Ngunnawal
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ngunnawal reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Ngunnawal's population is approximately 11,182, reflecting an increase of 225 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 10,957 people in Ngunnawal. This increase is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data showing 11,060 in June 2024 and an additional 47 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,688 persons per square kilometer, placing Ngunnawal in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed approximately 64.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and ACT Government's SA2 area projections with a base year of 2022 for areas not covered by this data or years post-2032. According to these projections, Ngunnawal's population is expected to decline by 771 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are projected to grow, notably the 65 to 74 age group, which is anticipated to increase by 124 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Ngunnawal is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Ngunnawal has seen approximately 9 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 46 homes. In FY26 so far, there has been 1 approval recorded. The area has experienced population decline, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, providing good choice for buyers.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $281,000. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Ngunnawal shows substantially reduced construction activity, 92.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, although development activity has increased in recent periods. The current level of construction is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. All new construction so far has been comprised of townhouses or apartments, focusing on higher-density living which creates more affordable entry points and caters to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, currently 67.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Ngunnawal may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Ngunnawal has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 23rdth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Gold Creek Homestead Precinct, North Gungahlin Community Health Centre, Casey Emergency Services Station, and Casey Indoor Sports Facility. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Ngunnawal remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Ngunnawal has a well-educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.0% as of June 2021.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.9%. As of June 2025, 6,372 residents are employed. The unemployment rate is 0.6% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.4%, with workforce participation at 72.8%, compared to the ACT's 69.6%. Leading employment industries include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Construction shows notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Public administration & safety employs 26.7% of local workers, below the ACT's 30.4%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.9%, labour force grew by 1.6%, resulting in a 0.3 percentage point decrease in unemployment. The ACT recorded similar growth rates during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Ngunnawal's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Ngunnawal had a median income among taxpayers of $62,934. The average income stood at $72,878. This was above the national average and compared to levels of $68,678 and $83,634 across Australian Capital Territory respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $71,493 (median) and $82,789 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Ngunnawal ranked highly nationally, between the 79th and 87th percentiles. Income brackets indicated that the largest segment comprised 39.5% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (4,416 residents). Higher earners represented a substantial presence with 30.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consumed 15.9% of income. Despite this, strong earnings placed disposable income at the 79th percentile nationally, and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Ngunnawal displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Ngunnawal, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 67.4% houses and 32.6% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares with the Australian Capital Territory's dwelling structure of 66.3% houses and 33.7% other dwellings. The level of home ownership in Ngunnawal was higher than that of the Australian Capital Territory at 21.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.2% and rented dwellings at 27.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,123. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $462. Nationally, Ngunnawal's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while median weekly rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ngunnawal has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.3% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.7%, with lone person households at 24.4% and group households making up 3.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.9.

Ngunnawal shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Ngunnawal trail regional benchmarks, with 37.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 46.8% in the SA4 region. The gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 22.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (19.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education. Ngunnawal Primary School provides local educational services within Ngunnawal, with an enrollment of 606 students as of the latest data point. The school operates under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1043) with balanced educational opportunities. It focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. Limited local school capacity (5.4 places per 100 residents vs 14.7 regionally) means many families travel to nearby areas for schooling.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ngunnawal has 65 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 10 different routes that together facilitate 1,224 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located 171 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 174 trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ngunnawal's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows relatively positive outcomes for Ngunnawal residents. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low among the general population, although it is higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is very high in this area, with approximately 56% of the total population (~6,261 people) having it, compared to 58.6% across Australian Capital Territory. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.8 and 9.3% of residents respectively. A total of 69.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 76.4% across Australian Capital Territory. In this area, 11.9% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,331 people), which is higher than the 8.3% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges that require more attention than those for the broader population.

Ngunnawal was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ngunnawal had a more diverse culture than most local markets, with 28.7% of its population born overseas and 28.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Ngunnawal, comprising 41.3% of people. However, the 'Other' religious category showed an overrepresentation in Ngunnawal at 2.5%, compared to 2.7% across Australian Capital Territory.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (23.9%), English (22.4%), and Other (13.8%). Notably, Croatian (1.3%) was equally represented in Ngunnawal as regionally, while Hungarian (0.4%) and Korean (0.7%) showed lower representation compared to regional percentages of 0.2% and 1.2%, respectively.

Ngunnawal hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Ngunnawal's median age is 34 years, comparable to the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and lower than the national average of 38. Compared to Australian Capital Territory, Ngunnawal has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (17.7%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (10.6%). According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group increased from 3.7% to 4.7%, while the 15 to 24 cohort declined from 11.5% to 10.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Ngunnawal's age profile. The 65 to 74 cohort is projected to grow by 15%, adding 105 residents to reach 786. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 70% of the population growth, with declines projected for the 75 to 84 and 15 to 24 age groups.