Robinvale

An assessment of population growth drivers in Robinvale reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Robinvale's population is approximately 3,769 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 29 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,740. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 3,738 in June 2024 and an additional 16 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 20 persons per square kilometer. Robinvale's growth rate of 0.8% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's rate of -0.3%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 76.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the area's population is expected to decline by 53 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts like the 45 to 54 group are projected to expand, with an increase of 89 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Robinvale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Robinvale has averaged approximately nine new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 48 homes. In the current financial year FY-26, ten approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents arriving per new home over these five years is around 0.7, indicating that new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand. This offers ample buyer choice and creates capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average value of new dwellings developed is $454,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In terms of commercial development, $6.7 million in approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating limited focus in this area compared to residential development. Relative to the rest of Victoria, Robinvale has around three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person. Nationally, it places among the 55th percentile of areas assessed, though building activity has accelerated in recent years. This level is similarly below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations.

New development in Robinvale consists of 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% attached dwellings, showing an expanding range of medium-density options that create a mix of opportunities across price brackets. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 90.0% houses. This shift may suggest diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The estimated count of people in the area per dwelling approval is 401, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. With population projections showing stability or decline, Robinvale should see reduced housing demand pressures in the future, benefiting potential buyers.

Robinvale has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 19thth percentile nationally

Ten projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the local area significantly. These include the Robinvale Riverfront Masterplan, Robinvale Key Worker Accommodation, Nyah West Skate Park Development, and Nyah Netball Courts and Lighting. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Robinvale demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Robinvale has a balanced workforce with diverse sector representation. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.4%.

Employment among residents is concentrated in agriculture, forestry & fishing, administrative & support, and retail trade. The area demonstrates notable concentration in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with employment levels at 6.2 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 5.6% versus the regional average of 16.8%. The labour force decreased by 4.4% over a 12-month period while employment declined by 3.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 1.5 percentage points.

In contrast, Rest of Vic. experienced an employment decline of 0.7% and labour force decline of 0.6%. State-level data from 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Robinvale's employment should increase by 4.0% over five years and 9.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates Robinvale SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $32,968 and an average of $42,453. This is below the national average. Rest of Vic., in comparison, had a median income of $48,741 and an average of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $36,977 (median) and $47,615 (average). Census 2021 income data shows Robinvale's household, family, and personal incomes all fall between the 13th and 23rd percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals 29.5% of Robinvale's population (1,111 individuals) have incomes within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to regional levels where 30.3% occupy this range. Housing costs are modest in Robinvale with 88.8% of income retained, resulting in total disposable income ranking at the 30th percentile nationally.

Robinvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Robinvale's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Vic.'s dwelling structure was 90.7% houses and 9.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Robinvale stood at 33.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 23.0% and rented ones at 43.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Robinvale was $1,040, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,083. The median weekly rent figure in Robinvale was $220, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $200. Nationally, Robinvale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Robinvale features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.0% of all households, including 30.4% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 9.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.0%, with lone person households at 22.4% and group households comprising 8.6%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.3.

Robinvale faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.8%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 28.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.5%) and certificates (19.9%). Educational participation is high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.6% in primary, 9.7% in secondary, and 2.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Robinvale has ten active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by eleven routes that together facilitate 110 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is moderate, with residents on average located 429 meters from the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages fifteen trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately eleven weekly trips per individual stop.

Robinvale's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Robinvale. Both young and old age cohorts saw low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover was found to be extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~1,741 people). This is lower than the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and diabetes, impacting 6.0 and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 77.3% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 64.1% across Rest of Vic.. As of 2021, 14.5% of residents were aged 65 and over (544 people), which is lower than the 24.0% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Robinvale is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Robinvale has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.2% of its population born overseas and 48.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Robinvale is Christianity, comprising 55.2% of the population. Notably, Buddhism represents 15.1%, which is significantly higher than the Rest of Vic average of 2.4%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (24.6%), Australian (15.6%), and English (14.6%).

The Other group is substantially higher than the regional average of 5.7%, while Australian and English are notably lower than their respective averages of 31.4% and 29.7%. There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Italian at 13.3% (vs 4.0% regionally), Vietnamese at 4.7% (vs 0.7%), and Australian Aboriginal at 6.6% (vs 2.5%).

Robinvale's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Robinvale's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Rest of Vic. average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented in Robinvale at 18.9%, compared to the Rest of Vic. average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 8.8%. Following the census on 09-Aug-2021, the 0-4 age group grew from 6.1% to 7.8% of the population, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 17.7% to 18.9%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 12.1% to 10.2%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 12.3% to 10.5%. Demographic modeling suggests Robinvale's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45-54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 21%, adding 85 residents to reach 494. Meanwhile, both the 35-44 and 15-24 age groups are projected to see reduced numbers.