Crace

Population growth drivers in Crace are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the estimated population of the suburb of Crace as of Feb 2026 is around 4779. This reflects a decrease of 21 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4800 people. The change was inferred from the resident population of 4779 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2896 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Crace has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.5%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 59% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with a base year of 2022, are adopted. Looking at population projections moving forward, lower quartile growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is anticipated, with the suburb expected to expand by 194 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 4.1% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Crace is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, derived from statistical area data, indicates that Crace has had virtually no dwelling approvals in recent years.

Specifically, an estimated 3 homes were approved between FY21 and FY25, with 0 approvals so far in FY26. This trend coincides with a population decline over recent years, maintaining adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Crace has significantly less development activity, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, this level is also lower, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent development in Crace has been entirely standalone homes, preserving its traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (70.0% at Census), reflecting persistent strong demand for family homes.

Crace has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified zero projects impacting the area. Notable initiatives include Kaleen Local Centre Enhancements, Second Gungahlin College (Nicholls), Kenny New Suburb Development, and Kaleen Primary School Facility Upgrades. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Crace ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Crace's workforce is highly educated with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate as of September 2025 was 2.1%. Over the past year, employment stability has been relatively high.

This is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of that date, 2,848 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.4% lower than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation in Crace was 78.0%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 72.5%.

According to Census responses, only 12.6% of residents worked from home. Dominant employment sectors include public administration & safety, professional & technical, and health care & social assistance. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented in Crace compared to the Australian Capital Territory (10.1% vs 11.7%). The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 0.4%, labour force grew by 1.0%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory recorded employment growth of 1.4% and a fall in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Crace. These projections estimate national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Crace's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Crace has a median taxpayer income of $75,729 and an average income of $86,587 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Australian Capital Territory's median income of $72,206 and average income of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $82,742 (median) and $94,605 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Crace, between the 95th and 96th percentiles nationally. Looking at income distribution, 32.0% of locals (1,529 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, mirroring regional levels where 34.3% occupy this bracket. Economic strength emerges through 46.8% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. High housing costs consume 15.8% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 94th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Crace displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Crace, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 69.6% houses and 30.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory had 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Crace was 13.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.7% and rented dwellings at 35.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Crace was $2,400, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure in Crace was recorded at $460, while it was $450 for the Australian Capital Territory. Nationally, Crace's median monthly mortgage repayment is higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and its median weekly rent is substantially above the national figure of $375.

Crace features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.3% of all households, including 44.8% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 6.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.7%, with lone person households at 19.1% and group households making up 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Crace demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Crace is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Specifically, 52.9% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 46.3% in the SA3 area. This high level of educational attainment positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (20.1%) and graduate diplomas (4.5%).

Vocational pathways account for 23.9% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 11.2% and certificates 12.7%. Educational participation is particularly high in Crace, with 34.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 7.4% in tertiary education, and 6.2% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 11 active transport stops operating within Crace. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 43 individual routes. Collectively, these routes facilitate 1,803 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 204 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward using cars, which remain the dominant mode at 89%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 12.6% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 257 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 163 weekly trips per individual stop.

Crace's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance across Crace. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low for both young and old age cohorts.

Private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (2,933 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions were asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.5 and 5.7% of residents respectively. A total of 78.3% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 70.2%. Crace has 10.6% of residents aged 65 and over (506 people), lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of 14.3%. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Crace is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Crace's cultural diversity is notable, with 37.7% of its population born overseas and 39.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Crace, comprising 39.1% of the population. However, Hinduism stands out as significantly overrepresented, making up 9.1% compared to the Australian Capital Territory's average of 4.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (19.6%), English (18.2%), and Other (15.4%). Notably, Croatian (1.5%) and Indian (7.1%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Crace compared to regional averages of 0.9% and 3.3%, respectively. Serbian ethnicity is also slightly overrepresented at 0.7%.

Crace hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Crace has a median age of 35 years, equal to that of the Australian Capital Territory but lower than Australia's figure of 38 years. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Crace has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (20.5%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.4%). The concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.3%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, residents have aged by an average of 1.4 years, with the median age rising from 34 to 35 years. Specifically, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 9.4% to 12.1%, while those aged 45-54 have risen from 11.5% to 14.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 18.0% to 14.4%, and those aged 0-4 have dropped from 9.1% to 7.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Crace's age profile. The 45-54 age cohort is expected to increase by 127 people (19%), growing from 673 to 801 residents. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts.