Larrakeyah

Population growth drivers in Larrakeyah are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates and address validation for the suburb of Larrakeyah, the estimated population as of February 2026 is around 4,400. This figure reflects an increase of 457 people (11.6%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,943. The current resident population estimate of 4,389 by AreaSearch is based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,256 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth of 11.6% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (8.2%) and the SA4 region, positioning Larrakeyah as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving this growth.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking ahead, aggregated SA2-level projections indicate an above median population growth for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. By 2041, the suburb is projected to grow by 729 persons, reflecting a total increase of 16.3% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Larrakeyah according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Larrakeyah has experienced around 2 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Approximately 13 homes have been approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with no approvals so far in FY-26. On average, 24.5 people move to the area for each dwelling built over these years, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply.

This typically exerts upward pressure on prices and intensifies competition among buyers. Developers focus on the premium market, constructing new properties at an average value of $1,225,000. In FY-26, $51,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Darwin, Larrakeyah shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 9th percentile of areas assessed nationally. This indicates somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established dwellings.

New building activity is divided equally between detached houses (50%) and townhouses or apartments (50%), focusing on higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. However, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (22% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. The location has approximately 2171 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market with population forecasts indicating Larrakeyah will gain 718 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Larrakeyah has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones are Larrakeyah Defence Precinct Redevelopment, The Avenue Larrakeyah, Darwin Digital Hub, and Darwin Youth Centre. The following details those most likely relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Larrakeyah performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Larrakeyah has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 0.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1% over the past year (AreaSearch data). As of September 2025, there are 3,139 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.5%, lower than Greater Darwin's 3.1%.

Workforce participation is high at 83.4%, compared to Greater Darwin's 76.0%. Census data shows that 5.6% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 impacts should be considered. Key employment sectors are public administration & safety, accommodation & food, and health care & social assistance. Larrakeyah has a strong specialization in public administration & safety (1.4 times the regional level), but construction employs only 5.1% of local workers, below Greater Darwin's 9.2%.

Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, labour force grew by 1.9%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points (AreaSearch data). In contrast, Greater Darwin saw employment grow by 1.9% and unemployment rise marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand in Larrakeyah. Applying these projections to the local employment mix indicates a potential increase of 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 indicates that median income in Larrakeyah suburb is $71,643 with an average income of $88,443. This contrasts with Greater Darwin's median income of $66,956 and average income of $77,199 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.44% from financial year ending June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $77,690 and average income around $95,908 as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in Larrakeyah rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes between the 86th and 94th percentiles. The data shows that 41.1% of Larrakeyah's population (1,808 individuals) falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to the broader metropolitan region where 36.7% are in the same category. Notably, 36.9% of residents earn above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity. Housing expenses account for 14.2% of income, and residents rank within the 87th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Larrakeyah features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Larrakeyah, as per the latest Census evaluation, houses constituted 22.0% of dwellings while other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings) made up 78.0%. In contrast, Darwin metro had 63.5% houses and 36.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Larrakeyah stood at 15.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 17.1% and rented ones at 67.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,800, lower than Darwin metro's $2,100 but close to the Australian average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Larrakeyah was $395, slightly higher than the national figure of $375 but lower than Darwin metro's $385.

Larrakeyah features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 61.4% of all households, including 24.8% couples with children, 31.8% couples without children, and 4.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 38.6%, with lone person households at 28.4% and group households comprising 10.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Darwin average of 2.6.

Larrakeyah demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Larrakeyah is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. As of a specific date, 48.9% of residents aged 15 and above held university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory (NT) and 30.4% nationwide. This educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.6% and graduate diplomas at 4.6%.

Trade and technical skills are also prominent, with 28.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 16.8%. Educational participation is notably high, with 32.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary education, 9.3% in tertiary education, and 4.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Larrakeyah has eight active public transport stops, all offering bus services. These stops are served by thirty different routes, collectively facilitating 1,353 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 202 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to the area's residential nature. Car remains the primary mode of transport at 73%, followed by walking at 10% and bus at 6%. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.2, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 5.6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 193 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 169 weekly trips per individual stop.

Larrakeyah's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Larrakeyah, as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were very low across all age groups. Private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (2,712 people), compared to 57.8% in Greater Darwin and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions were arthritis and asthma, affecting 4.6% and 4.3% of residents respectively. 82.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.1% in Greater Darwin. As of 2021, 10.8% of residents were aged 65 and over (475 people). Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Larrakeyah was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Larrakeyah has a high level of cultural diversity, with 32.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 40.0% born overseas. Christianity is the dominant religion in Larrakeyah, making up 38.2% of people in the suburb. Notably, Hinduism is overrepresented, comprising 11.6% of the population compared to the Greater Darwin average of 4.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (23.6%), Australian (18.5%), and Other (17.3%). There are also significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Filipino is overrepresented at 3.2% compared to the regional average of 3.8%, Korean at 0.6% versus 0.2%, and Vietnamese at 1.2% compared to 0.8%.

Larrakeyah's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Larrakeyah's median age in 2021 was 33 years, comparable to Greater Darwin's average of 34 and substantially lower than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Darwin, Larrakeyah had a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (25.6%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.1%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds was well above the national average of 14.4%. Post-2021 Census data showed that the 35 to 44 age group grew from 16.2% to 18.3%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 2.4% to 3.7%. Conversely, the 15 to 24 cohort declined from 13.7% to 11.9%, and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 5.6% to 4.5%. Demographic modeling suggests that Larrakeyah's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the 45 to 54 age cohort projected to grow steadily, expanding by 161 people (34%) from 479 to 641. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 cohort is expected to grow modestly by 5% (9 people).