Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie

An assessment of population growth drivers in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's population is 3,021 as of May 2026. This reflects a 5.7% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 2,858 people. The population grew by 163 people between these periods. Overseas migration contributed approximately 63.9% of this growth. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, AreaSearch applies age cohort growth rates provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). The area is projected to grow by 9.9% by 2041, adding 298 persons to reach a population of 3,319.

The level of residential development activity in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie has seen approximately one dwelling approved for development annually. Between financial years 2021 to 2025, seven homes were approved, with one more in the current financial year of 2026. Despite population decline, this level of development activity is considered adequate relative to other areas.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $902,000, indicating a focus on premium segments and upmarket properties. In commercial development, $18.5 million in approvals have been recorded in the current financial year, suggesting balanced activity. Compared to Greater Darwin, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie records about 61% of building activity per capita, placing it among the 8th percentile nationally for property choices. Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

Notably, developers are constructing more traditional houses than the current mix suggests, indicating strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. Future projections estimate Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie to add 298 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 5thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Darwin Desalination Plant, Royal Darwin Hospital Expansion, Darwin Residential Development - Berrimah, and Darwin City Stadium. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.0% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.0% over the past year. This is lower than Greater Darwin's unemployment rate of 3.1%.

Workforce participation in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie stood at 79.3%, higher than Greater Darwin's 72.5%. According to Census responses, only 5.6% of residents worked from home as of December 2025. The dominant employment sectors are public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food. Professional & technical services show notable concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

However, public administration & safety has lower representation at 18.4% compared to the regional average of 19.5%. There are 2.3 workers for every resident in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie, indicating it functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.0% while labour force grew by 1.1%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In comparison, Greater Darwin recorded employment growth of 1.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $81,811 and an average of $99,536 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This places it in the top percentile nationally, contrasting with Greater Darwin's median income of $66,956 and average income of $77,199. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.41% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $89,509 (median) and $108,902 (average) as of March 2026. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie, between the 95th and 97th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.7% of residents (1,048 people), aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 36.7%. Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie demonstrates considerable affluence with 46.4% earning over $3,000 per week. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 95th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie, as per the latest Census, 34.3% of dwellings were houses while 65.7% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Darwin's metropolitan area which had 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie stood at 18.4%, similar to Darwin metro, with mortgaged properties at 28.1% and rented ones at 53.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,248, higher than Darwin's average of $2,100. The median weekly rent figure was $490 compared to Darwin metro's $385. Nationally, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,248 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 68.5% of all households, including 29.7% couples with children, 29.5% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.5%, with lone person households at 22.5% and group households comprising 8.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's residents aged 15+ have a higher university qualification rate of 41.9% compared to the Northern Territory's 27.3% and Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 27.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 33.0% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (21.7%). Educational participation is high, with 31.6% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.4% in primary, 7.9% in secondary, and 7.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 7.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie shows that there are 35 active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a mix of bus services. A total of 71 individual routes service these stops, collectively providing 5,592 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to transport is rated as good, with residents typically located an average of 251 meters from the nearest transport stop. As this area is primarily residential, most residents commute outward for work or other purposes. The dominant mode of transportation remains the car at 91%, while only 2% of residents use bicycles for commuting.

On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in the area. According to the 2021 Census data, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions, a relatively low 5.6% of residents work from home. The service frequency averages 798 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 159 weekly trips per individual stop.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's assessment shows excellent health outcomes across Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie. Very low prevalence of common health conditions was found across all age groups. Approximately 70% of the total population (2,126 people) had private health cover, compared to 57.8% in Greater Darwin and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions were asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.2 and 5.0% of residents respectively. 81.1% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.1% in Greater Darwin. As of the assessment, 8.4% of residents were aged 65 and over (252 people), lower than the 11.0% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors in the area are strong, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie, surveyed from June 2016 to May 2021, had a more diverse population than most local markets, with 33.2% born overseas and 28.6% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 45.5%. Buddhism's representation was higher at 3.8%, compared to Greater Darwin's 3.3%.

Top ancestry groups were English (21.7%), Australian (19.2%), and Other (12.6%). Notably, Greek (4.6% vs regional 2.3%), Sri Lankan (0.6% vs 0.3%), and Filipino (2.2% vs 3.8%) groups showed significant differences in representation compared to the region.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's population is younger than the national pattern

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's median age in 2021 was 34 years, matching Greater Darwin's average but lower than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie had a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (22.3%) and fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.3%). This 25-34 concentration was above the national average of 14.6%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group increased from 16.1% to 18.7%, while the 15 to 24 cohort rose from 11.1% to 12.5%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 11.6% to 9.3% and the 45 to 54 group decreased from 16.0% to 14.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's age profile. The 45 to 54 age cohort is expected to grow steadily, increasing by 101 people (23%) from 433 to 535. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort is projected to decline by 0 people.