Casey
Statistical Area - sa2

Casey lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Casey's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, was approximately 6,636 as of August 2025. This figure indicates a rise of 165 individuals (2.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,471. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 6,636 in June 2024 and an additional four validated new addresses post-Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,532 persons per square kilometer, positioning Casey in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Casey has exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.3%, surpassing its SA3 area's average. Natural growth contributed approximately 63.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, using 2022 as a base, are applied. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the national median statistical areas' average, with Casey expected to grow by 701 persons to reach 2041 based on current numbers, indicating a total gain of 10.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Casey, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Casey has recorded approximately 22 residential properties granted approval each year. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, with 113 homes approved over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25. No residential property approvals have been recorded so far in FY-26. On average, 2.2 new residents per year are gained for each dwelling built over the past five financial years, reflecting strong demand that supports property values.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $267,000, which is below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options. In FY-26, $340,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Casey has significantly less development activity, 65.0% below the regional average per person, which generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. This is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent development has consisted entirely of standalone homes, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

Developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (76.0% at Census), indicating persistent strong demand for family homes. Casey reflects a highly mature market with around 4412 people per dwelling approval. Future projections show Casey adding approximately 701 residents by 2041, with building activity keeping pace with growth projections despite potential heightened competition as the population grows.

Casey has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 24thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified seven projects likely affecting the region. Notable projects include Gold Creek Country Club Build-to-Rent (Gold Creek Golf Club Redevelopment), Gold Creek Events Facility and 60-room Hotel, Casey Health Centre (North Gungahlin Health Centre), and Casey Emergency Services Station. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Casey demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Casey has an educated workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.7%, lower than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) 3.4%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.4%. As of June 2025, Casey had 4,150 residents employed with an unemployment rate of 0.7% below ACT's rate. Workforce participation in Casey is high at 81.4%, compared to ACT's 69.6%.

Leading employment industries among Casey residents are public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. However, public administration & safety is under-represented in Casey with only 29.2% of the workforce compared to ACT's 30.4%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. In the year to June 2025, Casey experienced a 1.4% increase in employment levels and a 1.6% increase in labour force, leading to a slight rise in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, ACT saw employment growth of 1.9%, labour force growth of 1.6%, and a drop in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. As of Sep-25, ACT's employment contracted by 0.33% (losing 1,480 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%, but lags behind national employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Casey's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Casey shows a median taxpayer income of $75,532 and an average of $87,466 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is extremely high nationally, contrasting with Australian Capital Territory's median income of $68,678 and average income of $83,634. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.78% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $83,674 (median) and $96,895 (average) as of March 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Casey, between the 94th and 96th percentiles nationally. The data shows 38.1% of the population (2,528 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 34.3% in the same category. A significant 43.4% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting pockets of prosperity that drive robust local economic activity. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 93rd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Casey is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Casey's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 75.6% houses and 24.4% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Australian Capital Territory had 66.3% houses and 33.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Casey was at 11.8%, with mortgages at 58.4% and rentals at 29.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, exceeding the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,123. The median weekly rent was $502, higher than the Australian Capital Territory figure of $462. Nationally, Casey's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Casey features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 79.3% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.7%, with lone person households accounting for 17.9% and group households comprising 2.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Australian Capital Territory average.

Educational achievement in Casey places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Casey's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. 42.3% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 24.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.9%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.8% of residents holding them – advanced diplomas account for 12.7% and certificates for 17.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. Schools may be located outside Casey's immediate boundaries, requiring families to access them in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Casey has 18 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling four individual routes. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 704.

Residents have excellent accessibility to public transport, with an average distance of 190 meters to the nearest stop. Daily service frequency averages 100 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Casey's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Casey's health outcomes show excellent results across both young and elderly age groups, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 64% (4,233 people) have private health cover, higher than the Australian Capital Territory's 58.6% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 8.5% and 7.6% of residents respectively, with 76.8% reporting no medical ailments, slightly higher than the Australian Capital Territory's 76.4%.

Casey has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 6.2% (408 people), compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 8.3%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

Casey is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Casey has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.3% of its population born overseas and 33.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Casey, making up 42.1% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, comprising 7.1% of Casey's population versus 9.5%.

The top three ancestry groups in Casey are Australian (22.2%), English (20.1%), and Other (16.1%). Notable differences exist in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Croatian is overrepresented at 1.6% compared to the regional average of 1.3%, Indian is also overrepresented at 6.0% versus 6.4%, and Sri Lankan is slightly overrepresented at 0.7% versus 0.6%.

Casey hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Casey's median age in 2021 was 33 years, which is slightly below the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and significantly lower than the national median of 38. Compared to the ACT, Casey had a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (23.0%), but fewer residents aged 75-84 (1.4%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds was notably higher than the national average of 14.2%. Between 2021 and the present, demographic aging has occurred with the median age increasing from 32 to 33 years. During this period, the 45-54 age group grew from 11.1% to 13.4% of the population, while the 25-34 cohort declined from 18.7% to 16.2%, and the 0-4 age group decreased from 10.1% to 8.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Casey. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to grow by 325 people (37%), increasing from 889 to 1,215. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.