Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie area's population is approximately 2,890 as of August 2025. This represents an increase of 32 people (1.1%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,858. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 2,843 in June 2024 and the addition of 14 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 425 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.4% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimation, AreaSearch applies age cohort-based growth rates from the ABS's Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population projections indicate a growth of 295 persons to 2041, reflecting an 8.3% increase over 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie has received approximately two dwelling approvals annually. Since FY-20 to FY-25, 12 dwellings have been approved, with none recorded so far in FY-26. Despite population decline, development activity has remained adequate relative to demand. Average construction cost of new dwellings is $1,256,000, indicating focus on premium market developments.

Commercial approvals totalled $18.5 million this financial year. Compared to Greater Darwin, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie records 57% of building activity per person and ranks in the 9th percentile nationally for development choices. Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, preserving low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. Developers are building more traditional houses than current mix suggests, indicating strong demand for family homes.

With around zero people per dwelling approval, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie shows characteristics of a low density area. Future projections estimate an increase of 241 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 13thth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects potentially impacting this region. Key projects are Darwin Desalination Plant, Royal Darwin Hospital Expansion, Darwin Residential Development - Berrimah, and Stuart Highway Road Safety Improvements - Stuart Park. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 0.9% as of June 2025 and employment grew by an estimated 3.0% over the past year.

In this period, 2,073 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.1% lower than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.0%. Workforce participation was higher at 80.2%, compared to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and accommodation & food sectors. The area has a particular employment specialization in professional & technical services with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

However, public administration & safety was under-represented at 18.4%, compared to Greater Darwin's 19.5%. There were 2.3 workers for every resident as at the Census, indicating the area functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.0% and labour force increased by 2.9%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In comparison, Greater Darwin saw employment grow by 2.9%, labour force expand by 2.9%, and a marginal decrease in unemployment. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NT employment grew by 1.0% year-on-year, adding 1,710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%, with the state's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.26%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has top percentile incomes nationally. The median income was $80,260 and the average was $99,080. In contrast, Greater Darwin had a median income of $65,522 and an average of $75,260. As of March 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $88,639 (median) and $109,424 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.44%. Census 2021 data ranks Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's household, family, and personal incomes between the 96th and 97th percentiles nationally. The largest income segment consists of 34.7% earning $1,500-$2,999 weekly (1,002 residents), similar to regional levels at 36.7%. The area's affluence is evident with 46.4% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and services. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income, with residents ranking in the 95th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's dwelling structure at the latest Census comprised 34.3% houses and 65.7% other dwellings. This compares to Darwin metropolitan area's 23.6% houses and 76.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie was 18.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.1% and rented ones at 53.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,248, exceeding Darwin metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent was recorded at $490, higher than Darwin metro's $420. Nationally, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than Australia's average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.5% of all households, including 29.7% couples with children, 29.5% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.5%, with lone person households at 22.5% and group households comprising 8.5%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Darwin average of 2.3.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie has a higher educational attainment than broader averages. 41.9% of its residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 33.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (21.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.4% in primary, 7.9% in secondary, and 7.9% in tertiary education. Educational facilities seem to be located outside the immediate area, requiring families to access schools in neighboring regions.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates that Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie has 35 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by a total of 68 different routes, facilitating 5,583 weekly passenger trips collectively. The accessibility to public transport is considered good, with residents located an average of 251 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 797 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 159 weekly trips per individual stop.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 71% of the total population (2,051 people), compared to 61.3% across Greater Darwin and 55.3% nationally. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 5.2 and 5.0% of residents respectively, while 81.1% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 79.9% across Greater Darwin.

The area has 7.7% of residents aged 65 and over (223 people), which is lower than the 11.0% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie was found to have a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 33.2% of its population born overseas and 28.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie, comprising 45.5% of its population. However, Buddhism is more prevalent here, making up 3.8% compared to 4.1% across Greater Darwin.

The top three ancestry groups are English (21.7%), Australian (19.2%), and Other (12.6%). Notably, Greek ethnicity is overrepresented at 4.6%, Sri Lankan at 0.6%, and Filipino at 2.2%.

Woolner - Bayview - Winnellie's population is younger than the national pattern

Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's median age in 2021 was 34 years, identical to Greater Darwin's average but lower than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie had a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (22.4%) and fewer aged 5-14 (10.1%). The national percentage for the 25-34 age group is 14.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 16.1% to 17.8%, while the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 16.0% to 13.8% and the 5 to 14 group decreased from 11.6% to 10.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Woolner-Bayview-Winnellie's age profile. The 45 to 54 age cohort is expected to grow by 86 people (22%), from 397 to 484. Conversely, the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 cohorts are projected to decrease in population.