Ngunnawal

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ngunnawal reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Ngunnawal's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 11,192, marking an increase of 235 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census recorded a population of 10,957. This growth is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 11,060 in June 2024 and an additional 51 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 2,690 persons per square kilometer, placing Ngunnawal in the upper quartile nationally. Natural growth contributed approximately 64.8% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered or years post-2032, ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted. Projected demographic shifts indicate a population decline by 771 persons to 2041, despite growth in specific age cohorts like the 65 to 74 group, projected to increase by 124 people.

The level of residential development activity in Ngunnawal is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Ngunnawal has seen approximately 9 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 46 homes. As of FY26 so far, 1 approval has been recorded. The population decline in recent years has resulted in adequate development activity relative to other areas, benefiting buyers.

New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $281,000. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Ngunnawal records significantly lower building activity, with 92.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. However, building activity has increased in recent years. This activity is also below national averages, indicating the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. All new construction so far has been comprised of townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 67.0% houses) suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for more diverse, affordable housing options. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Ngunnawal should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially presenting opportunities for buyers in the future.

Ngunnawal has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 19thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects that could affect the region. Notable initiatives include Gold Creek Homestead Precinct, North Gungahlin Community Health Centre, Casey Emergency Services Station, and Casey Indoor Sports Facility. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Ngunnawal shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Ngunnawal has a well-educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 4.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2%. As of September 2025, there are 6,265 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, 0.7% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%.

Workforce participation is 74.7%, slightly higher than the ACT's 72.5%. According to Census responses, a low 11.1% of residents work from home. Leading industries include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area has a high specialization in construction employment, with a share 1.3 times the regional level.

However, public administration & safety is under-represented, with only 26.7% of Ngunnawal's workforce compared to 30.4% in ACT. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.2%, labour force grew by 0.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, ACT saw employment grow by 1.4%, labour force expand by 1.2%, and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Ngunnawal's industry mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Ngunnawal SA2 had a high national income level based on latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median income among taxpayers was $66,029 and average income stood at $74,818. For Australian Capital Territory, these figures were $72,206 and $85,981 respectively. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $72,143 (median) and $81,746 (average), considering Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023. Census data showed household, family, and personal incomes ranked highly in Ngunnawal, between the 79th and 87th percentiles nationally. Income analysis revealed that 39.5% of residents (4,420 people) fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, consistent with broader trends across the area showing 34.3% in the same category. The area exhibited affluence with 30.9% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consumed 15.9% of income, yet strong earnings placed disposable income at the 78th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Ngunnawal displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Ngunnawal, as per the latest Census, 67.4% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 32.6% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) figures of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ngunnawal stood at 21.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.2% and rented ones at 27.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than the ACT average of $2,080. The median weekly rent in Ngunnawal was $450, matching the ACT figure but higher than the national average of $375. Nationally, Ngunnawal's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863.

Ngunnawal has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.3% of all households, including 35.9% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.7%, with lone person households at 24.4% and group households making up 3.1%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Ngunnawal shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Ngunnawal trail regional benchmarks; 37.1% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to 46.8% in SA4 region. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 22.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 10.7% and graduate diplomas at 4.0%. Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.3% and certificates at 19.5%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education; this includes 10.6% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 65 active stops operating within Ngunnawal, consisting of buses. These stops are served by 141 individual routes, collectively offering 6,575 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 171 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to the area's residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode at 89%, while bus accounts for 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 11.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 939 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 101 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Ngunnawal is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Ngunnawal demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 56% (~6,278 people) have private health cover, compared to 62.4% in the Australian Capital Territory. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, impacting 9.8 and 9.3% of residents respectively. About 69.0% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.2% across the Australian Capital Territory. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 12.2% (1,371 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than the 14.3% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Ngunnawal was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ngunnawal's population showed high cultural diversity, with 28.7% born overseas and 28.3% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, accounting for 41.3%. The 'Other' religious category had a higher representation in Ngunnawal (2.5%) compared to the Australian Capital Territory average (1.4%).

In terms of ancestry, Australians made up 23.9%, English 22.4%, and Other 13.8% of Ngunnawal's population. Some ethnic groups were notably overrepresented: Croatian at 1.3% (regional average 0.9%), Serbian at 0.5% (0.4%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (0.3%).

Ngunnawal hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Ngunnawal's median age is 34 years, comparable to the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 years, but significantly lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Ngunnawal has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (17.7%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (10.7%). According to post-2021 Census data, the age group 55-64 has grown from 8.6% to 9.9%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 3.7% to 4.8%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has declined from 17.9% to 16.9%. Demographic modeling indicates that Ngunnawal's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The strongest projected growth is in the 65-74 cohort, with a 13% increase adding 90 residents to reach 786. Residents aged 65 and older represent 82% of anticipated population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 75-84 and 15-24 age cohorts.