Ngunnawal

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ngunnawal reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Ngunnawal's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 11,182 people. This figure represents an increase of 225 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 10,957. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 11,060 in June 2024 and 47 validated new addresses added post-Census. This results in a population density ratio of 2,688 persons per square kilometer, placing Ngunnawal in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed approximately 64.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, ACT Government's SA2 area projections with a 2022 base are adopted. Projections indicate a decline in overall population by 771 persons to 2041. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 65 to 74 age group, projected to increase by 124 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Ngunnawal is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Ngunnawal has seen approximately 9 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 46 homes. As of FY2025-26, 1 approval has been recorded so far. The population decline in recent years has resulted in adequate development activity relative to other areas, benefiting buyers.

The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $281,000. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory's regional average per person, Ngunnawal records markedly lower building activity, at 92.0% below the average. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties, though there has been an acceleration in recent years. This activity is also below the national average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. All new constructions in Ngunnawal have been townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift represents a notable change from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 67.0% houses.

The expected stability or decline in population should reduce pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Ngunnawal has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 14thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Gold Creek Homestead Precinct, North Gungahlin Community Health Centre, Casey Emergency Services Station, and Casey Indoor Sports Facility. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Ngunnawal shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Ngunnawal has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.3% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.2%. There were 6,265 residents employed by September 2025, with an unemployment rate of 4.9%, which is 0.7% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation in Ngunnawal was 72.8%, slightly higher than the ACT's 69.6%. The leading employment industries among residents were public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Notably, construction had an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. However, public administration & safety was under-represented with only 26.7% of Ngunnawal's workforce compared to 30.4% in the ACT. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.2%, labour force grew by 0.9%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, the ACT saw employment grow by 1.4% and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points over the same period. As of 25-November, ACT employment had grown by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ngunnawal's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Ngunnawal SA2 has a high national income level, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers is $62,934, with an average income of $72,878. This compares to ACT figures of $68,678 and $83,634 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates are approximately $71,493 (median) and $82,789 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes rank highly in Ngunnawal, between the 79th and 87th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 39.5% of residents (4,416 people), consistent with broader trends showing 34.3% in the same category. The area demonstrates affluence with 30.9% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.9% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 78th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Ngunnawal displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Ngunnawal, as per the latest Census evaluation, 67.4% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 32.6% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types of dwellings. This is similar to the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) dwelling structure, which was 66.3% houses and 33.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ngunnawal stood at 21.7%, with mortgaged properties at 51.2% and rented dwellings at 27.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, lower than the ACT average of $2,123. The median weekly rent in Ngunnawal was $450, slightly higher than the ACT's $462. Nationally, Ngunnawal's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while median weekly rents were substantially higher at $450 versus the national figure of $375.

Ngunnawal has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.3% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.7%, with lone person households at 24.4% and group households making up 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.9.

Ngunnawal shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Ngunnawal trail regional benchmarks with 37.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to the SA4 region's 46.8%. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 22.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (19.5%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Ngunnawal indicates that there are 65 active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a variety of bus services, with a total of 10 individual routes running through the area. Collectively, these routes facilitate 1,224 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Ngunnawal is rated as excellent, with residents typically located an average of 171 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, service frequency across all routes amounts to 174 trips per day, equating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ngunnawal's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data shows positive outcomes for Ngunnawal residents. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average in older and at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 56% (~6,261 people) have private health cover, compared to 58.6% across Australian Capital Territory. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.8 and 9.3% of residents respectively. 69.0% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to 76.4% across Australian Capital Territory. The area has 11.9% (1,331 people) of residents aged 65 and over, higher than the 8.3% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Ngunnawal was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ngunnawal's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 28.7% born overseas and 28.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Ngunnawal, making up 41.3%. The 'Other' religious group comprised 2.5%, slightly higher than the Australian Capital Territory's average of 2.7%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians made up 23.9%, followed by English at 22.4% and Other at 13.8%. Some ethnic groups were notably overrepresented: Croatian at 1.3% (vs regional 1.3%), Serbian at 0.5% (vs 0.4%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (vs 0.2%).

Ngunnawal hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Ngunnawal's median age is 34 years, comparable to the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and significantly lower than the national average of 38 years. Relative to the Australian Capital Territory, Ngunnawal has a higher concentration of residents aged 35-44 (17.7%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (10.6%). According to post-2021 Census data, the age group 75-84 grew from 3.7% to 4.7% of the population while the age group 15-24 declined from 11.5% to 10.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Ngunnawal's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 65-74 cohort at 15%, adding 105 residents to reach 786. This demographic aging continues as residents aged 65 and older represent 70% of anticipated growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the age groups 75-84 and 15-24.