Larrakeyah

Population growth drivers in Larrakeyah are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Larrakeyah is around 4,383. This figure reflects an increase of 440 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,943. The current population is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 4,389 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,247 persons per square kilometer, higher than average national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Larrakeyah's population growth of 11.2% since the 2021 census exceeds both the SA3 area (8.7%) and the national average. Overseas migration contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in the suburb.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimations, AreaSearch applies age cohort growth rates provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Future population projections indicate above median growth for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. By 2041, Larrakeyah is expected to grow by 729 persons, reflecting a total increase of 16.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Larrakeyah according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Larrakeyah has experienced around 2 dwellings receiving development approval per year. An estimated 13 homes were approved over the past 5 financial years, between FY-2021 and FY-2025, with 0 approvals so far in FY-2026. On average, for each dwelling built over these years, around 24.5 people have moved to the area annually.

This indicates demand significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $1,225,000, showing developers focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-2026, $51,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Darwin, Larrakeyah shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person. Nationally, it places among the 9th percentile of areas assessed, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established dwellings.

This activity is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New building activity shows an equal split between detached houses (50.0%) and townhouses or apartments (50.0%). This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (22.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. The location has approximately 2171 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Population forecasts indicate Larrakeyah will gain 735 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Larrakeyah has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 25thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include Larrakeyah Defence Precinct Redevelopment, The Avenue Larrakeyah, Darwin Digital Hub, and Darwin Youth Centre. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Larrakeyah performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Larrakeyah has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 0.7% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 3.1% over the past year.

This is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 3,122 residents were employed, while the unemployment rate was 2.4% lower than Greater Darwin's rate of 3.0%. Workforce participation in Larrakeyah was 74.3%, compared to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Employment among residents is concentrated in public administration & safety (1.4 times the regional level), accommodation & food, and health care & social assistance.

Construction employs just 5.1% of local workers, below Greater Darwin's 9.2%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 3.1%, while labour force increased by 2.9%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. This compares to Greater Darwin where employment grew by 2.9%, labour force expanded by 2.9%, and unemployment fell marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 estimate that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Larrakeyah's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, although this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows income in Larrakeyah is extremely high nationally. The median income is assessed at $71,643 and the average income stands at $88,443. This contrasts with Greater Darwin's figures of a median income of $65,522 and an average income of $75,260. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $80,247 (median) and $99,065 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Larrakeyah, between the 86th and 94th percentiles nationally. The data shows 41.1% of the population (1,801 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 36.7% in the same category. The substantial proportion of high earners (36.9% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the locality. Housing accounts for 14.2% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 87th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Larrakeyah features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Larrakeyah's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 22.0% houses and 78.0% other dwellings. In comparison, Darwin metro had 23.6% houses and 76.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Larrakeyah was higher at 15.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 17.1% and rented ones at 67.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,800, lower than Darwin metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent in Larrakeyah was $395, compared to Darwin metro's $420. Nationally, Larrakeyah's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Larrakeyah features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 61.4% of all households, including 24.8% couples with children, 31.8% couples without children, and 4.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 38.6%, with lone person households at 28.4% and group households making up 10.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Darwin average.

Larrakeyah demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Larrakeyah is notably high, with 48.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory (NT) and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.6% and graduate diplomas at 4.6%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.5% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (16.8%). Educational participation is high, with 32.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.4% in primary, 9.3% in tertiary, and 4.1% in secondary education.

Larrakeyah Primary School serves the area, enrolling 465 students as of a recent date, with an Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage (ICSEA) score of 1083, indicating above-average socio-educational conditions. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. School places per 100 residents stand at 10.6, below the regional average of 15.1, suggesting some students may attend schools outside Larrakeyah.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates eight active transport stops operating within Larrakeyah. These stops are served by a mix of buses, with 28 individual routes collectively providing 1,338 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 202 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 191 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 167 weekly trips per stop.

Larrakeyah's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results throughout Larrakeyah, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is notably high at approximately 62% of the total population (2,701 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 4.6% and 4.3% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 82.9%, reported being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 79.9% across Greater Darwin. As of a recent report (dated 15th April 2021), 10.5% of Larrakeyah's residents are aged 65 and over (460 people). Health outcomes among seniors in the area are notably strong, aligning closely with the overall population's health profile.

Larrakeyah is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Larrakeyah has high cultural diversity, with 32.0% speaking a language other than English at home and 40.0% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion, at 38.2%. Hinduism is overrepresented, at 11.6%, compared to Greater Darwin's 7.4%.

Top ancestry groups are English (23.6%), Australian (18.5%), and Other (17.3%). Filipino (3.2%) Korean (0.6%) and Vietnamese (1.2%) are notably more represented than regionally.

Larrakeyah's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Larrakeyah's median age in 2021 was 33 years, comparable to Greater Darwin's average of 34 and substantially lower than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Larrakeyah had a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (26.4%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.0%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds was well above the national average of 14.5%. Post-2021 Census data showed that the 35 to 44 age group grew from 16.2% to 18.0%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 2.4% to 3.5%. Conversely, the 15 to 24 cohort declined from 13.7% to 12.1%, and the 55 to 64 group decreased from 9.9% to 8.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Larrakeyah's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to grow steadily, increasing by 158 people (33%) from 482 to 641. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 cohort is expected to grow modestly by 5% (9 people).