Casey

Population growth drivers in Casey are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Casey's population is around 6,667 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 196 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,471 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,636 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,544 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Casey has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.3%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 63.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, Casey is expected to grow by 701 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 10.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Casey, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Casey has recorded approximately 22 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 113 homes were approved, with no approvals so far in FY-26. On average, over these five years, each dwelling is expected to accommodate 2.2 new residents annually, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average construction cost value for new homes during this period was $25,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In FY-26, $340,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus in Casey's development activity. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Casey has significantly less development activity, 65.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent development has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, preserving Casey's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (76.0% at Census), reflecting persistent strong demand for family homes amid densification trends. Casey reflects a highly mature market with around 4412 people per dwelling approval. Future projections show Casey adding approximately 670 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Casey has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 10thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects expected to affect the region. Notable initiatives include Gold Creek Country Club Build-to-Rent (Gold Creek Golf Club Redevelopment), Gold Creek Events Facility and 60-room Hotel, North Gungahlin Community Health Centre, and Taylor Residential Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Casey exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Casey's workforce is highly educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.0% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 0.9% over the past year.

In September 2025, 4,115 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% lower than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation was higher at 81.4%, compared to ACT's 69.6%. Leading employment industries among Casey residents included public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

However, public administration & safety was under-represented in Casey with only 29.2% of the workforce compared to ACT's 30.4%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.9%, while labour force increased by 1.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, ACT experienced employment growth of 1.4% and labour force growth of 1.2%, with a drop in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data up to 25-Nov-25 showed ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.5%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Casey's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Casey SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $75,532 and an average income of $87,466 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Nationally, these figures are very high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median income of $68,678 and average income of $83,634. Based on a 13.6% increase in wages since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $85,804 and an average income of $99,361 by September 2025. Census data indicates that incomes in Casey are high, ranking between the 93rd and 95th percentiles nationally for household, family, and personal incomes. In Casey, 38.1% of individuals (2,540 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across regional levels at 34.3%. Notably, 43.4% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting areas of prosperity that contribute to robust local economic activity. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income in Casey, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 92nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Casey is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Casey's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 75.6% houses and 24.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Australian Capital Territory had 66.3% houses and 33.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Casey stood at 11.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 58.4% and rented ones at 29.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,123. The median weekly rent was $502, compared to Australian Capital Territory's $462. Nationally, Casey's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Casey features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 79.3% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.7%, with lone person households at 17.9% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Australian Capital Territory average.

Educational achievement in Casey places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Casey's educational attainment exceeds Australian averages significantly, with 42.3% of its residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications compared to the national average of 30.4%. This notable advantage is driven by a high proportion of Bachelor degree holders (24.4%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.9%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (17.1%). Educational participation is notably high in Casey, with 35.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 12.3% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Casey has 18 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with 4 individual routes in total. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 704.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 190 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 100 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Casey's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Casey's health outcomes data shows excellent results across all age groups. Both younger and older cohorts have a low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is notably high at approximately 64% of Casey's total population (4253 people), compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 58.6%.

Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions in Casey are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 8.5% and 7.6% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 76.8%, report being free from any medical ailments, slightly higher than the Australian Capital Territory's 76.4%. Casey has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 6.2% (410 people), compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 8.3%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

Casey was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Casey's population showed higher cultural diversity compared to most local markets, with 32.3% born overseas and 33.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Casey as of 2021, accounting for 42.1% of its population. Notably, the percentage of people identifying as 'Other' religion was higher in Casey (3.1%) compared to the Australian Capital Territory average (2.7%).

In terms of ancestry, Australians made up 22.2%, English 20.1%, and Other groups 16.1% of Casey's population. Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Croatians were slightly overrepresented at 1.6% in Casey compared to the regional average of 1.3%. Indians were also relatively overrepresented, with 6.0% in Casey versus 6.4% regionally. Sri Lankans made up 0.7% of Casey's population, slightly higher than the regional average of 0.6%.

Casey hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Casey's median age in 2021 was 33 years, which is modestly below the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and significantly lower than the national median of 38. Casey had a higher concentration of residents aged 35-44 at 23.0%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 19.7% and Australia's 14.2%. However, Casey had fewer residents aged 75-84 at 1.4%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 3.6% and Australia's 4.3%. Between 2021 and the present day, demographic aging has been evident with the median age increasing from 32 to 33 years. During this period, the 45-54 age group grew from 11.1% to 13.4%, while the 25-34 cohort declined from 18.7% to 16.2%. The 0-4 age group also decreased from 10.1% to 8.3%. Population forecasts for Casey in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to grow by 320 people (36%), increasing from 894 to 1,215. Conversely, the 35-44 and 0-4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.