Fannie Bay - The Gardens
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Fannie Bay - The Gardens are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Fannie Bay - The Gardens' population is approximately 3,965. This figure represents an increase of 363 people, a 10.1% rise since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 3,602. This growth can be inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,875 in June 2024 and the addition of 49 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is around 1,011 persons per square kilometer, aligning with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Fannie Bay - The Gardens' growth rate exceeded both its SA3 area (8.7%) and national average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth estimates, AreaSearch applies age cohort-based growth rates provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Based on projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is expected for national areas. Fannie Bay - The Gardens is projected to expand by 567 persons to 2041, with a total increase of 12.0% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Fannie Bay - The Gardens according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Fannie Bay - The Gardens averaged approximately four new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 24 homes approved during this period. Additionally, two dwellings have been approved so far in FY26. On average, 5.4 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating that demand significantly outpaces supply.

This dynamic typically exerts upward pressure on prices and intensifies competition among buyers. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings in the area is $764,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY26, $4.8 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the residential character of the area. Compared to Greater Darwin, Fannie Bay - The Gardens has shown 57.0% higher new home approvals per person as of recent data. However, this level is lower than the national average, implying market maturity and possible development constraints.

New building activity in Fannie Bay - The Gardens consists of 75.0% detached dwellings and 25.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This pattern differs from current housing stock trends (28.0% detached at Census), suggesting ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. As of recent data, Fannie Bay - The Gardens has approximately 2198 people per approval, indicating a mature and established area. Future projections suggest the area will add around 477 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 2ndth percentile nationally

Eighteen projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. Key projects include Elysium Green, The North One Hotel And Apartments, 23 Mirambeena Street Development Site, and The Avenue Larrakeyah. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Fannie Bay - The Gardens rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Fannie Bay - The Gardens has a highly educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.1%, lower than Greater Darwin's 3.0%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.0%. As of June 2025, 2,448 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Greater Darwin's rate. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Dominant employment sectors include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

The area has a notably high concentration in professional & technical jobs, at 1.6 times the regional average, while construction has limited presence with 6.1% employment compared to 9.2% regionally. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 3.0%, labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rate fell by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Fannie Bay - The Gardens' employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.7%% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Fannie Bay - The Gardens' income level is extremely high nationally according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Its median income among taxpayers was $72,361 and average income stood at $89,329, compared to Greater Darwin's figures of $65,522 and $75,260 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $81,052 (median) and $100,057 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, individual earnings stood out at the 95th percentile nationally ($1,310 weekly). Distribution data showed that 33.0% of the population (1,308 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represented 36.7%. Economic strength emerged through 34.0% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounted for 14.5% of income while strong earnings ranked residents within the 79th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Fannie Bay - The Gardens had 28.4% houses and 71.6% other dwellings in the latest Census, compared to Darwin metro's 23.6% houses and 76.4% other dwellings. Home ownership was at 22.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 23.6% and rented ones at 53.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with Darwin metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $390 compared to Darwin metro's $420. Nationally, Fannie Bay - The Gardens had higher mortgage repayments of $2,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863 and higher rents at $390 compared to Australia's figure of $375.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 61.2% of all households, including 22.3% that are couples with children, 29.8% that are couples without children, and 7.9% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 38.8%, with lone person households at 32.4% and group households comprising 6.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.3.

Educational attainment in Fannie Bay - The Gardens aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Fannie Bay - The Gardens is notably higher than broader benchmarks. 46.6% of residents aged 15 or above hold university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory and 30.4% nationally. This educational advantage is driven by a high proportion of residents with bachelor degrees (28.4%), postgraduate qualifications (13.1%), and graduate diplomas (5.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.4% of residents aged 15 or above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (17.0%).

Educational participation is high in the area, with 29.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 7.1% pursuing tertiary education. There are six schools operating within Fannie Bay - The Gardens, educating approximately 2,734 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 973) with balanced educational opportunities, dominated by secondary education with six schools. Primary students typically attend schools in adjacent catchments. Fannie Bay - The Gardens functions as an education hub, with 69.0 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 15.1, attracting students from surrounding communities. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transportation in Fannie Bay - The Gardens shows that there are currently 19 active transport stops operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 45 individual routes providing service to the area. Collectively, these routes facilitate 2,918 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of public transportation in this region is rated as excellent, with residents located an average of 179 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 416 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 153 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Fannie Bay - The Gardens, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 64% of the total population (2,537 people) has private health cover, compared to 61.3% in Greater Darwin and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.2 and 6.0% of residents respectively.

75.5% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.9% in Greater Darwin. The area has 19.1% of residents aged 65 and over (756 people), higher than the 11.0% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and broadly align with the general population's health profile.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fannie Bay-The Gardens had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 30.4% of residents born overseas and 22.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 36.9% of the population. Judaism, however, was more prevalent in Fannie Bay-The Gardens at 0.3%, compared to 0.1% across Greater Darwin.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (25.9%), Australian (19.7%), and Other (11.9%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Greek was slightly overrepresented at 1.9% versus 2.0% regionally, Sri Lankan was lower at 0.4% compared to 0.7%, and Irish was higher at 9.6% versus 8.1%.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Fannie Bay - The Gardens has a median age of 38 years, which is higher than Greater Darwin's median age of 34 but in line with Australia's national average of 38 years. The age group of 65-74 years makes up 10.3% of the population, compared to Greater Darwin, while the 5-14 age group constitutes 10.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 5-14 age group has increased from 9.1% to 10.4%, and the 15-24 age group has grown from 9.2% to 10.2%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 12.0% to 10.2%, and the 25-34 age group has fallen from 20.0% to 18.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Fannie Bay - The Gardens. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially, increasing by 168 people (64%) from 265 to 434. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 55% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0-4 age group is projected to decrease by 4 residents.