Bayview (NT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bayview reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Bayview's population is estimated at around 1,719 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 17 people (1.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,702 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,691, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,302 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is applying growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected, with the suburb of Bayview expected to grow by 187 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 9.0% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Bayview is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Development activity data is being compiled for this area.

Relative to Greater Darwin, Bayview records markedly lower building activity. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This activity is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations.

Bayview has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 9thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified three projects likely impacting the area. Key projects are Royal Darwin Hospital Expansion, Darwin Residential Development - Berrimah, Darwin Inner Suburbs Area Plan, and Elysium Green. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Bayview performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Bayview has an educated workforce with key services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 0.8%, lower than Greater Darwin's 3.0%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%. As of June 2025, 1,218 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.2% below Greater Darwin's rate. Workforce participation is high at 81.7%, compared to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Professional & technical employment is notably high, at 1.4 times the regional average. However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, with only 11.3% of Bayview's workforce compared to Greater Darwin's 14.2%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.6%, labour force by 2.5%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Darwin experienced employment growth of 2.9% and marginal unemployment reduction. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest Bayview's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Bayview's employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Bayview had a median income among taxpayers of $84,679 and an average income of $104,535. These figures place Bayview in the top percentile nationally, compared to $65,522 and $75,260 across Greater Darwin respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year 2022, current estimates for median income are approximately $94,849 and average income is $117,090 as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Bayview rank highly nationally, between the 97th and 98th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 36.1% of residents (620 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, unlike the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 36.7%. Higher earners make up a substantial presence in Bayview, with 56.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income, and residents rank highly for disposable income, placing them in the 98th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Bayview features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bayview's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 38.5% houses and 61.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Darwin metro had 23.6% houses and 76.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bayview was at 22.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.5% and rented ones at 47.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Bayview was $2,700, exceeding Darwin metro's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Bayview was $560, higher than Darwin metro's $420. Nationally, Bayview's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,700 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bayview features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.6% of all households, including 34.5% couples with children, 30.2% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.4%, with lone person households at 16.0% and group households comprising 8.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.3.

Bayview demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Bayview's educational attainment is notably high: 40.9% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory (NT) and 30.4% nationally. The area has a significant educational advantage with bachelor degrees being most common at 28.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (4.2%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (20.2%). Educational participation is high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.4% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 7.8% in tertiary education.

However, educational facilities seem to be located outside Bayview's immediate boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bayview has five operational public transport stops. These stops offer a mix of bus services, with twelve different routes in total. Each week, these routes facilitate 910 passenger trips combined.

The accessibility of transport in Bayview is rated as good, with residents generally located approximately 220 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 130 trips per day across all routes, which translates to about 182 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bayview's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bayview has excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (1,167 people), compared to 61.3% across Greater Darwin and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.1 and 5.0% of residents respectively.

A significant majority, 80.1%, report being completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the 79.9% across Greater Darwin. Bayview has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 7.4% (127 people), compared to 11.0% in Greater Darwin. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong and broadly align with the general population's health profile.

Bayview was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayview's population showed high cultural diversity, with 27.3% born overseas and 25.1% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 47.0%. Buddhism was overrepresented compared to Greater Darwin, making up 2.7% of Bayview's population versus 4.1%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (24.1%), Australian (19.5%), and Other (10.5%). Notably, Greeks were overrepresented at 6.5%, South Africans at 0.8%, and Vietnamese at 1.4%.

Bayview hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Bayview's median age in 2021 was 33 years, comparable to Greater Darwin's average of 34 years but substantially lower than Australia's median of 38 years. Relative to Greater Darwin, Bayview had a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (14.4%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4%). Post-2021 Census data showed the 35-44 age group grew from 14.7% to 16.5%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 1.2% to 2.6%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 16.6% to 14.2%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 12.1% to 10.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Bayview's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to grow steadily, increasing by 51 people (21%) from 244 to 296. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 35-44 and 0-4 cohorts.