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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Robinvale has an estimated 3,751 residents. Density is about 21 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, demographic assessments by AreaSearch place the population of Robinvale at approximately 3,751 residents. Compared to the 3,740 individuals recorded in the 2021 Census, this indicates an addition of 11 people, or a 0.3% rise. This update is derived from ABS estimated resident population figures of 3,749 recorded as of June 2025 alongside 21 validated new addresses registered following the Census benchmark. The local population density sits at 20 persons per square kilometer, ensuring substantial living space across the district. Although Robinvale's 0.3% expansion since the 2021 census remains subdued, it outpaced the broader SA3 area (-2.5%) and the wider SA4 region.
Net overseas migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 73.2% of the locality's overall population gains in recent times. SA2 geographic projections applied by AreaSearch incorporate the 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia dataset using 2022 as its baseline. Where SA2 coverage is absent, figures draw from the 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA releases, applying a weighted aggregation model to translate LGA expansion down to the SA2 tier. Projected age-bracket growth trajectories derived through this method extend across all territories between 2032 and 2041. Under this modeling framework, Robinvale is forecast to experience a net population contraction, shedding 49 persons by 2041. Even so, certain demographics will expand, most notably the 45 to 54 cohort, which is expected to gain 95 people. Further information on generational shifts can be reviewed in the age analysis.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
54 new dwellings have been approved in Robinvale over the past five years, an average of 10 a year. That is 2.9 approvals per 1,000 residents. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential construction in Robinvale has seen roughly 10 properties approved annually, culminating in 54 approved homes across the past 5 financial years (from FY-22 through FY-26). In light of recent population decreases, incoming residential supply has adequately met local demand and provided viable choices for prospective purchasers. Newly approved dwellings carry an average construction valuation of $504,000, which sits moderately higher than regional benchmarks and reflects an emphasis on quality builds. Meanwhile, commercial planning approvals have reached $6.7 million during this financial year, underscoring subdued commercial building activity. Per-capita building volumes in Robinvale closely mirror the broader Rest of Vic., maintaining a balanced supply environment across the locality.
However, construction rates trail national figures, highlighting the established footprint of the neighborhood and possible town planning constraints. Detached houses account for 55.0% of recent dwelling approvals, while townhouses and apartments represent 45.0%, demonstrating an increasing presence of medium-density formats that diversify price points from standalone family properties to cost-effective compact stock. This marks a clear shift from the existing housing stock, where houses comprise 90.0%, reflecting tightening land supplies along with shifting resident lifestyles and affordability considerations. With roughly 445 people per residential approval, overall building activity remains calm and modest. Given that demographic forecasts indicate a steady or diminishing resident base, Robinvale is expected to encounter softened housing demand pressure, presenting favorable market conditions for prospective property purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Robinvale
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside Robinvale, worth an estimated $10 million. A further 78 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $23.7 billion. 19 are already under construction and 27 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans energy, residential development and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic infrastructure upgrades, significant public works, and planning frameworks exert a critical influence over regional growth and performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed a total of 10 developments expected to shape the local community. Prominent undertakings encompass the Robinvale Riverfront Masterplan, Robinvale Key Worker Accommodation, Nyah West Skate Park Development, and Nyah Netball Courts and Lighting, with key initiatives outlined in detail below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Robinvale Riverfront Masterplan
Comprehensive masterplan adopted by Swan Hill Rural City Council to revitalise the Robinvale Riverfront area. Key elements include the 2 million AUD Robinvale Nature and Adventure Play in Centenary Park, a new skate park, and the Terrace Wharf redevelopment. The project aims to enhance community and cultural spaces, improve accessibility, and create a vibrant riverfront precinct.
Robinvale Key Worker Accommodation
Swan Hill Rural City Council is constructing 10 modern dwellings (8 two-bedroom and 2 three-bedroom units) at the former kindergarten site to provide affordable housing for essential key workers in Robinvale. Supported by a $5 million Regional Worker Accommodation Fund grant, the project is well advanced with expected completion in June 2026. Savings from the project will also fund an additional two modular homes at 49 Herbert Street.
Nyah Netball Courts and Lighting
Construction of two new fully compliant competition netball courts with lighting infrastructure at Nyah Recreation Reserve. The project will provide modern netball facilities with lighting to support training and competitive play during extended hours for the Nyah Nyah West United Football and Netball Club.
Robinvale Netball Courts Lighting Project
Installation of modern lighting systems for the Robinvale netball courts to enable evening training and competition. The project will improve accessibility and extend playing hours for the local netball community, supporting both junior and senior competitions.
Robinvale Community Housing Development
Community housing development in Robinvale providing affordable housing options for local residents. The project delivered new housing units to address the housing shortage in the region and support the growing community needs.
Swan Hill Worker Housing Project - Ronald Street
Two-stage development for worker accommodation in the Mallee region. Stage one, consisting of four three-bedroom houses, is complete and ready for move-in, with one house already sold. The homes provide accommodation for vital workers in industries like healthcare and education. Stage two involves four additional houses planned by Swan Hill Rural City Council for the site.
Robinvale Nature and Adventure Playground Ngiwa Kulaithi
The 5,000 square meter play precinct, named Ngiwa Kulaithi (meaning 'to sit river' in Latji Latji language), features a double twist slide, an all-abilities play tower and swing, junior Murray Cod play structure, water-play areas, a tunnel mound, sandpit, swings, bounce pads, and a skate park. The precinct incorporates shade structures, lily pad shade shelters, landscaping, all-abilities accessible paths, and local First Nations artwork. It is a key initiative of the Robinvale Riverfront Masterplan and is a significant community asset.
River Estate
Residential land subdivision on Luke Road, Euston, releasing 52 serviced lots (Stage 3 currently active) within walking distance of the Murray River, the Euston Club, Royal Hotel, Post Office, Primary School and local shops. Lots range from around 794 to 1,470 square metres with underground services to the boundary, including power, dual water and sewer. Lots remain on sale through the Paul Modica Real Estate office in Mildura, with individual titled blocks currently listed from the mid $70,000s to around $140,000.
1,913 residents of Robinvale are employed, from a labour force of 1,941. Unemployment sits at 1.4%, with participation at 62.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 4.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour market features a diversified mix of white-collar and blue-collar professions across multiple industries, alongside an exceptionally low unemployment rate of 1.4%. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 1,913, with local joblessness tracking 2.2% below the 3.7% benchmark observed in Regional Vic. Labour force participation aligns closely with the 61.1% recorded for Regional Vic.. Census records indicate that only 7.3% of workers carried out their duties from home, though pandemic-related movement restrictions during that period should be taken into account. Employment among residents is primarily clustered in agriculture, forestry & fishing, administrative & support, and retail trade.
Agricultural, forestry, and fishing operations are exceptionally prominent, engaging workers at 6.2 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, health care & social assistance accounts for 5.6% of the workforce, significantly trailing the 16.8% regional standard. A comparison between the count of local Census workers and the resident workforce suggests a constrained pool of jobs situated directly within the area. AreaSearch evaluations of ABS and SALM metrics show that in the twelve months to March 2026, the local workforce contracted by 3.2% while employment dropped by 1.9%, leading to a 1.3 percentage points reduction in unemployment. Over the same timeframe across Regional Vic., jobs declined by 0.1%, the workforce shrank by 0.3%, and unemployment decreased by 0.2 percentage points. Longer-term employment expectations from Jobs and Skills Australia's Mar-26 national releases provide context for Robinvale's future workforce trajectory. By aligning five- and ten-year national growth trends with the area's specific industrial profile, local employment is projected to expand by 4.0% over five years and 9.6% over ten years, compared to nationwide projections of 6.6% and 13.7% respectively. This extrapolation utilizes simple industry weighting for contextual purposes and excludes local demographic forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Robinvale is $1,347 a week (about $70,000 a year), with median personal income at $618 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $32,269 a year against an average of $43,193. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxpayer records at the postcode level compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 reveal a median taxpayer income of $32,269 and an average of $43,193 across the Robinvale SA2. These figures fall below nationwide benchmarks, as well as the Regional Vic. median of $50,954 and average of $62,728. Factoring in a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 reach roughly $35,373 for median earnings and $47,348 for the average. In the 2021 Census, Robinvale's personal, family, and household incomes placed between the 13th and 23rd percentiles across the country.
The dominant income bracket includes 29.5% of workers (1,106 residents) taking home $1,500 - 2,999 per week, mirroring the wider metropolitan region's 30.3% share. Although residents retain 88.8% of their earnings due to modest accommodation expenses, overall disposable income sits at the 30th percentile nationwide.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Robinvale had 1,067 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 90% detached houses and 4% apartments. 23% are owned with a mortgage, 44% rented and 34% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $220 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,040 a month. Rent absorbs 16.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 17.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, residential stock in Robinvale was divided between separate houses at 89.9% and alternative dwellings (including semi-detached units, apartments, and other categories) at 10.1%, closely matching Regional Vic. at 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Outright home ownership stood at 33.5%, lower than regional figures, while properties subject to a mortgage accounted for 23.0% and rental accommodation made up 43.5%. Typical monthly mortgage payments were $1,040 and median weekly rent was $220, both significantly more affordable than the Regional Vic. averages of $1,430 and $285. In a national context, Robinvale's housing overheads remain notably lower than the Australian average mortgage payment of $1,863 per month and weekly rental cost of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Robinvale counted 1,067 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 30% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 22% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements, representing 69.0% of households; this includes couples with children (30.4%), couples without children (26.5%), and single parent families (9.8%). Non-family living situations account for the remaining 31.0%, divided into lone person residences (22.4%) and shared group arrangements (8.6%). The typical household comprises a median of 2.9 people, exceeding the Regional Vic. benchmark of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
13.8% of adults in Robinvale hold a university qualification, including 10.7% with a bachelor degree and 1.6% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 95% of areas nationally. A further 19.9% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 505 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 900 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary qualification levels present an educational hurdle for the locality, with university degrees held by 13.8% of residents compared to the VIC benchmark of 33.4%, highlighting a clear focus area for future education programs. Bachelor degrees form the largest share of higher education at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate studies at 1.6% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Meanwhile, technical and vocational training is strongly represented, as 28.4% of community members aged 15+ hold vocational credentials, including 8.5% with advanced diplomas and 19.9% with certificates. Active learning engagement is widespread throughout the community, with 31.0% of residents attending formal schooling or tertiary institutions.
Broken down by stage, 12.6% participate in primary education, 9.7% attend secondary schools, and 2.0% are enrolled in tertiary education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Robinvale means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Robinvale's public transit network features 11 active transit stops supporting train and bus services across 7 routes, which deliver 92 weekly passenger trips in aggregate. Public transit access is moderate, with residents situated an average distance of 429 meters from their nearest transit stop. Commuters mostly travel outward for work, with private motor vehicles representing 86% of journey-to-work travel and 7% walking. Household vehicle density stands at an average of 1.7 per dwelling, surpassing regional levels. Meanwhile, a modest 7.3% of the workforce operated from home based on the 2021 Census, which coincided with COVID-19 conditions.
Transit services operate at an average rate of 13 daily journeys across all lines, delivering approximately 8 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
77.3% of residents in Robinvale report no long-term health condition. 4.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Public health indicators in Robinvale track closely against nationwide standards according to AreaSearch analyses of mortality and long-term illness data, exhibiting typical prevalence rates across younger and older demographics alike. Private health insurance membership remains limited, with approximately 47% of residents (~1,755 people) maintaining coverage, compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic. and a national average of 55.7%. Asthma and diabetes represent the most frequent long-term ailments locally, affecting 6.0 and 5.5% of the population respectively, while 77.3% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, tracking above the Regional Vic.
rate of 63.4%. The working-age population demonstrates solid health profiles with minimal chronic illnesses. Seniors aged 65 and over comprise 15.4% of the population (576 people), notably below the 24.0% regional proportion. Health metrics among elderly residents exceed regional norms and achieve strong positions on national scales.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
43.2% of Robinvale residents were born overseas and 48.1% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 87% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (15.6%) and English (14.6%). 6.6% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Robinvale demonstrates significant cultural variety, with 43.2% of its community born overseas and 48.1% speaking a non-English language in their homes. Christianity stands as the leading faith, adhered to by 55.2% of residents. In addition, Buddhism is distinctly prominent at 15.1% of the local population, far exceeding the Regional Vic. baseline of 1.0%. Examining parental countries of birth, the primary ancestries reported across Robinvale are Other at 24.6% (compared to the regional standard of 4.7%), Australian at 15.6% (against 29.6% regionally), and English at 14.6% (versus 30.7% across the region).
Distinct variations also appear across other demographic heritages, including Italian ancestry at 13.3% (against 2.9% regionally), Vietnamese background at 4.7% (compared to 0.2%), and Australian Aboriginal heritage at 6.6% (exceeding the regional share of 1.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Robinvale is 36. 28.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic profile in Robinvale skews younger relative to Regional Vic. overall. Estimates current to August 2026 indicate that young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) make up 35.9% of the populace, compared to 23.1% regionally, whereas older cohorts (65+) account for 15.4% against 24.0% across Regional Vic.. The median age stands at an estimated 36 years, matching the 2021 Census figure and sitting 7 years below the Regional Vic. benchmark of 43 from that Census. The share of young to middle aged adults has risen from 34.0% at the Census to an estimated 35.9%.
Looking ahead to 2041, population growth will center largely within the 45 - 64 bracket, which is slated to add 11 residents (1%) to reach 796 people, while older demographics, young adults, and children are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Robinvale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 3 months ago all 7 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 21 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,740 at the 2021 Census → 3,751 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (215031403). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.