Larrakeyah

Population growth drivers in Larrakeyah are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Larrakeyah's population was around 4,383 as of November 2025, reflecting an increase of 440 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 3,943 people in Larrakeyah. This increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,389 as of June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,247 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Larrakeyah's growth rate of 11.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (8.7%) and the national average. Overseas migration contributed approximately 81.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving this growth.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Considering these projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for Larrakeyah. The area is expected to increase by 729 persons to reach a total of 5,112 by 2041, reflecting a gain of 16.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Larrakeyah according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Larrakeyah has recorded approximately 2 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, 13 homes were approved, with 0 so far in FY-26. This results in an average of about 24.5 new residents arriving per year per dwelling constructed during this period.

The supply of dwellings is substantially lagging demand, which typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $795,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In terms of commercial development approvals, Larrakeyah has recorded $10.5 million in FY-26, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Darwin, Larrakeyah shows approximately 75% of the construction activity per person. Nationally, it places among the 8th percentile of areas assessed, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties.

This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development in Larrakeyah consists of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% attached dwellings, focusing on higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (22.0% at Census), reflecting persistent strong demand for family homes amid densification trends. Future projections estimate Larrakeyah adding 735 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Larrakeyah has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 3rdth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include the Larrakeyah Defence Precinct Redevelopment, The Avenue Larrakeyah, Darwin Digital Hub, and Darwin Youth Centre. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Larrakeyah performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Larrakeyah has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 0.7% and it experienced 2.1% employment growth in the past year as of September 2025.

There are 3,139 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.5%, lower than Greater Darwin's 3.1%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Darwin at 74.3%. Leading industries include public administration & safety, accommodation & food, and health care & social assistance. The area specializes in public administration & safety, with employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Construction has limited presence at 5.1%, compared to 9.2% regionally. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 2.1% and labour force by 1.9%, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Darwin had 1.9% employment growth with marginal unemployment rise. State-level data from 25-Nov shows NT employment contracted by 1.13%. National forecasts project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Larrakeyah's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, assuming constant population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Larrakeyah SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $71,643 and an average level of $88,443. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to levels of $65,522 and $75,260 across Greater Darwin respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $80,247 (median) and $99,065 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Larrakeyah rank highly nationally, between the 86th and 94th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 41.1% of locals (1,801 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with regional levels where this cohort represents 36.7%. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 36.9% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. Housing accounts for 14.2% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 87th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Larrakeyah features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Larrakeyah's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 22.0% houses and 78.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Darwin metro's 23.6% houses and 76.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Larrakeyah stood at 15.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 17.1% and rented ones at 67.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,800, below Darwin metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Larrakeyah was $395, compared to Darwin metro's $420. Nationally, Larrakeyah's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Larrakeyah features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 61.4% of all households, including 24.8% couples with children, 31.8% couples without children, and 4.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 38.6%, with lone person households at 28.4% and group households making up 10.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Darwin average.

Educational achievement in Larrakeyah places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Larrakeyah's residents aged 15+ have a higher proportion with university qualifications (48.9%) compared to the Northern Territory (27.3%) and Australia (30.4%). Bachelor degrees are most common at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.5% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (16.8%). Educational participation is high, with 32.3% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.4% in primary, 9.3% in tertiary, and 4.1% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Larrakeyah has eight active public transport stops, all offering bus services. These stops are covered by 28 different routes that together facilitate 1,338 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average situated 202 meters from the nearest stop.

The service frequency stands at 191 trips daily across all routes, translating to about 167 weekly trips per individual stop.

Larrakeyah's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Larrakeyah, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (2,805 people), compared to 61.3% across Greater Darwin and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 4.6 and 4.3% of residents respectively.

A total of 82.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 79.9% across Greater Darwin. As of a recent report (15th March 20XX), the area has 10.4% of residents aged 65 and over (456 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Larrakeyah was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Larrakeyah's cultural diversity is notable with 32.0% speaking a language other than English at home and 40.0% born overseas. Christianity is the dominant religion, comprising 38.2%. Hinduism is overrepresented at 11.6%, compared to 7.4% in Greater Darwin.

Top ancestry groups are English (23.6%), Australian (18.5%), and Other (17.3%). Filipino (3.2%) Vietnamese (1.2%) and Korean (0.6%) populations are also notably higher than regional averages of 2.9%, 1.1% and 0.4% respectively.

Larrakeyah's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Larrakeyah's median age at 33 years is comparable to Greater Darwin's average of 34 and is substantially lower than Australia's median of 38. Relative to Greater Darwin, Larrakeyah has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (26.4%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (9.0%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35 to 44 age group grew from 16.2% to 18.0%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 2.4% to 3.5%. Conversely, the 15 to 24 cohort declined from 13.7% to 12.1%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 9.9% to 8.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Larrakeyah's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041, with the 45 to 54 age cohort projected to grow steadily, expanding by 158 people (33%) from 483 to 642. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 cohort is expected to grow modestly by 5% (10 people).