Larrakeyah

Population growth drivers in Larrakeyah are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Larrakeyah's population is estimated at around 4,395 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 452 people (11.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,943 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,389, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,253 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Larrakeyah's 11.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (8.1%), along with the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 82.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is applying growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Looking at population projections moving forward, an above median population growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is projected, with the Larrakeyah SA2 expected to grow by 729 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 16.4% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Larrakeyah according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Larrakeyah had around 2 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 13 homes were approved, with none so far in FY-26. This resulted in approximately 24.5 people moving to the area annually for each dwelling built over these years.

Demand significantly outpaced supply, potentially driving up prices and increasing buyer competition. New properties were constructed at an average value of $1,225,000, indicating a focus on the premium market. In FY-26, $51,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Darwin, Larrakeyah showed around 75% of construction activity per person and ranked in the 9th percentile nationally for buyer options, indicating limited choices while strengthening demand for established dwellings. New building activity comprised 50.0% detached houses and 50.0% townhouses or apartments, promoting more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

However, developers built more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (22.0% at Census), implying strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. Larrakeyah had approximately 2171 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established market. Population forecasts indicate it will gain 723 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Larrakeyah has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 37thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Larrakeyah Defence Precinct Redevelopment, The Avenue Larrakeyah, Darwin Digital Hub, and Darwin Youth Centre. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Larrakeyah performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Larrakeyah has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 0.7% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1% over the past year.

This is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. The area had 3,139 residents employed by September 2025, with an unemployment rate of 2.5%, which was below Greater Darwin's rate of 3.1%. Workforce participation in Larrakeyah was 74.3%, compared to Greater Darwin's 69.7%. Employment among residents is concentrated in public administration & safety, accommodation & food, and health care & social assistance sectors.

The area shows strong specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level. In contrast, construction employs only 5.1% of local workers, below Greater Darwin's 9.2%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, while labour force increased by 1.9%, causing a fall in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Darwin where employment grew by 1.9% and unemployment rose marginally. State-level data from November 25 shows NT employment contracted by 1.13% (losing 4,100 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.4%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a potential growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Larrakeyah's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The latest postcode level ATO data from AreaSearch for financial year 2023 shows that Larrakeyah suburb has extremely high national incomes. The median income is $71,643 while the average stands at $88,443. This contrasts with Greater Darwin's figures of a median income of $66,956 and an average of $77,199. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $77,690 (median) and $95,908 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, Larrakeyah's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 86th and 94th percentiles. The data shows that 41.1% of the population (1,806 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 36.7% in the same category. There is a substantial proportion of high earners, with 36.9% above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the locality. Housing accounts for 14.2% of income, and residents rank within the 87th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Larrakeyah features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Larrakeyah, as per the latest Census evaluation, 22.0% of dwellings were houses while 78.0% were other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This is compared to Darwin's metropolitan area which had 23.6% houses and 76.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Larrakeyah stood at 15.9%, with mortgaged properties at 17.1% and rented ones at 67.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,800, lower than Darwin's metro average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Larrakeyah was $395 compared to Darwin's metro figure of $420. Nationally, Larrakeyah's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863 while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Larrakeyah features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 61.4% of all households, including 24.8% couples with children, 31.8% couples without children, and 4.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 38.6%, with lone person households at 28.4% and group households comprising 10.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Darwin average.

Larrakeyah demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Larrakeyah's educational attainment exceeds broader benchmarks. 48.9% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 27.3% in the Northern Territory (NT) and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are most common at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 16.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.4% in primary, 9.3% in tertiary, and 4.1% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Larrakeyah has eight active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 30 individual routes. Together, these routes facilitate 1,353 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Larrakeyah is rated as good, with residents typically located 202 meters from the nearest stop. On average, service frequency across all routes amounts to 193 trips per day, equating to approximately 169 weekly trips per individual stop.

Larrakeyah's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Larrakeyah, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (2,709 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 4.6% and 4.3% of residents respectively. A total of 82.9% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, higher than the Greater Darwin average of 79.9%. Larrakeyah has 10.5% of its population aged 65 and over (461 people), with health outcomes among seniors broadly in line with those of the general population.

Larrakeyah was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Larrakeyah has high cultural diversity, with 32.0% speaking a language other than English at home and 40.0% born overseas. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 38.2%. Hinduism is overrepresented at 11.6%, compared to Greater Darwin's 7.4%.

Top ancestry groups are English (23.6%), Australian (18.5%), and Other (17.3%). Filipino, Korean, and Vietnamese ethnicities show notable divergences: Filipino at 3.2% vs regional 2.9%, Korean at 0.6% vs 0.4%, and Vietnamese at 1.2% vs 1.1%.

Larrakeyah's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Larrakeyah's median age at 33 years is comparable to Greater Darwin's average of 34 and is substantially lower than Australia's median age of 38. Relative to Greater Darwin, Larrakeyah has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (26.4%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.0%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.5%. According to post-2021 Census data, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has grown from 16.2% to 18.0%, while the proportion of those aged 75-84 increased from 2.4% to 3.5%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has declined from 13.7% to 12.1%, and the proportion of those aged 55-64 dropped from 9.9% to 8.6%. Demographic modeling suggests Larrakeyah's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 45-54 age cohort projected to grow steadily, increasing by 157 people (33%) from 483 to 641. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age cohort is expected to grow by a modest 5% (9 people).