Mildura - South

Mildura - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Mildura - South's population is approximately 17,282, marking a 5.3% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 16,408 people. This growth can be inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,690 in June 2024 and an additional 555 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is around 338 persons per square kilometer. Mildura - South's population growth exceeded that of its SA4 region (1%) and SA3 area, making it a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.6% to recent population gains in the area. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Mildura - South is projected to increase its population by 4,745 persons, reflecting a total increase of 24.0% over the 17-year period. This significant growth places it in the top quartile of national regional areas for population increase.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Mildura - South among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Mildura - South has seen approximately 122 dwellings granted development approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 610 homes. By June 2026, 68 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.2 new residents arrived per year for each new home built between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting a balanced supply-demand market. However, this has moderated to 0.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years. The average construction value of new properties is $291,000.

This financial year has seen $38.1 million in commercial approvals, indicating robust commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Mildura - South shows elevated construction levels, 45.0% above the regional average per person over five years. Recent construction comprises 92.0% standalone homes and 8.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's low density character.

With around 153 people per approval, Mildura - South reflects a low-density population. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Mildura - South to gain 4,151 residents by 2041. Construction pace is keeping up with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as the population grows.

Mildura - South has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 24thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include Mildura South Neighbourhood Activity Centre, Mildura Sporting Precinct, River Heights Estate, Merbein, and Lake Hawthorn Foreshore Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Mildura - South well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Mildura - South has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.1%.

As of September 2025, there are 8,204 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.7% below the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation is on par with Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance (26%), retail trade (19%), and agriculture, forestry & fishing (10%).

Construction shows lower representation at 7.2% compared to the regional average of 10.4%. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.1%, while employment declined by 2.2%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 1.9 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Mildura - South's employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Mildura - South SA2's median income among taxpayers was $45,758 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $53,689 during the same period. These figures compare to Rest of Vic.'s median and average incomes of $48,741 and $60,693 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Mildura - South SA2 would be approximately $51,322 (median) and $60,218 (average) as of September 2025. According to census data, household, family, and personal incomes in Mildura - South rank modestly, between the 28th and 29th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 33.4% of residents (5,772 people), consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 30.3% in the same category. After housing expenses, 85.6% of income remains for other expenses.

Mildura - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Mildura - South's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.6% houses and 15.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 85.6% houses and 14.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mildura - South was at 33.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.0% and rented ones at 32.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,334, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,283. The median weekly rent figure was $300, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $265. Nationally, Mildura - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,334 against Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Mildura - South has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.0% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.0%, with lone person households at 27.8% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Mildura - South fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.7%, significantly lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 12.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are common, with 35.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (25.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.8% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mildura - South operates 125 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 16 individual routes that collectively facilitate 626 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 217 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 89 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 5 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Mildura - South is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Mildura South faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 47% of its total population (~8122 people) has private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (9.0%) and arthritis (8.5%). Around 65.7% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the Rest of Vic's figure of 65.1%. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (3226 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mildura - South was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura-South had cultural diversity above average, with 19.1% of its population born overseas and 18.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Mildura-South, comprising 48.4%. The most notable overrepresentation was in Other religions, which made up 1.7% compared to 1.0% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (27.3%), Australian (26.5%), and Other (8.8%). There were also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Italian was overrepresented at 7.4%, Samoan at 0.4%, and Greek at 1.2%.

Mildura - South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Mildura - South has a median age of 38, which is lower than Rest of Vic.'s figure of 43 but equivalent to Australia's national norm of 38. The age group of 25-34 is strongly represented at 15.1%, compared to Rest of Vic., while the 65-74 cohort is less prevalent at 9.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 12.0% to 14.0% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 11.8% to 10.5%, and the 55 to 64 age group has dropped from 11.8% to 10.7%. Demographic modeling indicates that Mildura - South's age profile will significantly change by 2041. Leading this shift, the 35 to 44 age group is projected to grow by 41%, adding 987 people and reaching a total of 3,409 from its current figure of 2,421. Meanwhile, the number of people in the 55 to 64 age range is expected to decrease by 49%.