Mildura - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Mildura - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Mildura - South's population was around 17,282 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 874 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,408. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 16,690 in June 2024 and an additional 555 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 338 persons per square kilometer. Mildura - South's growth rate of 5.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (1.0%) and the SA3 area, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends forecasted a significant population increase in the top quartile of national regional areas, with Mildura - South expected to increase by 4,745 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 24.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Mildura - South among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Mildura South has received approximately 122 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 610 homes. As of FY26, 55 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.2 new residents arrived per new home annually between FY21 and FY25. However, this has moderated to 0.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years. The average construction value for new properties is $291,000.

In FY26, there have been $38.1 million in commercial approvals. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Mildura South shows elevated construction activity, with 45.0% more approvals per person over the five-year period. Recent construction comprises 92.0% standalone homes and 8.0% medium and high-density housing.

The area reflects a low density population, with around 153 people per approval. Population forecasts indicate Mildura South will gain 4,151 residents by 2041. Construction pace is maintaining with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as population grows.

Mildura - South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Mildura South Neighbourhood Activity Centre, Mildura Sporting Precinct, River Heights Estate, Merbein, and Lake Hawthorn Foreshore Development.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Mildura - South presents a mixed picture: unemployment remains low at 2.9%, yet recent job losses have affected its comparative national standing

Mildura - South has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.9%.

As of June 2025, 8,137 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.9%, which is 0.9% lower than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Mildura - South is on par with the Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and agriculture, forestry & fishing.

Construction shows lower representation at 7.2% compared to the regional average of 10.4%. Over the year to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.1%, employment declined by 3.3%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic.'s employment fell by 0.9%, labour force contracted by 0.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a five-year growth of 6.6% and ten-year growth of 13.7%. Applying these projections to Mildura - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Mildura - South's median income among taxpayers was $45,758 and the average income stood at $53,689 in financial year 2022. This compares to figures for Rest of Vic., which were $48,741 and $60,693 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $51,322 (median) and $60,218 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Mildura - South, between the 29th and 29th percentiles. The earnings profile shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 33.4% of residents (5,772 people), consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 30.3% in the same category. After housing, 85.6% of income remains for other expenses.

Mildura - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Mildura - South, as per the latest Census, 84.6% of dwellings were houses while 15.4% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s figures of 85.6% for houses and 14.3% for other dwellings. Home ownership in Mildura - South stood at 33.5%, similar to Non-Metro Vic., with mortgaged properties at 34.0% and rented ones at 32.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,334, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,283. Weekly rent median stood at $300 compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $265. Nationally, Mildura - South's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Mildura - South has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 69.0% of all households, including 26.9% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.0%, with lone person households at 27.8% and group households at 3.1%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Mildura - South fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.7%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 35.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.2% and certificates at 25.3%. Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.8% in primary, 7.6% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Mildura - South, educating approximately 2,587 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 952) and balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes two primary, two secondary, and two K-12 schools. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mildura - South has 125 active public transport stops. These are served by 16 routes offering a total of 626 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 217 meters.

On average, there are 89 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 5 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Mildura - South is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Mildura South faces significant health challenges. Common health conditions are prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~8,122 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues impact 9.0% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.5%. 65.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 65.1% across Rest of Vic. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (3,226 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mildura - South was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura South has a cultural diversity level above average, with 19.1% of its population born overseas and 18.6% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Mildura South, comprising 48.4% of its population. The most significant overrepresentation is in the 'Other' category, which makes up 1.7% of the population compared to 1.0% across Victoria's rest of the region.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are English (27.3%), Australian (26.5%), and Other (8.8%). Notably, Italian is overrepresented at 7.4%, Samoan at 0.4%, and Australian Aboriginal at 3.3%.

Mildura - South's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Mildura - South has a median age of 38, which is lower than the Rest of Vic.'s figure of 43 but matches the national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group comprises 15.1% of Mildura - South's population, higher than Rest of Vic., while the 65-74 cohort makes up 9.2%. Post-2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age group increased from 12.0% to 14.0%, and the 45 to 54 group decreased from 11.8% to 10.5%. The 55 to 64 cohort also dropped from 11.8% to 10.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Mildura - South's age profile. Leading this shift, the 35 to 44 group is expected to grow by 41%, reaching 3,409 people from 2,421. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age range is predicted to decrease by 49%.