Mildura Surrounds

Mildura Surrounds is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Mildura Surrounds' population is approximately 3,785 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 59 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,726. The growth is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 3,779 in June 2025 and the addition of 13 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a population density ratio of 0.20 persons per square kilometer. Mildura Surrounds' 1.6% growth since the 2021 Census exceeds both the SA4 region's (-1.0%) and SA3 area's growth rates, positioning it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 91.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic trends anticipate above median population growth in national non-metropolitan areas, with Mildura Surrounds expected to increase by 575 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 15.0% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mildura Surrounds, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mildura Surrounds averaged approximately six new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25. A total of 31 homes were approved during this period, with an additional three approved in FY26 as of current data. On average, each dwelling has accommodated 2.4 new residents per year over these five financial years, indicating strong demand that supports property values.

The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $411,000, suggesting developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $88.9 million in commercial approvals, reflecting robust local commercial activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Mildura Surrounds shows significantly reduced construction levels, at 68.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. Furthermore, this is also lower than national averages, possibly indicating market maturity or development constraints.

All new constructions in the area have been standalone homes, maintaining Mildura Surrounds' traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 1420 people, reflecting its quiet and low-activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Mildura Surrounds is projected to gain 569 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Mildura Surrounds has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 35thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 41 projects expected to impact the region. Notable initiatives include the Victorian Murray Floodplain Restoration Project, Nowingi Solar Power Station, Red Cliffs Solar Farm, and Sunraysia Water Efficiency Project. The following details those anticipated to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Mildura Surrounds performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Mildura Surrounds has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Its unemployment rate is 1.1%. Over the past year, employment has been relatively stable.

As of December 2025, 2,033 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is 64.2%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. A moderate 16.6% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

The area has a strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing (5.6 times the regional level), but lower representation in construction (4.3% vs regional average of 10.4%). Many residents may commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.0%, while employment remained stable, leading to a 2.0 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, Regional Vic. saw an employment decline of 0.6% and labour force decline of 0.7%, with a 0.1 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Mildura Surrounds' employment could increase by 4.8% over five years and 11.0% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Mildura Surrounds SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $48,220 and an average of $54,365. This is below the national average. Regional Vic.'s median was $50,954 with an average of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimates as of March 2026 would be approximately $52,859 (median) and $59,595 (average). The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in Mildura Surrounds fall between the 16th and 28th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 30.0% of locals (1,135 people) earn between $1,500 - 2,999, similar to metropolitan regions at 30.3%. Housing costs are modest with 93.3% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at the 26th percentile nationally.

Mildura Surrounds is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mildura Surrounds' dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 92.4% houses and 7.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). Regional Vic., meanwhile, had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mildura Surrounds was 54.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.0% and rented ones at 20.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $900, below Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Mildura Surrounds was $150, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863 and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Mildura Surrounds features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 64.5% of all households, consisting of 23.9% couples with children, 32.7% couples without children, and 6.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 35.5%, with lone person households at 32.7% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Regional Vic average of 2.4.

Mildura Surrounds faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.2%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (8.1%) and certificates (29.2%). Educational participation is high at 28.8%, including primary education (11.5%), secondary education (9.6%), and tertiary education (2.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.5% in primary education, 9.6% in secondary education, and 2.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 15 active transport stops operating within Mildura Surrounds. These stops are serviced by 4 individual routes, collectively providing 43 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 3018 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 86%, with 10% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, some 16.6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 6 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Mildura Surrounds are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Mildura Surrounds as of AreaSearch's assessment on March 18th, 2021. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover was very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~1,771 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic.

and a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions were arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.4 and 8.3% of residents respectively, while 66.9% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. Working-age residents showed above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area had 24.7% of residents aged 65 and over (936 people) as of March 18th, 2021. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Mildura Surrounds is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura Surrounds' cultural diversity was below average, with 84.9% of its population being citizens and 91.3% born in Australia. English was spoken by 94.4% at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 48.8%.

The most notable overrepresentation was in Other religions, at 1.4%, compared to Regional Vic's 0.8%. Ancestry-wise, Australian (33.9%), English (31.6%), and Scottish (8.2%) were the top three groups. Samoan representation was notably higher at 1.1% vs regional 0.1%, German at 5.5% vs 3.5%, and Croatian at 0.4%.

Mildura Surrounds hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Mildura Surrounds' median age of 45 years is modestly higher than Regional Vic.'s 43 years, which is considerably older than the national norm of 38 years. Compared to the Regional Vic. average, the 65-74 cohort is notably over-represented at 14.6% locally, while the 35-44 age group is under-represented at 11.0%. This 65-74 concentration is well above the national figure of 9.4%. From 2021 to present, the 25-34 age group has grown from 10.6% to 12.9%, and the 15-24 cohort has increased from 9.2% to 11.2%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has declined from 16.5% to 12.4%. Demographic modeling suggests Mildura Surrounds' age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to expand notably, increasing by 174 people (36%) from 489 to 664. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 15-24 and 55-64 cohorts.