Mildura - South

Mildura - South lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Mildura - South's population is approximately 17,169 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 761 people, a 4.6% rise since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 16,408. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 16,689 in June 2024 and an additional 606 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 336 persons per square kilometer. Mildura - South's growth rate exceeded that of its SA4 region (1.5%) and SA3 area, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends forecast a significant population increase in the top quartile of national regional areas, with Mildura - South expected to increase by 4,745 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 24.8% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Mildura - South among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Mildura - South has received around 122 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 610 homes. By June 2026, 80 approvals had been recorded. On average, 1.2 new residents arrived annually for each new home between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply-demand ratio that has since moderated to 0.6 people per dwelling over the past two years. The average construction value of new properties is $291,000. In this financial year, there have been $38.1 million in commercial approvals.

Compared to the rest of Victoria, Mildura - South has seen elevated construction activity, with a 45% increase per person over five years. Recent construction consists of 92% standalone homes and 8% medium-high density housing, preserving the area's low-density nature. With around 153 people per approval, Mildura - South reflects this low-density trend.

According to AreaSearch estimates, the region is projected to gain 4,264 residents by 2041, potentially increasing competition among buyers as population grows.

Mildura - South has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include Mildura South Neighbourhood Activity Centre, Mildura Sporting Precinct, River Heights Estate, Merbein, and Lake Hawthorn Foreshore Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis places Mildura - South well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Mildura - South has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.1%. In this month, 8,204 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.7% lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation is similar to Rest of Vic., at 61.4%. According to Census responses, only 8.8% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and agriculture, forestry & fishing.

However, construction shows lower representation at 7.2%, compared to the regional average of 10.4%. The area may have limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.1% while employment declined by 2.2%, resulting in a fall in unemployment rate by 1.9 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw employment fall by 0.7%, labour force contract by 0.6%, and unemployment rise marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Mildura - South's employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Mildura - South SA2's median income among taxpayers was $46,928 and the average income stood at $55,138 in financial year 2023. This compares to figures for Rest of Vic., which were $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $50,800 (median) and $59,687 (average) as of September 2025. According to census data, household, family, and personal incomes all rank modestly in Mildura - South, between the 28th and 29th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 33.4% of residents (5,734 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 30.3% in the same category. After housing expenses, 85.6% of income remains for other expenses.

Mildura - South is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Mildura - South, as per the latest Census evaluation, 84.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 15.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mildura - South stood at 33.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.0% and rented ones at 32.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,334, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Mildura - South was $300, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,863, and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Mildura - South has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.0% of all households, consisting of 26.9% couples with children, 28.3% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.0%, with lone person households at 27.8% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Mildura - South fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.7%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 12.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are common, with 35.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.2%) and certificates (25.3%). Educational participation is high at 28.8%, with 10.8% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.8% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mildura - South has 137 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 21 individual routes, providing a total of 753 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 216 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily, with car being the dominant mode at 96%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 8.8% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 107 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 5 weekly trips per individual stop. The map provided shows the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Mildura - South is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Mildura's south faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is very low at approximately 47% of the total population (around 8,138 people), compared to 50.5% in the rest of Victoria and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.0 and 8.5% of residents respectively. About 65.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in the rest of Victoria. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.4% of residents aged 65 and over (around 3,153 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mildura - South was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mildura-South has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 19.1% of its population born overseas and 18.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Mildura-South, accounting for 48.4% of its population. Notably, the category 'Other' comprises 1.7% of Mildura-South's population, which is higher than the Rest of Vic's average of 0.8%.

The top three ancestry groups in Mildura-South are English (27.3%), Australian (26.5%), and Other (8.8%). Some ethnic groups have significant representation in Mildura-South: Italian at 7.4% (regional average is 2.9%), Samoan at 0.4% (regional average is 0.1%), and Greek at 1.2% (regional average is 0.5%).

Mildura - South's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Mildura - South has a median age of 38, which is lower than the Rest of Vic. figure of 43 but equivalent to the national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group comprises 15.6% of its population compared to Rest of Vic., while the 65-74 cohort makes up 9.1%. Post the 2021 Census, younger residents have decreased the median age by 1.1 years to 38. Specifically, the 35-44 age group grew from 12.0% to 14.6%, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 14.2% to 15.6%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 11.8% to 10.0%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 11.8% to 10.4%. By 2041, Mildura - South is projected to experience notable shifts in its age composition. The 35-44 cohort is expected to grow by 36%, adding 902 residents to reach 3,409. Meanwhile, the 55-64 group is projected to grow by 1%, adding only 9 residents.