Fannie Bay - The Gardens
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Fannie Bay - The Gardens are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Aug 2025, Fannie Bay - The Gardens' population is approximately 3,965. This figure represents an increase of 363 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,602. Between Jun 2024 and Aug 2025, there were an estimated 49 new addresses added to the area. The current population density is around 1,011 persons per square kilometer. Fannie Bay - The Gardens' growth rate of 10.1% since the 2021 Census exceeds both the SA3 area's growth (8.6%) and the national average, indicating it as a region with notable population increase. Overseas migration was the primary driver behind this growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 data as base year. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimations, AreaSearch applies age cohort-based growth rates provided by the ABS' Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023 based on 2022 data). According to these projections, Fannie Bay - The Gardens is expected to experience an above-median population growth by 2041, with a projected increase of 567 persons and a total percentage change of 12.0%.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Fannie Bay - The Gardens according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Fannie Bay - The Gardens has averaged approximately four new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data, produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, shows 24 homes approved over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with two approvals so far in FY-26. On average, 5.4 people have moved to the area per dwelling built annually over these five years. This indicates significant demand exceeding new supply, which typically drives price growth and increased buyer competition.

The average expected construction cost of new homes is $1,554,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Commercial approvals this financial year total $4.8 million, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Darwin, Fannie Bay - The Gardens has shown 57.0% higher new home approvals per person, offering buyers ample choice, although this level is lower than nationally, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity comprises 75.0% detached dwellings and 25.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to space-seeking buyers. This contrasts with current patterns showing 28.0% detached housing at Census, indicating robust demand for family homes.

With approximately 2198 people per approval, Fannie Bay - The Gardens is a mature, established area projected to add 477 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 2ndth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones are Elysium Green, Middle Arm Sustainable Development Precinct, The North One Hotel And Apartments, and 23 Mirambeena Street Development Site. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Fannie Bay - The Gardens rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Fannie Bay - The Gardens has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.1% as of June 2025.

This rate is lower than Greater Darwin's 3.0%. Employment grew by an estimated 3.0% over the past year. As of June 2025, 2,448 residents are employed with a workforce participation rate similar to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Dominant employment sectors include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical services.

The latter sector has particularly notable concentration, being 1.6 times the regional average. Construction, however, has limited presence at 6.1% compared to 9.2% regionally. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 3.0%, labour force increased by 2.9%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate of 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Darwin had employment growth of 2.9% with a marginal drop in unemployment rate. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NT employment grew by 1.0% year-on-year, adding 1,710 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, outpacing the national average of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts for Fannie Bay - The Gardens suggest local growth of approximately 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years based on industry-specific projections applied to its employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Fannie Bay - The Gardens had extremely high income levels nationally according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Its median income among taxpayers was $72,361 and the average income stood at $89,329. This compared to Greater Darwin's figures of $65,522 and $75,260 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $79,915 (median) and $98,655 (average) as of March 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, individual earnings stood out at the 95th percentile nationally ($1,310 weekly). Distribution data showed that 33.0% of the population (1,308 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, aligning with the broader area where this cohort likewise represented 36.7%. Economic strength was evident through 34.0% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounted for 14.5% of income while strong earnings ranked residents within the 79th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Fannie Bay - The Gardens, as per the latest Census, had 28.4% houses and 71.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Darwin metro's 23.6% houses and 76.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Fannie Bay - The Gardens was 22.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 23.6% and rented dwellings at 53.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with Darwin metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $390, compared to Darwin metro's $420. Nationally, Fannie Bay - The Gardens' mortgage repayments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rents surpass the national figure of $375.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 61.2% of all households, including 22.3% couples with children, 29.8% couples without children, and 7.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 38.8%, with lone person households at 32.4% and group households comprising 6.5%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.3.

Educational attainment in Fannie Bay - The Gardens aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Fannie Bay - The Gardens shows 46.6% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, surpassing NT's 27.3% and Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.4% of residents holding them - advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (17.0%). Educational participation is high, with 29.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: primary (8.4%), secondary (8.2%), and tertiary (7.1%).

Six schools operate within Fannie Bay - The Gardens, educating approximately 2,734 students. The area has balanced educational opportunities, typical of Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 973). Secondary education dominates with six schools, while primary students typically attend nearby catchments' schools. Fannie Bay - The Gardens functions as an education hub with 69.0 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 15.1. It attracts students from surrounding communities. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that there are nineteen active public transport stops operating within Fannie Bay - The Gardens. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling forty-five individual routes. Collectively, these routes provide 2,918 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 179 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 416 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 153 weekly trips per individual stop.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Fannie Bay - The Gardens, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 64% of the total population (2,537 people) has private health cover, compared to 61.3% in Greater Darwin and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis affecting 6.2% of residents and asthma impacting 6.0%.

A significant majority, 75.5%, report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.9% in Greater Darwin. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 19.1% (756 people), compared to 11.0% in Greater Darwin. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong and align broadly with the general population's health profile.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Fannie Bay-The Gardens had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 30.4% of residents born overseas and 22.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 36.9% of the population. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to 0.1% in Greater Darwin.

The top three ancestry groups were English (25.9%), Australian (19.7%), and Other (11.9%). Notably, Greek (1.9%) and Sri Lankan (0.4%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.0% and 0.7%, respectively, while the Irish group was slightly higher at 9.6%.

Fannie Bay - The Gardens's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Fannie Bay-The Gardens has a median age of 38 years, which is older than Greater Darwin's median age of 34 but in line with Australia's national average of 38 years. The age group of 65-74 years is strongly represented at 10.3%, compared to Greater Darwin. The 5-14 age group, however, is less prevalent at 10.4%. Between 2021 and the present, the 5-14 age group has increased from 9.1% to 10.4%, while the 15-24 cohort has risen from 9.2% to 10.2%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 12.0% to 10.2%, and the 25-34 age group has dropped from 20.0% to 18.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Fannie Bay-The Gardens. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 64%, from 265 to 434 people. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 55% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0-4 age group is expected to contract by 4 residents.