82,742 (median) and $94,605 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Crace rank highly nationally, between the 95th and 96th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 32.0% of locals (1,529 people) with earnings in the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to regional levels where 34.3% fall into this bracket. Economic strength is evident through 46.8% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 15.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 94th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Crace displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Crace, as per the latest Census, 69.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 30.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is compared to the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) figures of 66.3% houses and 33.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Crace stood at 13.9%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 50.7% and rented ones 35.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, higher than the ACT average of $2,123. The median weekly rent in Crace was $460, slightly above the ACT's figure of $462. Nationally, Crace's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Crace features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.3% of all households, including 44.8% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 6.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.7%, with lone person households at 19.1% and group households comprising 3.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.9.

Crace demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Crace is notably high, with 52.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This figure surpasses both the national average of 30.4% and the SA3 area's average of 46.3%. The most common university qualifications are Bachelor degrees (28.3%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (20.1%) and graduate diplomas (4.5%). Vocational pathways account for 23.9% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 11.2% and certificates 12.7%.

Educational participation is also high in Crace, with 34.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (11.9%), tertiary education (7.4%), and secondary education (6.2%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis indicates that there are currently eleven active public transport stops operating within Crace. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with forty-three individual routes in total. Collectively, these routes provide eighteen hundred and three weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of the transport system is rated as good, with residents typically located two hundred and four meters from the nearest transport stop. The service frequency averages two hundred and fifty-seven trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately one hundred and sixty-three weekly trips per individual stop.

Crace's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Crace's health outcomes show exceptional results with both younger and older age groups having low prevalence of common health conditions. The private health cover rate stands at approximately 61% of Crace's total population of 2,933 people, surpassing the national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.5% and 5.7% of residents respectively. A higher proportion of Crace residents, at 78.3%, report being completely free from medical ailments compared to the Australian Capital Territory's average of 76.4%. The area has a larger senior population than the Australian Capital Territory, with 10.1% of its residents aged 65 and over (482 people), compared to the territory's 8.3%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Crace are above average and require more attention than the broader population.

Crace is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Crace has a high level of cultural diversity, with 37.7% of its population born overseas and 39.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Crace, accounting for 39.1% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented in Crace compared to the Australian Capital Territory, comprising 9.1% versus 9.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (19.6%), English (18.2%), and Other (15.4%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Croatian is overrepresented at 1.5% compared to the regional average of 1.3%, Indian at 7.1% versus 6.4%, and Serbian at 0.7% versus 0.4%.

Crace hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Crace has a median age of 35, which is equal to the Australian Capital Territory figure of 35 but is slightly lower than Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Crace has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (20.9%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.1%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, Crace's residents have aged by an average of 1.1 years, with the median age rising from 34 to 35. Notably, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 9.4% to 11.8%, while those aged 45-54 have risen from 11.5% to 13.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 18.0% to 15.0%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 9.1% to 7.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Crace's age profile will undergo significant changes. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to increase by 146 people (22%), growing from 654 to 801 residents. However, population declines are expected for the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts.