Bayview (NT)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bayview reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Bayview (NT) statistical area (Lv2) population estimate as of Nov 2025 is around 1,683, a decrease of 19 people from the 2021 Census figure of 1,702. This change reflects AreaSearch's analysis of latest ERP data release by ABS in Jun 2024 and address validation since the Census date. Population density stands at 1,275 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, growth rates by age cohort are applied from ABS's Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the median statistical area level nationally, with Bayview (NT) (SA2) expected to grow by 187 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 11.3% over 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Bayview is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Bayview has seen no residential development approvals in the past five years. This indicates a mature, established suburb where available land for new construction is limited. For buyers, this scarcity of new housing stock typically supports property values and means competition may primarily be among existing homes.

Compared to Greater Darwin, Bayview shows substantially reduced construction activity. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, development levels are higher, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints in Bayview.

Bayview has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 30thth percentile nationally

Three projects may significantly affect the area's performance: Royal Darwin Hospital Expansion, Darwin Residential Development - Berrimah, Darwin Inner Suburbs Area Plan, and Darwin City Stadium.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Bayview places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Bayview has a highly educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 0.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3%.

As of September 2025, 1,197 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.2% below Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%, and workforce participation was at 81.7%, compared to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training sectors. Notably, professional & technical employment levels are at 1.4 times the regional average. However, health care & social assistance employs only 11.3% of local workers, below Greater Darwin's 14.2%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.3%, and labour force increased by 1.3%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Darwin saw employment grow by 1.9% and labour force expand by 1.9%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NT employment contracted by 1.13% (losing 4,100 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.4%, broadly inline with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bayview's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Bayview suburb's income level is among the top percentile nationally, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Bayview's median income among taxpayers is $84,679 and average income stands at $104,535, compared to Greater Darwin's $66,956 and $77,199 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $91,826 (median) and $113,358 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes all rank highly in Bayview, between the 97th and 98th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that the $4000+ bracket dominates with 36.1% of residents (607 people), contrasting with metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 36.7%. Economic strength is evident through 56.6% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 98th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Bayview features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bayview's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 38.5% houses and 61.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Darwin metro had 23.6% houses and 76.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bayview was at 22.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.5% and rented ones at 47.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,700, higher than Darwin metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Bayview was recorded at $560, compared to Darwin metro's $420. Nationally, Bayview's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bayview features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.6% of all households, including 34.5% couples with children, 30.2% couples without children, and 9.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.4%, with lone person households at 16.0% and group households comprising 8.8%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.3 people.

Bayview demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Bayview's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15+, 40.9% hold university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory (NT) and 30.4% nationwide in Australia. This indicates a significant educational advantage for Bayview residents, positioning them well for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 28.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.0% and graduate diplomas at 4.2%.

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 20.2%. Educational participation is high in Bayview, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 7.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bayview has five active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by twelve different routes that collectively facilitate 910 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents typically located approximately 220 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, service frequency across all routes amounts to 130 trips per day, equating to about 182 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bayview's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bayview demonstrates excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 68% (1,142 people) have private health cover, compared to 61.2% in Greater Darwin and a national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma at 5.1%, and mental health issues at 5.0%.

A total of 80.1% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.9% in Greater Darwin. Bayview has 7.4% (124 people) aged 65 and over, lower than the 11.0% in Greater Darwin. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bayview was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bayview's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 27.3% born overseas and 25.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bayview, comprising 47.0% of its population. Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Darwin, at 2.7% vs 4.1%.

The top three ancestry groups in Bayview are English (24.1%), Australian (19.5%), and Other (10.5%). Notably, Greek (6.5%) and South African (0.8%) populations are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.0% and 0.4%, respectively. Vietnamese population is also slightly higher at 1.4%.

Bayview hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Bayview's median age is 33 years, comparable to Greater Darwin's average of 34 and significantly lower than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Bayview has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (14.4%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4%). Post-2021 Census data shows the age group 35-44 grew from 14.7% to 16.5%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 1.2% to 2.6%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group declined from 16.6% to 14.2% and the 5-14 age group dropped from 12.1% to 10.7%. By 2041, Bayview's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 45-54 age cohort is expected to grow steadily, increasing by 57 people (24%) from 238 to 296. Conversely, the number of residents aged 0-4 is anticipated to fall.