Moncrieff

Moncrieff lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Moncrieff's population is around 6025 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 715 people (13.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5310 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5913 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 36 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3138 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Moncrieff's 13.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (6.7%), along with the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 49.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national areas is forecast, with the area expected to increase by 2331 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 36.8% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Moncrieff when compared nationally

Moncrieff has seen approximately 21 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25107 homes were approved, with an additional one approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 16.1 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during these years.

This indicates that supply is significantly lagging behind demand, which typically results in increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $172,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, there have been $3.1 million worth of commercial approvals, indicating a limited focus on commercial development in the area compared to residential development. When measured against the Australian Capital Territory, Moncrieff records notably lower building activity, with 54.0% below the regional average per person. The new development in Moncrieff consists of 22.0% standalone homes and 78.0% medium and high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and caters to downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 55.0% houses. The location has approximately 3034 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Moncrieff is projected to add 2,219 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

Moncrieff has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 18thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects likely to affect the region. Notable projects include North Gungahlin Community Health Centre, Aunty Agnes Shea High School, Gungahlin Tennis Facility (Amaroo Tennis Centre), and Casey Emergency Services Station. The following list details those most relevant.

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Employment performance in Moncrieff has been broadly consistent with national averages

Moncrieff has a highly educated workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate in Moncrieff is 3.7%, lower than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.6%.

As of September 2025, there are 3,351 residents employed with an unemployment rate of 3.8% and workforce participation at 83.5%, higher than ACT's 72.5%. According to Census responses, 10.6% of Moncrieff residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety (28.5%), health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

The predominant residential area offers limited local employment opportunities, with the working population being lower than the resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.6% while labour force increased by 1.4%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, ACT recorded similar employment and labour force growth with a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moncrieff's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Moncrieff SA2 had an extremely high national income level according to AreaSearch aggregated ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $71,337 and the average income stood at $80,901, compared to Australian Capital Territory's figures of $72,206 and $85,981 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $77,943 (median) and $88,392 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Moncrieff, between the 92nd and 93rd percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows 39.1% of the population (2,355 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the region showing 34.3% in the same category. The substantial proportion of high earners (42.0% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout this suburb. High housing costs consume 17.2% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 92nd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Moncrieff displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Moncrieff, as per the latest Census, 55.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 44.8% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This differs from the Australian Capital Territory's ratio of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moncrieff stood at 5.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 69.9% and rented ones at 24.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent in Moncrieff was $470, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $450. Nationally, Moncrieff's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Moncrieff features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 86.2% of all households, including 55.2% couples with children, 18.7% couples without children, and 10.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.8%, with lone person households at 10.7% and group households making up 3.1%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Moncrieff demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

In Moncrieff, residents aged 15 and above have a notably high level of educational attainment. As of the latest data, 51.4% hold university qualifications, surpassing both national (30.4%) and SA3 area averages (46.3%). This is particularly notable in bachelor degrees, held by 29.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 18.4%. Additionally, vocational credentials are prominent among residents, with 25.3% holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (14.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 37.4% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (15.1%), secondary education (7.0%), and tertiary education (5.9%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Moncrieff has 13 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 20 different routes, offering a total of 1,886 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 203 meters to the nearest stop. As a residential area, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars dominate at 89%, while buses account for 6%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

Only 10.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census). Service frequency averages 269 trips daily across all routes, equating to around 145 weekly trips per stop.

Moncrieff's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Moncrieff. AreaSearch's assessment shows low mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, particularly in younger cohorts.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (3,584 people), compared to 62.4% across Australian Capital Territory. The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.5 and 6.8% of residents respectively. 80.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory. Moncrieff has 3.7% of residents aged 65 and over (225 people), lower than the 14.3% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Moncrieff is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Moncrieff has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.3% of its population born overseas and 50.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Moncrieff, comprising 33.4% of people. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 14.9% of the population compared to the Australian Capital Territory average of 4.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are Other at 23.9%, Australian at 18.2%, and English at 14.7%. The regional averages for these groups are 12.2%, 23.3% respectively. Indian ethnicity is notably overrepresented in Moncrieff at 12.5% compared to the regional average of 3.3%. Korean ethnicity is also overrepresented at 1.5% versus the regional average of 0.6%. Croatian ethnicity shows a notable divergence, with 1.0% in Moncrieff compared to the regional average of 0.9%.

Moncrieff hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Moncrieff's median age is 31, which is younger than the Australian Capital Territory's figure of 35 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Australian Capital Territory, Moncrieff has a higher concentration of 35-44 residents at 24.0%, but fewer 55-64 year-olds at 4.8%. This 35-44 concentration is well above the national figure of 14.3%. Between 2021 and present, the median age has increased by 1.1 years from 30 to 31, reflecting an aging population. Key changes show the 45 to 54 age group grew from 8.8% to 11.4%, while the 55 to 64 cohort increased from 3.6% to 4.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 21.6% to 16.5% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 11.7% to 10.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Moncrieff, with the 45 to 54 cohort showing the strongest projected growth at 72%, adding 494 residents to reach 1,183. In contrast, the 85+ cohort shows minimal growth of just 0% (0 people).