Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie

An assessment of population growth drivers in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's population is around 2,836 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a decrease of 22 people (0.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,858 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 2,836 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 417 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 52.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is applying growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking at population projections moving forward, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected, with the area expected to grow by 295 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 10.4% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has experienced around 1 dwellings receiving development approval each year, with 7 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 0 so far in FY-26. As the area has experienced population decline, development activity has been adequate in relative terms, a positive for buyers, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $902,000, demonstrating a developer focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Additionally, $18.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Compared to Greater Darwin, Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie records about 59% of the building activity per person while it places among the 8th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning more limited choices for buyers, supporting demand for existing dwellings. This activity is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. Meanwhile, recent building activity consists entirely of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (34.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes.

Future projections show Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie adding 295 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 5thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 12 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Darwin Desalination Plant, Royal Darwin Hospital Expansion, Darwin Residential Development - Berrimah, and Darwin City Stadium, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie possesses a highly educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 1.0%, and 1.0% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 2,038 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.1% below Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (85.9% compared to Greater Darwin's 76.1%). Based on Census responses, a low 5.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Conversely, public administration & safety shows lower representation at 18.4% versus the regional average of 19.5%. With 2.3 workers for every resident, as at the Census, the area functions as an employment hub, hosting more jobs than residents and attracting workers from surrounding areas.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 1.0% and the labour force increased by 1.1%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. By comparison, Greater Darwin recorded employment growth of 1.3%, labour force growth of 1.2%, and unemployment falling marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $81,811 and an average of $99,536 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is among the top percentile nationally, contrasting with Greater Darwin's median income of $66,956 and average income of $77,199. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $88,716 (median) and $107,937 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie, between the 95th and 97th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.7% of residents (984 people), aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 36.7%. Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie demonstrates considerable affluence with 46.4% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 95th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 34.3% houses and 65.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Darwin metro's 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie was in line with that of Darwin metro, at 18.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (28.1%) or rented (53.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Darwin metro average at $2,248, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $490, compared to Darwin metro's $2,100 and $385. Nationally, Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 68.5% of all households, comprising 29.7% couples with children, 29.5% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.5%, with lone person households at 22.5% and group households comprising 8.5% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 27.3% in NT and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 27.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 33.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (21.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 7.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 35 active transport stops operating within Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 71 individual routes, collectively providing 5,592 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 251 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 91%, with 2% cycling. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling. A relatively low 5.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 798 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 159 weekly trips per individual stop.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 70% of the total population (1,996 people). This compares to 57.8% across Greater Darwin and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 5.2% and 5.0% of residents, respectively, while 81.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 77.1% across Greater Darwin. The area has 8.0% of residents aged 65 and over (226 people), which is lower than the 10.8% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie is more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 33.2% of its population born overseas and 28.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie is Christianity, which makes up 45.5% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Buddhism, which comprises 3.8% of the population, compared to 3.3% across Greater Darwin.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie are English, comprising 21.7% of the population, Australian, comprising 19.2% of the population, and Other, comprising 12.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Greek is notably overrepresented at 4.6% of Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie (vs 2.3% regionally), Sri Lankan at 0.6% (vs 0.3%) and Filipino at 2.2% (vs 3.8%).

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's population is younger than the national pattern

At 34 years, Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's median age is the same as the Greater Darwin average of 34 but is significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Darwin, Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has a higher concentration of 25 - 34 residents (21.8%) but fewer 5 - 14 year-olds (10.2%). This 25 - 34 concentration is well above the national 14.4%. In the period since 2021, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 16.1% to 17.9% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 1.5% to 2.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 16.0% to 13.8% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 11.6% to 10.2%. Demographic modeling suggests Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to grow steadily, expanding by 93 people (24%) from 390 to 484. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 cohort grows by a modest 0% (0 people).