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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Robinvale has an estimated 3,495 residents. Density is about 46 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to the analysis of recent ABS demographic releases for the wider region alongside newly confirmed addresses recorded by AreaSearch following the Census, the suburb of Robinvale has an estimated resident base of 3,495 individuals as of May 2026. This indicates a contraction of 2 people (0.1%) from the 2021 Census, when the count stood at 3,497 people. This revised figure of 3,495 is derived by AreaSearch from the June 2025 ABS ERP data release, combined with 20 validated new addresses added post-Census. The current count represents a density of 46 persons per square kilometer, indicating residents enjoy significant personal space.
Although the suburb of Robinvale recorded a 0.1% contraction since the 2021 census, its trajectory was stronger than the broader SA3 area which saw a decline of -2.8%. The primary driver of local demographic gains in recent times has been overseas migration, accounting for roughly 76.0% of the growth. AreaSearch incorporates regional demographic projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024, which establish 2022 as their starting point. In instances where specific SA2 geographies lack this coverage, projections from the VIC State Government's 2023 release are utilized, modified by aggregating local government area growth figures down to the SA2 level. Growth trajectories by age brackets derived from these models are further projected forward for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographic shifts, these calculations suggest a net reduction in residents, with the overall population projected to shrink by 46 persons by 2041. In contrast, expansion is anticipated within particular age brackets, most notably among individuals aged 45 to 54, whose numbers are set to increase by 88 people.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
48 new dwellings have been approved in Robinvale over the past five years, an average of 9 a year. That is 2.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 10, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of building permit statistics compiled by AreaSearch from regional datasets indicates that the suburb of Robinvale averages about 9 new residential approvals annually. This amounts to a total of 48 homes approved during the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, alongside 10 approvals registered so far during FY-26. Even with a declining resident base in recent times, building activity has remained relatively sufficient, presenting good opportunities for purchasers. Newly constructed residences carry an average building cost of $677,000, pointing to a strategic emphasis by builders on high-end, premium housing projects.
Furthermore, commercial building approvals worth $6.7 million have been logged this financial year, highlighting the primarily residential nature of the locality. Per capita residential construction in the suburb of Robinvale is 15.0% lower than the rate observed in the Rest of Vic., positioning the locality in the 60th percentile of all examined regions across the country, despite a recent acceleration in building approvals. This pace of development is also below the nationwide benchmark, indicating a mature local property market and potential supply barriers. Approved construction projects consist of 60.0% detached houses and 40.0% attached dwellings, demonstrating an expanding variety of multi-unit designs that cater to different budgets, ranging from large family residences to compact, lower-cost alternatives. This represents a clear departure from the historical local housing mix, which currently consists of 89.0% houses, signaling a lack of vacant land and reflecting changing modern preferences for diverse, cost-effective living spaces. The current ratio stands at approximately 258 people per approved dwelling, which is characteristic of a low-density property market. Given that future demographic projections point to stable or contracting numbers, the suburb of Robinvale is likely to experience minimal residential supply pressures, creating advantageous market conditions for home buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Robinvale
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 8 current infrastructure and development projects inside Robinvale, worth an estimated $10 million. A further 52 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $15.2 billion. 14 are already under construction and 21 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, energy and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning decisions, and new developments are key drivers of regional growth. AreaSearch has identified 10 projects that are expected to influence the locality. High-profile initiatives include the Robinvale Riverfront Masterplan, Robinvale Key Worker Accommodation, Nyah West Skate Park Development, and the Robinvale Netball Courts Lighting Project, with details of the most significant works listed below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Robinvale Riverfront Masterplan
Comprehensive masterplan adopted by Swan Hill Rural City Council to revitalise the Robinvale Riverfront area. Key elements include the 2 million AUD Robinvale Nature and Adventure Play in Centenary Park, a new skate park, and the Terrace Wharf redevelopment. The project aims to enhance community and cultural spaces, improve accessibility, and create a vibrant riverfront precinct.
Robinvale Key Worker Accommodation
Swan Hill Rural City Council is constructing 10 modern dwellings (8 two-bedroom and 2 three-bedroom units) at the former kindergarten site to provide affordable housing for essential key workers in Robinvale. Supported by a $5 million Regional Worker Accommodation Fund grant, the project is well advanced with expected completion in June 2026. Savings from the project will also fund an additional two modular homes at 49 Herbert Street.
Robinvale Netball Courts Lighting Project
Installation of modern lighting systems for the Robinvale netball courts to enable evening training and competition. The project will improve accessibility and extend playing hours for the local netball community, supporting both junior and senior competitions.
Nyah Netball Courts and Lighting
Construction of two new fully compliant competition netball courts with lighting infrastructure at Nyah Recreation Reserve. The project will provide modern netball facilities with lighting to support training and competitive play during extended hours for the Nyah Nyah West United Football and Netball Club.
Robinvale Community Housing Development
Community housing development in Robinvale providing affordable housing options for local residents. The project delivered new housing units to address the housing shortage in the region and support the growing community needs.
Swan Hill Worker Housing Project - Ronald Street
Two-stage development for worker accommodation in the Mallee region. Stage one, consisting of four three-bedroom houses, is complete and ready for move-in, with one house already sold. The homes provide accommodation for vital workers in industries like healthcare and education. Stage two involves four additional houses planned by Swan Hill Rural City Council for the site.
Robinvale Nature and Adventure Playground Ngiwa Kulaithi
The 5,000 square meter play precinct, named Ngiwa Kulaithi (meaning 'to sit river' in Latji Latji language), features a double twist slide, an all-abilities play tower and swing, junior Murray Cod play structure, water-play areas, a tunnel mound, sandpit, swings, bounce pads, and a skate park. The precinct incorporates shade structures, lily pad shade shelters, landscaping, all-abilities accessible paths, and local First Nations artwork. It is a key initiative of the Robinvale Riverfront Masterplan and is a significant community asset.
Nyah West Skate Park Development
Construction of a new skate park facility in Nyah West to provide recreational opportunities for young people and families. The project will deliver modern skate park infrastructure with metal skate elements including ramps, spine, quarters, fun box, and ledges designed to meet community needs and encourage active participation.
1,775 residents of Robinvale are employed, from a labour force of 1,803. Unemployment sits at 1.6%, with participation at 61.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 4.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,875, about 82% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Robinvale supports a balanced workforce distributed across manual and professional occupations, featuring a diverse industrial mix and a very low unemployment rate of 1.6%, according to AreaSearch figures. As of March 2026, employed residents numbered 1,775, keeping the local unemployment rate 2.1% lower than the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%. Participation in the local labor market is very close to the Regional Vic. rate of 61.1%. Data from the Census indicates that only 6.3% of workers performed their duties from home, though this figure may have been influenced by lockdown mandates.
The primary employment sectors for local residents are agriculture, forestry & fishing, administrative & support, and retail trade. The local workforce exhibits an exceptionally high concentration in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with representation reaching 6.1 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance accounts for only 5.4% of local employment, falling short of the Regional Vic. benchmark of 16.8%. The ratio of Census working individuals to resident workers suggests that local employment options within the suburb of Robinvale itself are relatively scarce. According to data from SALM and the ABS compiled by AreaSearch, the local workforce shrank by 3.2% over the 12 months ending March 2026, while the number of employed individuals fell by 2.0%, causing the unemployment rate to drop by 1.3 percentage points. This trend diverges from Regional Vic., where employment fell by 0.1%, the workforce decreased by 0.3%, and the unemployment rate dipped by 0.2 percentage points. National employment projections from May-25 released by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context regarding future labor demand. These models, which project out over five and ten years, have been mapped to local data to estimate future hiring. Nationwide employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with wide variation across different sectors. Applying these industry projections to the local workforce composition indicates that employment for residents of the suburb of Robinvale should rise by 4.0% over five years and 9.6% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Robinvale is $1,317 a week (about $68,000 a year), with median personal income at $615 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $32,807 a year against an average of $42,246. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The latest ATO data compiled by AreaSearch at the postcode level for financial year 2023 shows that personal earnings in the suburb of Robinvale are below the national benchmark, with a median of $32,807 and an average of $42,246. By comparison, Regional Vic. averages a median of $50,954 and an average of $62,728. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, contemporary estimates point to a median income of roughly $35,963 and an average of $46,310 as of March 2026. The 2021 Census places household, family, and individual earnings in the suburb of Robinvale within the 13th to 21st percentiles nationally.
Income distribution data indicates that the weekly earnings bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 accounts for 29.7% of the local population (1,038 individuals), which matches the broader regional trend where 30.3% fall into this bracket. While housing expenses are low, leaving residents with 88.5% of their earnings, overall disposable income remains low, placing in the 27th percentile nationwide.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Robinvale had 995 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 89% detached houses and 5% apartments. 23% are owned with a mortgage, 45% rented and 33% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $220 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,012 a month. Rent absorbs 16.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 17.7%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The local housing stock in the suburb of Robinvale at the time of the last Census consisted of 88.9% detached houses and 11.2% alternative structures like townhouses and apartments, compared to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other structures across Regional Vic. The rate of home ownership stood at 32.5%, trailing the regional average, with the remaining properties divided between those with a mortgage (23.0%) and rented homes (44.6%). Monthly mortgage commitments were low compared to the regional average, with a median of $1,012, while the median weekly rental cost was $220, compared to Regional Vic.
figures of $1,430 and $285. Nationally, mortgage payments in the suburb of Robinvale are much lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rent prices are far below the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Robinvale counted 995 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.9 people each. 29% are couples with children, against 26% couples without children. 23% of households are people living alone, and families average 2.0 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 68.2% of all local households, consisting of couples raising children at 28.7%, couples without children at 26.4%, and single-parent households at 10.4%. The remaining 31.8% consists of non-family households, with single-person households representing 22.8% and group households making up 9.3% of the total. The median size of local households is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
13.8% of adults in Robinvale hold a university qualification, including 10.9% with a bachelor degree and 1.6% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 95% of areas nationally. A further 20.1% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 505 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 900 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The suburb of Robinvale presents low rates of higher education, with university qualification holders representing 13.8% of the population, which is considerably below the VIC benchmark of 33.4%. This gap highlights both an educational deficit and a clear target for learning initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary credential at 10.9%, with postgraduate degrees at 1.6% and graduate diplomas at 1.3%. Practical and vocational skills are widely held, with 28.9% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas at 8.8% and certificates at 20.1%. A high proportion of residents are active students, with 31.2% of the population enrolled in an educational institution.
This enrollment consists of 12.5% of residents in primary schools, 9.8% in secondary schools, and 2.0% in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Robinvale means driving: households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport infrastructure includes 11 active stops in the suburb of Robinvale, consisting of train and bus facilities. These stops are serviced by 7 separate routes that run a combined total of 86 weekly passenger services. Accessibility is moderate, with residents living an average of 429 meters from their nearest transit stop. The locality is mainly residential, with most workers commuting out of the area; private cars are the primary mode of travel at 86%, while 7% of residents walk to work. Households own an average of 1.6 vehicles. A low 6.3% of workers commuted from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect the impact of pandemic lockdowns.
Services run at an average frequency of 12 trips per day across the network, which translates to roughly 7 weekly services for each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
77.0% of residents in Robinvale report no long-term health condition. 4.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 43.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators are positive for residents in the suburb of Robinvale, with AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality and chronic disease rates aligning closely with national averages, showing typical occurrences of common health issues across both younger and older demographics. The rate of private health insurance is low, covering approximately 44% of the population (~1,526 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic. and a national average of 55.7%. Asthma and diabetes are the most prevalent chronic conditions in the locality, affecting 6.0% and 5.6% of residents respectively, while 77.0% of the population reported no chronic conditions, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.
The working-age population is healthy, showing low rates of long-term illness. Older residents aged 65 and over account for 15.9% of the population (555 people), which is lower than the Regional Vic. share of 23.9%. Seniors in the suburb of Robinvale exhibit strong health outcomes, ranking higher relative to national benchmarks than the general local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
44.7% of Robinvale residents were born overseas and 49.9% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 88% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (15.0%) and English (14.2%). 7.0% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Robinvale displays high cultural diversity, with 44.7% of residents born outside Australia and 49.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 54.2% of the population. However, Buddhism shows a high concentration at 15.3% of the population, which is significantly higher than the Regional Vic. average of 1.0%. In terms of parent country of birth, the main ancestries represented are Other at 25.9% of the population, which is higher than the regional average of 4.7%, Australian at 15.0%, which is lower than the regional average of 29.6%, and English at 14.2%, which is lower than the regional average of 30.7%.
Other ethnic groups show distinct concentrations, with Italian ancestry making up 12.1% of the population (compared to 2.9% regionally), Vietnamese at 5.1% (compared to 0.2%), and Australian Aboriginal at 7.0% (compared to 1.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Robinvale is 36. 29.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 36 years in the suburb of Robinvale is lower than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and slightly younger than the Australian median of 38 years. The 25 - 34 cohort is highly represented at 18.8% compared to Regional Vic., while the 75 - 84 age bracket is smaller at 4.9%. Post-2021 Census data indicates the 0 to 4 group grew from 6.1% to 7.7% of the population, and the 35 to 44 cohort rose from 16.2% to 17.7%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 12.1% to 9.6% and the 55 to 64 bracket fell from 11.8% to 9.5%.
Demographic projections for 2041 indicate notable shifts, with the 45 to 54 age group projected to grow by 24% (92 people) to reach 484 from 391, while the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 cohorts are expected to decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Robinvale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 2 months ago all 8 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 20 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,497 at the 2021 Census → 3,495 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22183). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.