Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie

An assessment of population growth drivers in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's population is around 2,887 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 29 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,858 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 2,840 in June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 425 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 52.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Population projections expect an increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation, with the area expected to grow by 295 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 8.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie has seen approximately one dwelling receive development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, seven homes were approved, with none yet in FY26. Despite population decline, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas.

New properties are constructed at an average cost of $902,000, indicating a focus on premium dwellings. This financial year, $18.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Compared to Greater Darwin, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie records around 59% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 8th percentile nationally for housing choices. Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low-density nature.

Developers are constructing more traditional houses than current demographics suggest, indicating strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. By 2041, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie is projected to add 244 residents. If development rates continue as they are, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 0thth percentile nationally

Eleven projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the area's performance significantly. Key projects include the Darwin Desalination Plant, Royal Darwin Hospital Expansion, Darwin Residential Development at Berrimah, and Stuart Highway Road Safety Improvements in Stuart Park. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.0% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Darwin's 3.1%.

The area experienced 1.5% employment growth in the past year. As of September 2025, 2,035 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 80.2%, higher than Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Dominant employment sectors include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food. Professional & technical services have notably high concentration at 1.4 times the regional average.

Conversely, public administration & safety shows lower representation at 18.4% compared to the regional average of 19.5%. The area functions as an employment hub with 2.3 workers per resident, attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.5% while unemployment remained essentially unchanged at 2.2%, lower than Greater Darwin's 2.9%. State-level data to November 25 shows NT employment contracted by 1.13%, with state unemployment rate at 4.4%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts suggest a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local growth patterns may differ based on industry-specific projections applied to Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The median taxpayer income in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie SA2 was $80,260 and the average was $99,080 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This places it among the top percentile nationally, contrasting with Greater Darwin's median income of $65,522 and average income of $75,260. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% from financial year 2022 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $89,899 for the median and $110,980 for the average. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie, between the 95th and 97th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 34.7% of residents (1,001 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket, aligning with regional levels where this cohort also represents 36.7%. Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie demonstrates considerable affluence with 46.4% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 95th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 34.3% houses and 65.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Darwin metro's 23.6% houses and 76.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie stood at 18.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.1% and rented ones at 53.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,248, higher than Darwin metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in the area was $490, compared to Darwin metro's $420. Nationally, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,248 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.5% of all households, including 29.7% couples with children, 29.5% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.5%, with lone person households at 22.5% and group households comprising 8.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.3.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 41.9% have university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory and 30.4% nationally. University graduates make up 27.7%, followed by postgraduates at 10.2% and graduate diplomas at 4.0%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 33.0% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.3% and certificates at 21.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.6% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary, 7.9% in secondary, and 7.9% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has 35 active public transport stops. These stops are served by a mix of bus routes totalling 68. The combined weekly passenger trips across all routes amount to 5,583.

Residential accessibility to these stops is rated good, with an average distance of 251 meters to the nearest stop. Daily service frequency averages 797 trips across all routes, translating to approximately 159 weekly trips per individual stop.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows exceptional results across Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover rate is approximately 71% (2,049 people), compared to 61.3% in Greater Darwin and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.2%) and mental health issues (5.0%).

81.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.9% in Greater Darwin. The area has 7.7% (222 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than the 11.0% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's health profile.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie, surveyed from July 2016 to June 2021, had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets. It had 33.2% of its population born overseas and 28.6% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie, accounting for 45.5%.

Buddhism showed an overrepresentation with 3.8%, compared to Greater Darwin's 4.1%. The top three ancestry groups were English (21.7%), Australian (19.2%), and Other (12.6%). Notably, Greek ethnicity was higher at 4.6% than the regional average of 2.0%. Sri Lankan ethnicity stood at 0.6%, slightly below Greater Darwin's 0.7%. Filipino ethnicity was present at 2.2%, lower than Greater Darwin's 2.9%.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's population is younger than the national pattern

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's median age in 2021 was 34 years, matching Greater Darwin's average but lower than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie had a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (22.4%) and fewer aged 5-14 (10.1%). This 25-34 concentration was above the national average of 14.5%. From 2021 to present, the population aged 35-44 grew from 16.1% to 17.8%, while the 45-54 cohort declined from 16.0% to 13.8% and the 5-14 group dropped from 11.6% to 10.1%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's age profile. The 45-54 cohort is expected to grow by 86 people (22%), from 397 to 484. Conversely, the 5-14 and 0-4 cohorts are projected to decrease in population.