Mildura - South

Mildura - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of May 2026, Mildura - South's population is approximately 16,753, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents a growth of 345 people (2.1%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,408. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 16,708 in June 2025 and an additional 610 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 328 persons per square kilometer. Mildura - South's growth rate exceeded that of its SA4 region (-1.0%) and SA3 area, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 54.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, they utilise the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made through weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Mildura - South is projected to increase by 4,415 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 26.1% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Mildura - South among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Mildura - South has received approximately 122 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 610 homes. As of FY-26119 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.2 new residents arrived annually for each new home between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting a balanced supply-demand ratio. However, this has moderated to 0.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating an improved balance. The average construction cost of new properties is $291,000.

This year, commercial approvals have reached $38.1 million, reflecting strong commercial development activity in the area. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Mildura - South has seen elevated construction levels, with 44.0% more approvals per person over the five-year period, offering buyers more choice while supporting current property values. Recent construction consists mainly of standalone homes (92.0%) and a smaller portion of medium and high-density housing (8.0%), preserving the area's low-density character and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The population density is around 153 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Mildura - South is projected to gain 4,369 residents by 2041. Construction activity is keeping pace with projected growth, but increasing competition among buyers is expected as the population grows.

Mildura - South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Mildura South Neighbourhood Activity Centre, Mildura Sporting Precinct, River Heights Estate, Merbein, and Lake Hawthorn Foreshore Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Mildura - South significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Mildura - South has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.8%, lower than Regional Vic.'s 3.7%. As of December 2025, 8,253 residents are employed.

Workforce participation is similar to Regional Vic.'s at 61.0%. According to Census data, 8.8% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and agriculture, forestry & fishing.

Construction employs only 7.2% of local workers compared to Regional Vic.'s 10.4%. Analysis shows limited local employment opportunities as the working population is lower than the resident population. Over December 2024 to December 2025, employment increased by 0.3%, labour force decreased by 2.1%, and unemployment rate fell by 2.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mildura - South's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data, released for financial year 2023, indicates that Mildura - South SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $46,928 and an average of $55,138. This is lower than the national average. Regional Vic., on the other hand, had a median income of $50,954 and an average of $62,728 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Mildura - South suggest approximately $51,442 median income and $60,442 average income by March 2026. According to the 2021 Census figures, incomes in Mildura - South rank modestly, between the 28th and 29th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income distribution shows that 33.4% of the population (5,595 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across regional levels at 30.3%. After housing expenses, 85.6% of income remains for other expenses.

Mildura - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Mildura - South, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.6% houses and 15.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mildura - South was at 33.5%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (34.0%) or rented (32.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,334, below Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $300, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Mildura - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Mildura - South has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.0% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.0%, with lone person households at 27.8% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Regional Vic average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Mildura - South fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.7%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (25.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.8% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mildura - South has 137 active public transport stops serving a mix of train and bus services. These stops are covered by 21 routes offering 753 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents have good access to transport, with an average distance of 216 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily, with cars being the primary mode of transportation at 96%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, only 8.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 107 trips per day, resulting in approximately 5 weekly trips per stop. A map displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint is provided.

Health performance in Mildura - South is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Mildura's southern region faces notable health challenges, as per AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are significant, with common health issues prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (around 7,940 people), compared to Regional Vic.'s 50.5% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (affecting 9.0% of residents) and arthritis (8.5%), while 65.7% claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to Regional Vic.'s 63.4%. Working-age residents show a higher-than-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 19.3% of residents aged 65 and over (3,231 people), lower than Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings largely in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mildura - South was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura-South has a cultural diversity index above average, with 19.1% of its population born overseas and 18.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Mildura-South, accounting for 48.4% of the population. The most notable overrepresentation is in the 'Other' category, comprising 1.7% compared to Regional Vic's 0.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (27.3%), Australian (26.5%), and Other (8.8%). Notable divergences include Italian (7.4% vs regional 2.9%), Samoan (0.4% vs 0.1%), and Greek (1.2% vs 0.5%) populations in Mildura-South.

Mildura - South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Mildura - South has a median age of 38, which is lower than Regional Victoria's figure of 43 but equal to the national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 14.9% of Mildura - South's population, higher than Regional Vic.'s percentage. However, the 65-74 cohort constitutes only 9.5%. Post-2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age group increased from 12.0% to 14.3%, while the 45 to 54 group decreased from 11.8% to 10.0%, and the 55 to 64 group fell from 11.8% to 10.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Mildura - South's age profile. The 35 to 44 group is expected to grow by 38%, adding 900 people and reaching a total of 3,301 from the current 2,400. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 group will see more modest growth of 2%, with an increase of just 29 residents.