Mildura - South

Mildura - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Mildura - South's population is approximately 17,086 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 678 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,408. The growth was inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,689 in June 2024 and an additional 555 validated new addresses post-Census date. This results in a density ratio of 335 persons per square kilometer. Mildura - South's population grew by 4.1% between the Census dates, outperforming both the SA4 region (1.3%) and the SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.6% to this growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends indicate a significant population increase in the top quartile of national regional areas. Mildura - South is projected to increase by 4,745 persons by 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 25.4% over these 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Mildura - South among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Mildura - South has received approximately 122 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 610 homes. As of FY-26, 80 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.2 new residents arrived per newly constructed home each year between FY-21 and FY-25. However, this rate has moderated to 0.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years. The average construction value of new properties is $291,000.

In FY-26, commercial approvals have reached $38.1 million, indicating robust commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Mildura - South has shown elevated construction levels, averaging 45.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. Recent construction comprises 92.0% standalone homes and 8.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature.

With around 153 people per approval, Mildura - South reflects a low-density area. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, Mildura - South is projected to gain 4,347 residents by 2041. Construction pace has been reasonable with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as the population grows.

Mildura - South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Mildura South Neighbourhood Activity Centre, Mildura Sporting Precinct, River Heights Estate, Merbein, and Lake Hawthorn Foreshore Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Mildura - South well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Mildura - South has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.1%. In this period, 8,204 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.7% lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation in Mildura - South is similar to Rest of Vic., at 61.4%. According to Census responses, 8.8% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and agriculture, forestry & fishing.

Construction shows lower representation at 7.2%, compared to the regional average of 10.4%. The area may have limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.1% and employment declined by 2.2%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate of 1.9 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.7%, labour force contracted by 0.6%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 estimate growth patterns for Mildura - South over five and ten-year periods. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific projections suggesting local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Mildura - South SA2's income level is lower than average nationally, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Mildura - South SA2 is $46,928, with an average income of $55,138. These figures compare to $50,954 and $62,728 respectively for Rest of Vic. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $50,800 (median) and $59,687 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Mildura - South rank modestly, between the 28th and 29th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 33.4% of residents (5,706 people), consistent with broader trends across the broader area at 30.3%. After housing costs, 85.6% of income remains for other expenses.

Mildura - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Mildura - South's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.6% houses and 15.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mildura - South stood at 33.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.0% and rented dwellings at 32.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,334, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Mildura - South was $300, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,334 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Mildura - South has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 69.0% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.0%, with lone person households at 27.8% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Mildura - South fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.7%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (25.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.8% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.8% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.8% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mildura - South has 137 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 21 routes providing 753 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 216 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily, predominantly using cars (96%). On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, only 8.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 107 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately five weekly trips per stop. A map accompanies this data, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Mildura - South is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Mildura South faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (around 8,098 people), compared to 50.5% in the rest of Victoria and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 9.0% of residents and arthritis impacting 8.5%, while 65.7% claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in the rest of Victoria. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (3,189 people), lower than the 23.5% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mildura - South was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura-South, surveyed in 2016, had 19.1% of its population born overseas and 18.6% speaking a language other than English at home, indicating above-average cultural diversity. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 48.4%. The 'Other' religious category showed overrepresentation at 1.7%, compared to 0.8% in Rest of Vic.

Top ancestry groups were English (27.3%), Australian (26.5%), and Other (8.8%). Notably, Italian (7.4%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 2.9%. Samoan (0.4%) and Greek (1.2%) also had higher representations than the region's 0.1% and 0.5%, respectively.

Mildura - South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Mildura - South has a median age of 38, which is lower than the Rest of Vic.'s figure of 43 but equivalent to Australia's national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group comprises 15.1% of Mildura - South's population compared to Rest of Vic., while the 65-74 cohort makes up 9.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the 35-44 age group grew from 12.0% to 14.0%, the 45-54 cohort declined from 11.8% to 10.5%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 11.8% to 10.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Mildura - South's age profile will change significantly. The 35-44 age group is projected to grow by 42%, adding 1,015 people to reach 3,409 from the current 2,393. Meanwhile, numbers in the 55-64 age range are expected to decrease by 28%.