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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Robinvale has an estimated 3,749 residents. Density is about 21 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Robinvale stands at approximately 3,749 in May 2026. This represents an addition of 9 residents (0.2%) relative to the 2021 Census count of 3,740 people. This adjustment is determined using the ABS estimated resident population of 3,749 for June 2025 alongside 20 validated new addresses identified since the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 20 persons per square kilometer, indicating a spacious residential environment. The 0.2% expansion rate of Robinvale since the 2021 census was higher than the SA3 area (-2.8%) and the SA4 region, even though overall gains were small.
The main driver of this population growth was overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 73.2% of the total demographic gains in recent times. AreaSearch relies on the ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 locality, published in 2024 using 2022 as the starting year. In cases where SA2 areas lack this specific dataset, AreaSearch uses the Regional/LGA projections from the VIC State Government released in 2023, adjusting them via a method that aggregates population growth from LGA to SA2 levels using weights. The age group growth rates derived from these calculations are applied to all regions for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Based on these anticipated demographic transitions, the overall population is projected to drop, with a reduction of 52 persons by 2041 under this approach. Conversely, expansion is projected within certain age groups, particularly the 45 to 54 cohort, which is expected to grow by 93 people. Refer to the age section for further information.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
48 new dwellings have been approved in Robinvale over the past five years, an average of 9 a year. That is 2.6 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 10, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Robinvale has averaged approximately 9 residential building approvals per year, summing to 48 dwellings over the past 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, 10 approvals have been documented. Because the population has decreased in recent years, the supply of housing has remained sufficient to meet demand, leading to a balanced market with diverse choices for buyers, while newly constructed dwellings have an average value of $454,000, indicating that developers are focusing on the higher-end market with premium properties. Furthermore, commercial development approvals worth $6.7 million have been registered during this financial year, suggesting a modest emphasis on commercial projects.
Compared to the Rest of Vic., Robinvale exhibits approximately three-quarters of the dwelling approval rate per resident, ranking in the 56th percentile of evaluated areas nationwide, despite a recent rise in building activity. This rate falls below the national average, reflecting the established status of the locality and implying possible planning constraints. The composition of new developments is 62.0% standalone houses and 38.0% attached homes, showing a growing selection of medium-density choices that offer diverse options across different price points, ranging from standard family residences to cheaper, smaller alternatives. This represents a clear shift from the current housing stock (where houses make up 90.0%), pointing to a decrease in available development land and matching changing lifestyle choices and affordability constraints. The ratio of 401 people in the area for each approved dwelling highlights a quiet construction environment with low activity. Given that demographic projections point to stable or decreasing numbers, Robinvale is likely to experience less pressure on housing demand, which should benefit prospective purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Robinvale
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 7 current infrastructure and development projects inside Robinvale, worth an estimated $10 million. A further 78 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $42.6 billion. 20 are already under construction and 27 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans energy, residential development and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and planning schemes have a significant impact on local performance. AreaSearch has identified 10 key projects that are expected to influence the region. Important initiatives include the Robinvale Riverfront Masterplan, Robinvale Key Worker Accommodation, Nyah West Skate Park Development, and Nyah Netball Courts and Lighting, with the following list highlighting those of greatest significance.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Robinvale Riverfront Masterplan
Comprehensive masterplan adopted by Swan Hill Rural City Council to revitalise the Robinvale Riverfront area. Key elements include the 2 million AUD Robinvale Nature and Adventure Play in Centenary Park, a new skate park, and the Terrace Wharf redevelopment. The project aims to enhance community and cultural spaces, improve accessibility, and create a vibrant riverfront precinct.
Robinvale Key Worker Accommodation
Swan Hill Rural City Council is constructing 10 modern dwellings (8 two-bedroom and 2 three-bedroom units) at the former kindergarten site to provide affordable housing for essential key workers in Robinvale. Supported by a $5 million Regional Worker Accommodation Fund grant, the project is well advanced with expected completion in June 2026. Savings from the project will also fund an additional two modular homes at 49 Herbert Street.
Nyah Netball Courts and Lighting
Construction of two new fully compliant competition netball courts with lighting infrastructure at Nyah Recreation Reserve. The project will provide modern netball facilities with lighting to support training and competitive play during extended hours for the Nyah Nyah West United Football and Netball Club.
Robinvale Netball Courts Lighting Project
Installation of modern lighting systems for the Robinvale netball courts to enable evening training and competition. The project will improve accessibility and extend playing hours for the local netball community, supporting both junior and senior competitions.
Robinvale Community Housing Development
Community housing development in Robinvale providing affordable housing options for local residents. The project delivered new housing units to address the housing shortage in the region and support the growing community needs.
Swan Hill Worker Housing Project - Ronald Street
Two-stage development for worker accommodation in the Mallee region. Stage one, consisting of four three-bedroom houses, is complete and ready for move-in, with one house already sold. The homes provide accommodation for vital workers in industries like healthcare and education. Stage two involves four additional houses planned by Swan Hill Rural City Council for the site.
Robinvale Nature and Adventure Playground Ngiwa Kulaithi
The 5,000 square meter play precinct, named Ngiwa Kulaithi (meaning 'to sit river' in Latji Latji language), features a double twist slide, an all-abilities play tower and swing, junior Murray Cod play structure, water-play areas, a tunnel mound, sandpit, swings, bounce pads, and a skate park. The precinct incorporates shade structures, lily pad shade shelters, landscaping, all-abilities accessible paths, and local First Nations artwork. It is a key initiative of the Robinvale Riverfront Masterplan and is a significant community asset.
River Estate
Residential land subdivision on Luke Road, Euston, releasing 52 serviced lots (Stage 3 currently active) within walking distance of the Murray River, the Euston Club, Royal Hotel, Post Office, Primary School and local shops. Lots range from around 794 to 1,470 square metres with underground services to the boundary, including power, dual water and sewer. Lots remain on sale through the Paul Modica Real Estate office in Mildura, with individual titled blocks currently listed from the mid $70,000s to around $140,000.
1,913 residents of Robinvale are employed, from a labour force of 1,941. Unemployment sits at 1.4%, with participation at 62.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 4.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The labor force in Robinvale is evenly split between professional and manual occupations, drawing from a variety of sectors, and features a low unemployment rate of 1.4%. In March 2026, there were 1,913 working residents, with the unemployment rate sitting 2.2% below the Regional Vic. level of 3.7%, while the participation rate is close to the Regional Vic. figure of 61.1%. According to Census data, a modest 7.3% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may have been influenced by COVID-19 restrictions. The resident workforce is largely employed in agriculture, forestry & fishing, administrative & support, and retail trade.
There is a remarkably high concentration of workers in agriculture, forestry & fishing, which sits at 6.2 times the regional average. In contrast, health care & social assistance has a low share of employment at 5.6% compared to the regional average of 16.8%. The local area appears to provide few job opportunities, as shown by comparing the Census working population against the resident population. According to the AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics, the labor force shrank by 3.2% and total employment fell by 1.9% over the 12-month period, resulting in a 1.3 percentage point decrease in the unemployment rate. By comparison, Regional Vic. saw a 0.1% decline in employment and a 0.3% drop in the labor force, with the unemployment rate declining by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia dated May-25 offer additional context on future demand in Robinvale. These five-year and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model future growth. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though these rates vary widely across different sectors. Applying these industry projections to the employment structure of Robinvale suggests a local job increase of 4.0% over five years and 9.6% over ten years (this represents a basic weighted extrapolation for demonstration purposes and does not incorporate local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Robinvale is $1,347 a week (about $70,000 a year), with median personal income at $618 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $32,269 a year against an average of $43,193. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the most recent postcode ATO statistics released by AreaSearch for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the Robinvale SA2 earn a median income of $32,269 and an average income of $43,193. These figures are below the national averages, and compare to a median of $50,954 and an average of $62,728 in Regional Vic. Adjusting for Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, current values are estimated at approximately $35,373 (median) and $47,348 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census data indicates that personal, family, and household incomes in Robinvale fall between the 13th and 23rd percentiles on a national level.
The data shows that 29.5% of the population (1,105 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the trend in the broader region where 30.3% are in this bracket. Although living expenses are moderate, leaving residents with 88.8% of their income, total disposable income sits in only the 30th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Robinvale had 1,067 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 90% detached houses and 4% apartments. 23% are owned with a mortgage, 44% rented and 34% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $220 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,040 a month. Rent absorbs 16.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 17.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of housing types in Robinvale at the time of the latest Census consisted of 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings (such as townhouses, flats, or alternative options), compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings in Regional Vic. Home ownership in Robinvale was lower than the regional average, standing at 33.5%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (23.0%) or rented (43.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the locality was $1,040, which is much lower than the Regional Vic. average of $1,430, while the median weekly rent was $220, compared to the regional figure of $285.
Globally, mortgage repayments in Robinvale are significantly below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are much lower than the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Robinvale counted 1,067 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 30% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 22% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 69.0%, which includes couples with children at 30.4%, couples without children at 26.5%, and single parent families at 9.8%. The remaining 31.0% are non-family households, consisting of lone person households (22.4%) and group households (8.6%). The median household size is 2.9 people, which exceeds the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
13.8% of adults in Robinvale hold a university qualification, including 10.7% with a bachelor degree and 1.6% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 95% of areas nationally. A further 19.9% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 505 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 900 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The region presents low levels of tertiary education, with university qualification rates (13.8%) falling far short of the VIC average of 33.4%. This highlights both a difficulty and a chance for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.7%, with postgraduate qualifications at 1.6% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Vocational training is prominent, with 28.4% of residents aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (8.5%) and certificates (19.9%). Enrolment in education is quite high, with 31.0% of the population currently undertaking formal studies. This is comprised of 12.6% in primary schools, 9.7% in secondary schools, and 2.0% in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Robinvale means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
An analysis of public transport reveals that Robinvale has 11 active stops, including both train and bus options. These stops are serviced by 7 separate routes that run a total of 86 weekly passenger services. Transport access is moderate, with residents living an average of 429 meters from their nearest stop. Because this is a residential community, most workers travel outside the area, with private cars being the primary mode of travel at 86% and walking accounting for 7%. Car ownership stands at an average of 1.7 vehicles per household, which is higher than the regional average.
A small proportion of residents (7.3%) work from home, based on the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-related arrangements. Weekly service frequencies average 12 trips per day across all active routes, which translates to about 7 weekly services per transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
77.3% of residents in Robinvale report no long-term health condition. 4.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 46.8% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health outcomes in Robinvale align closely with national averages, according to the AreaSearch analysis of death rates and chronic illness prevalence, showing a standard distribution of common conditions across different age brackets, while the level of private health insurance is low at roughly 47% of the population (~1,754 people). This is lower than the 50.5% recorded in Regional Vic. and the national average of 55.7%. Asthma and diabetes are the most prevalent medical diagnoses in the area, affecting 6.0 and 5.5% of residents respectively, while 77.3% of the population reported no chronic conditions, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic.
The working-age population is particularly healthy with a low rate of chronic illness. Residents aged 65 and over make up 15.1% of the population (566 people), which is lower than the Regional Vic. proportion of 23.9%. Health statistics for senior citizens are above average, ranking higher nationally than the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
43.2% of Robinvale residents were born overseas and 48.1% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 87% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (15.6%) and English (14.6%). 6.6% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Robinvale displays a high degree of multiculturalism, with 43.2% of residents born outside Australia and 48.1% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 55.2% of the local population. However, Buddhism is notably overrepresented at 15.1% of the community, which is much higher than the Regional Vic. average of 1.0%. Looking at parent birthplaces, the three largest ancestry groups in Robinvale are Other at 24.6% of the population (significantly above the regional average of 4.7%), Australian at 15.6% (much lower than the regional average of 29.6%), and English at 14.6% (far below the regional average of 30.7%).
Other ethnic populations show distinct differences, with Italian heritage representing 13.3% of Robinvale (compared to 2.9% across the region), Vietnamese heritage at 4.7% (compared to 0.2% regionally), and Australian Aboriginal heritage at 6.6% (compared to 1.4% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Robinvale is 35. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 29.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Robinvale is 35 years, which is much lower than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and slightly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Regional Vic. profile, the 25 - 34 age bracket is overrepresented at 18.8%, while the 65 - 74 bracket is underrepresented at 9.0%. Since the 2021 Census, children aged 0 to 4 have increased from 6.1% to 7.7% of the population, and the 35 to 44 age cohort has risen from 16.3% to 17.8%. In contrast, the 55 to 64 group has fallen from 12.1% to 9.5%, and the 5 to 14 cohort has dropped from 12.3% to 9.8%.
Age structure modeling indicates that Robinvale will see significant changes by 2041. The 45 to 54 cohort is expected to grow the most, increasing by 25% or 101 people to reach 515. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 cohorts are projected to shrink.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Robinvale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 2 months ago all 7 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 20 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,740 at the 2021 Census → 3,749 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (215031403). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.