Bayview (NT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bayview reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Bayview (NT) is around 1,683. This reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 1,702 people, representing a drop of 19 individuals or approximately 1.1%. The current resident population estimate was derived by AreaSearch following analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,275 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver for population growth in the area was overseas migration, contributing approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch applies age cohort-specific growth rates provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Bayview (NT) is expected to experience a population increase just below the median for national statistical areas. By 2041, the area's population is projected to expand by 188 persons, reflecting an overall increase of approximately 11.3% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Bayview is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Bayview has had no new homes approved over the period from 2016 to present. This indicates that Bayview is a mature suburb with limited land available for new construction. As such, buyers may face competition primarily among existing homes due to the scarcity of new housing stock, which typically supports property values.

Compared to Greater Darwin, Bayview has recorded markedly lower building activity during this period. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties in Bayview. Nationally, the level of new construction is also higher than that seen in Bayview, reflecting its mature market and possible development constraints.

Bayview has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 26thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to impact the area. Key projects are Royal Darwin Hospital Expansion, Darwin Residential Development - Berrimah, Darwin Inner Suburbs Area Plan, and Darwin City Stadium. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Bayview places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Bayview has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 0.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.2%. As of September 2025, 1,193 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.2% lower than Greater Darwin's 3.1%.

Workforce participation in Bayview was 85.7%, higher than Greater Darwin's 76.0%. According to Census responses, 5.9% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area shows strong specialization in professional & technical services with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance employs only 11.3% of local workers, below Greater Darwin's 14.2%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.2%, labour force by 1.2%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Darwin experienced employment growth of 1.9% and labour force growth of 1.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years for national employment. Applying these projections to Bayview's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that Bayview suburb has top percentile national incomes. The median assessed income is $84,679 with an average of $104,535. This contrasts with Greater Darwin's median income of $66,956 and average of $77,199. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $91,826 (median) and $113,358 (average). The 2021 Census data shows Bayview's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 97th and 98th percentiles. The predominant income cohort in Bayview is 36.1% of locals (607 people) earning over $4,000 per week, contrasting with the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 36.7%. Bayview demonstrates affluence with 56.6% earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting premium retail and services. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income. Strong earnings rank residents within the 98th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Bayview features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bayview's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 38.5% houses and 61.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Darwin metro's figures of 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bayview stood at 22.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.5% and rented ones at 47.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,700, while the median weekly rent was $560. Nationally, Bayview's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bayview features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.6% of all households, including 34.5% couples with children, 30.2% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.4%, with lone person households at 16.0% and group households comprising 8.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

Bayview demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Bayview's educational attainment exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 40.9% hold university qualifications compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory (NT) and 30.4% nationally. This high level positions Bayview favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 28.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.0% and graduate diplomas at 4.2%.

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 20.2%. Educational participation is notably high in Bayview, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 7.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bayview has five active public transport stops, all offering bus services. These stops are served by twelve different routes, collectively facilitating 910 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically situated 220 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 93%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 5.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 130 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 182 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bayview's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bayview's health outcomes show excellent results, according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of Bayview's total population (1,142 people), compared to 57.8% in Greater Darwin and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.1% and 5.0% of residents respectively. 80.1% of Bayview's residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.1% in Greater Darwin. Bayview has 7.3% of residents aged 65 and over (122 people), lower than the 10.8% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bayview was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayview's population is more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 27.3% born overseas and 25.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bayview, making up 47.0% of its population. Buddhism, however, is overrepresented compared to Greater Darwin, comprising 2.7% vs 3.3%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (24.1%), Australian (19.5%), and Other (10.5%). Notably, Greek (6.5%) South African (0.8%) and Vietnamese (1.4%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Bayview compared to regional averages of 2.3%, 0.3% and 0.8% respectively.

Bayview hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Bayview's median age at 33 years is comparable to Greater Darwin's average of 34 and is substantially lower than Australia's median age of 38. Relative to Greater Darwin, Bayview has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (14.6%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4%). Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35-44 age group grew from 14.7% to 16.5%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 1.2% to 2.5%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 16.6% to 14.2%, and the 5-14 age group dropped from 12.1% to 10.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Bayview's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to grow steadily, increasing by 58 people (24%) from 238 to 297. Conversely, numbers in the 5-14 age range are expected to decrease.