Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie

An assessment of population growth drivers in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's population is around 2,836 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a decrease of 22 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,858 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 2,836 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 417 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 52.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, growth rates by age cohort are applied to estimate post-2032 population growth, based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. Population projections indicate a growth of 295 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 10.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie has seen approximately one dwelling receive development approval annually. Between FY21-FY25, seven homes were approved, with none yet in FY26. Despite population decline, the area's development activity has been adequate relative to its size.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $902,000, indicating a focus on premium segment dwellings. In FY26, commercial development approvals totalled $18.5 million, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Darwin, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie records about 59% of the building activity per person and ranks in the 8th percentile nationally for assessed areas, offering limited housing choices. Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature.

Developers are constructing more traditional houses than current figures suggest, indicating strong demand for family homes. By 2041, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie is projected to add 295 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 5thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Darwin Desalination Plant, Royal Darwin Hospital Expansion, Darwin Residential Development - Berrimah, and Darwin City Stadium. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.0% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.5%.

In September 2025, 2,035 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.2% lower than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%. Workforce participation was higher at 85.8%, compared to Greater Darwin's 76.0%. According to Census responses, only 5.6% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Dominant employment sectors include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food services.

The area has a notable concentration in professional & technical jobs, with levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, public administration & safety shows lower representation at 18.4% versus the regional average of 19.5%. There were 2.3 workers for every resident as at the Census, indicating the area functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.5%, and labour force increased by 1.5%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In comparison, Greater Darwin recorded employment growth of 1.9% and labour force growth of 1.9%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $81,811 and an average of $99,536 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This places it among the top percentile nationally, contrasting with Greater Darwin's median income of $66,956 and average income of $77,199. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $88,716 (median) and $107,937 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie, between the 95th and 97th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.7% of residents (984 people), aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 36.7%. Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie demonstrates considerable affluence with 46.4% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 95th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie, as per the latest Census evaluation, 34.3% of dwellings were houses while 65.7% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Darwin metro's figures of 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie stood at 18.4%, aligning with the Darwin metro figure, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.1% and rented ones at 53.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,248, higher than Darwin metro's average of $2,100. The median weekly rent was recorded at $490, compared to Darwin metro's $385. Nationally, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.5% of all households, including 29.7% couples with children, 29.5% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.5%, with lone person households at 22.5% and group households comprising 8.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's educational attainment exceeds regional averages. Among residents aged 15+, 41.9% have university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory (NT) and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 33.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (21.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 31.6% currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (9.4%), secondary (7.9%), and tertiary (7.9%) levels.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has 35 active public transport stops. These are served by 71 different bus routes, offering a total of 5,592 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 251 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. In this residential area, cars remain the primary mode of transport at 91%, while cycling accounts for 2%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, only 5.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 798 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 159 weekly trips per individual stop.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 70% of the total population (1,996 people) has private health cover, compared to 57.8% in Greater Darwin and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.2 and 5.0% of residents respectively. 81.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.1% in Greater Darwin. The area has 8.0% of residents aged 65 and over (226 people), lower than the 10.8% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie, surveyed between 2016-2021, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas with 33.2% of its population born overseas and 28.6% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 45.5%. Buddhism, however, was more prevalent in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie at 3.8%, compared to 3.3% across Greater Darwin.

The top three ancestral groups were English (21.7%), Australian (19.2%), and Other (12.6%). Notably, Greek (4.6%) was overrepresented in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie compared to the regional average of 2.3%. Similarly, Sri Lankan representation was higher at 0.6% versus 0.3%, and Filipino was lower at 2.2% compared to the regional average of 3.8%.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's population is younger than the national pattern

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's median age in 2021 was 34 years, matching Greater Darwin's average but lower than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie had a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (21.8%) and fewer residents aged 5-14 (10.2%). The national percentage for the 25-34 age group was 14.4%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 35 to 44 increased from 16.1% to 17.9%, while those aged 75 to 84 rose from 1.5% to 2.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group declined from 16.0% to 13.8%, and the 5 to 14 cohort dropped from 11.6% to 10.2%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's age profile. The 45 to 54 age group is expected to grow by 93 people (24%), from 390 to 484. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 cohort is projected to remain unchanged with a growth of 0% (0 people).