Fannie Bay

Population growth drivers in Fannie Bay are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the population of Fannie Bay is estimated at around 3,154 people. This figure reflects an increase of 279 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,875 people in the suburb. AreaSearch validated this estimate following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 49 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,487 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Fannie Bay's population growth of 9.7% since the 2021 census exceeds both the SA3 area (8.7%) and the national average, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver behind this growth.

For future projections, AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimates, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, using the latest Greater Capital Region projections from the ABS (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). According to these projections, an above median population growth is expected for Fannie Bay, with the suburb projected to grow by 478 persons to 2041. This reflects a total increase of 13.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Fannie Bay according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Fannie Bay averaged around 4 new dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), totalling an estimated 22 homes. So far in FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.5 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly exceeds new supply. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $1,554,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $48,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Relative to Greater Darwin, Fannie Bay has 82.0% more building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice, although construction activity has eased recently. This is below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New development consists of 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving Fannie Bay's suburban character with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (35.0% at Census), reflecting strong demand for family homes amid densification trends.

With around 1024 people per dwelling approval, Fannie Bay reflects a highly mature market. Population forecasts indicate Fannie Bay will gain 412 residents by 2041 (latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Fannie Bay has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 16thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four major projects expected to impact the region: Elysium Green, The North One Hotel And Apartments, Darwin Mid Suburbs Area Plan (2015), and Darwin Inner Suburbs Area Plan (2016). Relevant details are provided below.

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Employment conditions in Fannie Bay rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Fannie Bay has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.0% as of June 2025.

Over the past year, employment growth was estimated at 3.0%. This rate is below Greater Darwin's 3.0%, while workforce participation is similar at 69.7%. Key employment sectors include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

However, construction employs only 6.1% of local workers, lower than Greater Darwin's 9.2%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. In the past year, employment increased by 3.0%, with a labour force growth of 2.9%, leading to a slight decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Darwin saw similar employment and labour force growth but a marginal unemployment fall. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Fannie Bay's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, although these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Fannie Bay's median income among taxpayers was $73,023 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $90,147 during the same period. This compares to figures for Greater Darwin of $65,522 and $75,260 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $81,793 (median) and $100,974 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, individual earnings in Fannie Bay stood out at the 95th percentile nationally ($1,322 weekly). Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominated with 31.7% of residents (999 people). Higher earners represented a substantial presence with 35.4% exceeding $3,000 weekly. Housing accounted for 14.4% of income while strong earnings ranked residents within the 80th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Fannie Bay displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Fannie Bay's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 35.2% houses and 64.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Darwin metro's 23.6% houses and 76.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fannie Bay was at 24.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 23.4% and rented ones at 51.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, higher than Darwin metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Fannie Bay was $390, compared to Darwin metro's $420. Nationally, Fannie Bay's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were above the national figure of $375.

Fannie Bay features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 63.3% of all households, including 24.5% couples with children, 29.2% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 36.7%, with lone person households at 30.7% and group households comprising 6.2%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Darwin average.

Educational attainment in Fannie Bay aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Fannie Bay is notably higher than broader benchmarks. 47.1% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory (NT) and 30.4% nationally. The most common university qualification is a Bachelor degree, held by 28.7% of residents. Postgraduate qualifications are held by 13.3%, and graduate diplomas by 5.1%.

Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 27.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications. This includes advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (16.9%). Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.6% in primary education, 7.7% in secondary education, and 7.0% pursuing tertiary education. SEDA College NT provides local educational services within Fannie Bay, with an enrollment of 148 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 967), offering balanced educational opportunities. Secondary education is dominant, with one secondary school in the area. Primary students typically attend schools in adjacent catchments due to limited local school capacity (4.7 places per 100 residents compared to 15.1 regionally).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 14 active stops operating within Fannie Bay, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 34 individual routes, offering a total of 2,297 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 151 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 328 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 164 weekly trips per stop.

Fannie Bay's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Fannie Bay's health outcomes data shows excellent results across both young and elderly age groups, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 62% of Fannie Bay's total population (1,964 people) has private health cover, which is higher than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.3 and 6.1% of residents respectively. A total of 75.6% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.9% across Greater Darwin. Fannie Bay has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.6% (649 people), compared to Greater Darwin's 11.0%. Health outcomes among seniors in Fannie Bay are strong and largely align with the general population's health profile.

Fannie Bay was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fannie Bay's population showed high cultural diversity, with 30.0% born overseas and 21.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, accounting for 37.2%. Judaism, at 0.3%, was overrepresented compared to Greater Darwin's 0.1%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (26.9%), Australian (18.9%), and Other (11.3%). Certain ethnic groups had notable differences: Sri Lankan (0.5% vs regional 0.7%), Greek (2.2% vs 2.0%), and Irish (9.8% vs 8.1%) were relatively more prevalent in Fannie Bay.

Fannie Bay's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Fannie Bay's median age is 39 years, higher than Greater Darwin's average of 34 and close to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Fannie Bay has a higher percentage of residents aged 75-84 (7.7%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (13.1%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the age group 5 to 14 grew from 9.2% to 10.5%, while the groups 45 to 54 declined from 12.1% to 10.3% and 0 to 4 dropped from 5.8% to 4.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Fannie Bay's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 64%, adding 156 residents to reach 399. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 59% of population growth. The 0 to 4 group shows no projected growth, adding 0 residents.